Second National Statistical Conference, MyStats 2013
Sasana Kijang, Bank Negara Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur
18 November 2013
Introduction
• The Department of Statistics, Malaysia (DOSM) was established 64
years ago and was formerly known as Bureau of Statistics, operating
under the Statistics Ordinance 1949
• In 1965, the name Bureau of Statistics was changed to the• In 1965, the name Bureau of Statistics was changed to the
Department of Statistics, Malaysia (DOSM), under the provisions of
the Statistics Act 1965 (Revised 1989)
Introduction (cont’d)
• DOSM has played a crucial role in collecting, interpreting and
disseminating national statistics towards establishing a quality,
user-oriented and timely information system for the
formulation of policies for national development planning and
administration
• The programmes of strengthening the statistical compilation
were embedded in the DOSM Strategic Plan 2010-2014
(DOSM-SP 2010-14)
• The continuous updating of DOSM activities in strengthening
statistical compilation.
2.1 Improving and Updating Business Registrar
2. Strengthening Statistical
Compilation
2.1 Improving and Updating Business Registrar
2.2 Updating the Statistical Compilation Manual/References
2.3 Updating the Classifications
2.1 Improving and Updating
Business Registrar
• In 1998, DOSM built a Central Register System (CRS)
• Contains a profile of active establishments
• Collaboration :
– Companies Commission of Malaysia (CCM)
– Employees Provident Fund (EPF) – Employees Provident Fund (EPF)
– Construction Industry Development Board (CIDB)
– TM Smart Map
2.2 Manual References
• DOSM regularly updates its statistical compilation manual or
references:
– Migrated from System of National Accounts (SNA) 1968 to SNA
1993 and then to SNA 2008 as recommended by the United
Nation
– DOSM has implemented the SNA 2008 commencing 2010– DOSM has implemented the SNA 2008 commencing 2010
• The SNA is a source of reference for producing the following
products:
− The Gross Domestic Product
− The Supply Use and Input Output Tables
− The Distribution & Use of Income Accounts and Capital Account
2.3 Classifications
• The rapid changes in economic structure within the country and
globally has reflected in the changes in the industrial and products
structure
• DOSM has updated the industrial and commodity classifications in
line with the recommendation of the United Nationsline with the recommendation of the United Nations
• The latest industrial classification for Malaysia that has been
updated by DOSM is Malaysia Standard Industrial Classification
2008 which is in conformity to the International Standard Industrial
Classification (ISIC) Rev. 4
• The previous industrial classification was MSIC 2000 which is in
conformity to ISIC Rev.3
2.3 Classifications (cont’d)
• DOSM also updating the commodity classification as
recommended by the United Nations
• The latest commodity classification for Malaysia that has been
updated is the Malaysia Classification of Products by Activity updated is the Malaysia Classification of Products by Activity
2009 which is in conformity with classifications of the Central
Products Classification (CPC) Version 2.0 and ISIC Rev. 4
• The previous commodity classification for Malaysia was
MCPA 2005 which conformed to CPC Version 1.0 and ISIC
Rev 3.0
2.3 Classifications (cont’d)
• The new classifications were used in the surveys/censuses for
reference year beginning from 2009
• The old industrial and commodity classifications were used in • The old industrial and commodity classifications were used in
the surveys/censuses from 2000 to 2008
3. Usage of Relevant Statistics
• As stipulates in its role, DOSM is consistently updating its
products towards establishing a quality and user-oriented
information. The recent products that are under development are
as follows:
3.1 The Malaysia’s Early Warning Signals/Business Cycle
Clock
3.2 The Input-Output Tables
3.3The System of Environmental-Economic Accounting
(SEEA)
3.1 The Malaysia’s Early
Warning Signals/Business
Cycle Clock
Above Trend
1st Quadrant 4th Quadrant
Below trend
3rd Quadrant2nd Quadrant
dec
rease
d
incr
ease
d
Source:Ruth et al (2006)
Retail Sales Index
Industrial Production
Index
Employment, Mfg
Real Salaries & Wages,
MfgCapacity Utilization,
Mfg
R
S
IP
E
M
S
W
C
U
ExpansionDownturn MALAYSIA BUSINESS
CYCLE CLOCK
M
1E
M
OCTOBER 2008
COINCIDENT INDEXLEADING INDEX
Mfg Real Money Supply,
M1Housing Permits,
ApprovedReal Imports,
SemiconductorsNew Company
RegisteredReal Imports of Basic
Precious Bursa Malaysia,
Industrial
Expected Sales, Mfg
U
M
1
H
P
IS
C
R
IB
B
M
ESRecession Recovery
1
H
P
IS
C
R
IB
B
M
ES
R
S
IP
M
S
W
C
U
Retail Sales Index
