Brecht De Smet obtained his Masters in History and Arabic at Ghent
University, Belgium. As a researcher of the Middle East and North
African Research Group of Ghent University, he is working on a PhD in
Political Science with regard to working class subjectivities in
contemporary Egypt. [email protected]
Jelle Versieren obtained his Master in History at Ghent University and is
doing a PhD in Philosophy on labour concepts, theory of value and the
ideology of the common good in medieval economic thought. He also
published on the history of economic theory, value theory, Marxist
philosophy and the history of the Belgian labour movement.
Contradictions of Accumulation and Development in Egypt
Brecht De Smet Ghent University [email protected]
Jelle Versieren Ghent University [email protected]
Abstract
1
In this essay Egypt’s ‘continued halted transition’ to a Western-style free-
market economy is explained from a broad historical perspective of
frustrated capitalist development. Avoiding the reductionism of stage and
dependency theories, the impact of imperialism, internationalisation of
capital, and pre-capitalist structures in retarding economic development
are taken equally into consideration. It is argued that the concept of
‘uneven and combined development’ offers the best framework to
understand the particular nature of capitalism in Egypt. In the first phase
of integration of Egypt in the capitalist world market, which lasted until
the first half of the nineteenth century, Western advanced production
methods and relations were absorbed by the absolutist state, without
affecting the social formation. Only through the era of imperialism,
colonialism and neo-colonialism, which lasted from the second half of the
nineteenth century to the first half of the twentieth century, did capitalist
structures alter Egypt’s social formation. Capitalism existed in
combination with pre-capitalist structures, and this articulation effectively
blocked economic development. During the fifties and sixties of the
twentieth century Nasserite state capitalism was able to break the
deadlock and stimulate development. Attention is paid in detail to both
the transformative character of Nasserism and its contradictions which
led to its stagnation and dissolution. During the 1970s and 1980s the life-
form of state capitalism was superficially extended through a rentier state
2
in collaboration with international and domestic capital groups hostile to
industrialism. From the 1990s onwards, the dismantling of the rentier
economy and its state capitalist shell under the guise of neoliberal reform
revealed its crony-monopolistic substance.
Keywords
Egypt, Nasser, underdevelopment, Trotsky, imperialism, pre-capitalism,
unequal exchange, mode of production, colonialism, uneven and
combined development, state capitalism, capital accumulation
Object and frame of analysis
Capitalism and underdevelopment
In this essay we explain Egypt’s ‘continued halted transition’ to a
Western-style free-market economy from a broad historical perspective
of frustrated capitalist development.1 The history of modern Egypt 1 ‘Economic development’ is defined as the development of the productive forces, encompassing the means of production and human labor power. The systemic relation between the productive forces and the social relations of production, especially ownership, constitutes a mode of production. Capitalism is the historical expansion and dominance of a mode of production which is based on capital accumulation through generalized commodity-production for the market, the commoditization of
3
presents itself as an interesting case study of the obstruction of
development through historical interaction between pre-capitalist and
capitalist structures and agents. Avoiding the reductionism of stage and
dependency theories, the impact of imperialism, internationalisation of
capital, and pre-capitalist structures in retarding economic development
are taken equally into consideration. The asynchronous historical-
geographical emergence of the capitalist mode of production and the
world market posed the problem of how pre-capitalist societies and
modes of production related to their capitalist counterparts and to the
world economy as a whole. In the Marxist and radical economic tradition,
roughly three approaches to this question emerged. Marxists of the
Second and Third International considered the nation state as the
primary unit of analysis. In order to reach socialism, countries should
develop their forces of production. Non-capitalist countries should
experience a transition identical to the West, consisting of a bourgeois
revolution, which would destroy feudalism, establish a parliamentary
democracy, promote free trade and markets, defend private property and
civil rights, and protect the nation’s sovereignty.2 A superficial reading of
Marx seemed to confirm this concept of development and transition: ‘The
country that is more developed industrially only shows, to the less
labor, ‘the concentration of ownership of the means of production in the hands of a class, consisting of only a minor section of society, and the consequential emergence of a propertyless class for whom the sale of their labor-power was their only source of livelihood’ (Dobb 1976, p. 7). Capitalist accumulation brought about a revolution in the development of productive forces.2 Attewel 1984, pp. 215–16, and Townshend 1996, p. 143.
4
developed, the image of its own future … One nation can and should
learn from others … society … can neither leap over the natural phases
of its development nor remove them by decree.’3 Later, with regard to the
Third World, imperialism was recognized as a factor which impeded the
transition to Western-style capitalism.4 Others pointed to the inhibiting
role of domestic merchant capitalists who were unwilling and/or unable to
industrialize their economies.5 In both accounts the problem of
underdevelopment was too little capitalism, either through the
intervention of imperialist or pre-capitalist forces. After the Second World
War adherents of the dependency-school initiated a paradigm-shift by
conceiving of the world capitalist system as the primary unit of analysis.
Peripheral nations suffer underdevelopment through unequal exchange
and their structural location within the world system. Underdevelopment
was perceived as a result of the worldwide development of capitalism.6
While dependency theory and world-system analysis paid attention to the
dynamics of capitalism as a totality, this tradition suffered from
functionalism and reductionism, neglecting the role of class struggle,
modes of production, labour exploitation, and pre-capitalist structures in
defining capitalist reality.7 In their paradigm, the self-motion of capitalism
3 Marx 1990, pp. 91–2.4 Warren 1973.5 Kay 1975.6 Amin 1976; Frank 1969; Wallerstein 1974.7 Chilcote 1981, pp. 4–5.
5
structures the totality according to its own needs.8 One of the main
theoretical obstacles remained ‘... to internally relate the modern state
system and geopolitical competition to capitalism without reducing the
former to an effect of the later.’9 Trotsky’s concept of uneven and
combined development,10 elaborated upon by Mandel11 and more
recently by Rosenberg,12 might be the key to an understanding of
(under)development based on the dialectic between totality and locality,
capitalist and pre-capitalist forms.
Uneven and combined development
Trotsky sees history as a progressive sequence of modes of production,
but with the arrival of capitalism the development of productive forces
acquires a systemic uneven and combined character. The qualitative
difference between the productive forces which capitalism unleashes and
their pre-capitalist counterparts creates a deep dichotomy between
‘advanced’ and ‘backward’ forms. The introduction of the capitalist mode
of production leads to unevenness with prior, non-capitalist modes.
However, nations, institutions and people, do not exist in isolation from
each other; on the contrary, through the world market capitalism 8 Chevalier 1982.9 Allison and Anievas 2010, pp. 47–8.10 Trotsky 2001.11 Mandel 1976.12 Rosenberg 2009 and Rosenberg 2010.
6
universalizes itself, connecting different countries, social spaces and
human life worlds with each other. Advanced and backward social forms
and modes of production are found ‘in combination’; they become part of
the same totality without losing their separate identity. Development is
perceived as an organic process of both the whole (the world market and
the logic of capital) and its parts (states, regions, and modes of
production). Through their relation with the world market, backward
nations can directly appropriate advanced economic forms without
emulating the whole historical trajectory of the Western industrial
countries. This ‘privilege of backwardness’ is only a potentiality;
sometimes more advanced forms are debased when they are embedded
in a backward context, which paradoxically leads to a strengthening of
these backwards conditions rather than revolutionizing them.13
Trotsky would have been in agreement with dependency theory and
world-system analysis that, while the integration of non-capitalist spaces
into the capitalist totality furthered the development of the whole – the
accumulation of capital on a world level – it did not automatically develop
the parts evenly. However, he would have pointed out that the
trajectories of the periphery are not merely ‘blocked’ by its structural
relations with the core capitalist countries. Instead, the concept of
capitalist transition and development encompasses the interpenetration
13 Trotsky 2001, pp. 25–37 and van der Linden 2007.
7
of global production relations and class struggle with particular social
formations, resulting in specific combinations – or articulations, as
Laclau14 argued – of modes of production which impede (or enhance, in
specific cases) a rapid process of capital accumulation. The framework
of uneven and combined development takes as its object of analysis the
concrete and real social formation, while concepts such as mode and
relations of production, capital, and the world system are useful
abstractions which reveal both the universal-systemic logic and the
historical particularities embodied in the social form. Unevenness
determines the combined nature of the social formation, and this
combination in turn often frustrates ‘indigenous’ attempts at capital
accumulation and development. Marx was probably too optimistic when
he stated that the antiquated modes of production are merely passive,
even though they can affect a train of social and political anachronisms.15
Both the capitalist mode of production and pre-capitalist structures shape
the trajectory of social formations.16
Egypt as a historical case study
14 Laclau 1971.15 Marx 1990, p. 91.16 Rey 1973.
8
With regard to Egypt, it is argued that capitalist (under)development went
through different phases, determined by the interplay of domestic and
international forces. In the first phase of integration of Egypt in the
capitalist world market, which lasted from the second half of the
eighteenth century until the first half of the nineteenth century, Western
advanced production methods and relations were absorbed by the
absolutist state, without affecting the social formation and only containing
a very limited productive capacity. Only through the era of imperialism,
colonialism and neo-colonialism, which lasted from the second half of the
nineteenth century to the first half of the twentieth century, did capitalist
forms transform Egypt in a substantial way. Capitalism existed in
combination with pre-capitalist structures, and this articulation effectively
blocked economic development. In the 1950s and 1960s Nasserite state
capitalism was able to break the deadlock and stimulate development.
