7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
1/23
www.whiteboardadvisors.com
EducationInsider:TrackingMeasures,
AssessmentConsortia,StudentSurveys,and
MultiStateAdvocacyGroups
December2012
www.whiteboardadvisors.com
1
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
2/23
WhyEducationInsider
INTRODUCTION
TheValue
Weharnessthe
wisdomof
wellconnected
influentialsto
provide
insights
andpredict
policyoutcomes
forstakeholders
inthe
education
debate.
Whiteboard Advisors is a policyoriented consulting practice. We provide
proprietary research and strategic support to investors and philanthropicdonors, government leaders, and entrepreneurs who seek unparalleledunderstanding of the education policy and business environment.
Education Insider helps those who need quality information to make highstakes decisions about the direction of federal policy. Education Insider
combines the wisdom of informed crowds with expert analysis to offerunparalleled information, analysis, and forecasting on a range of federaleducation policy issues and likely outcomes.
Education Insider conducts an anonymous survey of a small group of keyeducation influentials (policymakers, thought leaders, and association
heads) to get their thoughts and commentary about the context of thecurrent debate and possible outcomes. This helps surface the underlyingdynamics that can affect the trajectory of policies, positively or negatively,and go deeper than the conventional wisdom and rhetoric.
2
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
3/23
WhyEducationInsider
INTRODUCTION
TheProcess
Education Insider is a monthly report that cuts through the noise and
provides realtime insights on national education policy trends, debates,
and issuesfrom the handful of decision makers that are really driving the
process. We combine a survey of key education influencers with our own
analysis to provide a unique perspective on the current state of debate.
Who Are The Insiders?
Influential leaders who are shaping federal education reform, includingindividuals who have or are currently serving as key policy and political
insiders, such as:
Current and former White House and U.S. Department of Educationleaders
Current and former Congressional staff State education leaders including state school chiefs and former
governors
Leaders of major education organizations, think tanks and other keyinfluentials
SurveyInsiders
AnalyzeResults
Report
Insights
Drive
Action
3
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
4/23
InsiderscontinuetobeskepticaloftheCommonCoreassessmentconsortiaespeciallytheSmarterBalancedAssessmentConsortium.Inaddition,67percentofInsidersthinkthatthePARCCconsortiumwillnotsucceedinestablishingacommoncutscoreacrossstatesonitsassessmentsand76percentofInsidersbelievethesamethingaboutSBAC.
Insidersarenotveryfamiliarwiththeresearchaboutusingstudentsurveysasacomponentofteacherevaluationbutsee
promisein
the
idea.
AmongstateadvocacygroupsInsidersgiveespeciallyhighmarkstoEducationTrust,theFoundationforExcellenceinEducation,and50CANacrossseveraldimensions.
Onregular
tracking
issues
Insiders
are
pessimistic
about
the
prospectsforESEAreauthorization.InsidersremainsplitonjobapprovaloftheObamaAdministrationoneducation.ApprovalforCongressremainsverylow.
72%ofInsidersfeelthat
studentsurveysmaybea
valuablecomponentof
teacherevaluations.
Just15%ofInsidersbelieve
thatESEAreauthorization
willhappenbeforethistime
nextyear.
Anewlowofjust52%of
InsidersthinkthatPARCCis
ontherighttrack.
AmajorityofInsidersthink
thatneither
PARCC
or
SBAC
willsucceedinestablishing
acommoncutscoreonnew
CommonCoreassessments
acrossstates.
ExecutiveSummary
INTRODUCTION
4
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
5/23
TableofContents
INTRODUCTION
5
TRACKING MEASURES 6
ASSESSMENT CONSORTIA 11
STUDENT SURVEYS 15
MULTI-STATE ADVOCACY GROUPS 19
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
6/23
CongressionalDisapprovalRisesAgain,AdministrationDisapproval
Steadyat
50
50
Split
TRACKINGMEASURES
Questions(askedseparatelyonInsidersurvey):DoyouapproveordisapproveofthewayCongress/theAdministrationishandlingeducation?
JobApprovalonEducation
26 32 2023 3240
19 3310 5 6
18 146
0 0 8 412
5
74 6880 77
6860
81
6790
95
94
82
86
94
100
100
9296
88
95
6
5%
95%
Approve Disapprove
Congress
50% 50%
Approve Disapprove
WhiteHouse
8064 59 65
55
68
48 46 40 45
59
35
5750 52
45
50 46 50 50
20 3641
3545
32
52 5460
55
41
65
4350 48
55
5054 50 50
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
7/23
7
TRACKINGMEASURES
ESEAReauthorization:TrackingTimeline
Question: AboutwhendoyoubelieveafinalESEAbillwillbesignedintolaw?
