Interpreting the Scottish Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation
in an Urban Contextin an Urban Context
Presentation to the ScotStat Analysts NetworkPresentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network30th June 201030th June 2010
James ArnottJames ArnottDevelopment & Regeneration ServicesDevelopment & Regeneration Services
Glasgow City CouncilGlasgow City Council
SIMD 2009SIMD 2009
Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivationshare of Scotland’s deprivation
SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15%SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15% SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15%SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15% Main drivers: expanding local Main drivers: expanding local
economy, retention of employed economy, retention of employed working-age population, improved working-age population, improved housing choicehousing choice
Change between 2004 & 2009Change between 2004 & 2009
SIMDSIMD 20042004 20092009
1%-15%1%-15% 307,997307,997 243,110243,110
16%-50%16%-50% 150,636150,636 183,492183,492
51%-100%51%-100% 119,236119,236 157,638157,638
Change between 2004 & 2009Change between 2004 & 2009
SIMDSIMD % Change% Change ChangeChange
1%-15%1%-15% -21.1%-21.1% -65,000-65,000
16%-50%16%-50% +21.8%+21.8% +32,900+32,900
51%-100%51%-100% +32.2%+32.2% +38,400+38,400
Greater Pollok LCPP: Change Greater Pollok LCPP: Change between 2004 & 2009between 2004 & 2009
SIMDSIMD % Change% Change ChangeChange
1%-15%1%-15% -16.4%-16.4% -4,500-4,500
16%-50%16%-50% +39.0%+39.0% +4,000+4,000
51%-100%51%-100% +23.0%+23.0% +3,800+3,800
SIMD 2009: 4 TrendsSIMD 2009: 4 Trends
Areas moving out of deprivation: -Areas moving out of deprivation: -21.1% population fall21.1% population fall
Areas moving into 51%-100%: Areas moving into 51%-100%: +32.2% population increase+32.2% population increase
Persistent deprivation involving Persistent deprivation involving 108,525 persons108,525 persons
Areas losing groundAreas losing ground
Further AnalysisFurther Analysis
Capacity of Glasgow to withstand Capacity of Glasgow to withstand current recessioncurrent recession
Continuated City Centre expansionContinuated City Centre expansion Areas of persistent deprivationAreas of persistent deprivation Stable areas facing declineStable areas facing decline
1. Withstanding the Recession1. Withstanding the Recession
Broad-based economyBroad-based economy Infrastructural improvements: M74, Infrastructural improvements: M74,
Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Commonwealth GamesCommonwealth Games
Centralisation and displacementCentralisation and displacement Demographics and age profileDemographics and age profile Relative not absolute improvementRelative not absolute improvement
2a. City Centre Expansion2a. City Centre Expansion
East to DennistounEast to Dennistoun North to Speirs WharfNorth to Speirs Wharf West towards West End, Anderston, West towards West End, Anderston,
KelvinhaughKelvinhaugh Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-
deprived into 51%-100%deprived into 51%-100% No major employment expansionNo major employment expansion
2b. City Centre/West End2b. City Centre/West End
Along the 4 main linking routesAlong the 4 main linking routes Associated with increased working-Associated with increased working-
age populationage population Possibly also single person hholdsPossibly also single person hholds Westward expansion stops at Westward expansion stops at
WhiteinchWhiteinch North Kelvinside & WoodsideNorth Kelvinside & Woodside
3. Persistent Deprivation3. Persistent Deprivation
137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09 No major loss of populationNo major loss of population Based around SIPs but a new Based around SIPs but a new
geography within themgeography within them Continuing employability Continuing employability
programmes for hard-to-reach during programmes for hard-to-reach during a recessiona recession
4. Stable Areas facing Decline4. Stable Areas facing Decline
Not threatened with deprivation, but Not threatened with deprivation, but losing groundlosing ground
Issues around displacement and Issues around displacement and competing neighbourhoodscompeting neighbourhoods
Inter-war housing stock, Western Inter-war housing stock, Western Heritable, RtBsHeritable, RtBs
Early action possibleEarly action possible
ConclusionsConclusions
Different neighbourhood geographyDifferent neighbourhood geography Changed role of River Clyde and City Changed role of River Clyde and City
CentreCentre Widening inequalities with ex-SIPsWidening inequalities with ex-SIPs Displacement within the city Displacement within the city
conurbationconurbation
Way ForwardWay Forward
Widen the debate around these and Widen the debate around these and other issuesother issues
Most suitable way of monitoring and Most suitable way of monitoring and reviewing these trendsreviewing these trends
Use of policy to steer or stopUse of policy to steer or stop