We pay detailed attention to both the transformative character of
Nasserism and its contradictions which led to its stagnation and
dissolution. During the 1970s and 1980s the life-form of state capitalism
was superficially extended through a rentier state in collaboration with
international and domestic capital groups hostile to industrialism. From
the 1990s onwards, the dismantling of the rentier economy and its state
capitalist shell under the guise of neoliberal reform revealed a crony-
monopolistic substance.
9
Integration into the world market
The pre-capitalist social form
Before we begin discussing Egypt’s historical encounter with capitalism,
its pre-capitalist social form has to be sketched in broad outlines, setting
the stage for the transformations in the nineteenth and twentieth
centuries. The pre-capitalist mode of production in Egypt can be roughly
defined as a tributary system with feudalistic trends.17 The peasant
household controlled and organized its own subsistence production and
consumption. The agricultural surplus was much higher than subsistence
levels thanks to favourable natural and geographical condition. The
surplus product was extracted through taxation and extra labour was
expropriated through sharecropping, corvée and wage labour.18 In
17 Beinin is hesitant to categorize the dominant mode of production of the Ottoman Empire as either tributary or feudal. He discusses the views of Chris Wickham and Hilal Berktay. Beinin (2001) and Wickham (1985) focuses on the method of surplus extraction by the Ottoman state – land tax – which differs fundamentally from European feudalism: rent collection by private landowners. Conversely, Berktay (1987) argues that Ottoman farmers are legal tenants of the state and that tax and rent are for all purposes the same, calling the Ottoman case a form of ‘state feudalism’. In order to resolve the ‘mode of production’ problem, we refer to Neil Davidson’s elegant synthesis of the viewpoint of John Haldon on feudalism and of Samir Amin on absolutism. Haldon posits feudalism as a particular Western form of the more universal tributary mode of production, while Amin sees in absolutism a nascent European form of the tributary mode of production which never matured due to the development of capitalism. (Davidson 2004)18 Beinin 2001 p. 25; Tucker 2005, p. 230. Khafaji however downplays the role of wage labor, because ‘temporary or informal labor force only complimented the enserfed labor power during the seasons of high demand for workforce, like harvest. The migrant or informal labor force was not composed of the landless, but of peasant families whose possessions of land were no longer sufficient for their survival.’ Khafaji 2004, p. 32.
10
general, surpluses were not reinvested in agricultural production, but
flowed directly to the cities which became rich centres of trade, guild
handicrafts, and state administration.19 By the 18th century Egyptian tax
farmers had already gained ownership of their lands due to the
weakness of the Ottoman state.20 The expansion of European markets
between the 1740s and 1815 intensified trade relations between the
Ottoman Empire and the West, incorporating Egypt into the developing
world market.21 The blossoming world trade realized large profits for the
rural elites, stimulating a new urban financial sphere of credit, loans and
banking around landed property, often exploited by religious minorities
who could ignore Islamic sensitivities towards usury and interest. This
new commercial domain gave rise to a merchant-capitalist class in the
cities.22
Independent capitalist development?
Aside from the expansion of the world market, modern geopolitics
stimulated the penetration of capitalist forms in non-capitalist countries.
Military confrontations with the rising European powers forced the
Ottoman Empire and its provincial rulers to raise revenues in order to
19 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 39.20 Cuno 2005, p. 197.21 Beinin 2001, pp. 21–3.22 Richards and Waterbury 2008, pp. 38–40.
11
modernize and expand their armies. At the end of the eighteenth century
the Mamluk chief Murad Bey imposed a state monopoly on customs
collection, and the government purchased and resold a large part of the
wheat crop to pay for its military expenditure. This move anticipated the
policies of Muhammad Ali who defeated the French – who had occupied
Egypt between 1798-180, the Ottomans and the old Mamluk elite. As the
new Pasha was beleaguered by both the West and his former suzerain,
he continued Murad Bey’s attempt to build a modern army, pursuing a
mercantilist policy. In order to gain fiscal autonomy from the landed elite
and destroy local centres of power, he partly adopted the reform program
of the French who had seized tax farms, nationalized agricultural lands,
and supervised guilds. In 1814 private tax farming was abolished. The
reassertion of central state power temporarily blocked the development
of tax farmers into private landholders.23 Peasants kept the usufruct of
their lands, but were obliged to sell their crops directly to the state at low,
set prices. This monopsony allowed the government to trade agricultural
produce with a large profit margin on both local and international
markets. Protectionist measures safeguarded the weak Egyptian
industries (primarily textile and weapon manufacturing) against
competition with Western capitalist countries. Attempts were made at
substituting Western commodities with Egyptian products, anticipating
23 Cuno 2005, p. 198.
12
the import-substitution-industrialization (ISI) policies of the later neo-
colonial and post-colonial state. Through forced conscription labourers
were recruited among the peasants and guild artisans.24 Although there
was development of manufacturing, no significant industrialization
emerged. Manufactures lacked mechanization, social division of labour
and new energy resources.25 Muhammad Ali’s centralized fiscal,
mercantilist, and industrial policies were primarily oriented towards the
needs of the military and the bureaucracy, curtailing the power of urban
guilds and merchant capital. They closely resembled the political
economy of European absolutism and created internal obstructions
towards the development of an indigenous industrial capitalism.26 In
Britain, the historical formation of the capitalist mode of production had
contained the differentiation of industrial, commercial and money/loan
capital. These circuits of capital are intertwined but not necessarily
operating on a national level. In Egypt the new production methods,
technology, and expertise were deliberately introduced and put to work
by an absolutist state with a geopolitical rationale. They did not alter pre-
capitalist exploitation relations, nor did they introduce capitalist relations
of production. The formal subsumption of labour under capital27 was not
24 Owen 2005, pp. 114–15; Tucker 2005, pp. 234–35.25 Beinin 2001, pp. 42–3.26 Khafaji 2004, p. 42.27 The direct supervision of the labour process by capitalists. See Marx 1994, pp. 93–121. Marx designates the transformation of the material and social conditions of production as the ‘real’ subsumption of labour under capital.
13
realized and the proto-capitalist forms did not have the capacity to
transform the Egyptian social form in the direction of industrial capitalism.
28
Imperialism and feudalisation
Meanwhile, the window for an ‘independent road to capitalism’ was
closing. Through the Anglo-Ottoman Commercial Convention (1838) and
the Treaties of London (1840, 1841) the Ottoman Empire and the
European powers successfully blocked Muhammad Ali’s military
expansion and dismissed his protectionist policies. These foreign
interventions can be conceived of as an early imperialist catalyst of
frustrated development in Egypt. The reduction of Egypt’s domestic and
regional markets and the imposed free trade regime created, until the
1930s, external obstacles for an indigenous road to industrial and
capitalist development.29 Muhammad Ali’s successors tried to curtail
European influence by building a strong and independent modern state,
but in so doing they had to rely on foreign capital, which increased their
dependence on the Western financial system. Moreover, their search for
revenues led to the expansion of the profitable export of cotton, which
28 Some researchers maintain that this superficial penetration nonetheless created an embryonic form of transition between feudalism and capitalism – even though empirical evidence to support this case is very limited. Abdel-Malek 1983, p. 122.29 Beinin 2001, pp. 26–27, 45.
