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'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

POL

ITIC

SC

UL

TU

RE

TH

E M

AG

AZ

INE

SUB

SCR

IBE

NO

WIn

tern

atio

nal O

rder

s|

Giv

e a

Gift

SIG

N IN

PHO

TO B

YC

HA

RLE

SPL

ATI

AU

/Reu

ters

/New

scom

Sign

up

now

toge

t you

r do

se o

fpo

litic

s, c

ultu

re,

and

big

idea

sw

ith o

ur fr

ee

TR

EN

DIN

G

BY

RO

BE

RT

M. S

OL

OW

Tho

mas

Pik

etty

Is R

ight

Ever

ythi

ng y

ou n

eed

to k

now

abo

ut'C

apita

l in

the

Twen

ty-F

irst

Cen

tury

'

APR

IL 2

2, 2

014

BO

OK

S

ICap

ital

in t

he T

wen

ty-F

irst

Cen

tury

by

Thom

as P

iket

ty,

trans

late

d by

Arth

ur G

oldh

amm

er (B

elkn

ap P

ress

)

ncom

e in

equa

lity

in th

e U

nite

d St

ates

and

els

ewhe

re h

as b

een

wor

seni

ng s

ince

the

1970

s.

The

mos

t st

rikin

g as

pect

has

bee

n th

e w

iden

ing

gap

betw

een

the

rich

and

the

rest

. Thi

s

omin

ous

anti-

dem

ocra

tic t

rend

has

fin

ally

fou

nd i

ts w

ay i

nto

publ

ic c

onsc

ious

ness

and

polit

ical

rhe

toric

. A r

atio

nal

and

effe

ctiv

e po

licy

for

deal

ing

with

it—

if th

ere

is to

be

one—

will

hav

e to

rest

on

an u

nder

stan

ding

of

the

caus

es o

f inc

reas

ing

ineq

ualit

y. T

he d

iscu

ssio

n so

THO

MA

S PI

KET

TY IS

RIG

HT

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

daily

new

slet

ter.

SIG

N-U

P

RE

AD

LA

TE

R

FON

T S

IZE

EM

AIL

PRIN

T

AL

ICE

RO

BB

Mul

tilin

gual

s H

ave

Mul

tipl

ePe

rson

alit

ies

TIM

OT

HY

SN

YD

ER

Ukr

aini

an E

xtre

mis

ts W

illO

nly

Triu

mph

if R

ussi

aIn

vade

s

JON

AT

HA

N C

OH

NH

ey, C

onse

rvat

ives

: Oba

ma

Is T

rolli

ng Y

ou o

n th

e A

CA

You

hav

e re

ad:

1/8

free

artic

les

in th

e pa

st 3

0da

ys.

ALR

EA

DY

A

far

has

turn

ed u

p a

num

ber o

f cau

sal f

acto

rs: t

he e

rosi

on o

f the

real

min

imum

wag

e; th

e de

cay

of la

bor u

nion

s an

d co

llect

ive

barg

aini

ng; g

loba

lizat

ion

and

inte

nsifi

ed c

ompe

titio

n fr

om lo

w-

wag

e w

orke

rs i

n po

or c

ount

ries;

tec

hnol

ogic

al c

hang

es a

nd s

hifts

in

dem

and

that

elim

inat

e

mid

-leve

l job

s an

d le

ave

the

labo

r mar

ket p

olar

ized

bet

wee

n th

e hi

ghly

edu

cate

d an

d sk

illed

at

the

top

and

the

mas

s of p

oorly

edu

cate

d an

d un

skill

ed a

t the

bot

tom

.

Each

of

thes

e ca

ndid

ate

caus

es s

eem

s to

cap

ture

a b

it of

the

truth

. B

ut e

ven

take

n to

geth

er

they

do

not

seem

to

prov

ide

a th

orou

ghly

sat

isfa

ctor

y pi

ctur

e. T

hey

have

at

leas

t tw

o

defic

ienc

ies.

Firs

t, th

ey d

o no

t spe

ak to

the

real

ly d

ram

atic

issu

e: th

e te

nden

cy fo

r the

ver

y to

p

inco

mes

—th

e “1

per

cent

”—to

pul

l aw

ay f

rom

the

rest

of

soci

ety.

Sec

ond,

they

seem

a li

ttle

adve

ntiti

ous,

acc

iden

tal;

whe

reas

a fo

rty-y

ear t

rend

com

mon

to th

e ad

vanc

ed e

cono

mie

s of

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es,

Euro

pe,

and

Japa

n w

ould

be

mor

e lik

ely

to re

st o

n so

me

deep

er fo

rces

with

in

mod

ern

indu

stria

l cap

italis

m. N

ow a

long

com

es T

hom

as P

iket

ty, a

forty

-two-

year

-old

Fre

nch

econ

omis

t, to

fill

thos

e ga

ps a

nd th

en s

ome.

I h

ad a

frie

nd, a

dis

tingu

ishe

d al

gebr

aist

, who

se

pref

erre

d ad

ject

ive

of p

rais

e w

as “

serio

us.”

“Z

is a

serio

us m

athe

mat

icia

n,”

he w

ould

say,

or

“Now

that

is a

serio

us p

aint

ing.

” W

ell,

this

is a

serio

us b

ook.

It is

als

o a

long

boo

k: 5

77 p

ages

of c

lose

ly

prin

ted

text

and

seve

nty-

seve

n pa

ges

of n

otes

.

(I c

all

dow

n a

pain

ful p

ox o

n pu

blis

hers

who

put

the

foot

note

s at

the

end

of

the

book

inst

ead

of th

e bo

ttom

of

the

page

whe

re th

ey

belo

ng, t

hus

mak

ing

sure

that

read

ers

like

me

will

ski

p m

any

of t

hem

.) Th

ere

is a

lso

an

exte

nsiv

e “t

echn

ical

ap

pend

ix”

avai

labl

e

onlin

e th

at

cont

ains

ta

bles

of

da

ta,

mat

hem

atic

al

argu

men

ts,

refe

renc

es

to t

he

liter

atur

e, a

nd li

nks

to c

lass

not

es f

or P

iket

ty’s

(ev

iden

tly e

xcel

lent

) le

ctur

e co

urse

in P

aris

.

The

Engl

ish

trans

latio

n by

Arth

ur G

oldh

amm

er re

ads v

ery

wel

l.

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

SU

BS

CR

IBE

R?