7
Date of Insider Survey
5% 4%12%
33%10% 12% 18%
8% 15%
29%
5%
10%20% 18%
9%10%
24% 33%
35%
32% 36%
33% 20%
35% 29% 40%32% 29%
50% 55%
Apr.'12 Jun.'12 July'12 Aug.'12 Sept.'12 Nov.'12 Dec.'12
TimingofESEAReauthorization
ByJune
2013 By
Dec.
2013 By
Jun.
2014 By
Dec.
2014 After
Jan.
2015
Insidersremain
dividedonthe
timelinefor
ESEA
reauthorization,
but,asinthelast
survey,none
thinkthat
it
will
happenbefore
latenextyear.
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
8/23
Why?
BecausetheAdministrationwillhavenoincentivetodoanythingotherthanwaivers
and
will
tell
Miller
and
Harkin
to
back
off
cooperating
so
they
can
continue
to
be
kingmakers.
Thisisaqualifiedresponse.ESEAreauthorizationhasachanceifmembersbegintoworkhonestlyonissues.Ifthefiscalcliffstandoffbecomesprotracted,expectESEA
tohappenafterthenextelectionsin2014.
Allthe
incentives
to
do
it
are
still
missing.
Waivers
just
made
it
more
of
along
shot.
Never.TheywillsoonermoveittotheSmithsonianasanationalrelicthanreauthorizeit.
TheresnoappetitetodoanythingonK12.
At
some
point
the
Obama
Administration
is
going
to
realize
that
waivers
are
not
a
longtermsolutionandtheywantthistohappenontheirwatchratherthanunderthe
nextAdministration(PresidentBushIII?).
Toomuchontheplate.Nointerestorpressuretodosoatthepresenttime.
TomHarkinisnotcapableofreachingadealandCarmelMartindoesntwantone.
8
TRACKINGMEASURES
InsiderInsight:ReauthorizationTiming
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
9/23
Question:Aretheassessmentcoalitionsontherighttrackorwrongtrack?
Aretheassessmentcoalitionsonthe
righttrackorwrongtrack?
CommonCoreAssessments RightTrackorWrongTrack?
TRACKINGMEASURES
9
Insiders
viewsof
SBACremain
steady.
Theirconcern
aboutPARCC
seemstobe
growing.
73%83% 85%
65% 69% 62%52%
27%17% 15%
35% 31% 38%
49%
Apr.'12 June'12 July'12 Aug.'12 Sept.'12Nov.'12 Dec.'12
PARCC
RightTrack WrongTrack
29%44% 42%
27%33% 33% 29%
71%56% 58%
73%67% 67% 71%
Apr.'12 June'12 July'12 Aug.'12 Sept.'12Nov.'12 Dec.'12
SBAC
RightTrack WrongTrack
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
10/23
10
InsiderInsight:RightTrack/WrongTrack
TRACKINGMEASURES
WhydoyoubelievePARCCandSBACareontherightorwrongtrack?
Theassessmentconsortiacontinuetoworkinearnestontheirdeliverables.
People
seem
to
be
waking
up
that
this
could
be
a
train
wreck
so
thats
a
reason
for
someoptimism,butnotarighttracknod.
PARCCassessmentsaretrulynextgenerationandgetmuchmoreatproblemsolvinganddemonstrationofhowstudentsgottoanswers.Nomoredrillandkillbecauseit
wontworkwiththese.
Imskeptical
that
either
will
actually
launch
with
more
than
ahandful
of
states
apiece.
Itlooksliketheyaregoingtopostponeorcantheuseoftechnologyfortheassessments.
Slowdribblesofinformationsuchastheshortenedtestsorthechoicebetweenlongandshortformatsarentinspiringconfidencethattheconsortiaaremakingdecisionsstrategicallyorwithanypurpose.Justsortoflearningastheygoalongandmaking
publicannouncementsbecausetheyfeelliketheyhaveto.
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
11/23
MostInsiders
donotbelieve
thatPARCC
will
succeedin
establishinga
commoncut
scorethat
will
beusedbyall
states.
PARCCandCommonCutScores
ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA
11
Question: WillthePARCCassessmentconsortiumsucceedinestablishingacommoncutscoreonitsteststhatallparticipatingstateswill
use?
11
33%
67%
WILLPARCCsucceedinestablishing
acommoncutscore?
Yes
No
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
12/23
Insidersare
evenless
certainthat
SBACwill
succeedin
establishinga
commoncut
scoreforits
tests.
SBACandCommonCutScores
ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA
12
Question: WilltheSBACassessmentconsortiumsucceedinestablishingacommoncutscoreonitsteststhatallparticipatingstateswilluse?