14
intertwined Egypt ‘as a producer of cotton and a market for manufactured
goods, with the European economic system’.30 Yet imperialism cannot be
conceived of as the primary factor of a stunted capitalist transition in
Egypt. Foreign intervention against the absolutist state strengthened pre-
capitalist structures and social forces which were already actively
resisting industrial capitalist development.31 Peasant struggles against
conscription and heavy taxation led to a shortage of labour and a decline
of state revenue. In order to increase state income the Pasha granted his
family, military officers, and other clients, state lands in exchange for
advance payment of taxes. In addition, the state wished to reassert its
control over the villages through the authority of an official who placed
villagers in debt bondage until they paid their taxes.32 Between 1865 and
1868 taxes were raised with 70 per cent, which indebted many peasants
and led to a further concentration of agricultural lands.33 In 1871 new tax
reforms made small landholders lose their lands and become an ‘unpaid,
bonded workforce’.34 Peasants were converted into labourers who
received a small plot of land for themselves or who were paid in kind. 35
Tax farming, the delegation of state power to local landlords and the debt
bondage system reinforced feudal relations on the countryside and the
30 Owen 2005, p. 117.31 Cuno 2005, p. 221; Issawi 2005, p. 189; Tucker 2005, p. 232.32 Mitchell 2002, p. 66.33 Beinin 2001, p. 52.34 Mitchell 2002, p. 73.35 Owen 2005, p. 119.
15
concentration of lands into large landholdings.36 Western rural class
relations in the historical transition towards capitalism – husbandry,
freeholders, copyholders, leaseholders, yeomanry – were almost absent
in Egypt.37 Feudal landlords had no drive for capital accumulation and did
not intend to transform the concept of peasant tenure. Only after World
War II did the concept of monetary rent become dominant in the
countryside replacing labour rent and corvée, but even then the level of
rent was not determined by a capitalist logic.38. There was a
transformation of feudal relations, but the landlords did not evolve into a
capitalist gentry class. As the landlord preferred a fixed amount of rent,
the legal framework prohibited the development of capitalist famers;
peasants were not allowed to leave the estate and they had to cover all
costs.39 This encouraged hierarchical relations between landlord and
peasant and secured political power based on clientelist values. The sole
reason why landlords allowed land leasing was a shift in monetary
36 Cuno 2005,p. 198; Khafaji 2004, p. 19–20. Beinin, however, is cautious to link the establishment of private large landholds with a rise of feudalism: ‘But extraction of surplus was based on private ownership of the means of production, production of commodities for a market, commodification of labor, rational calculation of profits, a tendency toward capital accumulation, and bureaucratically supervised large-scale enterprises.’ Beinin 2001, p. 53. He describes the dominant social form as ‘backward colonial capitalism’ and uses the term of ‘agrarian bourgeoisie’ to denote the large landholders. Beinin and Lockman 1987. However, on other occasions he states that there was no development towards capitalism in Egypt, despite the existence of cash-crop farming, markets, and money. Beinin 2001, pp. 11–2. Furthermore, there was ‘little investment, even by wealthy landowners, in either mechanization or in other means of raising productivity.’ Beinin and Lockman 1987, p. 9.37 Katz 1989, pp. 128–141; Dobb 1976, pp. 50–62; Takahashi 1982, pp. 82–7.38 The landlord received monetary rent, but the peasant calculated his share and necessary costs in kind. The landlord was very reluctant to invest, because he perceived this as a loss of his fixed share. Khafaji 2004, p. 39. The landlord combined his monetary preferences with the dissolution of the demesnes into small tenure parcels. The outcome was low productivity and the absence of labor-saving techniques.39 Khafaji 2004, p. 37.
16
interests. Landlords became more involved in commercial activities and it
was easier to manage small parcels than one big demesne. The principle
of non-capitalist rent remained firmly in place, inhibiting productivity.
Before the advent of colonialism the transition towards capitalism in
Egypt was blocked, not only by foreign intervention, or its structural
location within the world system, but also by the active resistance of pre-
capitalist structures and forces. The Great Depression of 1873-96 led to
a global decline of prices for agricultural produce which caused the
bankruptcy of several Ottoman provinces. Their inability to pay debts
instigated European intervention in their internal financial affairs. In 1876
the Caisse de la Dette Publique was established to oversee Egypt’s
treasury. In order to secure its financial grip, Great Britain had to
intervene directly in Egypt’s politics. In 1882 British troops occupied
Egypt to quell the Urabi revolt against foreign domination.40 This marked
the beginning of the colonial era.
Colonial and neo-colonial accumulation
Colonial rule
40 Owen 2005, pp. 119–120.
17
Under British colonialism, a decentralized feudalist mode of production
was strengthened by the dissolution of absolutist rule and the
reorientation of the agrarian economy towards monoculture production of
cotton for international markets. Local landlords usurped a large share of
central government power to deepen their control over the estates.41
Cultivating cotton required large estates and stimulated bimodalism in
the countryside: ‘a land-tenure system that combines a small number of
owners holding very large estates with a large number of owners holding
very small farms.’42 Colonialism did not abolish feudalism in the
countryside because it was more profitable for foreign capital. 43Rural
landlords, urban merchants, and the colonial state had identical interests:
the provision of agricultural goods to international markets. Hence, the
dominant mode of production remained feudal, as merchant capital and
landlords kept their positions as local and national elites in the Egyptian
social formation. On the other hand, through the instrument of the
colonial state, foreign industrial and finance capital forcefully introduced
the capitalist mode of production in Egypt. In the early 1870s Khedive
(viceroy) Ismail had implemented a modest industrialization program,
establishing some 40 state owned enterprises. The state bankruptcy of 41 Wickham 1985, p. 18042 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 177.43 This stands in contrast to the dominant opinion among Egyptian Marxist historians in the 1950s and 60s, who claimed that Egypt had a typical colonial, capitalist economy with a prominent export-orientated agricultural sector. Abdel-Malek 1970, p. 279
18
1876 led to their destruction or sale to foreign firms. From then on the
initiative of industrialization shifted to foreign corporations and the
mutamassirun, foreign capitalists living in Egypt.44 Foreign capital
introduced the capitalist mode of production, but de-industrialized most
of the indigenous manufactures, preparing the Egyptian markets for an
influx of European commodities.45 The industrializing role of the colonial
state was restricted to the creation of large-scale transport,
communication, service and (some) manufacturing enterprises, which
generated a modern urban working class existing side by side with the
traditional guild craftsmen. The capitalist mode of production and the
colonial state administration produced their own layer of Gramscian
organic intellectuals: the effendiyya, a group of modern middle class
professionals, engineers, journalists, lawyers, teachers, and bureaucrats
with a nationalist and Western outlook.46
The failure of national industrialism
During the economic crisis of 1906-08, global prices of cotton dropped.
Some large landowners realized that monoculture production posed risks
and that the base of their wealth should be diversified with other
44 Beinin 2001, p. 68.45 Khafaji 2004, p. 41.46 Beinin 2001, p. 71; Richards and Waterbury 2008, pp. 40–1, 123.
19
economic activities. Merchant capital had regained its former socio-
economic position, and partly became commercial capital engaged in
loan activities, real estate speculation, and intermediary trade.
Landowners, attracted by the large profit margin, invested in these
activities. Both classes became aware that foreign capital appropriated a
piece of the surplus value, which became a conflict of interests.
Landlords and merchants organized the nationalist opposition against
the colonial regime, supported by the effendiyya and the modern working
class.47 In 1922 the British unilaterally declared Egypt independent, but
they kept control over the Suez Canal and Egypt’s defence, foreign
affairs and minority policy. The political system was transformed into a
constitutional monarchy. The feudal lords gained more power, but the
king, supported by the British, asserted himself as the most powerful
political actor without the characteristics of the old absolutism.
Imperialism was not defeated, but considerably weakened, creating
opportunities for domestic capital to embark on a project of capitalist
industrialization. In 1920 nationalist landowners provided the capital for
the founding of an independent, Egyptian bank with the explicit goal of
establishing an indigenous industrial sector. Industry would diversify their
sources of income and break the domination of foreign finance capital.48
Bank Misr concentrated its funds on low value-added cotton production, 47 Beinin 2001, pp. 46–7, 72; Farah 2009, p. 28.48 Beinin and Lockman 1987, p. 10–1.
