Information & Decision SuperiorityCase studies in applying AI planning technologies to military & civil applications
Dr Roberto DesimoneInnovations ManagerKnowledge & Information Systems Division
3QinetiQ Structure - designed to extract value from core technology
Future Systems TechnologyDivision
Estates Division
DefenceSolutionsDivision
Through LifeServicesDivision
TechnologyVenturesFund
Equity investors
MoDSolutionsCustomers
ManagedService
Customers
Sensors & ElectronicsDivision
Knowledge & Information Systems Division
Specialised Channels
Non-MoDSolutions
Customers
4
Contents
1 Problem domain - military & civil
2 Case Study 1: Coalition/Joint Planning
3 Case Study 2: Civil Emergency Planning
4 Case Study 3: Integrated Planning & Simulation
5 Future research, applications & exploitation
5Problem Domain - Military & Civil Complex planning tasks in
support of major crises Facilitating collaboration
between multi-agency teams Assisting response co-ordination
& controlling operations Auditing plans to comply with
regulations & policy Training and learning from
responses to major crises
Providing planning aid support to assist decision-making
Help manage planning process in dynamic manner
... above all, support human planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust plans
6
Case 1 - Coalition/Joint Planning Aids
Examine how planning aids can support co-ordinating and integrating coalition/joint operations planning tasks
Capitalise on planning languages for capturing coalition/joint military doctrine and for recording planning decisions and lessons learned
Explore the integration of planning aids with operational C2 systems & develop insertion strategy into future UK/Coalition C2 systems
... above all, support coalition operations planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust COAs, plan guidance & command directives for lower echelons
7
Key Capabilities - Planning Aids
Recording coalition planning decisions & intentions
Determining feasible COAs, coalition and support forces
Resolving resource conflicts & plan inconsistencies
Browsing current & past COAs in multiple contexts
Provide collaborative & dynamic replanning capability
Generate and validate coalition plans reflecting roles, tasks, resources of coalition partners in achieving overall mission/campaign objectives
8
Guiding plan choices
directmatch
Plan FragmentLibrary
Recording plan rationale
J5/9 Political
Constraints
J4Logistics
Constraints
J1ORBAT
Info
J2Intelligence
Info J3Operations Constraints
J6Comms & IS Constraints
Hierarchical plan development
Supporting COA generation
9
Case 2 - Civil Emergency Planning
Decision support for the emergency planning process
Focussed at strategic (Gold) & tactical (Silver) command levels
Planning, preparing for and preventing major incidents
Co-ordinating responses & controlling operations
Documenting & investigating accidents and responses
Training and learning from responses to major crises
Potential End-users Emergency Services Local authorities Government & Regulatory
Agencies Industry & Commerce
REFINERY
CHEMICAL UNIT
STORAGE TANKS
STORES
Operations Revised !!
For all Police, Fire & Ambulance Units
Deal withCasualties
Ambulance 3
Patrol CordonPolice-Unit 3
Refinery &LPG
Contain FireFire-Unit 2
LPG
Contain FireFire-Unit 1
LPG
Reserve FireFire-Unit 14
Reinforcement Base
Setup PoliceCasualty Bureau
Police-Unit 2Refinery
Move Incident Command
Police-Unit 1Refinery
Across River
Contain SpillFire-Unit 11
River
Contain FireFire-Unit 16
Refinery
…. help manage planning process in dynamic manner, rather than just provide access to relevant information
10
Currently
PlanningArchitecture
PlanningArchitecture
Databases
INTERFACE
SimulationsDatabases
SimulationArchitecture
SimulationArchitecture
INTERFACE
Planners
Shared Architecture/ Coupling
Query and DataManager
SimulationsPlanners
Case 3 - Integrating Planning & Simulation
11
Query & Data Manager
PLAN QUERY• SOURCES
• QUERY TYPE
• METRICS
• CONSTRAINTS
resultsresults
initiates
Query& data
SIM QUERY• STARTING CONDITIONS
• SIMULATION CONTROL
sets up
Querydetails
Data
Mapping
SimulationsPlanners
Queries - The basis of communication
12
Plan QueryManager
Data + Requests
PLANNER
SIMULATOR
Simulation ScriptMatcher/Retriever
PrescriptedSim QueryDatabase
Sim QueryEnactor
GenericSim QueryDatabase
Complex QueryComposer
QDM
Query & Data Manager
13
… provide assisted dynamic replanning capability in response to rapidly changing events
Future research, applications & exploitation
Medium & Long-term research Facilitating semantic interoperability through explicit planning & command
decision languages Interleaving planning & simulation to optimise decisions and to support
mission rehearsal & training Natural language interfaces to planners to support coalition/joint operations Highlighting uncertainty & plan robustness measures to support risk
management
Short-term applications & exploitation Technology insertion of planning aids into operational military C2 systems Transition of AI planning & scheduling technology into wider civil
commercial products