12
24%
76%
WILLSBACsucceedinestablishing
acommoncutscore?
Yes
No
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
13/23
13
InsiderInsight:CutScores
ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA
Why?
TheymaybeabletogetGovernorstosignon,buttheywill
neverget
State
Boards
to
agree
to
acommon
cut
score.
Thiswillbehardtodowithintheconsortium,butathirdparty
mayestablishasetofperformancebenchmarks.
Maybe
at
first,
but
at
some
point
when
people
see
how
horriblethingslookfortheirchildrenseducation,theincentive
forpeopleonthelocalleveltolobbyforgamingcutscoresto
makethemappearbetterthantheyarewillprobablytakehold.
Whynot.
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
14/23
14
InsiderInsight:CutScores(cont.)
ASSESSMENTCONSORTIA
Why?
Iammystifiedbythisquestion.Itisafundamentaldeliverable.
Theymay
hang
tough
on
this,
so
yes,
but
its
going
to
cost
them
somestates.
No.Comparabilityonlysoundsgoodintheoryandwhen
billions
of
ARRA
money
is
on
the
table. Stateswilloppose.
Thisisthepointoftheactivitywehavetoholdontothis.
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
15/23
Insiders
familiaritywith
theuse
of
student
surveysforthe
purposesof
teacher
evaluation
varies,
althoughmost
areat
least
somewhat
familiar.
StudentSurveysasaToolforTeacherEvaluation
STUDENTSURVEYS
15
Question: Howfamiliarareyouwiththeresearchandevidenceonusingstudentsurveysasatoolinteacherevaluationsforelementaryand
secondaryschools?
15
18%
9%
36%
23%
14%
1(Not
at
all
familiar)
2 3(Somewhat
familiar)
4 5
(Very
familiar)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Familiaritywithstudentsurveysfor
teacherevaluationpurposes
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
16/23
Asignificant
majorityofInsiders
thinkthatteacher
evaluationsshould
includestudent
surveyresults,
thoughsome
qualified
their
responsewitha
suggestionthat
suchdatashould
begiven
appropriate
weights.
StudentSurveysasaToolforTeacherEvaluation
STUDENTSURVEYS
16
Question: Howbeneficialdoyouthinkthisstudentsurveydatawouldbe,intermsofinformingteacherevaluations?
16
5%
24%29%
19%24%
1(Not
at
all
beneficial)
2 3(Somewhat
beneficial)
4 5(Very
beneficial)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Howbeneficialwouldsuch
surveydatabe?
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
17/23
17
InsiderInsight:StudentSurveys
STUDENTSURVEYS
WhyorWhyNot?
Ithinkstudentswillbegoodpredictorsofeffectivenessifonlyfromtheengagementside.Thebiggerhurdlewillbeteachertrustofthemeasure.
Studentsarerefreshinglyhonestandtheiropinionsmatter.Theirdatashouldbeweightedappropriately,butshoulddefinitelybeused.
Teenagers!
This
was
some
big
news
in
the
Gates
work.
Lost
in
all
their
spin
about
multiplemeasuresandlanguagetosoothetheunionswereafewimportant
findingsandthisisoneofthem.Whoknows,thekidsmayturnouttobe
betteratthisthanthegrownups!
AlthoughIbelievethefieldwillbeslowtoadaptstudentssurveysintotheteacher
evaluation
processit
is
already
overloaded
with
procedures
and
datathedatatheyprovideareusefulandpredictiveofstudentandteacher
successonothermeasures.
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
18/23
18
MultiStateAdvocacyGroups
MULTISTATEADVOCACYGROUPS
Howeffectivearemultistateadvocacygroupsat
influencingstatelaws,policy,andplayers,inthe
followingareas?
Statepolicyadvocacy Coalitionbuilding Persuasivepolicy/dataanalysis
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
19/23
MultiStateAdvocacyGroups StatePolicyAdvocacy
MULTISTATEADVOCACYGROUPS
1919
Question:Usingthedropdownmenusbelow,pleaserateeachofthefollowingmultistateadvocacygroupsbasedontheireffectivenessat
thestatelevel(intermsofinfluencingstatelaws,policy,andplayers),onascaleof1to5.
