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Page 1: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Education

Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3Analysis and Report Writing Workshop

Panama City, July 12-20, 2006

Page 2: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Age

Transition rate to secondary

Primary completion ratio

Literacy rate

Tertiary

Reaching Grade 5

Primary Secondary

Net attendance Ratio

Dropout and repetition rates

Early education

Pre-primary

% entering Prim.Sch.

Pre-Sch. Attendan.

School Readiness

Net Attendance Ratio

Page 3: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Indicators Participation

1. Pre-school attendance

2. School readiness

3. Net intake rate in primary education

4. Net primary school attendance rate

5. Net secondary school attendance rate

6. Female to male education ratio (gender parity index-GPI)

Progression

1. Survival rate to grade five

2. Transition rate to secondary school

3. Net primary completion rate

4. Adult literacy rate

Page 4: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Goals World Fit for Children (WFFC)Providing quality education• Early childhood education• Children out of school and alternative education• Numeracy, literacy and essential life skills• Adult literacy

Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)• Achieve universal primary education • Promote gender equality and empower women

Page 5: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Why to measure education?

Reasons:

• Provide a comprehensive description of children’s participation and progression in the education system• To evaluate impact of programs and interventions based on trends

Page 6: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Data sources

• Administrative records• Population census• School surveys• Household surveys

Page 7: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Are there differences? if yes why?

Existing evidence:• Different concepts and definitions (enrolment versus attendance)• Deficient administrative records• Measurement errors

Page 8: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Which is the approach in MICS3?

• Estimation of indicators based on household survey to inform data from administrative records• Use other existing estimates and compare along time• Report within the existing context of data availability and limitations

Page 9: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

EDUCATION MODULE ED

FOR HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS AGE 5 AND ABOVE

FOR HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS AGE 5-24 YEARS

ED1. LINE

NO.

ED1A. Name

ED2. HAS (name) EVER

ATTENDED SCHOOL

OR PRESCHOOL? 1 YES ED3 2 NO NEXT LINE

ED3. WHAT IS THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF

SCHOOL (name) ATTENDED? WHAT IS THE HIGHEST GRADE

(name) COMPLETED AT THIS

LEVEL? LEVEL: 0 PRE-SCHOOL 1 PRIMARY 2 SECONDARY 3 HIGHER 6 NON-STANDARD CURRICULUM 8 DK GRADE: 98 DK IF LESS THAN 1 GRADE, ENTER 00.

ED4. DURING THE

(2004-2005)

SCHOOL

YEAR, DID

(name)

ATTEND

SCHOOL OR

PRESCHOOL

AT ANY TIME? 1 YES 2 NO ED7

ED5. SINCE LAST (day of the week), HOW

MANY DAYS

DID (name)

ATTEND

SCHOOL? INSERT NUMBER OF DAYS IN SPACE BELOW.

ED6. DURING THIS/THAT SCHOOL

YEAR, WHICH LEVEL AND

GRADE IS/WAS (name)

ATTENDING? LEVEL: 0 PRESCHOOL 1 PRIMARY 2 SECONDARY 3 HIGHER 6 NON-STANDARD

CURRICULUM 8 DK GRADE: 98 DK

ED7. DID (name)

ATTEND

SCHOOL OR

PRESCHOOL AT

ANY TIME

DURING THE

PREVIOUS

SCHOOL YEAR, THAT IS (2003-2004)? 1 YES 2 NO NEXT LINE 8 DK NEXT LINE

ED8. DURING THAT PREVIOUS

SCHOOL YEAR, WHICH

LEVEL AND GRADE DID

(name) ATTEND? LEVEL: 0 PRESCHOOL 1 PRIMARY 2 SECONDARY 3 HIGHER 6 NON-STANDARD

CURRICULUM 8 DK GRADE: 98 DK

LINE YES NO LEVEL GRADE YES NO DAYS LEVEL GRADE Y N DK LEVEL GRADE

01 1 2NEXT LINE 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 ___ 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 8 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___

02 1 2NEXT LINE 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 ___ 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 8 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___

03 1 2NEXT LINE 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 ___ 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 8 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___

04 1 2NEXT LINE 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 ___ 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 8 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___

05 1 2NEXT LINE 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 ___ 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___ 1 2 8 0 1 2 3 6 8 ___ ___

Page 10: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Which countries included this module in MICS3?

