3rd INDONESIA INVESMENT FORUM 2018
PROF. WIHANA KIRANA JAYA,
Special Advisor to the Minister of Transportation on Economic and Investment Affairs
OUTLINE
WHERE DO WE
WANT TO GO?
CURRENT INDONESIA’S MEGA PROJECT
General Information How To Invest
In Transport Sector
INDONESIA’S POTENTIAL ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
% of Economic Global Growth (2017-2019) (estimated)
Source: visualcapitalist.com
• Over next three years, it is estimated that
the $75 trillion global economy will
expand by another %6,5 trillion.
• Indonesia will account for 2.5% of global
GDP growth in 2017-2019 (estimated)
• The World Bank projects growth for the
country at 5.3% this year, and 5.5% for the
next two years.
Why Indonesia ?
Indonesia has shown progressive achievement in the past years
I do esia’s Ease of Doi g
Business Rank, 2013-2017
2013 2 2014
Target in 2019
Rank 40
2017
INDONESIA GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS
Global
Competitiveness
Index
Ease of Doing Business (EODB)
Logistics
Performance Index
(LPI) 2016
Indonesia elected as a
member of the Council
of IMO category C.
Period2018-2019
Operation of Eid
Lebaran Guyun Rukun
2017
13 Sea Toll Route
I. INDONESIA’S INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
INTERNASIONAL DOMESTIC
The Global
Competitiveness Index
rating Indonesia is
INCREASED
Transportation
Contribution to GDP (%)
2017 Quarter II: 5.48%
Dwelling time
decrease in 4
major ports
Improved ship-based
digital services
(Inaportnet)
Transportation Of
Cargo Ship • Achieved world class
flights.
• Flight safety audit results
81.15%
• 2nd place for flight safety
in ASEAN
I. INDONESIA’S INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT ON
SUB SECTOR
LAND
RAILWAY
PORT
AIRPORT
The o stru tio of the rail ay li e → . KM
I pro e e t & Reha ilitatio of KA Trails → . KM
Co stru tio of Statio → UNIT
Sea Port De elop e t →
Co stru tio of Pio eer Ships → u its
Co ti ued Co stru tio of Pio eer Ships → u its
Co stru tio of Ne Airport → Airports
URBAN
TRANSPORTATION
Ter i al Reha ilitatio → Lo atio s
Port Crossi gs → Lo atio s
Ship Crossi g → UNIT
Sea Toll Program:
Cement price in Wamena decrease
40%
Rice price in Biak decrease 29%
• Progress 77,31 % (8 des 17)
• Target Operation on Juny
2018 PALEMBANG
Develop e t of Settle e t Tra sport JRCONNEXION → Regio s
Develop e t of Area Traffi Co trol S ste ATCS → Corridor phase I Pro ure e t of Natio al Road Safet Fa ilities → 6 Seg e ts
I tegratio of Bulk Pu li Tra sport S ste SAUM → Masterpla of Top Dukuh TOD
Pre iu Airport Tra sport Servi e → 9 Fleet servi g 6 Routes
Spe ial La e of Pu li Tra sport LKAU → TRAYEK
Li e si g O li e Re t Tra sportatio → U its
• Access to various modes of
transportation
• Prioritizing green public
transport
• Integrated with technology
Featured Program:
• TOURISTS DESTINATIONS
• CREATE NEW BALI
• OTHER MOT PROJECT
POSSIBILITY COOPERATION BETWEEN INDONESIA-MALAYSIA
SMART
INFRASTRUCTURE
TOURISTS DESTINATIONS
15
TOBA LAKE THOUSAND ISLAND CAPE KELAYANG
CAPE LESUNG BOROBUDUR MOUNT BROMO REGION MANDALIKA LABUAN BAJO
WAKATOBI MOROTAI
SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE (SEZ)
NATIONAL STRATEGIC TOURISM ZONE (NSTZ)
DESTINATIONS ADDED BY MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION
BANYUWANGI
RAJA AMPAT
WAMENA
KUALANAMU International Hub Airport
Advantages
The second largest airport in west side of Indonesia after
Soekarno-Hatta International Airport
Connected by the North Sumatera Toll Road
The first Airport in Indonesia with direct rail link to /from
city center (Medan City)
Official 4-Star Skytrax Airport.