20
establishing industries such as the Misr Spinning and Weaving Company
which became at the end of World War II the largest industrial complex of
the Middle East. Peasants were recruited and transformed into industrial
wage workers.
At this juncture, the ‘privilege of backwardness’ could have catapulted
Egypt into the era of advanced industrial capitalism. Political
developments such as the 1936 Anglo-Egyptian Treaty and the abolition
of Capitulations in 1937 allowed the Egyptian state to implement
protectionist measures to protect its budding national industry. The
decline of European exports to the Middle East because of the crisis of
the 1930s generated a larger market for domestic firms.49 However, Misr
Industries was unable to transform the Egyptian economy. First, the
privilege of backwardness only applies when a society is able to use the
most advanced forms available in order to skip the intermediate stages of
development. In Egypt the imported machines were out-dated, which
rendered its industry less productive and more labour intensive than its
international competitors. Low labour costs did not raise incentives to
increase efficiency.50 Secondly, Bank Misr was not strong enough to
compete with foreign capital. Even though Egyptian capitalists played an
important role in the industrialization process of the 1930s and 1940s, 49 Beinin and Lockman 1987, p. 257.50 Beinin and Lockman 1987, p. 259; Beinin 2001, p. 111.
21
foreign and mutamassir capital remained the chief protagonists of
capitalist development. Their industries were better established and they
often controlled monopolies and semi-monopolies. Misr Industries was
not profitable enough and declined sharply. In the late 1930s Bank Misr
entered into joint ventures with British enterprises, as they possessed the
keys to the world market, subordinating its national character to foreign
capital. The layer of feudal landlords engaged with Egyptian industries
had become a particular kind of bourgeoisie, but there was no
fundamental differentiation between landed, financial, commercial, and
industrial interests, nor was there a clear break with foreign and
mutamassir capital. The largest share of Egyptian capital was still
controlled by feudal landlords and directed towards the foreign and
mutamassir-dominated cotton market.51 Thirdly, World War II stimulated
industrial production but re-oriented industries towards the needs and
demands of foreign markets. The end of the war lowered foreign demand
and plunged Egyptian industries into crisis causing high rates of
unemployment and raising the cost of living. The crisis increased the
centralisation of land ownership.52 Landlords were even more inclined to
invest in their landholdings than industrial production.
51 Beinin and Lockman 1987, pp. 11–4, p. 264, 449.52 Ansari 1986, p. 26.
22
The failure of indigenous industrial capital and the rise of landed, money-
lending, and merchant capital illustrates that Egypt in the first half of the
twentieth century was not a nation in transition to capitalism, but a pre-
capitalist society in crisis.53 Colonialism and imperialism had buttressed
feudalism instead of stimulating the full development of a capitalist mode
of production. This reinforced the uneven and combined nature of the
Egyptian social formation and gave birth to a fragmented and dependent
bourgeoisie which lacked the political will to resist both feudalism and
imperialism, even when it was in its own objective interests. Instead of
dissolving feudal relations, capitalism added a new layer of social
contradictions to Egyptian society. No social force was able to become
hegemonic and exert leadership over the other classes. The effendiyya
wanted national independence, civil democracy, and modernization, but
the industrial bourgeoisie was too dependent on the feudal lords, and
merchant and foreign capital to lead a national-democratic revolution.
The working class was small, relatively inexperienced and unorganized,
isolated from the peasantry and it lacked a unified leadership with a clear
class point of view.54 Up to 1952 various strikes, protests, riots and
insurrections destabilized the regime. Both the old feudal order and new
capitalist contenders were too weak to support a stable political platform,
which induced a military coup led by Nasser. 53 Khafaji 2004, p. 56.54 Beinin and Lockman 1987, p. 455.
23
State capitalist accumulation
Popular bonapartism
After the coup, the Free Officers of the Revolutionary Command Council
(RCC) formulated a classic program of national-democratic demands:
democracy; social justice; the abolishment of feudalism; establishment of
a strong national army; and full national independence. They mobilized
the state apparatus against both the feudal landlords and the working
class, displaying a clear tendency towards Bonapartism.55 Already in
September 1952 the new regime initiated a land reform capping land
size to (a generous) 200 feddans per owner (300 for a family). Some 15
per cent of cultivable lands was redistributed. Other measures included
an agricultural minimum wage, tenancy reforms, and limiting rents to
seven times the land tax. The most important reform for small peasants
was the implementation of perpetual tenancy at controlled rents.56 The
land reforms were a political weapon, aimed at mobilizing peasant
55 In the Eighteenth Brumaire of Louis Napoleon (1852) Marx analyzed the class stalemate which characterized the Second French Empire. In order to ‘solve’ the class struggle state power acquired a relative independence from both the bourgeoisie and the proletariat. The concept of ‘Bonapartism’ came to denote state autonomisation and agency. However, the acknowledgment of state autonomisation does not an sich reveal the class nature of a regime, nor its dominant mode of production.56 Beinin 2001, p. 132, 162.
24
support for the regime and weakening the royal family – the biggest
landowner – through expropriation.57 The regime pacified the workers’
movement through social reform, violence, and corporatist integration.
The liquidation of the political leadership of the working class was
combined with unilateral social and economic concessions regarding
wages, benefits, job security, and healthcare. State controlled institutions
of collective bargaining were strengthened, but independent class
mobilization was repressed.58 While the members of the RCC came from
a petty-bourgeois background59, the class base of the Nasserite regime
became from its inception “popular”, consisting of small peasants, urban
petty producers and the industrial working class. In March 1954 a
general strike in favour of Nasser defeated his political opponents and
made him the strongman of the regime.60
The rise of state capitalism
Between 1954 and 1960 the Nasserite state acted in all regards as the
diligent guardian of its national industrial bourgeoisie.61 The regime
cultivated a legal climate which lowered corporate taxes and encouraged
foreign investment. Protectionist measures were relaxed and public-57 Mitchell 2002, p. 43.58 Bayat 1993, p. 68; Clément 2009, p. 103.59 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 127.60 Beinin and Lockman 1987, pp. 437–43.61 Johnson 1973, p. 4.
25
private committees were established to guide the economic development
of the nation. However, neither the West nor the indigenous capitalists
were interested in industrial investments. Between 1950 and 1956
private investments dropped by 300 per cent.62 Step by step the regime
was forced to take the economic initiative in order to overcome the
decrease in investments. Economic development was perceived as a
condition for political sovereignty. Instead of accumulation-driven
development by private actors – where the quantitative and qualitative
growth of the productive forces is an unintended result of capital
accumulation, the Egyptian economy was characterized by an intentional
process of development-driven accumulation by the state. The state
tapped into three sources for the original accumulation which had to
ignite state-led industrialization: agriculture, foreign aid, and, ultimately,
the sequestration of private capital.
The Nasserite intervention in the rural sector aimed to increase
productivity and free capital through land reform. A rise of agricultural
productivity could only be realized if the feudal rent-system was
abolished, paving the way for small capitalist farmers who would raise
productivity in order to generate profit. Through taxes the state could
seize the surplus and reinvest it in the industrial sector. In addition, real
62 Farah 2009, p. 33.
26
wages in other sectors would rise if agricultural goods became cheaper.
Distributional policies could only be successful if wages were no longer
determined by these agricultural goods, otherwise inflation and lower real
wages were inevitable.63 However, there was no emergence of a
significant rural capitalist class and the land reforms and the heavy
taxation of agriculture had undesirable side-effects, limiting the amount
of surplus extracted from rural areas.64 Furthermore, state industries and
the public sector at large could only expand by a consistent unequal
exchange with the agricultural sector. The regime replaced the control
and surplus extraction of the feudal landlords with centralized
cooperatives which ‘became the principal instrument for channelling
resources out of agriculture toward industrial projects.’65 Even though, in
general, land productivity did not rise significantly, a part of former feudal
rents were invested in industrial activities.66 The local political influence of
rich landowners did not diminish, although elements from the former
middle peasantry obtained a higher social and political status. These
groups in fact controlled the cooperatives and relegated state credits to
help expand their own property.67
63 Sawyer 1985, p. 215.64 Large landholders were allowed to sell the lands which exceeded the 200 faddan limit, benefiting wealthy peasants who became a new class of rural rich, controlling the cooperatives. Heavier taxation of some crops led to a reallocation of peasant resources to other crops. These distortions amounted to 30 per cent of agricultural GDP. Richards and Waterbury 2008, pp. 159–61.65 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 159.66 Mitchell 2002, p. 226.67 Dyer 1997, pp. 87–9.