• 6 out of 7• Belize, Dominican Republic, Guyana, Jamaica, Suriname and Trinidad and Tobago• Cuba included part of the module only• Mongolia?

Page 11: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Pre-school net attendance ratio

Numerator:

Number of children aged 36-59 months that attend some form of early childhood education programme

Denominator:

Total number of children aged 36-59 months surveyed

Page 12: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Early Child Learning (3-4 years old) in LAC countries

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Bolivia Nicaragua Haiti Jamaica Venezuela DominicanRepublic

Guyana Suriname Colombia TrinidadTobago

Net

att

end

ance

rat

io

Page 13: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

BIRTH REGISTRATION AND EARLY LEARNING MODULE BR

BR1. Does (name) have a birth certificate?May I see it?

Yes, seen 1Yes, not seen 2No 3DK 8

1BR5

BR2. Has (name’s) birth been registered with the civil authorities?

Yes 1No 2DK 8

1BR58BR4

BR3. Why is (name’s) birth not registered? Costs too much[I1]  1Must travel too far 2Did not know it should be registered 3Did not want to pay fine 4Does not know where to register 5Other (specify) 6DK 8

BR4. Do you know how to register your child’s birth?

Yes 1No 2

BR5. Check age of child in UF11: Child is 3 or 4 years old? Yes. Continue with BR6 No. Go to BR8

BR6. Does (name) attend any organized learning or early childhood education programme, such as a private or government facility, including kindergarten or community child care?

Yes 1No 2DK 8

2BR88BR8

BR7. Within the last seven days, about how many hours did (name) attend?

No. of hours __ __

 [I1]Adapt code categories to locally-relevant ones and pre-test.

Page 14: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Methodological issues

• The results are presented for 3-4 years only• It is possible to estimate pre-school participation for

5-6 years old from data collected with the household questionnaire

• However, these numbers are not comparable mainly because pre-school participation not always include non-formal early learning centers

Page 15: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

School readiness

Numerator:

Number of children in first grade that attended some form of pre-school the previous year

Denominator:

Total number of children in the first grade surveyed

Page 16: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.1• Generates:

– the percentage of 3 and 4 year old attending early education: total and by background variables

– the percentage of children attending first grade who attended ECE the year before

Page 17: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.1: Early childhood educationPercentage of children aged 36-59 months w ho are attending some form of organized early childhood

education programme and percentage of first graders who attended pre-school, Country, Year

10.8 646 61.2 56

12.1 621 55.0 51

4.6 286 35.4 18

5.6 180 80.0 24

6.5 334 24.6 26

32.0 216 75.4 32

12.3 251 87.1 8

14.1 554 62.5 53

9.3 712 54.3 55

11.2 630 . 0

11.7 637 . 0

. 0 58.3 108

.0 7 . 0

20.4 123 70.9 13

10.5 1136 56.5 94

.0 1 . 0

.9 220 58.3 14

2.4 203 18.8 17

4.9 240 66.6 11

9.7 292 61.6 24

31.4 312 70.4 41

12.5 869 63.5 69

8.3 272 37.3 26

28.7 23 50.0 4

7.3 102 80.7 9

11.4 1267 58.3 108

Male

Female

Sex

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

36-47 months

48-59 months

6 years

Age ofchild

None

Primary

Secondary +

Non-standard curriculum

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Mothertongue

Total

Percentage ofchildren aged36-59 months

currentlyattending

earlychildhoodeducation*

Number ofchildren aged36-59 months

Percentage ofchildren

attending firstgrade whoattendedpreschool

program inprevious

year**

Number ofchildren

attendingfirst grade

* MICS Indicator 52** MICS Indicator 53

Page 18: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Net intake rate in primary

education

Numerator:

Number of children of primary school-entry age that are currently attending first grade

Denominator:

Total number of children of primary-school entry age surveyed

Page 19: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Primary net intake rate in Caribbean countries. 1999-2004 (UIS data)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

DominicanRepublic

Belize Trinidad andTobago

Suriname Jamaica Guyana Cuba

Per

cen

t

Page 20: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.2• Percentage of children of primary school-entry

age that are currently attending first grade

Page 21: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.2: Primary school entryPercentage of children of primary school entry age

attending grade 1, Country, Year

64.8 380

67.1 343

41.0 161

74.6 109

83.2 194

79.6 113

53.1 146

66.7 346

65.1 377

65.9 723

37.2 10

62.0 67

66.7 646

73.5 136

64.9 133

52.2 146

61.9 136

75.3 172

63.7 502

66.0 152

54.8 11

87.3 57

65.9 723

Male

Female

Sex

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

7Age

None

Primary

Secondary +

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Mothertongue

Total

Percentageof children of

primaryschool entryage currently

attendinggrade 1 *

Number ofchildren of

primaryschool

entry age

* MICS Indicator 54

Page 22: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Primary school net attendance

rate

Numerator:

Number of children of primary-school age currently attending primary or secondary school

Denominator:

Total number of children of primary-school age surveyed

Note: the primary school age is defined at the country level and agreed at the international level via ISCED1

Page 23: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Primary school ages according to

ISCED1 Belize 5-10Cuba 6-11Dominican Republic 6-11Guyana 6-11Jamaica 6-11Suriname 6-11Trinidad and Tobago 5-11Mongolia 8-11

Page 24: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Primary net enrolment/attendance estimates for LAC countries conducting MICS3, 2004

84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100

Suriname

Dominican Republic

Cuba

Jamaica

Trinidad and Tobago

Guyana

Belize

Primary Net enrolment/attendance

Page 25: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.3• Percentage of children of primary-school age

currently attending primary or secondary school

Page 26: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.3: Primary school net attendance ratioPercentage of children of primary school age attending primary school or secondary school (NAR), Country, Year

54.2 594 56.0 488 55.0 1081

65.0 421 66.2 359 65.6 780

65.7 568 65.1 511 65.4 1079

70.4 328 63.6 338 66.9 666

58.2 449 62.2 411 60.1 859

61.2 1068 62.6 921 61.8 1989

62.5 1292 62.2 1185 62.3 2477

.9 402 1.0 358 1.0 760

14.8 402 16.5 355 15.6 757

65.4 380 68.8 343 67.0 723

95.3 401 96.2 358 95.7 759

99.4 335 97.5 305 98.5 640

98.6 439 96.5 388 97.6 827

66.3 18 49.5 18 57.8 36

67.9 250 63.1 204 65.8 454

61.1 2092 62.4 1884 61.7 3976

59.4 446 64.1 383 61.6 829

60.9 475 61.0 387 61.0 862

59.3 459 61.0 420 60.2 878

62.3 487 59.6 459 60.9 946

67.1 494 66.1 457 66.6 951

60.1 1628 61.7 1494 60.8 3122

64.5 482 63.2 395 63.9 877

71.8 31 60.7 37 65.8 68

68.5 219 66.6 180 67.6 398

. 0 100.0 1 100.0 1

61.9 2360 62.4 2106 62.1 4466

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

5

6

7

8

9

10

Age

None

Primary

Secondary +

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Netattendance

ratioNumber ofchildren

Male

Netattendance

ratioNumber ofchildren

Female

Netattendance

ratioNumber ofchildren

Total

* MICS indicator 55; MDG indicator 6

Page 27: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Secondary school net attendance

rate

Numerator:

Number of children of secondary-school age currently attending secondary or tertiary school

Denominator:

Total number of children of secondary-school age surveyed

Note: the secondary school age is defined at the country level and agreed at the international level via ISCED2

