The Demographics of the Upper Eastern Shore WIB
Chesapeake College
April 10th, 2012
Mark Goldstein
Maryland Department of Planning
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Population Change for the Upper Shore WIB, 1900 - 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census data Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
3,562
-4,071
-1,220
3,985
6,564
18,432
9,866
24,441
27,841
24,708
31,532
1900- 1910- 1920- 1930- 1940- 1950- 1960- 1970- 1980- 1990- 2000-
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Population Change for Rest of Maryland, 1900 - 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureu, decennial census data Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
103,740
158,386 183,085 185,733
515,193
739,256
813,342
268,595
535,979 491,025
445,534
1900- 1910- 1920- 1930- 1940- 1950- 1960- 1970- 1980- 1990- 2000-
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Population Change for Maryland’s Jurisdictions, 2000 to 2010
-30,193 157 251 1,000 1,723 1,944 3,294 3,970 4,911
7,235 14,089 14,174 15,157 15,507 16,237
18,940 26,005 26,236
38,108 39,243
48,000 50,737
61,905 98,436
Baltimore CityAllegany
GarrettKent
SomersetDorchester
CarolineTalbot
WorcesterQueen Anne's
WicomicoCalvert
CecilWashington
CarrollSt. Mary's
CharlesHarford
FrederickHoward
Anne ArundelBaltimore Co.
Prince George'sMontgomery
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2010 PL94-171 release Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Top four = 54% of State total, down from approx 60% in 1980s and 1990s and 85% in the 1950s and 1960s
Percent Population Change, 1900 - 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census data Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
1900- 1910- 1920- 1930- 1940- 1950- 1960- 1970- 1980- 1990- 2000-
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Upper Shore WIB Rest of MD
Percent Population Change for Maryland’s Jurisdictions, 2000 to 2010
-4.6%
0.2%
0.8%
5.2%
6.3%
6.7%
7.0%
7.7%
9.8%
10.6%
10.8%
11.1%
11.3%
11.7%
11.8%
12.0%
15.8%
16.6%
17.6%
17.8%
19.0%
19.5%
21.6%
22.0%
Baltimore CityAllegany
GarrettKent
DorchesterBaltimore Co.
SomersetPrince George's
Anne ArundelWorcester
CarrollCaroline
MontgomeryTalbot
WashingtonHarfordHoward
WicomicoCecil
Queen Anne'sCalvert
FrederickCharles
St. Mary's
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2010 PL94-171 release Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Change in Population by Age for the Upper Eastern Shore WIB, 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census data Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning,
4,946
6,407
-5,564
7,603
10,722
4,628
1,154 1,636
0-19 20-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
Change in Population by Age for the Rest of Maryland, 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial Census Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
18,715
86,683
-115,020
139,569
214,670
60,444
10,885 29,588
0-19 20-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
Percent Population in 2010 Ages 65 and Over
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
12.4%
13.8%
14.9% 15.1%
16.1%
7.4%
9.2%
10.6% 11.1%
12.1%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Rest of Maryland
Upper Eastern Shore WIB
2010 Percent of Population Ages 65 and Over for Maryland’s Jurisdictions
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning,
9.4% 9.5%
10.1% 10.3%
10.9% 11.1%
11.7% 11.7% 11.8%
12.3% 12.3% 12.5%
13.0% 13.0%
13.3% 13.8%
14.3% 14.6%
14.9% 17.4%
17.7% 17.8%
21.8% 23.2%
23.7%
Prince George'sCharles
HowardSt. Mary's
CalvertFrederick
Baltimore CityCecil
Anne ArundelMaryland
MontgomeryHarford
WicomicoCarroll
CarolineSomerset
WashingtonBaltimore Co
Queen Anne'sGarrett
DorchesterAllegany
KentWorcester
Talbot
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Change in Population by Non-Hispanic Race and Hispanics for Upper Shore WIB, 2000 to 2010
29
112
192
1,603
2,476
3,406
7,235
16,479
Nat Hawaiian & Oth Pacific Isl Alone
American Indian and Alaska Native Alone
Some Other Race Alone
Asian Alone
Two or More Races
Black or African American Alone
Hispanic
White Alone
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Change in Population by Non-Hispanic Race and Hispanics for the Rest of Maryland, 2000 to 2010