LOG

IN H

ER

E

sign

up

for

unlim

ited

acce

ss fo

r ju

st

$34.

97S

IGN

ME

UP

Pike

tty’s

stra

tegy

is to

sta

rt w

ith a

pan

oram

ic r

eadi

ng o

f th

e da

ta a

cros

s spa

ce a

nd ti

me,

and

then

wor

k ou

t fro

m th

ere.

He

and

a gr

oup

of a

ssoc

iate

s, m

ost n

otab

ly E

mm

anue

l Sae

z, a

noth

er

youn

g Fr

ench

eco

nom

ist,

a pr

ofes

sor

at B

erke

ley,

and

Ant

hony

B. A

tkin

son

of O

xfor

d, th

e

pion

eer

and

gray

em

inen

ce o

f m

oder

n in

equa

lity

stud

ies,

hav

e la

bore

d ha

rd t

o co

mpi

le a

n

enor

mou

s da

taba

se t

hat

is s

till

bein

g ex

tend

ed a

nd r

efin

ed.

It pr

ovid

es t

he e

mpi

rical

foun

datio

n fo

r Pik

etty

’s a

rgum

ent.

It al

l beg

ins

with

the

time

path

of t

otal

—pr

ivat

e an

d pu

blic

—w

ealth

(or c

apita

l) in

Fra

nce,

the

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

, an

d th

e U

nite

d St

ates

, go

ing

back

to w

hene

ver d

ata

first

bec

ome

avai

labl

e

and

runn

ing

up t

o th

e pr

esen

t. G

erm

any,

Jap

an,

and

Swed

en,

and

less

fre

quen

tly o

ther

coun

tries

, are

incl

uded

in th

e da

taba

se w

hen

satis

fact

ory

stat

istic

s ex

ist.

If y

ou a

re w

onde

ring

why

a b

ook

abou

t ine

qual

ity sh

ould

beg

in b

y m

easu

ring

tota

l wea

lth, j

ust w

ait.

Sinc

e co

mpa

rison

s ov

er v

ast

stre

tche

s of

tim

e an

d sp

ace

are

the

esse

nce,

ther

e is

a p

robl

em

abou

t fin

ding

com

para

ble

units

in w

hich

to m

easu

re to

tal w

ealth

or c

apita

l in,

say,

Fra

nce

in

1850

as

wel

l as

in th

e U

nite

d St

ates

in 1

950.

Pik

etty

sol

ves t

his

prob

lem

by

divi

ding

wea

lth

mea

sure

d in

loca

l cur

renc

y of

the

time

by n

atio

nal i

ncom

e, a

lso

mea

sure

d in

loca

l cur

renc

y of

the

time.

The

wea

lth-in

com

e ra

tio t

hen

has

the

dim

ensi

on “

year

s.” T

he c

ompa

rison

just

men

tione

d sa

ys i

n fa

ct t

hat

tota

l w

ealth

in

Fran

ce i

n 18

50 a

mou

nted

to

abou

t sev

en y

ears

wor

th o

f in

com

e, b

ut o

nly

abou

t fou

r yea

rs fo

r the

Uni

ted

Stat

es in

195

0. T

his

visu

aliz

atio

n of

natio

nal

wea

lth o

r ca

pita

l as

rel

ativ

e to

nat

iona

l in

com

e is

bas

ic t

o th

e w

hole

ent

erpr

ise.

Ref

eren

ce t

o th

e ca

pita

l-ou

tput

or

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

is

com

mon

plac

e in

eco

nom

ics.

Get

used

to it

.

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

Ther

e is

a s

mal

l am

bigu

ity h

ere.

Pik

etty

use

s “w

ealth

” an

d “c

apita

l” a

s in

terc

hang

eabl

e te

rms.

We

know

how

to c

alcu

late

the

wea

lth o

f a p

erso

n or

an

inst

itutio

n: y

ou a

dd u

p th

e va

lue

of a

ll

its a

sset

s an

d su

btra

ct th

e to

tal

of d

ebts

. (Th

e va

lues

are

mar

ket

pric

es o

r, in

thei

r abs

ence

,

som

e ap

prox

imat

ion.

) Th

e re

sult

is n

et w

orth

or w

ealth

. In

Engl

ish

at le

ast,

this

is o

ften

calle

d

a pe

rson

’s o

r in

stitu

tion’

s ca

pita

l. B

ut “

capi

tal”

has

ano

ther

, not

qui

te e

quiv

alen

t, m

eani

ng: i

t

is a

“fa

ctor

of

prod

uctio

n,”

an e

ssen

tial

inpu

t in

to t

he p

rodu

ctio

n pr

oces

s, in

the

for

m o

f

fact

orie

s, m

achi

nery

, com

pute

rs, o

ffic

e bu

ildin

gs, o

r hou

ses

(that

pro

duce

“ho

usin

g se

rvic

es”)

.

This

mea

ning

can

div

erge

fro

m “

wea

lth.”

Triv

ially

, the

re a

re a

sset

s th

at h

ave

valu

e an

d ar

e

part

of w

ealth

but

do

not

prod

uce

anyt

hing

: w

orks

of

art,

hoar

ds o

f pr

ecio

us m

etal

s, an

d so

forth

. (P

aint

ings

han

ging

in a

livi

ng r

oom

cou

ld b

e sa

id to

pro

duce

“ae

sthe

tic se

rvic

es,”

but

thos

e ar

e no

t ge

nera

lly c

ount

ed in

nat

iona

l in

com

e.)

Mor

e si

gnifi

cant

ly, s

tock

mar

ket v

alue

s,

the

finan

cial

cou

nter

part

of c

orpo

rate

pro

duct

ive

capi

tal,

can

fluct

uate

vio

lent

ly, m

ore

viol

ently

than

nat

iona

l inc

ome.

In a

rece

ssio

n, th

e w

ealth

-inco

me

ratio

may

fall

notic

eabl

y, a

lthou

gh th

e

stoc

k of

pro

duct

ive

capi

tal,

and

even

its

exp

ecte

d fu

ture

ear

ning

pow

er, m

ay h

ave

chan

ged

very

littl

e or

not

at a

ll. B

ut a

s lo

ng a

s w

e st

ick

to lo

nger

-run

tren

ds, a

s Pi

ketty

gen

eral

ly d

oes,

this

diff

icul

ty c

an sa

fely

be

disr

egar

ded.