Page 28: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Secondary school ages according

to ISCED2 Belize 11-16Cuba 12-16Dominican Republic 13-17Guyana 12-16Jamaica 12-16Suriname 12-17Trinidad and Tobago 12-16Mongolia 12-17

Page 29: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Secondary net enrolment and attendance ratios in LAC countries (1996-2004 UIS and Household surveys)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

DominicanRepublic

Belize Suriname Trinidad andTobago

Jamaica Guyana Cuba

Per

cen

t

Attendance Enrolment

Page 30: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.4• Percentage of children of secondary school age

currently attending secondary or tertiary school

Page 31: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.4: Secondary school net attendance ratioPercentage of children of secondary school age attending secondary or higher school (NAR), Country, Year

85.3 684 68.3 634 77.1 1318

93.4 527 90.0 519 91.7 1046

89.3 658 69.5 603 79.8 1261

88.5 377 69.5 375 79.0 751

83.0 521 78.8 491 81.0 1013

87.8 1278 76.6 1150 82.5 2427

87.8 1490 73.7 1472 80.8 2962

81.7 379 83.6 342 82.6 721

97.1 377 93.9 323 95.6 700

96.7 398 90.3 372 93.6 769

97.5 407 87.7 429 92.4 836

92.4 405 77.5 388 85.1 792

83.8 407 58.5 362 71.9 769

65.1 395 37.8 407 51.3 802

62.5 23 53.2 32 57.2 55

89.2 250 85.4 233 87.3 483

88.1 2416 75.4 2270 82.0 4686

81.6 78 44.5 88 62.0 165

87.9 535 71.7 438 80.6 973

87.8 499 76.1 479 82.1 977

87.1 579 72.8 568 80.0 1147

84.5 599 75.3 604 79.9 1202

91.9 556 78.7 533 85.4 1090

87.6 1906 71.1 1850 79.5 3756

84.9 516 78.2 457 81.7 973

86.9 43 87.8 44 87.4 87

93.9 302 94.7 269 94.3 570

. 0 66.7 3 66.7 3

87.8 2768 75.0 2622 81.6 5389

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

Age

None

Primary

Secondary +

Mother not in household

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Netattendance

ratioNumber ofchildren

Male

Netattendance

ratioNumber ofchildren

Female

Netattendance

ratioNumber ofchildren

Total

* MICS indicator 56

Page 32: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Methodological issues • Results refer to attendance instead of enrolment• In reality we should aim to measure attendance• Enrolment tends to over estimate school participation• Results refer to net attendance instead of gross• Gross attendance in primary/secondary education

includes children of no primary/no secondary education ages

• Gross attendance ratios can be greater than 100%• Primary/secondary attendance ratios include children

attending primary or higher/secondary or higher

Page 33: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Female to male education ratio

Gender parity index (GPI)

Numerator:

Girls net enrolment/attendance ratio in primary, secondary, or tertiary education

Denominator:

Boys net enrolment/attendance ratio in primary, secondary, or tertiary education

Page 34: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Gender parity index (GPI) for primary net enrolment among Caribbean countries (UIS 2003)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

DominicanRepublic

Guyana Cuba Trinidad andTobago

Jamaica Belize Suriname

GP

I

Page 35: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Gender parity index (GPI) for secondary net enrolment among Caribbean countries (UIS 2003)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

Cuba Jamaica Belize Guyana Trinidad andTobago

DominicanRepublic

Suriname

GP

I

Page 36: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.7• Generates:

– gender parity index for primary net attendance ratios (girls/boys)

– gender parity index for secondary net attendance ratios (girls/boys)

Page 37: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.7 : Education gender parityRatio of girls to boys attending primary education and ratio of girls to boys attending secondary education, Country, Year

. 61.9 . . 87.8 .

62.4 . . 75.0 . .

