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8/7/2019 Colliers | Silicon Valley Trends 2011 | Slides

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SILICON VALLEY

REAL ESTATE TRENDS 2011

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SILICON VALLEY AVAILABILITY

Silicon Valley All Products

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,000

55,000,000

60,000,000

4Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q091Q094Q083Q082Q081Q084Q073Q072Q071Q074Q063Q062Q061Q06

Squa

re Feet

Available Space

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GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley All Products

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996

Squar

e Feet

Gross Absorption

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QUARTERLY GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley All Products

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

4Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q091Q094Q083Q082Q081Q084Q073Q072Q071Q074Q063Q062Q061Q06

Squar

e Feet

Gross Absorption

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PREIMPROVED SPACE ADDED TO SUPPLY

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

4Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q091Q09

R&D

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

4Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q091Q09

Office

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

4Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q091Q09

Industrial

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

4Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q091Q09

Warehouse

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PREIMPROVED SPACE ADDED TO SUPPLY

Silicon Valley All Products

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Squa

re Feet

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NET ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley All Products

(20,000,000)

(15,000,000)

(10,000,000)

(5,000,000)

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996

Square Feet

Net Absorption

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R&D GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley R&D

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Square Feet

Gross Absorption

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R&D NET ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley R&D

(15,000,000)

(10,000,000)

(5,000,000)

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Square Feet

Net Absorption

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SILICON VALLEY

Office and R&D Absorption as a Percentage of Total

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

R&D Building Base as % of Total Building Base

Office Gross Absorption as a % of Total Gross Absorption

R&D Gross Absorption as a % of Total Gross Absorption

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HISTORICAL GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley R&D

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

20102009200820072006200520042003200220012000199919981997199619951994199319921991199019891988

Square

 Feet

Gross Absorption

First 10 Years Average

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HISTORICAL GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Office

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

20102009200820072006200520042003200220012000199919981997199619951994199319921991199019891988

Square

 Feet

Gross Absorption

First 10 Years Average

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OFFICE GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Office

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Square Feet

Gross Absorption

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OFFICE NET ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Office

(3,000,000)

(2,000,000)

(1,000,000)

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Square Feet

Net Absorption

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SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA

OFFICE MARKET

• San Mateo County finished 2010 with a positive net absorptionof 343,000 square feet, the first positive year since 2007.

• The fourth quarter of 2010 accounted for the sixth consecutivequarter of decreased vacancy rates – San Mateo Countycurrent stands at 17.6% compared to 19.0% a year ago.

• Peninsula Downtown markets are extremely tight, mostly drivenby access to rail transportation – Downtown Palo Alto availabilityrate is 7.3% compared to 16.8% for the entire city.

• The year end San Mateo County Unemployment Rate is 8.3%compared to 8.9% a year ago.

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SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA

OFFICE MARKETVacancy Rate vs. Average Asking Rent

10.00%

12.50%

15.00%

17.50%

20.00%

1Q114Q103Q102Q101Q104Q093Q092Q09

Vacancy R

ate

$2.00

$2.25

$2.50

$2.75

$3.00

Monthly Rent Per Sq. Ft. (FS)

Vacancy Rate

Avg. Asking Rent

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SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA

OFFICE MARKET

• We expect several large transactions to occur in the first quarterof 2011

– Facebook Inc. recently committed to the 57-Acre, 1 MSF formerSun Microsystems campus in Menlo Park.

– County of San Mateo to purchase and occupy 200,000 square feet

in San Carlos.– Bristol Myers Squibb to lease 85,000 square feet in Redwood City.

– DreamWorks expanding by 70,000 square feet in Redwood City toa total of 190,000 square feet.

• Vacancy rates will continue to decline and positive netabsorption will continue.

• Rental Rates will slowly  increase throughout 2011.

Looking Forward…

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INDUSTRIAL GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Industrial

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Squa

re Feet

Gross Absorption

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INDUSTRIAL NET ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Industrial

(2,500,000)

(2,000,000)

(1,500,000)

(1,000,000)

(500,000)

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Squa

re Feet

Net Absorption

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WAREHOUSE GROSS ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Warehouse

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Squa

re Feet

Gross Absorption

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WAREHOUSE NET ABSORPTION

Silicon Valley Warehouse

(3,000,000)

(2,500,000)

(2,000,000)

(1,500,000)

(1,000,000)

(500,000)

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999

Squa

re Feet

Net Absorption

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SILICON VALLEY R&D RENTS

Average Start Rate Per Square Foot NNN

$0.00

$0.20

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10

Monthly Re

nt Per Sq. Ft.

Avg. Starting Rate

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SILICON VALLEY OFFICE RENTS

Average Start Rate Per Square Foot Full Service

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10

Monthly Re

nt Per Sq. Ft.

Avg. Starting Rate

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SILICON VALLEY INDUSTRIAL RENTS

Average Start Rate Per Square Foot NNN

$0.00

$0.15

$0.30

$0.45

$0.60

$0.75

$0.90

1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10

Monthly Re

nt Per Sq. Ft.

Avg. Starting Rate

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SILICON VALLEY WAREHOUSE RENTS

Average Start Rate Per Square Foot NNN

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

$0.50

$0.60

1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10

Monthly Re

nt Per Sq. Ft.

Avg. Starting Rate

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