-145,068
391
470
2,401
40,418
105,353
206,088
235,481
White Alone
American Indian and Alaska Native Alone
Nat Hawaiian & Oth Pacific Isl Alone
Some Other Race Alone
Two or More Races
Asian Alone
Black or African American Alone
Hispanic
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Percent Change in Population by non-Hispanic Race and Hispanics for Upper Shore WIB, 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2010 PL94-171 release Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, February 2011
7.6%
9.0%
23.4%
66.2%
72.5%
93.7%
112.3%
156.6%
Black or African American Alone
White Alone
American Indian and Alaska Native Alone
Asian Alone
Nat Hawaiian & Oth Pacific Isl Alone
Some Other Race Alone
Two or More Races
Hispanic
Percent Change in Population by non-Hispanic Race and Hispanics for Rest of Maryland, 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2010 PL94-171release Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
-4.7%
3.0%
14.5%
25.1%
26.2%
50.1%
50.8%
105.5%
White Alone
American Indian and Alaska Native Alone
Black or African American Alone
Nat Hawaiian & Oth Pacific Isl Alone
Some Other Race Alone
Two or More Races
Asian Alone
Hispanic
2010 Population Share by non-Hispanic Race and Hispanics
Upper Shore WIB Rest of Maryland
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2010 PL94-171 release Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
* Other includes American Indian, Native Hawaiian and other single race
74%
18%
2% 2% 0% 4%
White AloneBlack or African American AloneAsian AloneTwo or More RacesOther Alone*Hispanic
54%
30%
6%
2% 0% 8%
White AloneBlack or African American AloneAsian AloneTwo or More RacesOther Alone*Hispanic
Percent of Upper Shore WIB’s 2010 Population by Age Which is Minority *
•Minority is defined as everyone other than non-Hispanic white alone. Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from Census 2010 (SF1)
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100
Percent of Rest of Maryland’s 2010 Population by Age Which is Minority *
•Minority is defined as everyone other than non-Hispanic white alone. Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from Census 2010
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100
Age 39
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Growth in the Foreign Born
1,089 3,576 5,871
116,824
201,245
252,335
1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010Upper Shore WIB Rest of Maryland
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial census, 1980 – 2000, and 2008-2010 American Community Survey for 2010 Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Number of Foreign Born Residents
249 729 1,022 1,169 1,323 1,352 1,654 1,736 2,422 2,992 3,216 3,456 5,676 5,888 6,674 7,876
11,973 21,264
43,129 44,771
49,114 86,107
168,204 304,525
GarrettKent
DorchesterSomerset
CarolineAllegany
Queen Anne'sTalbot
WorcesterCecil
CalvertSt. Mary's
CarrollWashington
WicomicoCharlesHarford
FrederickAnne ArundelBaltimore City
HowardBaltimore
Prince George'sMontgomery
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
61 % of foreign born live in Montgomery and Prince George’s. Top four account for 78%
Percent of Foreign Born Residents
4.9%
14.0%
Upper Shore WIB Rest of Maryland
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Percent of Foreign Born Residents *
0.8% 1.8%
3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6%
4.0% 4.0%
4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 4.9%
5.4% 6.8%
7.2% 8.1%
9.2% 10.7%
17.3% 19.6%
31.7%
GarrettAllegany
CecilDorchesterSt. Mary's
CarrollQueen Anne's
KentCalvert
WashingtonCaroline
SomersetTalbot
WorcesterHarfordCharles
WicomicoBaltimore CityAnne Arundel
FrederickBaltimore
HowardPrince George's
Montgomery
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Foreign Born Change as a Percent of Total Population Change 2000 to 2010 *
19.5%
54.1%
Upper Shore WIB Rest of Maryland
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2008-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Foreign Born as a Percent of Total Population Change, 2000 to 2010 *
5.9% 9.6% 9.8%
11.4% 16.1% 16.8% 17.2% 17.4% 17.9% 18.2%
22.5% 22.5%
24.5% 25.5%
32.0% 37.3%
46.7% 59.3%
67.7% 83.2%
103.7%
St. Mary'sCecil
Queen Anne'sCalvertCarrollTalbot
KentCarolineCharlesHarford