56.0 54.2 1.03 68.3 85.3 .80

66.2 65.0 1.02 90.0 93.4 .96

65.1 65.7 .99 69.5 89.3 .78

63.6 70.4 .90 69.5 88.5 .78

62.2 58.2 1.07 78.8 83.0 .95

62.6 61.2 1.02 76.6 87.8 .87

62.2 62.5 .99 73.7 87.8 .84

49.5 66.3 .75 53.2 62.5 .85

63.1 67.9 .93 85.4 89.2 .96

62.4 61.1 1.02 75.4 88.1 .86

. . . 44.5 81.6 .55

64.1 59.4 1.08 71.7 87.9 .82

61.0 60.9 1.00 76.1 87.8 .87

61.0 59.3 1.03 72.8 87.1 .84

59.6 62.3 .96 75.3 84.5 .89

66.1 67.1 .99 78.7 91.9 .86

61.7 60.1 1.03 71.1 87.6 .81

63.2 64.5 .98 78.2 84.9 .92

60.7 71.8 .84 87.8 86.9 1.01

66.6 68.5 .97 94.7 93.9 1.01

100.0 . . 66.7 . .

62.4 61.9 1.01 75.0 87.8 .85

Male

Female

Sex

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

None

Primary

Secondary +

Mother not in household

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Primaryschool netattendanceratio (NAR),

girls

Primaryschool netattendanceratio (NAR),

boys

Gender parityindex (GPI) for

primaryschool NAR*

Secondaryschool netattendanceratio (NAR),

girls

Secondaryschool netattendanceratio (NAR),

boys

Gender parityindex (GPI) for

secondaryschool NAR*

* MICS Indicator 61; MDG Indicator 9

Page 38: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Methodological issues • GPIs are based on net attendance ratios

(primary/secondary)• Sometimes GPIs are based on gross

attendance/enrolment ratios (primary/secondary)• Gross ratios are mostly used when data is not

available by age of the child• Net is preferred over gross because it describes

better the situation in terms to gender equality (the ideal situation)

• Gross ratios are useful when children are not attending the grade that corresponds to their age

Page 39: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

A holistic approach To better describe school participation we propose:• Look at primary and secondary together• Use the following 3 simple indicators:

– Primary net attendance ratio– Secondary net attendance ratio– Percentage of secondary school age children that are

attending primary school

• Present analysis of school participation (levels and GPI) in a comprehensive way rather than primary and secondary separated

Page 40: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Population 6-175,228

Children 6-11 Primary (A)

School = 2559

Children 12-17Secondary (C)School = 2,669

Out of primaryschool = 146

Attending primarySchool = 2,413 (B)

Attending (D)School = 2,177

Not attendingSchool = 492

Attending primary school = 1,085 (E)

AttendingSecondary (F) School = 1,092

Using Gross ratios:

PGAR = (B+E)/A = (2,413+ 1,085)/2,559=137%

Using Net Ratios:

PNAR = B/A = 2,413/2,559 = 94%

SNAR = F/C = 1,092/2,669 = 41%

Ratio of SAP/PS = E/C = 1,085/2,669 = 41%

Page 41: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

The analysis then produces… • Primary education among children 6-11years of age:

– 94% attend primary or higher

– 6% do not attend primary education

• Secondary education among children 12-17:– 41% attend secondary or higher

– 41% attend primary education

– 18% do not attend school

• In total, we have that 24% of the children 6-17 years of age are out of school

Page 42: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.4w: Secondary school age children attending primary schoolPercentage of children of secondary school age attending primary school, Country, Year