1
2
3
4
Expected to Become the new international transit center in south
east Asia
5
II. CURRENT INDONESIA’S MEGA PROJECT
KUALA TANJUNG Port
II. CURRENT INDONESIA’S MEGA PROJECT
The development of Kuala Tanjung International
Hub Port is one of Indonesia National Strategic
Projects.
Advantages:
• Port Location proximity to the international shipping route and
will serve one of the biggest market in the world.
• One of Indonesia National Strategic Projects
• The integration between industrial zone and port. Therefore,
increase accessibility for goods in and goods out.
• To be a key import/eksport gate way for the Sumatera
Economic Corridor
• It has appropriated access to deep water
BALI UTARA International Airport
II. CURRENT INDONESIA’S MEGA PROJECT
PROJECT COST DURATION PROJECT RETURN PPP STRUCTURE
Rp 50 Trillion 30 – 50 years 14-17 % (DBFOM)
Debt to Equity Ratio : 70 % Debt : 30 % equity PJPK MoT
Alternative Ngurah
Rai airport that has
been over capacity
Bali
Utara
CREATE NEW BALI
• Lake Toba, North Sumatra
• Tanjung Lesung, Banten
• Kepulauan Seribu, Jakarta
• Tanjung Kelayang Beach, Bangka Belitung
• Borobudur Temple, Central Java
• Mount Bromo, East Java
• Mandalika, West Nusa Tenggara
• Labuan Bajo, East Nusa Tenggara
• Wakatobi, South Sulawesi
• Morotai Island, North Maluku
MOT TO SUPPORT 10 NEW BALI JAKARTA – SURABAYA RAILWAY (EKSPRESS TRAIN)
Description
Scenario B: Adding One
Track (single narrow
gauge)
Scenario C: Adding One
Track (single standard
gauge)
Scenario D: Build a New
Track (double standard
gauge)
Scenario D-1: Build a
New Track (single
standard gauge)
B. Jakarta-Surabaya C. Jakarta-Surabaya D. Jakarta-Surabaya D1. Jakarta-Surabaya
Design Speed 160 kpj 220 kpj 260 kpj 260 kpj
investation Rp. 106,3 T Rp. 121,67 T Rp. 182,20 T Rp. 134,87 T
Cooperation Scheme OM Sarana
KPBU dg VGF 49% plus
Dukungan Pemerintah 20% KPBU dg VGF 49% KPBU dg VGF 49%
Passanger of
EXPRES Train 3.351.735 People/Yr (2030) 5.499.900 People/Yr (2030) 17.172.754 People/Yr (2030) 17.172.754 People/Yr (2030)
TREM SURABAYA No. Information Cost (Rp)
Total 5,978,739,388,891
cost per Km (17 Km) 351,690,552,288
LRT MEDAN Total Investation:
$ 302 Million
KEBUTUHAN PEMBIAYAAN
INFRASTRUKTUR TRANSPORTASI TAHUN 2015-2019
55
232
101 71
30
Darat KA Laut Udara BPSDM0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
278
169
91
563
182
KA Perkotaan ASDP Laut Udara
Transportation infrastructure funding requirement of Rp.1,283 trillion was obtained through macro approach based on assumption
of economic growth in 2019: 6-8%, inflation 2.5-4,5%, interest rate 4-5-6,5%. In addition, the calculation estimate also considers the
scenario of transportation financing needs set forth in the Master Plan, Blueprint and Urban Transport Background Review.
Sumber : Bappenas, 2015
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
FUNDING NEEDS
Rp. 1,283 T
(non-road)
Rp. 491 T
(non-road)
Estimated Funding Capability APBN in
accordance with RPJMN Year 2015-2019
GAP
Private Investment
State Owned Enterprise
PPP
There is an investment financing gap of Rp.