AD

VER

TISE

MEN

T

load

ing.

..

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

IThe

data

then

exh

ibit

a cl

ear

patte

rn. I

n Fr

ance

and

Gre

at B

ritai

n, n

atio

nal c

apita

l sto

od fa

irly

stea

dily

at a

bout

sev

en ti

mes

nat

iona

l inc

ome

from

170

0 to

191

0, th

en fe

ll sh

arpl

y fr

om 1

910

to 1

950,

pre

sum

ably

as

a re

sult

of w

ars

and

depr

essi

on, r

each

ing

a lo

w o

f 2.5

in B

ritai

n an

d a

bit l

ess

than

3 in

Fra

nce.

The

cap

ital-

inco

me

ratio

then

beg

an to

clim

b in

bot

h co

untri

es, a

nd

reac

hed

slig

htly

mor

e th

an 5

in

Brit

ain

and

slig

htly

les

s th

an 6

in

Fran

ce b

y 20

10. T

he

traje

ctor

y in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es w

as sl

ight

ly d

iffer

ent:

it st

arte

d at

just

abo

ve 3

in 1

770,

clim

bed

to 5

in 1

910,

fell

slig

htly

in 1

920,

reco

vere

d to

a h

igh

betw

een

5 an

d 5.

5 in

193

0, fe

ll to

bel

ow

4 in

195

0, a

nd w

as b

ack

to 4

.5 in

201

0.

The

wea

lth-in

com

e ra

tio in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es h

as a

lway

s be

en lo

wer

than

in E

urop

e. T

he m

ain

reas

on in

the

early

yea

rs w

as th

at la

nd v

alue

s bu

lked

less

in th

e w

ide

open

spa

ces o

f Nor

th

Am

eric

a. T

here

was

of

cour

se m

uch

mor

e la

nd,

but

it w

as v

ery

chea

p. I

nto

the

twen

tieth

cent

ury

and

onw

ard,

how

ever

, th

e lo

wer

cap

ital-

inco

me

ratio

in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es p

roba

bly

refle

cts

the

high

er l

evel

of

prod

uctiv

ity:

a gi

ven

amou

nt o

f ca

pita

l co

uld

supp

ort

a la

rger

prod

uctio

n of

out

put t

han

in E

urop

e. It

is n

o su

rpris

e th

at th

e tw

o w

orld

war

s ca

used

muc

h le

ss

dest

ruct

ion

and

diss

ipat

ion

of c

apita

l in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es t

han

in B

ritai

n an

d Fr

ance

. The

impo

rtant

obs

erva

tion

for

Pike

tty’s

arg

umen

t is

that

, in

all t

hree

cou

ntrie

s, a

nd e

lsew

here

as

wel

l, th

e w

ealth

-inco

me

ratio

has

bee

n in

crea

sing

sin

ce 1

950,

and

is

alm

ost

back

to

nine

teen

th-c

entu

ry le

vels

. H

e pr

ojec

ts th

is in

crea

se to

con

tinue

into

the

curr

ent c

entu

ry, w

ith

wei

ghty

con

sequ

ence

s tha

t will

be

disc

usse

d as

we

go o

n.

n fa

ct h

e pr

edic

ts,

with

out

muc

h co

nfid

ence

and

with

out

kidd

ing

him

self,

tha

t the

wor

ld

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

will

rise

from

just

und

er 4

.5 in

201

0 to

just

ove

r 6.5

by

the

end

of th

is

cent

ury.

Tha

t w

ould

brin

g th

e w

hole

wor

ld b

ack

to w

here

a f

ew r

ich

coun

tries

of E

urop

e

wer

e in

the

nine

teen

th c

entu

ry. W

here

doe

s th

is g

uess

com

e fr

om?

Or,

mor

e ge

nera

lly, w

hat

dete

rmin

es a

n ec

onom

y’s

long

-run

cap

ital-

inco

me

ratio

any

way

? Th

is is

a q

uest

ion

that

has

been

stu

died

by

econ

omis

ts f

or s

ome

seve

nty-

five

year

s. Th

ey h

ave

conv

erge

d on

a st

anda

rd

answ

er th

at P

iket

ty a

dopt

s as

a lo

ng-r

un e

cono

mic

“la

w.”

In ro

ugh

outli

ne it

goe

s lik

e th

is.

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

TImag

ine

an e

cono

my

with

a n

atio

nal i

ncom

e of

100

, gro

win

g at

2 p

erce

nt a

yea

r (pe

rhap

s w

ith

occa

sion

al h

iccu

ps, t

o be

igno

red)

. Su

ppos

e it

regu

larly

sav

es a

nd in

vest

s (th

at is

, add

s to

its

capi

tal)

10 p

erce

nt o

f na

tiona

l inc

ome.

So,

in th

e ye

ar in

whi

ch it

s in

com

e re

ache

s 100

it a

dds

10 to

its

stoc

k of

cap

ital.

We

wan

t to

know

if th

e ca

pita

l-in

com

e ra

tio c

an st

ay u

ncha

nged

for

next

yea

r, th

at is

to sa

y, c

an st

abili

ze fo

r the

long

run.

For

that

to h

appe

n, th

e nu

mer

ator

of t

he

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

mus

t gr

ow a

t th

e sa

me

2 pe

rcen

t ra

te a

s th

e de

nom

inat

or. W

e ha

ve

alre

ady

said

that

it g

row

s by

10;

for t

hat t

o be

2 p

erce

nt o

f cap

ital,

capi

tal m

ust h

ave

been

500

,

no m

ore,

no

less

. We

have

foun

d a

cons

iste

nt st

ory:

this

yea

r nat

iona

l inc

ome

is 1

00, c

apita

l is

500,

and

the

ratio

is 5

. Nex

t yea

r nat

iona

l inc

ome

is 1

02, c

apita

l is

510,

the

ratio

is st

ill 5

, and

this

pro

cess

can

repe

at it

self

auto

mat

ical

ly a

s lo

ng a

s th

e gr

owth

rate

stay

s at 2

per

cent

a y

ear

and

the

savi

ng /

inve

stm

ent r

ate

is 1

0 pe

rcen

t of n

atio

nal i

ncom

e. S

omet

hing

mor

e dr

amat

ic is

true:

if c

apita

l and

labo

r com

bine

to p

rodu

ce n

atio

nal o

utpu

t acc

ordi

ng to

the

good

old

law

of

dim

inis

hing

ret

urns

, th

en w

here

ver

this

eco

nom

y st

arts

, it

will

be

driv

en b

y its

ow

n in

tern

al

logi

c to

this

uni

que

self

-rep

rodu

cing

cap

ital-

inco

me

ratio

.