5.3 684 2.2 634 3.8 1318

.6 527 1.3 519 .9 1046

4.0 658 4.0 603 4.0 1261

4.2 377 3.2 375 3.7 751

3.8 521 1.5 491 2.7 1013

3.6 1278 2.1 1150 2.9 2427

3.7 1490 2.7 1472 3.2 2962

17.2 379 12.5 342 15.0 721

1.7 377 .9 323 1.4 700

.5 398 .5 372 .5 769

.2 407 .0 429 .1 836

.5 405 .0 388 .3 792

2.0 407 1.1 362 1.6 769

4.1 395 2.9 407 3.5 802

5.1 23 .0 32 2.2 55

3.6 250 1.6 233 2.6 483

3.8 2416 2.6 2270 3.2 4686

.0 78 1.0 88 .5 165

3.5 535 3.4 438 3.4 973

4.7 499 1.8 479 3.3 977

4.5 579 2.0 568 3.2 1147

3.4 599 2.0 604 2.7 1202

2.3 556 3.2 533 2.7 1090

4.3 1906 2.3 1850 3.3 3756

3.2 516 3.4 457 3.3 973

.0 43 2.0 44 1.0 87

1.0 302 2.0 269 1.5 570

. 0 .0 3 .0 3

3.7 2768 2.4 2622 3.1 5389

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

Age

None

Primary

Secondary +

Mother not in household

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Percentattendingprimaryschool

Number ofchildren

Male

Percentattendingprimaryschool

Number ofchildren

Female

Percentattendingprimaryschool

Number ofchildren

Total

Page 43: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Survival rate to grade five

Definition:

Proportion of children entering the first grade of primary school that eventually reach grade five

Page 44: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Probability of reaching grade five in Caribbean countries(1997-2004 UIS and Household surveys)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

DominicanRepublic

Trinidad andTobago

Guyana Belize Jamaica Cuba Suriname

Per

cen

t

UIS Surveys

Page 45: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Survival rate to grade 5

• The percentage of children entering first grade of primary school who eventually reach grade 5 is calculated as the product of four probabilities:

• the probability that a child in grade 1 eventually reaches grade 2

• the probability that a child in grade 2 eventually reaches grade 3

• the probability that a child in grade 3 eventually reaches grade 4

• the probability that a child in grade 4 eventually reaches grade 5

Page 46: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Example: to calculate the probability that a child in grade 1 eventually reaches grade 2

the number of children who are in 2nd grade of primary school at the time of the survey and who were in 1st grade last year

is divided by:

the number of children who were in 1st grade last year and graduated to 2nd grade or dropped out of school

Page 47: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

12

y 10 y 11

10

y 12

y 12

y 10

11

y 11

y y y

etc.

Not in school

Grade 1

Grade 2

Grade 3 etc.

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Children reaching grade 5

Page 48: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.5• Probability that children who enter grade 1 of

primary school, eventually reach grade 5

Page 49: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.5: Children reaching grade 5Percentage of children entering first grade of primary school w ho eventually reach grade 5, Country,

Year

99.6 99.4 99.5 .0 .0

100.0 99.7 95.6 22.8 21.7

99.1 100.0 98.2 .0 .0

100.0 99.3 91.8 . .

100.0 98.8 100.0 .0 .0

100.0 100.0 99.3 100.0 99.3

100.0 100.0 98.6 .0 .0

99.5 99.7 98.4 .0 .0

100.0 99.5 97.3 51.2 49.6

100.0 100.0 100.0 . .

100.0 100.0 100.0 . .

100.0 99.8 99.7 .0 .0

100.0 100.0 98.8 .0 .0

100.0 100.0 100.0 . .

100.0 100.0 97.1 .0 .0

98.9 98.0 95.2 .0 .0

100.0 100.0 98.5 50.7 50.0

99.7 99.6 99.3 19.0 18.7

100.0 100.0 97.9 .0 .0

100.0 91.9 92.2 . .

100.0 100.0 87.4 . .

. 100.0 . . .

