Smog Workshop – Smog Workshop – Federal & Provincial Federal & Provincial Smog Policy UpdateSmog Policy Update
John WellnerJohn Wellner
Director, Health Policy, OMADirector, Health Policy, OMA
Recent Smog News Recent Smog News
““green-speaking” provincial green-speaking” provincial governmentgovernment
More smog than everMore smog than ever New chronic health effects New chronic health effects
informationinformation Quantification of cross-border Quantification of cross-border
effectseffects Climate change focusClimate change focus
Ontario Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Sector Ontario Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Sector (Emissions from Human Activity, 2001 Estimates)(Emissions from Human Activity, 2001 Estimates)
Other Processes 11%Primary Metals 3%
Utilities 15%
Other Transportation 30%Miscellaneous Area
Sources 8%
Road Vehicles 33%
Ontario VOC Emissions by Sector Ontario VOC Emissions by Sector (Emissions from Human Activity, 2001 Estimates)(Emissions from Human Activity, 2001 Estimates)
Other Transportation 11%
Miscellaneous Area Sources 8%
Residential 12%
General Solvent Use 24%
Surface Coating 10%
Road Vehicles 18%
Other Processes 17%
Provincial Smog Provincial Smog Policies/Initiatives:Policies/Initiatives:
1) Coal Phase-Out1) Coal Phase-Out
2) Industry Emissions – IERP2) Industry Emissions – IERP
3) Drive Clean3) Drive Clean
Coal-Plant Phase-OutCoal-Plant Phase-Out Coal-fired power plants the largest Coal-fired power plants the largest
industrial source of NOindustrial source of NOxx , CO , CO22 , significant , significant Hg & SOHg & SO22
Election promise for phase-out by 2007Election promise for phase-out by 2007 Plan announced (summer ’05) for 2007 & Plan announced (summer ’05) for 2007 &
20092009 Significant pressure to scrap this promise Significant pressure to scrap this promise
(from media commentators, opposition (from media commentators, opposition parties, large industry, even some quasi-parties, large industry, even some quasi-environmentalists)environmentalists)
Big debates: “Clean coal” and nuclear Big debates: “Clean coal” and nuclear energyenergy
Coal Phase-Out PlanCoal Phase-Out Plan
Lakeview GS in Mississauga (2005)Lakeview GS in Mississauga (2005)
Lambton, Thunder Bay, Atikokan Lambton, Thunder Bay, Atikokan (2007)(2007)
Nanticoke GS (2009)Nanticoke GS (2009)
Industry Emissions Reduction Industry Emissions Reduction PlanPlan
Long history – Ontario Smog Plan, ASAP, Long history – Ontario Smog Plan, ASAP, CAPI, IERP many Ministers, 3 premiers CAPI, IERP many Ministers, 3 premiers ……
IERP NOIERP NOxx & SO & SO22 from key industries from key industries But in 10 years, IERP only asks for 1% But in 10 years, IERP only asks for 1%
NONOxx & 8% SO & 8% SO22 reductions reductions Emissions trading loopholes may mean Emissions trading loopholes may mean
even less improvement even less improvement improved health = overall, net improved health = overall, net
emissions reductionsemissions reductions
Drive Clean & other Provincial Drive Clean & other Provincial Vehicle Emissions InitiativesVehicle Emissions Initiatives
After considerable criticism, Drive After considerable criticism, Drive Clean program was recently re-jiggedClean program was recently re-jigged
Newer cars exempt, stricter on old Newer cars exempt, stricter on old onesones
Target emission reductions = 22% Target emission reductions = 22% Modal shift, carpool lanes, transit, Modal shift, carpool lanes, transit,
gas tax, anti-idling, etc.gas tax, anti-idling, etc.
Federal ProgramsFederal Programs
Low-Sulphur Gasoline Low-Sulphur Gasoline (30 ppm in 2005, a 90% reduction)(30 ppm in 2005, a 90% reduction)
Low-Sulphur Diesel Low-Sulphur Diesel (15 ppm in June 2006, previously 500 ppm & higher)(15 ppm in June 2006, previously 500 ppm & higher)
Canada-wide Smog StandardsCanada-wide Smog Standards Canada-U.S. Air Quality AgreementCanada-U.S. Air Quality Agreement KyotoKyoto CEPACEPA
Trend of Ozone One-Hour Maximum Trend of Ozone One-Hour Maximum Concentrations in OntarioConcentrations in Ontario
(1980 - 2003)(1980 - 2003)
Trend of Ozone Annual Means for Urban and Trend of Ozone Annual Means for Urban and Rural OntarioRural Ontario(1990 - 2003)(1990 - 2003)
Number of Ozone "Episode Days" in OntarioNumber of Ozone "Episode Days" in Ontario(1980 - 2003)(1980 - 2003)
What to Expect in 2006What to Expect in 2006
New Air Quality Health Index pilot New Air Quality Health Index pilot projectsprojects
More debate on coal plantsMore debate on coal plants Low-sulphur on-road dieselLow-sulphur on-road diesel Ontario initiatives on cross-border Ontario initiatives on cross-border
smogsmog A Federal Clean Air Act?A Federal Clean Air Act? CEPA reviewCEPA review
For further questions -For further questions -
My Contact Information:My Contact Information:
[email protected][email protected]
416-340-2953 or 416-340-2953 or
800-268-7215 ext. 2953800-268-7215 ext. 2953