WashingtonDorchesterWorcesterWicomicoSomersetFrederick
Anne ArundelHoward
BaltimoreMontgomery
Prince George's
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2008-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Foreign Born By Region of Origin For Upper Shore WIB*
Arrived in U.S. 2000 or Later Arrived in U.S. Prior to 2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
* Represents a five-year estimate for the 2006-2010 period
63%
19%
13%
5%
Latin America Asia Europe Other areas
34%
30%
27%
9%
Latin America Asia Europe Other areas
Foreign Born By Region of Origin For the Rest of Maryland *
Arrived in U.S. 2000 or Later Arrived in U.S. Prior to 2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
* Represents a five-year estimate for the 2006-2010 period
42%
30%
8%
20%
Latin America Asia Europe Other areas
37%
35%
14%
14%
Latin America Asia Europe Other areas
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Number of Foreign Born Who Speak English “Less Than Very Well” *
* Represents a five-year estimate for the 2006-2010 period Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
40 299 302 432 527 533 553 590 618 678 972 1,088 1,646 1,844 1,962
3,548 3,593
6,891 13,852
16,754 16,854
29,501 61,482
122,398
GarrettAllegany
SomersetDorchester
CalvertQueen Anne's
KentCecil
TalbotWorcester
CarolineSt. Mary's
CarrollCharles
WashingtonWicomico
HarfordFrederick
Anne ArundelHoward
Baltimore CityBaltimore Co
Prince George'sMontgomery
Percent of Foreign Born Who Speak English “Less Than Very Well” *
* Represents a five-year estimate for the 2006-2010 period Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
51.5%
38.4%
Upper Shore WIB Rest of Maryland
Percent of Foreign Born Who Speak English “Less Than Very Well” *
* Represents a five-year estimate for the 2006-2010 period Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
16.1% 17.6%
20.9% 26.2% 26.7%
28.2% 28.6%
29.5% 31.7% 32.3%
33.2% 33.8%
35.2% 35.2% 35.3%
36.3% 36.8% 37.3%
39.2% 40.9%
42.1% 56.9%
63.4% 65.1%
GarrettCalvert
CecilCharles
AlleganySt. Mary's
CarrollSomerset
WorcesterHarford
FrederickQueen Anne's
HowardAnne Arundel
WashingtonBaltimore Co
TalbotPrince George's
Baltimore CityDorchester
MontgomeryWicomico
CarolineKent
Number of Foreign Born Who Speak English “Less Than Very Well” by Native Language – Upper Shore WIB*
* Represents a five-year estimate for the 2006-2010 period Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
3,669
1,679
996
312
Spanish Indo European Asian Other
Demographics of Upper Eastern Shore WIB
• Overall Population Change • Population by Age • Change by Race/Hispanic Origin • Growth of the Foreign Born Population • Foreign Born by Origin • Language Ability • Other Characteristics of the FB
Poverty Rate for Native and Foreign Born
Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
10.6%
8.3%
17.2%
9.7%
Upper Eastern Shore WIB Rest of Maryland
Native Born Foreign Born
Foreign Born Share of the Labor Force
3.3%
5.5%
14.1%
22.8%
2000 2010*
Eastern Shore Rest of MD
Source: Census 2000 (PUMs) and 2008-2010 American Community Survey (PUMs), Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
Foreign and Native Born Share of the Growth in the Labor Force, 2000 to 2010
Eastern Shore Rest of Maryland
Source: Census 2000 (PUMs) and 2008-2010 American Community Survey (PUMs), Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning
19%
81%
Foreign Born Native Born
61%
39%
Foreign Born Native Born
Summary
• The Upper Shore WIB is a fast growing region • UPSH WIB counties have some of the highest
elderly shares • UPSH WIB growth was largest among non-
Hispanic whites, but had significant minority growth (particularly Hispanics)
• With a younger profile, minorities poised to become a larger share of total pop
Summary (cont.)
• Foreign born has been growing in the Upper Shore Region, but most FB are in central MD
• FB made up around 20% of total population change in UPSH WIB
• An increasing share of FB are from Latin America
• A greater share of UPSH WIB FB have language difficulty than in the rest of Maryland
Summary (cont.)
• Poverty rates for FB are higher than native born, particularly in the Upper Shore WIB
• FB made up about one-fifth of the growth in the labor force in the Upper Shore WIB during the last decade
Thank You
www.planning.maryland.gov/msdc/