Organization Don'tknow
Very
effective Effective
Neither
ineffective
noreffective Ineffective
Very
ineffective
Total
Effective
Total
Ineffective
EdTrust 5% 32% 32% 11% 11% 11% 63% 21%
FoundationforExcellencein
Education 11% 11% 47% 11% 5% 16% 58% 21%
DemocratsforEducation
Reform(DFER) 0% 0% 53% 21% 16% 11% 53% 26%
50CAN 16% 0% 53% 11% 16% 5% 53% 21%StandforChildren 21% 16% 21% 16% 11% 16% 37% 26%
StudentsFirst 11% 5% 21% 32% 16% 16% 26% 32%
BlackAlliancefor
EducationalOptions 32% 0% 16% 16% 16% 21% 16% 37%
StudentsForEducation
Reform(SFER) 42% 0% 5% 11% 32% 11% 5% 42%
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
20/23
MultiStateAdvocacyGroups CoalitionBuilding
MULTISTATEADVOCACYGROUPS
2020
Question:Usingthedropdownmenusbelow,pleaserateeachofthefollowingmultistateadvocacygroupsbasedontheireffectivenessat
thestatelevel(intermsofinfluencingstatelaws,policy,andplayers),onascaleof1to5.
Organization Don'tknow
Very
effective Effective
Neither
ineffective
noreffective Ineffective
Very
ineffective
Total
Effective
Total
Ineffective
FoundationforExcellencein
Education 11% 0% 50% 11% 11% 17% 50% 28%
EdTrust 6% 22% 28% 17% 11% 17% 50% 28%
50CAN 28% 0% 44% 11% 11% 6% 44% 17%
DemocratsforEducation
Reform
(DFER) 6% 6% 28% 28% 17% 17% 33% 33%StandforChildren 28% 0% 22% 11% 22% 17% 22% 39%
BlackAlliancefor
EducationalOptions 33% 0% 17% 22% 11% 17% 17% 28%
StudentsForEducation
Reform(SFER) 44% 0% 6% 17% 17% 17% 6% 33%
StudentsFirst 17% 0% 0% 28% 17% 39% 0% 56%
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
21/23
MultiStateAdvocacyGroups PersuasivePolicy/DataAnalysis
MULTISTATEADVOCACYGROUPS
2121
Question:Usingthedropdownmenusbelow,pleaserateeachofthefollowingmultistateadvocacygroupsbasedontheireffectivenessat
thestatelevel(intermsofinfluencingstatelaws,policy,andplayers),onascaleof1to5.
Organization Don'tknow
Very
effective Effective
Neither
ineffective
noreffective Ineffective
Very
ineffective
Total
Effective
Total
Ineffective
EdTrust 0% 47% 42% 0% 0% 11% 89% 11%
50CAN 17% 6% 50% 0% 22% 6% 56% 28%
FoundationforExcellencein
Education 17% 6% 33% 6% 22% 17% 39% 39%
DemocratsforEducation
Reform
(DFER) 0% 6% 22% 44% 17% 11% 28% 28%StandforChildren 33% 0% 28% 22% 11% 6% 28% 17%
StudentsFirst 17% 0% 11% 28% 22% 22% 11% 44%
BlackAlliancefor
EducationalOptions 22% 0% 11% 11% 33% 22% 11% 55%
StudentsForEducation
Reform(SFER) 39% 0% 0% 22% 28% 11% 0% 39%
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
22/23
22
InsiderInsight:ReformAdvocacyGroups
Arethereanysingleormultistateeducationreform
advocacygroupsnotlistedherethatyouthinkare
especiallyeffective?
CenterforEducationReform,NewSchoolsVentureFund
IthinkthePIEnetworkhasbroughtthesegroupstogetherinaninterestingwaythatishelpful.
PIENetwork[2votes]
AdvanceIllinoisand ColoradoSucceeds.TraditionallyEdVoicehasbeen.TerryRyaninOhio(animportantonemanbandfor
schoolreformoutthere).AndallthegroupsinWAstatethat
helpedfinallygetacharterlawthroughthere.The
Massachusettsbusinessgroupcangetitdone.
ConnCAN,PritchardCommittee,CenterforEdReform
Councilof
Great
City
Schools
stands
alone
as
an
effective
organization.
TeachPlushashadsomebigedreformwinsatthedistrictlevelandisstartingtobuildmoreofastateandnationalpresence.
IwanttoemphasizehoweffectiveTheEducationTrustisthemodelforfederaleducationadvocacy.
MULTISTATEADVOCACYGROUPS
7/30/2019 Dec 2012 - Education Insider (Constoria, Student Surveys, Advocacy Groups)_0
23/23
23
Whiteboard
Advisors
Email:
Follow: WhiteBdAdvisor
Visit:
http://www.whiteboardadvisors.com
Blog: http://www.whiteboardadvisors.com/news
Signup
for
Whiteboard
Weekly
Notes
for
the
latest
educationnews.SubscribeusingyourQRCode
readerorbyvisiting: http://eepurl.com/nW3D