Car

eful

atte

ntio

n to

thi

s ex

ampl

e w

ill s

how

tha

t it

amou

nts

to a

gen

eral

stat

emen

t: if

the

econ

omy

is g

row

ing

at g

per

cent

per

yea

r, an

d if

it sa

ves

s pe

rcen

t of i

ts n

atio

nal i

ncom

e ea

ch

year

, the

self

-rep

rodu

cing

cap

ital-

inco

me

ratio

is s

/ g

(10

/ 2 in

the

exam

ple)

. Pik

etty

sugg

ests

that

glo

bal g

row

th o

f ou

tput

will

slo

w in

the

com

ing

cent

ury

from

3 p

erce

nt to

1.5

per

cent

annu

ally

. (T

his

is th

e su

m o

f th

e gr

owth

rat

es o

f po

pula

tion

and

prod

uctiv

ity, b

oth

of w

hich

he e

xpec

ts to

dim

inis

h.)

He

puts

the

wor

ld s

avin

g / i

nves

tmen

t rat

e at

abo

ut 1

0 pe

rcen

t. So

he

expe

cts

the

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

to c

limb

even

tual

ly to

som

ethi

ng n

ear 7

(or 1

0 / 1

.5).

This

is a

big

deal

, as

will

em

erge

. H

e is

qui

te a

war

e th

at th

e un

derly

ing

assu

mpt

ions

cou

ld tu

rn o

ut to

be w

rong

; no

one

can

see

a ce

ntur

y ah

ead.

But

it c

ould

pla

usib

ly g

o th

is w

ay.

he k

ey th

ing

abou

t wea

lth in

a c

apita

list e

cono

my

is th

at it

repr

oduc

es it

self

and

usua

lly

earn

s a

posi

tive

net

retu

rn.

That

is

the

next

thi

ng t

o be

inve

stig

ated

. Pik

etty

dev

elop

s

estim

ates

of

the

“pur

e” ra

te o

f re

turn

(afte

r m

inor

adj

ustm

ents

) in

Brit

ain

goin

g ba

ck to

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

1770

and

in F

ranc

e go

ing

back

to 1

820,

but

not

for

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es. H

e co

nclu

des:

“[T

]he

pure

ret

urn

on c

apita

l ha

s os

cilla

ted

arou

nd a

cen

tral

valu

e of

4–5

per

cent

a y

ear,

or m

ore

gene

rally

in

an i

nter

val

from

3–6

per

cent

a y

ear.

Ther

e ha

s be

en n

o pr

onou

nced

long

-term

trend

eith

er u

pwar

d or

dow

nwar

d....

It is

pos

sibl

e, h

owev

er, t

hat t

he p

ure

retu

rn o

n ca

pita

l has

decr

ease

d sl

ight

ly o

ver

the

very

long

run.

” It

wou

ld b

e in

tere

stin

g to

hav

e co

mpa

rabl

e fig

ures

for t

he U

nite

d St

ates

.

Now

if y

ou m

ultip

ly th

e ra

te o

f ret

urn

on c

apita

l by

the

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

, you

get

the

shar

e

of c

apita

l in

the

natio

nal i

ncom

e. F

or e

xam

ple,

if th

e ra

te o

f ret

urn

is 5

per

cent

a y

ear a

nd th

e

stoc

k of

cap

ital i

s si

x ye

ars

wor

th o

f na

tiona

l inc

ome,

inco

me

from

cap

ital w

ill b

e 30

per

cent

of n

atio

nal i

ncom

e, a

nd s

o in

com

e fr

om w

ork

will

be

the

rem

aini

ng 7

0 pe

rcen

t. A

t las

t, af

ter

all t

his

prep

arat

ion,

we

are

begi

nnin

g to

talk

abo

ut in

equa

lity,

and

in tw

o di

stin

ct se

nses

. Firs

t,

we

have

arr

ived

at t

he fu

nctio

nal d

istri

butio

n of

inco

me—

the

split

bet

wee

n in

com

e fr

om w

ork

and

inco

me

from

wea

lth. S

econ

d, it

is a

lway

s th

e ca

se th

at w

ealth

is m

ore

high

ly c

once

ntra

ted

amon

g th

e ric

h th

an in

com

e fr

om la

bor (

alth

ough

rece

nt A

mer

ican

his

tory

look

s ra

ther

odd

in

this

resp

ect);

and

this

bei

ng s

o, th

e la

rger

the

shar

e of

inco

me

from

wea

lth, t

he m

ore

uneq

ual

the

dist

ribut

ion

of in

com

e am

ong

pers

ons

is li

kely

to b

e. I

t is

this

ineq

ualit

y ac

ross

per

sons

that

mat

ters

mos

t for

goo

d or

ill i

n a

soci

ety.

This

is o

ften

not

wel

l un

ders

tood

, an

d m

ay b

e w

orth

a b

rief

digr

essi

on. T

he la

bor

shar

e of

natio

nal i

ncom

e is

arit

hmet

ical

ly th

e sa

me

thin

g as

the

real

wag

e di

vide

d by

the

prod

uctiv

ity o

f

labo

r. W

ould

you

rat

her

live

in a

soc

iety

in w

hich

the

real

wag

e w

as r

isin

g ra

pidl

y bu

t the

labo

r sha

re w

as fa

lling

(bec

ause

pro

duct

ivity

was

incr

easi

ng e

ven

fast

er),

or o

ne in

whi

ch th

e

real

wag

e w

as s

tagn

atin

g, a

long

with

pro

duct

ivity

, so

the

lab

or sh

are

was

unc

hang

ing?

The

first

is

sure

ly b

ette

r on

nar

row

ly e

cono

mic

gro

unds

: yo

u ea

t yo

ur w

age,

not

you

r sha

re o

f

natio

nal i

ncom

e. B

ut th

ere

coul

d be

pol

itica

l and

soc

ial a

dvan

tage

s to

the

seco

nd o

ptio

n. If

a

smal

l cl

ass

of o

wne

rs o

f w

ealth

—an

d it

is s

mal

l—co

mes

to

colle

ct a

gro

win

g sh

are

of th

e

natio

nal

inco

me,

it

is l

ikel

y to

dom

inat

e th

e so

ciet

y in

oth

er w

ays a

s w

ell.