791 Trillion for the period 2015-2019
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDING NEEDS 2015 – 2019
BUDGET POLICY FOR TRANSPORTATION DEVELOPMENT
GOVERMENT
INVESTMENT
STATE OWNED ENTERPRISES (SOE)
INVESTMENT
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
commercially visible not commercially visible
PRIVATE SECTOR
KPBU
JV BUMN
(BROWNFIELD/GREENFIELD)
BUMN
APBN/APBD
ALTERNATIVE
25
PPP
Conventional PPP
Prepare by The Government
PPP Strategic Alliance
Government and Private
Transport Investment
APBN and Public Sector Expenditure
Basic infrastructure, non-commercial, non-
cost-recovery, economically viable,
financially unfeasible, nationally strategic,
access to underdeveloped and rural areas, enhances
national and local economies and is a
public service obligation (PSO)
PPP
Basic, commercial and non-commercial infrastructure, potential cost-
recovery, economically feasible, financially feasible or inadequate, can be
feasible where there is government
support, national strategic, access to
underdeveloped and rural areas, improving
national and local economies ,
supporting logistics and economic
corridors
Pure Private Investment
Commercial economic infrastructure, full
cost-recovery, economically feasible,
financially feasible, nationally strategic, access to ports and
international airports, enhances national
and local economies. The provision of
special infrastructure such as Special
Railways, Special Ports, and Special
Airports can use this scheme with
unsolicited and non-tender nature.
Pure Private Investment
Solicited Government
Unsolicited Private Initiative
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDING SOURCE
Body shell
Wheels set
Bogie frame
Interiors architecture
Traction motors
Power Converter
Pantograph
Braking system
ETCS
Suspension
Air Conditioning
Under frame
Gear Box
Floor
Interiors equipment
Toilet system
Door system
ATO
ATP
Coupler
Aux Electric System
Exterior lighting
Interior lighting
Traction Control Unit
MAINTENANCE
Facilities - Local Industry Opportunities
Project Description
Phase 1
• 17 km track
• 29 Tram Stops
• 25 Tram set
• 1 Depot dan
Stabling Yard
• 1 Night stay
Phase 2
• 5.5 km track
Track Work
• Standard gauge 1435mm
• Grooved rail 59R2
• Grass Track 6 km
• Embedded Track 11 km
• Continuous Welding Rail
• Radius minimum 25 m
• Ma gradie t ‰
• Switch and crossing at main line 1:7
R50 18 buah
Full Catenary 6 km track
Free Catenary 11 km track
Incoming Voltage 20 KV PLN
Working Voltage 750 V DC
TSS 6
Number of Charging Point (CP) 18
Phase 1
17 km track
Phase 2
5.5 km track
Construction Cost Requirement
No. Job description Cost (Rp)
1 Project Management, Design and Traffic Management 476,449,974,000
2 Main Line Works 586,742,312,220
3 Trackwork for Tram Line 1,110,950,264,399
4 Mechanical & Electrical (M&E) Equipment 581,710,793,300
5 Tram Signal System 108,484,531,000
6 Telecom System 22,849,666,000
7 Supervisory Control System 340,529,935,220
8 Ticketing System 270,846,011,100
9 Safety & Security System 283,392,669,000
10 Maintenance (Workshop & Facilities) 903,231,773,653
11 Operations Control Centre 42,168,959,000
12 Rolling Stock (25 Tramcar & 3 work vehicles) 1,251,382,500,000
Total 5,978,739,388,891
cost per Km (17 Km) 351,690,552,288
2. Stasiun & Potensi TOD
No Nama Stasiun Jarak ke stasiun sebelumnya
1 Universitas Negeri Medan
0km
2 Aksara 1,16km 3 Al Amin Faisal Tanjung 1,10km 4 Rumah Sakit Pirngadi 1,16km 5 Hotel Grand Angkasa 0,27km 6 Podomoro City 0,89km 7 Lapangan Merdeka 0,52km 8 Rumah Sakit
Malahayati 0,72km
9 Kampung Madras 0,61km 10 Iskandar Muda 1,16km 11 Rumah Sakit USU 1,70km 12 USU Pintu 4 0,41km 13 Perumahan Setiabudi 1,37km 14 Pasar 2 1,07km 15 Santo Thomas 2,07km 16 Adam Malik 2,50km 17 Pasar Lau Cih 3,18km TOTAL PANJANG 22,74km
Name of
Station
Distance between
railway
Demand LRT (Projection)
2021 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055
100% 108.928 137.963 183.930 245.212 326.913 435.834 581.047 774.642
80% 87.143 110.370 147.144 196.170 261.530 348.668 464.838 619.714
60% 65.357 82.778 110.358 147.127 196.148 261.501 348.628 464.785
Total Passanger of LRT