27
The consolidation of the bipolar world order weakened imperialism as an
inhibiting factor on Egyptian development. Geopolitically motivated
foreign aid and economic assistance from the superpowers stimulated
the influx of capital and advanced forms of technology and expertise into
the Egyptian social formation. The construction of the Aswan High Dam,
which would supply the young Egyptian industry with energy, illustrates
the combined role of foreign capital and the Egyptian state in overcoming
the passivity of its indigenous industrial class. At first, the regime tried to
convince domestic private partners to invest in the project through public-
private council committees. Their reluctance forced the state to look for
foreign capital injections. A World Bank loan was blocked by the US
because of the Egyptian-Czechoslovakian arms deal in 1954. Eventually,
in 1957 and 1958 Egypt received loans and know-how from the Soviet
Union to build the High Dam.68 Ironically, the state lost its proclaimed
new sovereignty with the import of more foreign industrial and finance
capital which was necessary to overcome the obstacles for economic
development. However, in the second half of the fifties and during the
sixties this dependence was counterbalanced with new sources of
accumulation through nationalisation. The sequestration of foreign
capital after the Suez Crisis of 1956 enabled the state to embark on an
68 Farah 2009, pp. 33–5.
28
industrial plan which aimed to build a basic industry. In 1959 the First
Five-Year Plan for the whole economy was formulated. An anti-Nasserite
bourgeois revolt in Syria and the disinclination of the private sector to
support the Five-Year Plan led to the Socialist Decrees of 1961, through
which, at once, large-scale industry, banking, insurance, foreign trade,
utilities, marine transport, airlines, many hotels and department stores
were nationalized. The Plan established the public sector as the
dominant industrial producer and investor and it pursued an ISI strategy.
The Egyptian textile sector spearheaded the ISI, creating a domestic
demand for spinning and weaving machinery, which in turn needed
locally produced iron and steel.
The Nasserite phase temporarily created space for state-led
accumulation and the development of the productive forces in Egypt.
State capitalism proved to be the most efficient way to appropriate and
reorient pre-capitalist social relations of production. A rapid
industrialization aimed at reorganizing the social formation in order to
attain a high rate of accumulation. In this regard the Nasserite program
showed some similarities with Soviet industrialization: an extensive
growth path, the creation of an industrial labour force, and the integration
of the circuits of capital. According to Chattopadhyay,69 an extensive
69 Chattopadhyay 1994.
29
growth path is the logical road for backward countries which lack
advanced technology and try to catch up with the rate of accumulation in
the Western world. It is based on the absolute accumulation of capital, by
significantly raising the quantity of labour under conditions of unchanged
methods of production. Nasser still had to realize the formal subsumption
of labour under capital through the imposition of wage-labour, capitalist
relations of production and the monetization of all factors of production,70
which are fundamental prerequisites for the capitalist mode of production
to develop.71 State intervention encouraged the proletarianisation of the
migrant surplus population caused by the rural exodus commencing at
the end of the nineteenth century. While the process of the formal
subsumption of labour was still in progress, the Nasserite government
started with the real subsumption of labour under capital – the
transformation of the labour process and the methods of production –
through massive industrialization efforts. The process of real
subsumption could not be realized without the import of foreign
technology and the training of personnel. Once the new production
methods were set in motion, the extensive growth path based upon a
quantitative expansion of production guided the accumulation of capital.
Under Nasserite state capitalism the technical composition of capital did
not undergo significant changes, even though the state implemented 70 Chevalier 1982.71 Ashman 2009, 35.
30
new techniques of production by a new ‘social combination of labour’.72
This change in the organization of labour encompassed the
concentration and reorientation of the amount of labour power and
implied the steady integration of the circuits of capital. Under the banner
of modernization the integration of capital, circuits became interwoven
with the reproduction of social relations and the methods of production.
The transformative character of Nasserite state capitalism soon reached
its limits, however. While the First Five-Year Plan was a success, growth
rates almost halved during the Second Five-Year Plan (1965-70).73 At the
end of the ‘sixties Egypt plunged into recession, which, exacerbated by
the war in Yemen (1963-67) and the Six Day War with Israel (1967)
turned into a Gramscian organic crisis of the Nasserite system.
Crisis of state-led development
The primary cause of the crisis was the particular nature of the process
of real subsumption of labour under capital in Egypt. Real subsumption
was introduced from without, as a series of measures by state power,
instead of being the spontaneous outcome of a historic process. The
state-led industrial program was aimed at socio-economic justice by a
‘populist consumption policy’, and modernization by the ‘investment 72 Chattopadhyay 1994, p. 37.73 Farah 1986, p. 98.
31
demands of developmentalism’.74 The introduction of industrial
technology and expertise was conceived of as a one-shot injection of
advanced forms into the Egyptian economy, and not as a continuing
process. Capitalism, however, is not a motor which can be kicked into
motion and then left alone: ‘… once capital makes the transition from the
stage of formal to that of real subsumption of labor on the basis of a
change in the earlier method of production, the latter can remain
stationary over a period.’75 In order to enhance the rate of accumulation,
Egypt’s new industries were capital-intensive, requiring capital imports,
but they lacked the capacity to export competitive commodities. The
negative trade balance had to be compensated for with foreign loans. If
we accept the Kaleckian analysis of a developmental economy, a high
rate of profit was not feasible because the ‘populist consumption policy’
was based upon widening the wage share of national income, which
would burden the expansion of effective demand. This in turn would slow
down the rate of accumulation (the ratio between new investments to
advanced constant and variable capital) and lower the rate of profit,
undermining the ‘investment demands of developmentalism’.76 From
1965 onwards it became obvious that the economic system could not
sustain both capital-intensive industrialization and high levels of
74 Cooper 1979, pp. 482–83.75 Chattopadhyay 1994, p. 35.76 Sawyer 1985, pp. 216–17.
32
consumption.77 Rural capitalism, for its part, never took off. A low
productivity in the agricultural sector interfered with the extended
reproduction of the departments of the means of production and the
means of consumption. Heavy taxation of the rural surplus and the
lowering rate of investment weakened the purchasing power of the
peasant households which were not able to buy back domestically
produced consumer goods. It also made agricultural exports less
profitable.
The hampering of capital-intensive industrialization effectively
undermined the strategy of extraction of relative surplus-value which
entails continuous technological innovation and increased productivity.
The two other extraction options, reducing wages and increasing the
work day, revealed a contradiction between the class nature of the
Bonapartist regime and its state capitalist logic of accumulation. The
industrial-capitalist ambitions of the regime implied a rationale of labour
discipline, high productivity, and low wages in order to extract value and
accumulate capital which could be used for development goals.
However, this went against the direct interests of its social base –
peasants, workers, and modern urban professionals – which required
workers control (or at least real participation), reduction in working-hours,
77 Beinin and Lockman 1987, p. 459.
33
and high wages. The introduction of workers’ participation and co-
management had the objective of integrating the working class into the
national project, softening class contradictions, and raising productivity.
The trade union leadership and the workers’ representatives were
absorbed into the state bureaucracy.78 As the corporatist consensus put
job security and full employment high on the agenda, industrial
productivity was fettered by a high ratio of variable capital, rising fixed
costs and under-capacity.
The curtailing of the private sector and the establishment of a dominant
public sector encouraged in the long run the formation of private capital
groups. Disposable income of elite bureaucrats was redirected to private
income.79 Without democratic control, the powerful state bureaucracy
increasingly gained the subjectivity of an independent ruling class,
treating the ‘public’ sector as its own property.80 However, as a
bureaucracy cannot reproduce itself legally as a private class, it has to
find footholds outside the ‘public’ sphere to safeguard its private
interests.81 This was the material basis of an objective alliance between
state bureaucracy and private capital. While Nasserite Bonapartism had
weakened the old ruling classes, it had not destroyed the economic base
78 Bayat 1993, p. 70–4.79 Khafaji 2004, p. 251.80 Farah 2009, p. 36, 76.81 Richards and Waterbury 2008, 207–9.
34
of landlords, commercial and industrial capital. The landed elite had lost
land, but was able to continue its domination of the countryside through
its traditional networks and the new government cooperatives. As
domestic trade was left relatively free and prices of consumer goods
were only influenced through subsidies, commercial capital flourished.82
The industrial bourgeoisie found new sectors to accumulate capital,
especially as subcontractors for the government. Without the liquidation
of the private sector, the growth of the state sector stimulated a
proportional expansion of the subcontracting companies.83 Nasserite
state capitalism was transitional because in the long run it had ‘an
inherent tendency to divert resources to private hands ... and therefore it
paved the road for economic liberalisation irrespective of the intentions of
its political leaders.’84 This explains the dual trend of state bureaucracy
developing into a private bourgeoisie and of existing private capital
(re)capturing state power over the next two decades.
