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DRIVING THE MOBILITY OF TOMORROW
Eberspächer Exhaust Technology
ASEAN Strategy
prepared by Babak Niazi
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ASEAN Member Countries
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Production Forecast Top Ten Countries Global
Rank Country Production Vol. in 2014 in Mio.
1 China 23.72
2 USA 11.66
3 Japan 9.77
4 Germany 5.90
5 Korea 4.52
6 ASEAN 4.47
7 India 3.36
8 Mexico 3.36
9 Brazil 3.14
10 Spain/Portugal 2.38
Rank Country Production Vol. in 2020 in Mio.
1 China 31.48
2 USA 13.56
3 Japan 11.84
4 Germany 6,57
5 ASEAN 6.08
6 India 5,21
7 Korea 5.50
8 Mexico 4,92
9 Brazil 3.98
10 Spain/Portugal 3,19
� ASEAN is currently the 6th largest region, likely to become the 5th largest region!
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Automotive industrie in ASEAN region
Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia are the key markets in the ASEAN region, accounting for 90% of the market.Production Volumes has been increased to 200% since 2009
-0,1 %YTD
+13,4 %YTD
+5,5 %YTD +27,1 %
YTD+5,0 %
YTD
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Japanese players dominate the passenger cars market in Thailand and Indonesia; Local OEMs makes account for 60% in Malaysia
ASEAN Automotive Market: Key Players
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ASEAN countries however, are not very homogenous. Among top 5 markets, Indonesia is the largest and f astest growing economy
• All countries are likely to grow at a CAGR of 6-9% in the next 5 years with the exception of Indonesia at 16%.• Growth in population is averagely staying between 1 -2%• Indonesia is predicted to be the fastest growing co untry in next 5 years with increase GDP per capita are likely
to be more than 13%
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Key Highlights of 2014
• Top 5 ASEAN markets reached 3,5 Million units of total industry volume• Thailand remained the largest market however, saw a steep decline of 8%• Indonesia continued to grow inching closer to ist no. 1 position
Growth in ASEAN, decline in Thailand
• Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand announced new policies for new class of prodcutsbroadly classified as „Fuel efficient“ vehicles opportunity for ExhaustTechnology supplier
• Malaysia rolled out National Automotive Policy which focuses on Energy EfficientVehicles
• Thailand announced 2 programs to attract further investments in production capacity
Advent of Fuel efficient cars
• There has been some delay in the AEC implementation however there are somestructural developments that point towards AEC being an inevitable development tounify the market
AEC implemantation delayed but inevitable
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Fuel Efficient cars have changed the landscape in t he top 3 ASEAN markets
Thailand‘s First car buyerincentive program
Dramatic increase in Sub Compact andCompact car sales
Decisive consumer
shift from pick-uptrucks to passenger
cars
Malaysia‘s continued taxbreak for Hybrid cars
Multifold increase in Hybrid car sales in
Malaysia
Positive consumerattitudes towardsHybrid and EV
Launch of LCGC programin Indonesia
No luxury tax –hence 10% lower
price
Sales zoomed to50,000 in first 4
months
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Policy Camparison
While Thailand provides a bouquet of incentives, Malays ia has decided to customize its offeringsbased on how strategic the investments is
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Key Opportunities
ASEAN likely to become the 5th largest automotive market i n the world
German OEMs announced to focus more on ASEAN
New policies and full implementation of AEC will alter t he competetive position of JapaneseOEMs and open the door for High potential challengers (F ord, VW, BMW, Mercedes etc.
Strategic partnerships in this region to be a part of unde veloped but growing market
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THAILAND
� Thailand is the 3 rd biggest economy in ASEAN (67,1 mio. population)
� Thailand is currently 9th largest automotive produc er worldwide
� 3 Mio. units milestone will be achieved by 2017
� JE is currently investigating a Footprint in Thaila nd to enter in global Ford, Honda and VW business
� BMW will increase the production in Thailand dramat ically from 2015 on
� Honda plans to build a new plant in Prachinburi/Cho nburi with a production capacity of 240.000 units a year
� Ford opened second plant in Thailand (invest 450 Mi o $, annual capacity of 150.000 vehicles. Thailand capacity increases to 445.000 vehicles in Thailand.
� Ford is planning to launch 50 new vehicles and powe rtrain in Asia Pacific and Africa by mid-decade
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Thailand OEM / supplier locations
Bangkok
Ayutthaya
Samrong
Samut Prakan
Chachoengsao
Bangkok
Chonburi
Pluak Daeng / Rayong
SOP 2019
Bangkok to Rayong 170km
Bangkok
Pluak Daeng /Rayong Rayong
Chonburi
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MALAYSIA
� Strategically located in the heart of South-East As ia
� In ASEAN Malaysia is the third biggest car market
� Local OEMs ( Perodua, Proton) has a marekt share of 60%
� National car dominance is expected to decline furth er with more liberalization in the near future
� European OEMs are represented with CKD plants
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Malaysia OEM / supplier locations
MalaccaHonda Malyasia
Kulim
INOKOM CORPORATION
Gurun
NAZA Automotive
Rawang
Perodua
Tanjung Malim
DRB HICOM
Kuala Lumpur
Tan Chong Motor
Shah AlamAssembly Services SDN BHD
Swedish Motor Assemblies
DRB HICOM
Pekan
DRB HICOM
ISUZU-HICOM
Kuala Lumpur
FAURECIA HICOM ECT
Tanjung Malim
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INDONESIA
� Indonesia predicted to be the fastest growing count ry in next 5 years
� Biggest Population in ASEAN 240 Mio. (worlds 4 th most populous country)
� Less than 5 percent of Indonesia's population own v ehicles
� JAPANESE OEMs lead a highly consolidated and compet itive market (54% of Market held by Astra International (comprising Toyo ta, Daihatsu and Isuzu)
� VW is investigating to build a factory in West Java
� GM reacitivated a plant (capacity 40.000 p.a)
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Indonesia OEM / supplier locations
JakartaGaya Motor Assembler
BMW Indonesia
Isuzu Astra Motor
Krama Yudha
Kia Mobile Indonesia
Unicor Prima Motor
Foton Mobilindo
Astra Daihatsu Motor
BekasiSuzuki Indombil Motor
National Assembler
GM Indonesia
KarawangToyota Motor
Astra Daihatsu Motor
Honda Motor
PurwakartaNissan Motor
Hino Motors
BogorMercedes Benz
TangerangTrijaya Union
West Java
Jakarta
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Major PC OEM Production Volumes & EET Potential
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50.000
100.000
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650.000
2014
2019