This

dic

hoto

my

need

not

aris

e, b

ut it

is g

ood

to b

e cl

ear.

Supp

ose

we

acce

pt P

iket

ty’s

edu

cate

d gu

ess

that

the

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

will

incr

ease

ove

r the

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

Tnext

cen

tury

bef

ore

stab

ilizi

ng a

t a

high

val

ue s

omew

here

aro

und

7. D

oes

it fo

llow

that

the

capi

tal

shar

e of

inc

ome

will

als

o ge

t bi

gger

? N

ot n

eces

saril

y: r

emem

ber

that

we

have

to

mul

tiply

the

cap

ital-

inco

me

ratio

by

the

rate

of

retu

rn,

and

that

sam

e la

w o

f dim

inis

hing

retu

rns

sugg

ests

that

the

rate

of

retu

rn o

n ca

pita

l w

ill f

all.

As

prod

uctio

n be

com

es m

ore

and

mor

e ca

pita

l-in

tens

ive,

it g

ets h

arde

r and

har

der t

o fin

d pr

ofita

ble

uses

for a

dditi

onal

cap

ital,

or

easy

way

s to

sub

stitu

te c

apita

l fo

r la

bor.

Whe

ther

the

capi

tal

shar

e fa

lls o

r ris

es d

epen

ds o

n

whe

ther

the

rate

of

retu

rn h

as to

fall

prop

ortio

nally

mor

e or

less

than

the

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

rises

.

Ther

e ha

s be

en a

lot

of

rese

arch

aro

und

this

que

stio

n w

ithin

eco

nom

ics,

but

no

defin

itely

conc

lusi

ve a

nsw

er h

as e

mer

ged.

Thi

s su

gges

ts t

hat

the

ultim

ate

effe

ct o

n th

e ca

pita

l sha

re,

whi

chev

er w

ay it

goe

s, w

ill b

e sm

all.

Pike

tty o

pts

for a

n in

crea

se in

the

capi

tal s

hare

, and

I am

incl

ined

to a

gree

with

him

. Pro

duct

ivity

gro

wth

has

bee

n ru

nnin

g ah

ead

of re

al w

age

grow

th

in th

e A

mer

ican

eco

nom

y fo

r th

e la

st f

ew d

ecad

es, w

ith n

o si

gn o

f a re

vers

al, s

o th

e ca

pita

l

shar

e ha

s ris

en a

nd t

he l

abor

sha

re f

alle

n. P

erha

ps t

he c

apita

l sh

are

will

go

from

abo

ut 3

0

perc

ent

to a

bout

35

perc

ent,

with

wha

teve

r ch

alle

nge

to d

emoc

ratic

cul

ture

and

pol

itics

that

enta

ils. he

re is

a s

trong

er im

plic

atio

n of

this

line

of

argu

men

t, an

d w

ith it

we

com

e to

the

hear

t

of P

iket

ty’s

cas

e. S

o fa

r as

I k

now

, no

one

bef

ore

him

has

mad

e th

is c

onne

ctio

n.

Rem

embe

r w

hat h

as b

een

esta

blis

hed

so fa

r. B

oth

hist

ory

and

theo

ry su

gges

t tha

t the

re is

a sl

ow te

nden

cy in

an

indu

stria

l ca

pita

list

econ

omy

for

the

capi

tal-

inco

me

ratio

to st

abili

ze,

and

with

it th

e ra

te o

f re

turn

on

capi

tal.

This

tend

ency

can

be

dist

urbe

d by

seve

re d

epre

ssio

ns,

war

s, a

nd s

ocia

l an

d te

chno

logi

cal

disr

uptio

ns,

but

it re

asse

rts i

tsel

f in

tran

quil

cond

ition

s.

Ove

r the

long

span

of h

isto

ry su

rvey

ed b

y Pi

ketty

, the

rate

of r

etur

n on

cap

ital i

s us

ually

larg

er

than

the

und

erly

ing

rate

of

grow

th.

The

only

sub

stan

tial

exce

ptio

nal

sub-

perio

d is

bet

wee

n

1910

and

195

0. P

iket

ty a

scrib

es th

is r

arity

to th

e di

srup

tion

and

high

taxa

tion

caus

ed b

y th

e

two

grea

t war

s an

d th

e de

pres

sion

that

cam

e be

twee

n th

em.

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

BTher

e is

no

logi

cal n

eces

sity

for

the

rate

of

retu

rn to

exc

eed

the

grow

th ra

te: a

soc

iety

or

the

indi

vidu

als

in i

t ca

n de

cide

to

save

and

to

inve

st s

o m

uch

that

the

y (a

nd t

he l

aw o

f

dim

inis

hing

ret

urns

) dr

ive

the

rate

of

retu

rn b

elow

the

long

-term

gro

wth

rat

e, w

hate

ver t

hat

happ

ens

to b

e. I

t is

kno

wn

that

this

pos

sibl

e st

ate

of a

ffai

rs is

soc

ially

per

vers

e in

the

sens

e

that

letti

ng th

e st

ock

of c

apita

l dim

inis

h un

til th

e ra

te o

f re

turn

falls

bac

k to

equ

ality

with

the

grow

th r

ate

wou

ld a

llow

for

a p

erm

anen

tly h

ighe

r le

vel o

f con

sum

ptio

n pe

r per

son,

and

thus

for

a be

tter

soci

al s

tate

. B

ut th

ere

is n

o in

visi

ble

hand

to st

eer a

mar

ket e

cono

my

away

from

this

per

vers

ity. Y

et it

has

bee

n av

oide

d, p

roba

bly

beca

use

hist

oric

al g

row

th r

ates

hav

e be

en

low

and

cap

ital

has

been

sca

rce.

We

can

take

it a

s no

rmal

that

the

rate

of

retu

rn o

n ca

pita

l

exce

eds

the

unde

rlyin

g gr

owth

rate

.

ut n

ow w

e ca

n tu

rn o

ur a

ttent

ion

to w

hat

is h

appe

ning

with

in th

e ec

onom

y. S

uppo

se it

has

reac

hed

a “s

tead

y st

ate”

whe

n th

e ca

pita

l-in

com

e ra

tio h

as st

abili

zed.