In conclusion, the dual and interconnected forces of popular Bonapartism
and state capitalism were able to break open the neo-colonial social and
economic deadlock and, to a degree, develop the productive forces. The
nature of this configuration, however, was instable and self-contradictory.
82 Cooper 1979, p. 499.83 Khafaji 2004, p. 247.84 Khafaji 2004, p. 241.
35
Without full abolishment of the private sector, the liquidation of the old
ruling classes, and popular democracy the regime was caught between
the logic of accumulation and the interests of its class base. The choice
was between, on the one hand, a democratization of the state and the
complete nationalisation of the economy, and, on the other, economic
privatizations and the integration of the state elite with old and new
private capital groups into a new ruling coalition.
Towards a rentier economy
Open Door Policy
The regime was reluctant to cut consumption after a brief and much
contested experiment in 1965.85 Nasserite Bonapartism then turned to
the left to outbalance rightist layers of the state bureaucracy and their
bourgeois allies who called for economic liberalisation. However, the
defeat of Egypt in the Six Day War weakened Nasser’s position and
halted the leftist turn. The state fell back on its core actors: the state, the
bureaucratic and technocratic middle classes, and the army.86 After
Nasser’s death in 1970 the Nasserite political superstructure had 85 Farah 1986, p. 98–9.86 Cooper 1979, p. 515.
36
become an obstacle for President Anwar Sadat’s rightist policies and
during the ‘Corrective Revolution’ of 1971-72 the state apparatus was
cleansed of the influence of Marxists and Nasserists. Soviet advisors
were ousted. Sadat leaned on the bourgeoisie and the landed elite to
crush his political opponents. In exchange for their support, Sadat
reverted some of the Nasserite reforms. Large landowners were able to
reclaim their sequestered lands and agricultural rents were raised for the
first time since 1952. Private companies were legally protected against
nationalisation, public-private enterprises were regulated as private
instead of public companies, and a number of ‘free economic zones’
were created which offered beneficial labour and tax conditions for
foreign investors. The October War of 1973 improved Sadat’s nationalist
credentials in the short term, and allowed him in the long term to
negotiate a separate peace with Israel, switch sides in the bipolar world
order, and become a loyal client state of the USA. In 1974 Sadat
announced the ‘Infitah’ (Open Door Policy), a program of economic and
political liberalisation and reintegration in the capitalist world market,
aimed at attracting foreign investment. Sadat’s Corrective Revolution and
Infitah were weapons of a bourgeois-Bonapartist counter-coup, directed
against the Nasserite bureaucracy and a rising popular left which
37
mobilized, for the first time since 1952, students and workers in mass
street politics.87
Already in the second half of the 1970s it became clear that the Open
Door Policy faced huge economic and political obstacles. In general, the
Infitah failed to attract direct foreign investment, and international capital
was mainly interested in the service sectors and not in industry.88 This
should come as no surprise, as foreign capital was invited on the
demands of the old commercial capital, loan capital and landed property,
halting industrial development. Industrial capital had to compete with an
alliance between commercial and foreign capital. Commercial capital was
not interested in revolutionizing production, but followed the principle of
‘buying cheap, selling dear’ through investment in trade, speculation, and
by controlling local markets, real estate and petty production units.
Commercial capital could maintain its important position because it
mediated between foreign capital and local selling places. Monopoly
prices of high technological commodities typically lower the rate of profit
for industrial capital, but commercial capital received a share of the
prices through its distribution of international commodities. The fractions
of the new bourgeoisie class which did not control trade networks
suffered under monopoly prices of foreign multinationals and the 87 Bayat 1993, pp. 77–8; Farah 1986, 22–4; Lachine 1977, 4–5.88 Farah 1986, p. 114.
38
domestic public sector and had to align their production with the interests
of the dominant classes. The entwinement of unequal exchange and
failed industrialization had far-reaching consequences: there was a
continued absolute advantage for foreign capital with monopoly power as
multinationals have a higher amount of constant capital, making the
production process more efficient and lowering the value of commodities.
In a free-trade neoliberal regime the amount of investment required to
compete with foreign capital is considerable; thus technological
development is precarious. Without the backing of the state, the lack of
labour-saving techniques and technological investments, and the political
undesirability of a higher rate of exploitation Egypt’s industries became
even more dependent on foreign capital. There was no coherent chain of
production as every capital-intensive industrial activity implied a further
reliance on the system of multinational monopoly prices. In 1976 the
government entered a deal with the IMF to reduce subsidies of consumer
goods in order to decrease state deficit. This led to a spontaneous
uprising in January 1977 of workers and urban lower-middle classes
which temporarily halted the liberalisation process.89 Despite the failure
of the ISI-model, the fiscal crisis and the end of the Nasserite consensus,
until the mid-1980s the public sector continued to expand and the regime
sustained its redistributive polices.90 State capitalism had given up its 89 Beinin 2001, p. 157.90 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 190.
39
industrializing ambitions, but it was able to prolong its life-form through
an accumulation of non-productive revenues or ‘rents’.91
Dynamics of a rentier economy
Throughout the Nasserite ‘economic cycle’ total profits had continuously
increased, although the rate of profit declined during its final years. The
Nasserite initiation of real subsumption triggered an expansion of
absolute surplus-value extraction: longer working hours, intensification of
the labour process and lower wages. Between 1975 and 1985 Egypt’s
economy grew with an impressive average of 8 per cent. However, this
growth was not an expression of the development of productive forces,
but a reflection of an increasing share of rents in the national income:
remittances of Egyptian migrants working in the Gulf countries, tariffs of
the Suez Canal, tourism, oil, foreign loans and aid. Sadat’s Infitah did not
revolutionise the extraction of relative surplus-value. The productive
sectors were neglected, which actually led to a deindustrialization of the
country, to increasing unemployment (from 2.2 per cent in 1960 to 11 per
cent in 1986), and to a decrease of average real wages (from 70 dollars
in 1980 to 11 dollars in 1991). High inflation rates (an average of 25-30
91 Richards and Waterbury define economic rent as ‘… the difference between the market price of a good or a factor of production and its opportunity cost (the price needed to produce the good or to keep the factor of production in its current use).’ Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 15
40
per cent per annum) undermined real economic growth.92 Rents were not
invested in industry or agriculture but were spent on imports and
subsidies of consumer goods.93 The very high long-term rate of interest
blocked any change in the pace of the industrial-technical process.94 The
technical composition of capital did not change as the new bureaucratic
owners of the factories were still able to generate profits. There was a
stabilisation of the rate of profit and a temporary upsurge of the rate of
exploitation, even though the rate of accumulation was stationary. The
rate of investment declined because profits were not used to secure
capital productivity. In fact, factory owners now had their own source of
rent. The rentier economy was based upon a fuse between a profit and a
rental logic. Formally the new owners acted as industrial capitalists, but
in practice their primary goal was to obtain rent. In the short run, this
resulted in a rise of GDP, but it also had an impact on the law of value,
preparing the way for Mubarak’s regime of accumulation. A major
problem of the mingling of the logic of profit and rent was the growing
lack of effective demand which indicated a shift towards a stationary
state economy. Kalecki points out that this trend accelerates when
rentier savings in industrial activities are growing exponentially.95 The
incentive to invest, conditioned by the rate of profit and the accumulation
92 Farah 2009, pp. 39–41.93 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 223.94 Sawyer 1989, p. 27895 Kalecki 1991, p. 335.
41
process (social and technological), was absent in this steady state
economy. Although the availability of money capital to finance the
relative surplus value extraction was abundant, the blending of a profit
and rental logic limited Egypt’s options to overcome this economic
stagnation. In the end the choice was between eliminating the rental
logic or unearthing new sources of rent.
