North Dakota
Petroleum Council
September 26, 2018
Justin J KringstadGeological Engineer
Director
North Dakota Pipeline Authority
2
Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
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DOE-EIA Forecasted Oil Price
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North Dakota Oil Production Forecast
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Statewide Gas Performance
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 5Average BKN/TF Well Performance Statewide
~16% Improvement
Over 2017
Bakken and Three Forks Well Performance
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Historic Bakken/Three Forks GOR
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Current Statewide Bakken/Three Forks GOR
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NDPA North Dakota Gas Production Forecast
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NDIC “Core” Activity
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Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
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Simple Terms
Blue – Lack of pipelines
Orange – Challenges on existing
infrastructure
GREEN – % of gas captured and sold
Blue – % flared from zero sales wells
Orange – % flared from wells with at
least one mcf sold.
July 2018 Data – Non-Confidential WellsStatewide
Solving the Flaring Challenge
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Flaring By Category – July 2017
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Non-Confidential Wells OnlyNon-Confidential Wells Only
Flaring By Category – July 2018
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Non-Confidential Wells OnlyNon-Confidential Wells Only
Average Bakken/Three Forks Well Flaring Volumes
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Avg. Statewide Monthly Flaring For Connected Wells
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Solving the Flaring Challenge
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Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
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Solving the Flaring Challenge
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Solving the Flaring Challenge
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Upcoming Expansion
WBI Transmission
Andeavor
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Upcoming
Expansion
MMCFD
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Natural Gas Update
Production
• Technology
• Markets
Gathering
• Capacity
• Connections
Processing
• Capacity
• Location
Transmission
• Dry Gas
• Natural Gas Liquids
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Major Gas Pipeline and
Processing Infrastructure
WBI Transmission
Whiting
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Northern Border Pipeline
*Data Source: Northern Border IPS
• 42” Pipeline
• Carries Canadian (Port of Morgan) and Domestic Gas
• Receives Gas From ND Plants, WBI Transmission Interconnections, and WY Pipelines (Bison & Grasslands)
• Midcontinent Deliveries
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Northern Border Pipeline
*Data Source: Northern Border IPS
JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority
Simplified Example NB CalculationsConclusion: IF no other gas export options open and all other deliveries on other pipelines stay static, ND
gas production could increase 1.28-1.58 BCFD (from July-18) before Northern Border is 100% Bakken
production. BTU management becomes increasingly important for Bakken residue gas.
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Simplified Example NB CalculationsConclusion: IF no other gas export options open and all other deliveries on other pipelines stay static, ND
gas production could increase 1.28-1.58 BCFD (from July-18) before Northern Border is 100% Bakken
production. BTU management becomes increasingly important for Bakken residue gas.
• Gas Plants With C2+ Capture
~1,010+ BTU Residue Gas
• Gas Plants With C3+ Capture
~1,150+ BTU Residue Gas
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Foothills Pipeline
29JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority Map & Raw Data Source: TransCanadaJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 29Map & Raw Data Source: TransCanada
Now What?
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LNG Exports to Benefit ND by Shifting Gas Flow
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LNG Exports to Benefit ND by Shifting Gas Flow
Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors
Regional NGL Infrastructure
Kinder
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North Dakota Captured* NGL’s
3434JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 34*Non-flared NGL’s & Assumes 10 GPM
NGL Pipeline Takeaway Options
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ONEOK Elk Creek NGL Pipeline
Project Highlights
• 900 Miles - 20” Pipeline
• $1.4 Billion
• 240,000 BPD Capacity
• Expandable to 400,000
BPD
• End of 2019 Proposed
Completion
• Y-Grade Transportation
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North Dakota Pipeline Construction
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Sources: NDIC & PHMSA
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North Dakota Pipeline Construction
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Sources: NDIC & PHMSA
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New Miles and Well Completions
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New Bakken/Three Forks WorkFull Slide Deck - September 14, 2018 NDIC Presentation Online
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Justin J. Kringstad, DirectorNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority
600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405Bismarck, ND 58505-0840
Phone: (701)220-6227Fax: (701)328-2820
E-mail: [email protected]
Websites: www.pipeline.nd.gov
www.northdakotapipelines.com
Contact Information
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