Tho

se w

hose

inco

me

com

es e

ntire

ly fr

om w

ork

can

expe

ct th

eir w

ages

and

inco

mes

to b

e ris

ing

abou

t

as fa

st a

s pr

oduc

tivity

is in

crea

sing

thro

ugh

tech

nolo

gica

l pro

gres

s. T

hat i

s a

little

less

than

the

over

all

grow

th r

ate,

whi

ch a

lso

incl

udes

the

rat

e of

pop

ulat

ion

incr

ease

. N

ow i

mag

ine

som

eone

who

se in

com

e co

mes

ent

irely

from

acc

umul

ated

wea

lth. H

e or

she

ear

ns r

per

cent

a

year

. (I

am ig

norin

g ta

xes,

but

not

for

long

.) If

she

is v

ery

wea

lthy,

she

is li

kely

to c

onsu

me

only

a s

mal

l fr

actio

n of

her

inco

me.

The

res

t is

sav

ed a

nd a

ccum

ulat

ed, a

nd h

er w

ealth

will

incr

ease

by

alm

ost

r pe

rcen

t ea

ch y

ear,

and

so w

ill h

er in

com

e. I

f you

leav

e $1

00 in

a b

ank

acco

unt p

ayin

g 3

perc

ent i

nter

est,

your

bal

ance

will

incr

ease

by

3 pe

rcen

t eac

h ye

ar.

This

is P

iket

ty’s

mai

n po

int,

and

his

new

and

pow

erfu

l con

tribu

tion

to a

n ol

d to

pic:

as

long

as

the

rate

of

retu

rn e

xcee

ds t

he r

ate

of g

row

th,

the

inco

me

and

wea

lth o

f the

rich

will

gro

w

fast

er th

an th

e ty

pica

l in

com

e fr

om w

ork.

(Th

ere

seem

s to

be

no o

ffse

tting

tend

ency

for t

he

aggr

egat

e sh

are

of c

apita

l to

shr

ink;

the

tend

ency

may

be

slig

htly

in th

e op

posi

te d

irect

ion.

)

This

int

erpr

etat

ion

of t

he o

bser

ved

trend

tow

ard

incr

easi

ng i

nequ

ality

, an

d es

peci

ally

the

phen

omen

on o

f th

e 1

perc

ent,

is n

ot r

oote

d in

any

fai

lure

of

econ

omic

inst

itutio

ns; i

t res

ts

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

Pprim

arily

on

the

abili

ty o

f th

e ec

onom

y to

abs

orb

incr

easi

ng a

mou

nts

of c

apita

l w

ithou

t a

subs

tant

ial f

all i

n th

e ra

te o

f ret

urn.

Thi

s m

ay b

e go

od n

ews f

or th

e ec

onom

y as

a w

hole

, but

it

is n

ot g

ood

new

s for

equ

ity w

ithin

the

econ

omy.

We

need

a n

ame

for

this

pro

cess

for

fut

ure

refe

renc

e. I

will

cal

l it

the

“ric

h-ge

t-ric

her

dyna

mic

.” T

he m

echa

nism

is a

littl

e m

ore

com

plic

ated

than

Pik

etty

’s b

ook

lets

on.

The

re is

som

e sa

ving

from

labo

r inc

ome,

and

thus

som

e ac

cum

ulat

ion

of c

apita

l in

the

hand

s of

wag

e

and

sala

ry e

arne

rs.

The

retu

rn o

n th

is w

ealth

has

to

be t

aken

int

o ac

coun

t. St

ill, g

iven

the

smal

l ini

tial w

ealth

and

the

rela

tivel

y lo

w s

avin

g ra

te b

elow

the

top

grou

p, a

s w

ell a

s th

e fa

ct

that

sm

all s

avin

gs e

arn

a re

lativ

ely

low

rate

of r

etur

n, c

alcu

latio

n sh

ows

that

this

mec

hani

sm is

not c

apab

le o

f off

setti

ng th

e fo

reca

st o

f wid

enin

g in

equa

lity.

Ther

e is

yet

ano

ther

, al

so r

athe

r da

rk,

impl

icat

ion

of t

his

acco

unt

of u

nder

lyin

g tre

nds.

If

alre

ady

exis

ting

aggl

omer

atio

ns o

f w

ealth

tend

to g

row

fas

ter

than

inco

mes

fro

m w

ork,

it is

likel

y th

at th

e ro

le o

f inh

erite

d w

ealth

in so

ciet

y w

ill in

crea

se re

lativ

e to

that

of r

ecen

tly e

arne

d

and

ther

efor

e m

ore

mer

it-ba

sed

fortu

nes.

Nee

dles

s to

say

, the

fact

that

the

aggr

egat

e of

wag

e

inco

mes

gro

ws

only

at a

rela

tivel

y sl

ow ra

te d

oes

not e

xclu

de th

e po

ssib

ility

that

out

stan

ding

ly

succ

essf

ul in

nova

tors

, man

ager

s, e

ntre

pren

eurs

, en

terta

iner

s, a

nd o

ther

s ca

n ac

cum

ulat

e la

rge

amou

nts

of w

ealth

in a

life

time

and

join

the

rank

s of

the

rent

iers

. But

a sl

ower

rate

of g

row

th

certa

inly

mak

es s

uch

succ

ess

stor

ies

less

like

ly. T

here

will

be

mor

e to

say

abo

ut th

is. Y

et th

e

arith

met

ic s

ugge

sts

that

the

con

cent

ratio

n of

wea

lth a

nd i

ts a

bilit

y to

gro

w w

ill fa

vor a

n

incr

easi

ng w

eigh

t of i

nher

itanc

e as

com

pare

d w

ith ta

lent

.

iket

ty li

kes

to d

escr

ibe

the

dist

ribut

ion

of in

com

e an

d w

ealth

con

cret

ely,

and

not

in te

rms

of s

umm

ary

stat

istic

s. H

e lo

oks

at t

he p

ropo

rtion

s of

the

tot

al c

laim

ed b

y th

e to

p 1

perc

ent

(som

etim

es a

lso

the

top

tent

h of

the

1 pe

rcen

t), th

e to

p 10

per

cent

, the

nex

t 40

perc

ent,

and

the

botto

m h

alf.

(He

labe

ls th

e 40

per

cent

bet

wee

n th

e to

p de

cile

and

the

med

ian

as th

e “m

iddl

e cl

ass.”