Rentier capitalism fortified both state and private capitalist actors as the
rents were accumulated and distributed centrally through the state,
encouraging clientelist relations, while private capital often entered the
rent distribution process through subcontracts and the black market.96
This process affected changes within the Egyptian power bloc, as a
position within the bureaucratic machine was no longer the only route to
obtain economic profit. Class fractions outside the state apparatus were
able to buy political positions, becoming a new political force within the
state elite.97 In addition, a sizeable part of rents escaped state control
and were absorbed by the Islamic banks and investment companies,
fuelling the economic activities of a rising ‘Islamic’ bourgeoisie which
consisted mostly of landed, merchant, and financial capital.98
96 Farah 1986, p. 115; Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 17.97 Brouwer 1995, p. 7798 Beinin 2005, pp. 121–23; Mitchell 2002, 278.
42
Egypt’s industrial bourgeoisie remained weak because it had to compete
on an unequal footing with an objective alliance between foreign capital
and domestic landed and commercial capital. Post-Nasserite Egypt
became integrated in the trade network of multinational industrial and
finance capital and welcomed the influx of commodities as a consumer
market. Export was mainly based on raw materials and cheap
commodities which reinforced the dominant position of landed property.
Together with commercial capital large landowners engaged in
speculative activities. These economic factions had no intention to invest
in industrial sectors, as the combination of high rental income and real
estate property granted higher revenues. Most surplus value still existed
in the form of rent, interest, speculation in politicized land markets or
commercial income. In 1982 only 20 per cent of total new capital was
invested in manufacturing activities.99 Furthermore, non-industrial
activities tend to flourish under a high interest rate, while industrial capital
needs cheap loans. Industrial capital prefers to invest in constant capital
to reduce the cost of wages, but concurrently it has to produce for
commercial capital at a low rate of profit. Commercial capital and foreign
capital only accept industrial activity with low wages, which is
contradictory to the wishes of industrial capital to invest in technology.
Commercial capital requires low scale activity; industrial capital needs
99 Khafaji 2004, p. 278.
43
centralization. Rapid industrialization would have undermined the
economic and political strength of landed and commercial capital.100
The outcome was a very low rate of accumulation, low wages and a low
rate of profit in the industrial sectors. This caused a structural lack of
effective demand and class polarization.101 Even a higher level of
investment in the public sector would not have drastically augmented the
purchasing power of the working class. The wages in the industrial sector
in the post-Nasserite period declined commensurable with the stagnant
growth of value added activities. Under Nasser there was a relative
trade-off between industrial growth and equity because the state
interfered in the redistribution of national income. In the post-populist
period the amount of profit rose without an accelerated rate of
accumulation. This rate of accumulation is driven by stepping up the rate
of exploitation (the ratio of surplus-value to variable capital). Profits can
rise because of a ‘Ricardian steady state’: profits are higher because
wages are lower. A substantial part of the surplus-value went to rent and
speculation without being redistributed by taxation. Rental revenues
were high because the agricultural sector was still based on rising rents
without any additional investment. Land speculation became a common
feature, but contrary to Western agricultural capital the formal 100 Khafaji 2004,p. 73.101 Farah 1986, pp. 29–30.
44
appropriation of land cannot be regarded as solely a financial asset.102 It
also remained a political force.
Through a reliance on rents and an alliance with foreign financial and
domestic merchant and landed capital the regimes of Sadat and
Mubarak blocked the development of productive forces in Egypt. While
state capitalism maintained its form of state-led accumulation, it lost its
real content of accumulation-driven development. The heritage of state
capitalism turned the higher bureaucratic echelons into a gateway of
business opportunities, as they offered valuable networks and reinvested
their funds into diverse productive and non-productive private activities.
The main goal of the ‘Infitah-bourgeoisie’ was the appropriation of
economic and political influence within the matrix of transitional
structures. The rentier phase slowly transformed collapsing state
capitalism into a defragmented unity of dependent crony-monopoly
capitalism.
Disintegration of state capitalism
Towards a new regime of accumulation
102 Harvey 1982, p. 21.
45
By the mid1980s the foundations of the rentier economy were eroded.
The global fall in oil prices decreased Egypt’s oil earnings and migrant
workers’ remittances, as labour demand in the Gulf countries declined.
Terrorist incidents in 1985 and 1986 damaged the lucrative tourist sector.
National debt rose to more than 38 billion USD in foreign obligation and
the budgetary deficit increased to over 20 per cent.103 The end of rentier
capitalism and the unwillingness of the regime and the various capital
groups to invest in the productivity of agriculture and industry
necessitated a new regime of accumulation which drove up the rate of
exploitation. However, a resurgence of workers’ actions and strikes in the
1980s, the resistance of the corporatist labour bureaucracy, and the
prudence of the Mubarak regime postponed harsh measures until the
beginning of the 1990s.104 The fiscal crisis of the early ‘nineties, induced
by Egypt’s inability to pay its military debts forced Mubarak to accept an
IMF imposed Economic Reform and Structural Adjustment Program
(ERSAP) inspired by the neoliberal Washington Consensus.105 The goal
of the ERSAP was to minimize inflation and foreign debt, through cuts in
the public sector, state subsidies, and government expenses,
privatizations of state enterprises, wage freezes, liberalisation of
103 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 225.104 Beinin 2001, p. 159.105 Mitchell 2002, p. 276.
46
domestic and foreign trade, commercialization of agricultural lands, and a
flat tax. The ERSAP was used as an excuse to strengthen the position of
private capital at the expense of labour, which resulted in a heightened
class struggle of workers and farmers who saw their basic livelihoods
threatened.106
The Egyptian regime regarded landed capital as a willing ally in the
realization of the free trade policies of the IMF and World Bank which
promote cash crop production. In 1992, as a declaration of war against
rural labour, the Nasserite land reform law 96 was abrogated. In post-
Nasserite Egypt almost all tenants had to pay a certain form of legally
fixed capitalist rent. Law 96 was the first initiative to remove the ceiling
on the amount of rent. Increasing land rents was a necessary step to
maintain the rate of profit for landowners, as the concentration of land
had caused a fall in productivity.107 From 1997 on land rents were
governed by market prices instead of the former fixed rent system. In
addition, landowners gained the right to drive tenants from their land.108 A
majority of lands are now fully owned by the landed elite and embedded
in a modern capitalist system of cash paid tenancies, allowing the
landlords to accumulate capital at an accelerated speed.109 Social
relations in the countryside are, however, only partially transformed.
106 Farah 2009, p. 41.107 Dyer 1997.108 Beinin 2001, p. 164.109 Bush 2009, pp. 88–90.
47
Small capitalist tenants can survive because wages of land labourers
remain low and because they rely on the family household. Landed
property is not inclined to eliminate household production, as further
commodification of the labour market would lower wages and rent
income. The current subsistence economy in the countryside
encompasses a particular mix of capitalist and non-capitalist elements.
Labour has been commodified in the sense that it produces a surplus in
commodity-form for market exchange in order to, on the one hand, meet
rental obligations in a monetary form and, on the other, to exchange
‘subsistence commodities’ with other farmers.110 Farmers’ labour can be
regarded as being exchanged as labour-power vis-à-vis landed property,
but at the same time peasants act as petty producers in the exchange of
‘subsistence commodities’. This is the reason why the state and not
market forces has traditionally regulated the amount of land rent, as
capital does not penetrate agricultural output even though this output is
sold as any other commodity. Furthermore, when forms of mechanization
occur, these are only to the benefit of landed property and commercial
capital, while in advanced capitalist countries mechanization has been
the instrument of the penetration of the countryside by industrial
capital.111 The outcome is a reinforcement of a (landed) rentier logic
under the false flag of ‘liberalisation’ with a partial commodified
110 Chevalier 1982.111 Dennis 1982.
48
agricultural sector and low productivity. The land reform was meant to
achieve lower market-led prices, but, ironically, the opposite effect
occurred.
Crony capitalism
In the industrial sector, regime policies were aimed at reducing the
competitiveness of state enterprises, forcing their bankruptcy and
privatization.112 A new ‘Ministry of Investments’ was established, which
became the primary executor of the privatization process. State factories
such as the Qalyub Spinning Factory were sold far beneath their actual
value.113 Selling shares of state-owned enterprises on the Cairo stock
market created an economic mini-boom in 1996-97. The state made 1.5
billion dollars from these privatizations. Meanwhile, real wages in the
public industrial sector dropped by eight per cent between 1990 and
1996.114 By 2002 half of the public enterprises were privatized or
liquidated.115 After 2004, the aggressive policies resulted in an economic
growth of 7 per cent, reflecting the rapid ‘accumulation through
dispossession’116.117 It had dire consequences for workers, farmers, and
112 Mitchell 2002, p. 279.113 Beinin 2009, p. 30; Farah 2009, pp. 49–50.114 Mitchell 2002, p. 280, 286.115 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 251.116 Harvey 2003.117 Beinin 2009, p. 30.