Industrial Production
Index
Employment, Mfg
Real Salaries & Wages,
MfgCapacity Utilization,
Mfg
R
S
IP
E
M
S
W
C
U
ExpansionDownturn MALAYSIA BUSINESS
CYCLE CLOCK
M
1
H
P
IS
B
MES
R
S
IP
E
M
S
W
C
U
OCTOBER 2010
COINCIDENT INDEXLEADING INDEX
Mfg Real Money Supply,
M1Housing Permits,
ApprovedReal Imports,
SemiconductorsNew Company
RegisteredReal Imports of Basic
Precious Bursa Malaysia,
Industrial
Expected Sales, Mfg
U
M
1
H
P
IS
C
R
IB
B
M
ESRecession Recovery
C
R
IB
3.2 The Input-Output Tables
• DOSM is currently working on the Benchmark Input-Output (I-O) Tables for reference year 2010
• It is expected to be published in early 2014
• DOSM is also developing the Annual Update I-O Tables for reference year 2007, 2008 and 2009
• In the pipeline, DOSM is also developing the Benchmark Regional I-O Tables for Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah and Sarawak
The Framework of Benchmark
Regional Input-Output Tables
Intermediate Demand (A) Final Demand
Inter-Regional IO
P. M
ala
ysia
Sab
ah
Sara
wak
P. M
ala
ysia
Sab
ah
WP
Lab
uan
Dis
cre
pen
cy
To
tal O
utp
uts
(AP) (AS) (AK) (FP) (FS) (FK)(QX) (XX)
P. Malaysia(AP) APP APS APK FPP FPS FPK QP XP
Sabah(AS) ASP ASS ASK FSP FSS FSK QS XS
Sarawak(AK) AKP AKS AKK FKP FKS FKK QK XK
Imports from ROW (MW) MP MS MK
Taxes less subsidies (TT) TP TMS TK
Value Added (VV) VP VS VK
Total Inputs (XX) XI XM XU
• DOSM has started to develop the SEEA based on the old version of the SEEA Manual (Integrated Environmental-Economic Accounting 2003). However, the old manual has been updated in 2012 (System of Environmental-Economic Accounting Central Framework 2012)
• DOSM is currently improving the compilation of the SEEA
• The SEEA links to environment, economic and social statistics
3.3 System of Environmental-
Economic Accounting
• The SEEA links to environment, economic and social statistics
Sustainability
I. Improving access to services and
resources
II. Managing supply and
demand
III. Improving the state of
environment and reducing impacts
IV. Mitigating risks and
adapting to extreme events
3.4 Upgrading Existing Products
• DOSM is innovating and upgrading its existing products
such as:
– GDP by States
– GDP by Income Approach
– Tourism Satellite Account– Tourism Satellite Account
– ICT Satellite Account
– Index of Services
– CPI by States and Core Inflation
3.4.1 Gross Domestic Product
(GDP)
• DOSM has successfully disaggregated the annual GDP into
15 regions, namely GDP by States
• DOSM has also implemented the income approach in the • DOSM has also implemented the income approach in the
measurement of GDP, as a complement to the production and
expenditure approaches
3.4.2 The Satellite Accounts
• The Tourism Satellite Account (TSA)
– To demonstrate the contribution of tourism sector to
GDP
• ICT Satellite Account• ICT Satellite Account
– To monitor the performance of ICT sector and attain
evidence-based decision making on the formulation of
ICT policies
Index of Services (IoS)
• Measures changes over time in the volume of output of the
services sector
Q4 2012
• Transportation and Storage
• Information and Communication
• Accommodation
• Food & Beverage
Q1 2013
• Private Health
• Private Education
Q3 2013
• Finance and Insurance
2014
• Real Estate
• Professional
• Art, Entertainment & Recreation
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
and Core Inflation• CPI
– Represents the expenditure pattern of all households in
Malaysia in a specified time period
– In January 2011, DOSM successfully produced the CPI
based on four zones namely North, South, East and West based on four zones namely North, South, East and West
Peninsular Malaysia
– DOSM is planning to publish CPI for 15 states in Malaysia
in 2014
• Core Inflation
– Exclude items that have high volatility
– In 2013, DOSM has started compiling CI data based on
expenditure class and items
Conclusion
• Continuous steps and measures have been implemented by DOSM in
strengthening the statistical compilation by improving and updating
business registrar as well as manual references and classifications
• DOSM also improving the statistical methodology and enhancing the
products to stand at par at the international levelproducts to stand at par at the international level
• It has begun innovating new main products, namely the Malaysia’s
Early Warning Signals, Updating Input-Output Tables and the System
of Environmental-Economic Accounting
• DOSM is also upgrading its existing products such as GDP by States,
GDP by Income Approach, CPI by States and Core Inflation, Index of
Services as well as producing the satellite accounts for Tourism and
ICT
THANK YOUTHANK YOU
Abd. Latib Talib
Economic Indicators Division
Department of Statistics Malaysia