The

re is

an

elem

ent

of o

xym

oron

in a

mid

dle

clas

s th

at li

es e

ntire

ly

abov

e th

e m

edia

n; b

ut I

sup

pose

this

usa

ge is

no

wor

se th

an th

e A

mer

ican

hab

it of

des

crib

ing

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

Yever

yone

bet

wee

n th

e cl

early

rich

and

the

abje

ctly

poo

r as

bein

g in

the

mid

dle

clas

s.)

The

data

are

com

plic

ated

and

not

eas

ily c

ompa

rabl

e ac

ross

tim

e an

d sp

ace,

but

her

e is

the

flavo

r of

Pik

etty

’s s

umm

ary

pict

ure.

Cap

ital i

s in

deed

ver

y un

equa

lly d

istri

bute

d. C

urre

ntly

in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es,

the

top

10 p

erce

nt o

wn

abou

t 70

per

cent

of

all

the

capi

tal,

half

of th

at

belo

ngin

g to

the

top

1 pe

rcen

t; th

e ne

xt 4

0 pe

rcen

t—w

ho c

ompo

se th

e “m

iddl

e cl

ass”

—ow

n

abou

t a q

uarte

r of t

he to

tal (

muc

h of

that

in th

e fo

rm o

f hou

sing

), an

d th

e re

mai

ning

hal

f of t

he

popu

latio

n ow

ns n

ext t

o no

thin

g, a

bout

5 p

erce

nt o

f tot

al w

ealth

. Eve

n th

at a

mou

nt o

f mid

dle-

clas

s pr

oper

ty o

wne

rshi

p is

a n

ew p

heno

men

on in

his

tory

. The

typi

cal E

urop

ean

coun

try is

a

little

mor

e eg

alita

rian:

the

top

1 pe

rcen

t ow

n 25

per

cent

of

the

tota

l ca

pita

l, an

d th

e m

iddl

e

clas

s 35

per

cent

. (A

cen

tury

ago

the

Eur

opea

n m

iddl

e cl

ass

owne

d es

sent

ially

no

wea

lth a

t

all.)

If th

e ow

ners

hip

of w

ealth

in fa

ct b

ecom

es e

ven

mor

e co

ncen

trate

d du

ring

the

rest

of t

he

twen

ty-f

irst c

entu

ry, t

he o

utlo

ok is

pre

tty b

leak

unl

ess y

ou h

ave

a ta

ste

for o

ligar

chy.

Inco

me

from

wea

lth is

pro

babl

y ev

en m

ore

conc

entra

ted

than

wea

lth it

self

beca

use,

as

Pike

tty

note

s, la

rge

bloc

ks o

f w

ealth

ten

d to

ear

n a

high

er r

etur

n th

an s

mal

l on

es. S

ome

of th

is

adva

ntag

e co

mes

fro

m e

cono

mie

s of

sca

le,

but

mor

e m

ay c

ome

from

the

fact

that

ver

y bi

g

inve

stor

s ha

ve a

cces

s to

a w

ider

ran

ge o

f in

vest

men

t op

portu

nitie

s th

an s

mal

ler

inve

stor

s.

Inco

me

from

wor

k is

nat

ural

ly le

ss c

once

ntra

ted

than

inco

me

from

wea

lth. I

n Pi

ketty

’s st

yliz

ed

pict

ure

of t

he U

nite

d St

ates

tod

ay,

the

top

1 pe

rcen

t ea

rns

abou

t 12

per

cent

of a

ll la

bor

inco

me,

the

next

9 p

erce

nt e

arn

23 p

erce

nt,

the

mid

dle

clas

s ge

ts a

bout

40

perc

ent,

and

the

botto

m h

alf

abou

t a

quar

ter

of i

ncom

e fr

om w

ork.

Eur

ope

is n

ot v

ery

diff

eren

t: th

e to

p 10

perc

ent c

olle

ct so

mew

hat l

ess a

nd th

e ot

her t

wo

grou

ps a

littl

e m

ore.

ou g

et t

he p

ictu

re:

mod

ern

capi

talis

m i

s an

une

qual

soc

iety

, an

d th

e ric

h-ge

t-ric

her

dyna

mic

stro

ngly

sug

gest

that

it w

ill g

et m

ore

so. B

ut th

ere

is o

ne m

ore

loos

e en

d to

tie

up, a

lread

y hi

nted

at,

and

it ha

s to

do

with

the

adve

nt o

f ver

y hi

gh w

age

inco

mes

. Firs

t,

here

are

som

e fa

cts

abou

t the

com

posi

tion

of to

p in

com

es. A

bout

60

perc

ent o

f the

inco

me

of

the

top

1 pe

rcen

t in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es to

day

is la

bor

inco

me.

Onl

y w

hen

you

get

to th

e to

p

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

tent

h of

1 p

erce

nt d

oes

inco

me

from

cap

ital

star

t to

pre

dom

inat

e. T

he i

ncom

e of

the

top

hund

redt

h of

1 p

erce

nt is

70

perc

ent

from

cap

ital.

The

stor

y fo

r Fra

nce

is n

ot v

ery

diff

eren

t,

thou

gh th

e pr

opor

tion

of la

bor i

ncom

e is

a b

it hi

gher

at e

very

leve

l. Ev

iden

tly th

ere

are

som

e

very

hig

h w

age

inco

mes

, as

if yo

u di

dn’t

kno

w.

This

is a

fairl

y re

cent

dev

elop

men

t. In

the

1960

s, th

e to

p 1

perc

ent o

f wag

e ea

rner

s co

llect

ed a

little

mor

e th

an 5

per

cent

of

all

wag

e in

com

es.

This

fra

ctio

n ha

s ris

en p

retty

stea

dily

unt

il

now

aday

s, w

hen

the

top

1 pe

rcen

t of

wag

e ea

rner

s re

ceiv

e 10

–12

perc

ent o

f all

wag

es. T

his

time

the

stor

y is

rat

her

diff

eren

t in

Fra

nce.

The

re th

e sh

are

of to

tal

wag

es g

oing

to th

e to

p

perc

entil

e w

as s

tead

y at

6 p

erce

nt u

ntil

very

rece

ntly

, whe

n it

clim

bed

to 7

per

cent

. The

rece

nt

surg

e of

ext

rem

e in

equa

lity

at th

e to

p of

the

wag

e di

strib

utio

n m

ay b

e pr

imar

ily a

n A

mer

ican

deve

lopm

ent.

