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Page 1: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Orion Cuffe, Ira Cross, Elaine HirtStatistical Analysis for Business Decisions

Page 2: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Interdisciplinary Research Project

NSHE is Administrator

Funded by $15M Grant

Sponsors: NSF, EPSCoR

Institutional Partners: UNR, UNLV, DRI

Page 3: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Important Role to Develop Public Policy

Implementation

Most Closely Match Local Needs for Climate Change Adaptation

Often Lack Resources and Timely & Accurate Scientific Information Necessary to Implement Policy Effectively

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Surveymonkey.com

All Public Agencies

Sent 204 Surveys

Received 29 Complete Self-Selected Responses

14.2% Response Rate

Page 5: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Regional Agency

13%

Federal Government

Agency0%

State Government

Agency23%Local

Government Agency

48%

Special Purpose

Government (School, Utility,

Water District, etc.)

7%

Business Association

6%

Non-Profit Organization

3%

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Climate Change Priority Level?

Organization Planning?Information Sources?

Capacity for Planning?

Constraints and Obstacles for Implementation?

Cooperation Between Local Government & Organizations?

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Is This Related to…Media

Information Source

Size of Budget

Number of Employees

Organization Types

How Does Nevada Compare with National Trends?

That?Confidence in Science

Organization Preparedness

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Successful Tests

Test of Two Means

T-Test of Proportions

Chi-Square

Unsuccessful Tests

ANOVA

OLS Multiple Regression

Data Cleaning & Coding

Page 9: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Chi-Square Test Results Reveal Yes, There is a Relationship.

P = 0.0409

Inverse Relationship

Less News = More ConfidenceMore News = Less Confidence

Conclusion: Watching the News Erodes Confidence in the Science.

Page 10: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Yes, Consultants Strengthen Confidence in the Climate Change Science When Used More Often.

Chi-Square Test Results Show Yes, There is a Relationship.

P = 0.08

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Two Sample Test of Means gives P-Value: 0.427 at 95% Confidence Interval.

No, Budget Size Does Not Play a Role Whether or Not an Agency is Prepared for Climate Change.

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Chi-Square Test Results Show NO Relationship

P = 0.6226

Conclusion: Do Not Rely on the Agency Type Determine How Prepared the Agency is to Deal with Climate Change Issues. Applies to State Agencies to Non-Profit Organization.

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Regardless of the Type of Agency, the Confidence in Climate Change Science Remained Unaffected.

Chi-Square Test Reveals NO Relationship.P-Value = 0.4504

Page 14: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Two Sample Test of Means Reveals NO Relationship at 95% Confidence Interval.P-Value = 0.924T-Test Score = 0.096

Even the Number of Staff of an Organization has NO Affect in Preparedness for Climate Change Issues.

Page 15: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Is Climate Change a Priority?18% Nevada Agencies Say Yes, It’s a Top Priority*

3% National Average Says Yes, It’s a Top Priority**

Confident in the Science of Climate Change71% Nevada Agencies Are Confident*

57% National Average Is Confident***

*Note: NOT statistically significant different due to extremely high error, a consequence of low sample size.**Bloomberg Poll conducted by Seizer & Co., Dec 3-7, 2009. N=1,000 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%***Pew Research Center Poll conducted Sept 30-Oct 4, 2009. N=1,500 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%

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“This is a waste of time and money. You cannot

do anything about climate change.”

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“It’s hard to get concerned, when reports

are so conflicting, and politics play such a role.”

Page 18: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

“What do we need to better plan?

The Truth.”

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“The national news media cannot be trusted to tell

an unbiased truth!”

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“A climate change clearing house.”

“Get truthful, factual, long-

term, non-political data!”

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“Is it really real, or made up Al Gore

BS?!”

Page 22: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Long Process to Create & Approve SurveyUNR Survey Policy

Very Poor Lack of Response!Not Enough Samples

Limited What Tests Could Be Used

High Margin of Error

Survey Was LongOver 45 Questions

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Collect More Responses Through Phone Interviews

Plan for Focus Group Research

Presentations—February & March 2010Las Vegas, Nevada

San Francisco, California

Collaboration with UNLV

Page 24: Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Save the Earth. It’s the only planet with chocolate!


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