99.8 99.6 97.8 16.1 15.6

Male

Female

Sex

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

None

Primary

Secondary +

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Percentattending2nd grade

who were in1st gradelast year

Percentattending 3rd

grade whowere in 2ndgrade last

year

Percentattending 4th

grade whowere in 3rdgrade last

year

Percentattending5th grade

who were in4th gradelast year

Percent whoreach grade5 of thosewho enter1st grade *

* MICS Indicator 57 ; MDG Indicator 7

Page 50: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Methodological issues • RG5 is an indicator with some degree of difficulty for

both estimation and interpretation• Note that in the current approach we exclude from

our estimation children found to be repeating a grade under the assumption that their probability of dropping from school, repeating again, or promotion to the next grade is included in the other cohorts

• It measures the probability for children starting grade 1 to reach grade 5 and it is based on children that are participating in school

• It is used as a proxy for literacy among children

Page 51: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Net primary completion ratio

Numerator:

Number of children of primary school completion age attending the last grade of primary school

Denominator:

Total number of children of primary school completion age (age appropriate to final grade of primary school) surveyed

Page 52: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Transition rate to secondary

school

Numerator:

Number of children that were in the last grade of primary school during the previous school year that attend secondary school

Denominator:

Total number of children that were in the last grade of primary school during the previous school year surveyed

Page 53: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.6• Generates:

– Net primary school completion ratios– Transition rates to secondary education

Page 54: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.6: Primary school completion and transition to secondary educationPrimary school completion rate and transition rate to secondary education, Country, year

89.0 439 99.2 393

84.6 388 97.9 344

82.5 200 98.5 179

90.6 154 100.0 127

85.1 191 96.9 180

93.5 123 99.0 102

86.1 159 99.3 149

86.9 349 98.1 326

87.0 478 99.0 410

61.1 11 100.0 7

94.4 95 100.0 76

86.3 721 99.0 650

. 0 . 0

. 0 . 0

87.8 145 96.5 130

80.9 135 99.2 144

80.1 162 99.5 161

89.6 200 98.9 158

93.8 185 98.6 144

86.1 568 98.4 503

87.9 163 98.5 147

86.8 13 100.0 15

90.9 84 100.0 72

. 0 . 0

86.9 827 98.6 737

Male

Female

Sex

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

None

Primary

Secondary +

Non-standard curriculum

Mother not in household

Mother'seducation

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Net primaryschool

completionrate *

Number ofchildren of

primaryschool

completionage

Transitionrate to

secondaryeducation **

Number ofchildren whowere in thelast grade of

primaryschool the

previous year

* MICS Indicator 59; MDG Indicator 7b** MICS Indicator 58

Page 55: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Literacy rate

Numerator:

Number of women aged 15-24 years that are able to read a short simple statement about everyday life Denominator:

Total number of women aged 15-24 years surveyed

Page 56: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

SPSS Program

• Generates basic table: ED.8• Percentage of women 15-24 years of age

identified as literate

Page 57: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Table ED.8: Adult literacyPercentage of w omen aged 15-24 years that are literate, Country, year

89.5 .0 785

92.1 .0 591

89.9 .0 754

93.8 .0 451

93.4 .0 644

90.1 .0 1397

92.5 .0 1828

13.2 .0 56

15.8 .0 269

100.0 .0 2899

100.0 .0 1

92.8 .0 1803

89.8 .0 1422

93.6 .0 554

90.9 .0 527

90.7 .0 691

89.9 .0 785

92.8 .0 668

91.1 .0 2235

92.8 .0 611

88.6 .0 47

91.7 .0 329

66.7 .0 3

91.5 .0 3225

Region 1

Region 2

Region 3

Region 4

Region 5

Region

Urban

Rural

Area

None

Primary

Secondary +

Non-standard curriculum

Education

15-19

20-24

Age

Poorest

Second

Middle

Fourth

Richest

Wealthindexquinti les

Language 1

Language 2

Language 3

Other

Missing

Mothertongue

Total

Percentageliterate *

Percentagenot known

Number ofwomen aged15-24 years

* MICS Indicator 60; MDG Indicator 8

Page 58: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Methodological issues • Literacy among women 15-24 years of age is used as

a proxy for adult literacy• It measures the ability to read a few sentences• Its interpretation should be done cautiously • Presents a gender component

Page 59: Education Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys- MICS3 Analysis and Report Writing Workshop Panama City, July 12-20, 2006.

Thank You!


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