49
urban middle classes, which were confronted with diminishing
purchasing power, and increasing unemployment and poverty.118
Even though regime policies were driven by a logic of accumulation
through dispossession, they could hardly be labelled as in conformity
with the Washington Consensus. The government fought the financial
crisis of 1990-91 with a massive capital injection in the banking sector
(5.5 per cent of GDP and an additional fiscal exemption worth 10 per
cent of GDP).119 Public holding companies remained the largest
shareholders in many of the privatized enterprises. Some privatized firms
were sold to public banks. State holding companies set up private
corporations or joint ventures. In 1998 the state bought back shares in
most of its privatized enterprises.120 In reality, a liberalisation process
was not underway, but rather the consolidation of a development that
had already been underway since the 1980s: the blurring of state, semi-
state and private capitalist sectors. State elites became investors in large
private sector enterprises or used state power to favour their friends and
families in the subcontracting sector, realizing huge profits.121 Egypt’s
military-industrial complex developed a large civilian sector, engaging in
construction, transport, telecom, food production and capital-intensive
118 Farah 2009, pp. 43–5.119 Mitchell 2002, p. 279.120 Mitchell 2002, pp. 281–82.121 Mitchell 2002, pp. 280–81.
50
desert reclamation, and building clientelist networks between private,
joint-venture and military firms.122 The corporatist trade unions evolved
into economic enterprises, managing pension funds, business
investments, housing, and banks.123 In 2005 Egyptian capitalists
favoured by the regime gained a direct grip on the state as ministers of
trade and industry, housing policy, mobility, healthcare, agriculture, and
social security. The introduction of neoliberal measures in countries with
an extensive public sector such as Egypt has not stimulated the free
market as a primary organizer of economic life, but it reinforced crony
capitalism and monopolistic tendencies: ‘… the close ties between the
regime and segments of Egyptian big business were hardly weakened by
privatization. In many respects, the process resembles the nomenklatura
privatizations of the former Soviet Union – insiders strongly connected to
the state apparatus gathered most of the benefits.’124 Although much of
the form of state capitalism continues to exist, its actual substance has
become the opposite of its past content. Appeals for the defence of the
‘public sector’ or the ‘developmental state’ against ‘neoliberal
encroachment’ are meaningless in the contemporary Egyptian context.
The current process is one of “state capitalism in reverse”: the state
loses its role of ‘universal capitalist’ and becomes the particular tool of a
122 Bianchi 1989, p. 5.123 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 334.124 Richards and Waterbury 2008, p. 251.
51
select group of oligarchs who are closely connected to foreign financial
and select domestic capital groups. In the process of ‘state capitalism in
reverse’, rents are even more important than during past decades.
Productive activities which have a profit rate comparable with the interest
of rental income are very limited. The main economic interest of statist
elites is the increase and expansion of rental income, therefore the
breakdown of workers’ rights and the imposition of adjustment and
austerity programmes are logical consequences of the stalled
industrialisation.125
Conclusion
This essay aimed at explaining the nature of Egypt’s economic
development through a focus on the trajectory of the real and concrete
social formation, and employing,the notion of ‘uneven and combined
development’ as a key frame of analysis. Through the study of the
Egyptian social formation the systemic logic of capital was completed
with the particular logic and realities of pre-capitalist structures. The
concept of uneven and combined development enabled us to integrate
125 Mitchell 2006.
52
the dynamics and interactions of the nation state and the world economy
into one coherent frame of analysis which refrains from reducing the
whole to its parts and vice versa. The story of Egypt cannot be told as
just a submissive integration into the capitalist world economy, nor as a
mere ‘blocked transition’ because of resisting pre-capitalist elements.
Both the development of capitalism on a world scale and the lack of
capitalist relations inside the Egyptian social formation impeded
economic development.
Egypt’s ‘halted transition’ to Western-style capitalism has been a
protracted process which started from the very beginning of capitalist
penetration in the Egyptian social formation. Egypt’s integration into the
emerging world market between the second half of the eighteenth and
the first half of the nineteenth century was not accompanied by the
appropriation of the capitalist mode of production. The absolutist state of
Muhammad Ali embedded advanced productive forms in a pre-capitalist
structure, neutralizing their transformative capacities. From the second
half of the nineteenth century onwards, imperialism followed by formal
colonialism and informal neo-colonialism, forcefully introduced the
capitalist mode and relations of production in Egypt. Ultimately this did
not lead to a revolutionary expansion of the productive forces because of
the interests of foreign capital which coincided with those of strong and
actively resistive pre-capitalist social forms and agents. Only Nasserite
53
Bonapartism was able to break the double hold of imperialism and the
pre-capitalist ruling classes over Egypt’s industrial development. Through
state capitalism the formal and real subsumption of labour under capital
was initiated and capital-intensive industrialization stimulated economic
development. Nonetheless the Nasserite system was fraught with
internal contradictions which impeded development in the long run. First,
the expansion of the productive forces did not acquire a permanent
character due to the difficulties of capital-intensive industrialization.
Secondly, the class base of the regime came into contradiction with the
accumulation logic of state capitalism, forcing a choice between the
‘populist consumption policy’ and the ‘investment demands of
developmentalism’. Third, without the full liquidation of the private sector
and the pre-capitalist ruling classes, state capitalism had a tendency to
privatize itself. The Nasserite state actors used the private sector to
accumulate capital privately, while private actors used the state’s
subcontracting policy to expand their economic activities. The synthesis
of these three contradictions would have led to a quick disintegration of
state capitalism, but the rise of a rentier economy in the 1970s and
1980s enabled the system to outlive itself. An objective alliance between
domestic merchant, commercial and landed capital groups, the state,
and foreign capital enabled private capital accumulation, but frustrated
economic development. The end of the rentier phase in the 1990s laid
54
bare the contemporary monopolistic and oligarchic nature of capitalism in
Egypt.
The particular road of Egyptian capitalism clearly shows that the world
market did not just export the capitalist mode of production and
underdevelopment as its ‘natural’ effect. Wallerstein and Amin
presuppose the capitalist world economy as a totality in which Western
states use coercive force to shape the internal economic affairs of the
periphery. The Egyptian case refutes this one-sided analysis. Although
capitalism as a global economic system is continuously expanding in a
social-spatial way, this does not imply a straight-forward displacement of
pre-capitalist modes of production by capitalist variants. Rather, the
Egyptian social formation has its own internal transformative logic which
cannot be reduced to the coercive force mentioned above. Also, the
capitalist mode of production does not autonomously rearrange the set of
productive forces and relations of production. Following Rey’s
perspective, the history of the Egyptian social formation demonstrates
that other modes of production can, within limited spatio-temporal
boundaries, adjust themselves to the demands of the world market. The
result is never a historico-logical jump towards a more commodified
economy, but rather an unstable series of ‘hybridisation’.
Underdevelopment cannot be condensed into a single logic. There is ‘not
55
enough capitalism’ in the sense that some social forces frustrate the
creation of commodity relations in order to gain wealth. These forces only
contribute to industrialization if it benefits other economic activities. There
is ‘too much capitalism’ as the Egyptian social formation has to bear the
social costs which flow from the penetration of international capital.
Western-style capitalism lost its meaning as the ideal object, historical
and logical, but it is still the most important reference regarding the
comparative aspect in the research of non-Western social formations.
At the time of writing the Egyptian political regime is experiencing a
transformation, brought about by a revolutionary mass movement. The
unfolding process could signify a new phase in Egypt’s economic
development - perhaps even a return to some form of substantive state
capitalism (or, depending on the outcome of the class struggle:
socialism) and the rationale of the ‘popular consumption policy’. If so, the
Egyptian masses will have to solve many of the problems which caused
the downfall of Nasserite state capitalism: a self-privatizing bureaucracy,
a military ruling caste, a logic of productivism, and the riddle of capital-
intensive industrialization – while at the same time avoiding a position of
dependency in the world market induced by local elites and foreign
capital.
56
57
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