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Distance Ed Enrollment Trends: New Data, New Trends, New Partnership
April 19
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Welcome to #WCETWebcastApril 19, 2017
• The webcast will begin shortly.• There is no audio being broadcast at this time.
• An archive of this webcast will be available on the WCET website next week.
digital learning C O M P A S S
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Goal: Be the definitive source of informationon the patterns and trends of
U.S. postsecondary distance learning.
Welcome!
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• Use the question box for questions and information exchange.
• Archive, PowerPoint, and Resources available next week.
• PowerPoint can be downloaded in the handouts pane.
• Follow the Twitter feed: #WCETwebcast.
Megan RaymondAssistant Director, Programs
& SponsorshipWCET
[email protected]@meraymond
Overview
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IntroductionsDigital Learning Compass
Key Findings Audience Q&A
Conclusion
Questions from the Audience
• If you have a question during the presentation, please add your questions to the question box.
• We will monitor the question box and have time for Q&A in the last part of the webcast.
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Moderator
Terri Taylor Straut•Senior Research
Analyst•WCET
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Presenters
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Jeff Seaman•Co‐Director, Babson Survey Research Group•Co‐Director, Quahog
Research Group
Phil Hill•Co‐publisher
•e‐Literate
Jeff Seaman
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•Co‐Director, Babson Survey Research Group•Co‐Director, Quahog
Research Group
Setting the Stage
• Four years of data from 4,700+ IPEDS‐reporting institutions.
•Most comprehensive information available.• Supported by Pearson, OLC, Tyton Partners, NC‐SARA.
• Replaces previous Babson‐collected data (2004‐2012).• Covers IPEDS institutions:
•Degree‐granting.•Active.•Open to the public.
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The world is shrinking…
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20,928,443 20,680,352 20,508,530 20,266,367
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
18000000
20000000
22000000
2012 2013 2014 2015
OVERALL ENROLLMENT ‐ DEGREE‐GRANTING INSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012‐2015
Institutions are competing for a smaller pie.
Question: Given that overall enrollments are down for the past three years, what is happening to distance education enrollments?
•A) Down more than overall enrollments.•B) Down the same as overall enrollments.•C) Steady•D) Growing at same rate as previous years.•E) Growing faster than previous years.
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Distance is growing…
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Growth rate for 2014‐2015 greater than for previous years.
2,633,515 2,701,684 2,855,198 2,902,756
2,791,891 2,909,867 2,940,532 3,119,349
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
2012 2013 2014 2015
DISTANCE ENROLLMENT ‐ DEGREE‐GRANTING INSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012‐2015
Some distance
Exclusively distance
Distance is growing…
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Over 6 Million (30% of all students) now taking courses at a distance
14%
16%
70%
PROPORTION OF STUDENTS TAKING DISTANCE EDUCATION COURSES ‐ 2015
Exclusively in distance educationcoursesSome but not all distanceeducation coursesStudent not enrolled in anydistance education courses
Discussion
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Jeff Seaman•Co‐Director, Babson
Survey Research Group
•Co‐Director, Quahog Research Group
Phil Hill•Co‐publisher
•e‐Literate
Terri Taylor Straut•Senior Research
Analyst•WCET
Crossing the chasm with implications
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Public institutions are in the lead…
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Over two‐thirds of distance students are at public institutions
68%
18%
14%
TYPE OF INSTITUTION ‐ STUDENTS ENROLLED IN DISTANCE EDUCATION COURSES ‐ 2015
Public
Private not‐for‐profit
Private for‐profit
Question: Public institution have the largest distance enrollments, but who is growing the fastest?•1) Public institutions•2) Private non‐profit institutions•3) For‐profit institutions
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Private institutions are growing fastest…
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Largest percentage increase each of the last three years
161,242
113,154
207,348
98,480 97,976109,469
‐73,577
‐27,281
‐90,442‐100,000‐80,000‐60,000‐40,000‐20,000
020,00040,00060,00080,000100,000120,000140,000160,000180,000200,000220,000
YEAR‐TO‐YEAR CHANGE IN DISTANCE ENROLLMENTS ‐ DEGREE‐GRANTING INSTITUTIONS ‐2012‐2015
Public Private not‐for‐profit Private for‐profit
2013‐142014‐15
2012‐13
Question: Overall enrollments are down, distance enrollments are up – what does this mean for the number on on‐campus students?
•A) Small increase•B) Steady•C) Down by several hundred thousand•D) Down by more than several hundred thousand
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Final tidbit…
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On‐campus enrollments have dropped by almost a million students
18,294,928 17,978,668 17,653,332 17,363,611
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
2012 2013 2014 2015
ON‐CAMPUS ENROLLMENTS ‐ DEGREE‐GRANTING INSTITUTIONS ‐ 2012‐2015
We should continue to see both non‐traditional (e.g. SNHU) and traditional institutions (e.g. U Florida) evolve and expand online offerings
•But with changes in overall competition for students.
•With demand for new pedagogical and student support models.
•And increasing demand for improved outcomes.
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Discussion
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Jeff Seaman•Co‐Director, Babson
Survey Research Group
•Co‐Director, Quahog Research Group
Phil Hill•Co‐publisher
•e‐Literate
Terri Taylor Straut•Senior Research
Analyst•WCET
Questions from the Audience
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Contact Information
Phil Hill: [email protected] @PhilOnEdTech
Jeff Seaman: [email protected]
Terri Taylor Straut: [email protected]
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Learn More and Stay Connected
Visit WCET’s New Website to learn about our Focus Areas, Initiatives, Events, Membership and Sponsorship: http://wcet.wiche.edu/
Join WCET: learn more about the benefits of joining our community:http://wcet.wiche.edu/join‐wcet
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Additional Information and Resources
Access to the resources discussed during this webcast, including the archive, will be available next week. http://wcet.wiche.edu/connect/webcasts
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Accessing the Final Report
http://digitallearningcompass.org/
Registrants to the webcast will also receive priority access.
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Learn More and Stay Connected
WCET Leadership Summit: Essential Institutional Capacities to Lead Innovation
June 14‐15Salt Lake City, UT
WCET Annual MeetingOctober 25‐27Denver, CO
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Thank you Supporting Members for your commitment to WCET and e‐Learning
• Colorado State University
• Cooley LLP
• Lone Star College System
• Michigan State University
• University of Missouri ‐ Columbia/Mizzou Online
• University of North Texas
• University of West Georgia
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Thank you WCET Annual Sponsors
• Barnes & Noble LoudCloud
• Blackboard
• MaxKnowledge
• Pearson Learning Solutions
• RealizeIt
• Wiley Education Services
• VitalSource
• Ed Map
• Carolina Distance Learning
• Learning Objects, a Cengage
Co
• Ilos videos
• Soomo Learning
• Drexel University
• Schoology
• MediaSite
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Learn about Sponsorship Opportunities: http://wcet.wiche.edu/get‐involved/sponsorship