Pike

tty, w

ho w

ith E

mm

anue

l Sae

z ha

s m

ade

a ca

refu

l stu

dy o

f hig

h-in

com

e ta

x

retu

rns

in th

e U

nite

d St

ates

, at

tribu

tes

this

to th

e ris

e of

wha

t he

calls

“su

perm

anag

ers.”

The

very

hig

hest

inc

ome

clas

s co

nsis

ts t

o a

subs

tant

ial

exte

nt o

f to

p ex

ecut

ives

of

larg

e

corp

orat

ions

, with

ver

y ric

h co

mpe

nsat

ion

pack

ages

. (A

dis

prop

ortio

nate

num

ber o

f the

se, b

ut

by n

o m

eans

all

of th

em, c

ome

from

the

finan

cial

ser

vice

s in

dust

ry.)

With

or

with

out

stoc

k

optio

ns, t

hese

larg

e pa

y pa

ckag

es g

et c

onve

rted

to w

ealth

and

futu

re in

com

e fr

om w

ealth

. But

the

fact

rem

ains

that

muc

h of

the

incr

ease

d in

com

e (a

nd w

ealth

) ine

qual

ity in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es

is d

riven

by

the

rise

of th

ese

supe

rman

ager

s.

Ther

e is

not

muc

h un

ders

tand

ing

of th

is p

heno

men

on, a

nd th

is b

ook

has

little

to a

dd. P

iket

ty

is o

f co

urse

aw

are

that

exe

cutiv

e pa

y at

the

very

top

is u

sual

ly d

eter

min

ed in

a c

ozy

way

by

boar

ds o

f di

rect

ors

and

com

pens

atio

n co

mm

ittee

s m

ade

up o

f peo

ple

very

like

the

exec

utiv

es

they

are

pay

ing.

The

re i

s ce

rtain

ly a

n el

emen

t of

the

Lak

e W

obeg

on i

llusi

on: e

very

boa

rd

wan

ts to

bel

ieve

that

“its

” hi

gh e

xecu

tives

are

bet

ter

than

the

med

ian

and

dese

rve

to b

e pa

id

mor

e th

an th

e m

edia

n.

It is

of c

ours

e po

ssib

le th

at “

supe

rman

ager

s” re

ally

are

supe

rman

ager

s, an

d th

eir v

ery

high

pay

mer

ely

refle

cts

thei

r ve

ry la

rge

cont

ribut

ions

to c

orpo

rate

pro

fits.

It is

eve

n po

ssib

le th

at th

eir

incr

ease

d do

min

ance

sinc

e th

e 19

60s

has

an id

entif

iabl

e ca

use

alon

g th

at li

ne. T

his

expl

anat

ion

wou

ld b

e ha

rder

to m

aint

ain

if th

e ph

enom

enon

turn

s out

to b

e un

ique

ly A

mer

ican

. It d

oes

not

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

Ioccu

r in

Fra

nce

or, o

n ca

sual

obs

erva

tion,

in G

erm

any

or Ja

pan.

Can

thei

r top

exe

cutiv

es la

ck

a ce

rtain

gen

e? If

so, i

t wou

ld b

e a

frui

tful f

ield

for t

rans

plan

ts.

Ano

ther

pos

sibi

lity,

tem

ptin

g bu

t st

ill r

athe

r va

gue,

is th

at to

p m

anag

emen

t com

pens

atio

n, a

t

leas

t som

e of

it, d

oes

not r

eally

bel

ong

in th

e ca

tego

ry o

f lab

or in

com

e, b

ut re

pres

ents

inst

ead

a so

rt of

adj

unct

to c

apita

l, an

d sh

ould

be

treat

ed in

par

t as

a w

ay o

f sh

arin

g in

inco

me

from

capi

tal.

Ther

e is

a p

uzzl

e he

re w

hose

sol

utio

n w

ould

shed

som

e lig

ht o

n th

e re

cent

incr

ease

in

ineq

ualit

y at

the

top

of

the

pyra

mid

in

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es.

The

puzz

le m

ay n

ot b

e so

lubl

e

beca

use

the

varie

ty o

f circ

umst

ance

s an

d ou

tcom

es is

just

too

larg

e.

n an

y ca

se, i

t is

pret

ty c

lear

that

the

clas

s of

sup

erm

anag

ers

belo

ngs s

ocia

lly a

nd p

oliti

cally

with

the

ren

tiers

, no

t w

ith t

he l

arge

r bo

dy o

f sa

larie

d an

d in

depe

nden

t pro

fess

iona

ls a

nd

mid

dle

man

ager

s. S

o Pi

ketty

’s f

oreb

odin

g vi

sion

of

the

twen

ty-f

irst

cent

ury

rem

ains

to b

e

deal

t with

: slo

wer

gro

wth

of

popu

latio

n an

d pr

oduc

tivity

, a ra

te o

f re

turn

on

capi

tal d

istin

ctly

high

er th

an th

e gr

owth

rate

, the

wea

lth-in

com

e ra

tio ri

sing

bac

k to

nin

etee

nth-

cent

ury

heig

hts,

prob

ably

a s

omew

hat

high

er c

apita

l sh

are

in n

atio

nal

inco

me,

an

incr

easi

ng d

omin

ance

of

inhe

rited

wea

lth o

ver

earn

ed w

ealth

, and

a st

ill w

ider

gap

bet

wee

n th

e to

p in

com

es a

nd a

ll th

e

othe

rs.

May

be a

littl

e sk

eptic

ism

is in

ord

er. F

or in

stan

ce,

the

hist

oric

ally

fairl

y st

able

long

-

run

rate

of r

etur

n ha

s be

en th

e ba

lanc

ed o

utco

me

of a

tens

ion

betw

een

dim

inis

hing

retu

rns

and

tech

nolo

gica

l pro

gres

s; p

erha

ps a

slow

er ra

te o

f gro

wth

in th

e fu

ture

will

pul

l the

rate

of r

etur

n

dow

n dr

astic

ally

. Per

haps

. But

sup

pose

that

Pik

etty

is o

n th

e w

hole

righ

t. W

hat,

if an

ythi

ng, i

s

to b

e do

ne?

Pike

tty’s

stro

ng p

refe

renc

e is

for

an

annu

al p

rogr

essi

ve ta

x on

wea

lth, w

orld

wid

e if

poss

ible

,

to e

xclu

de f

light

to p

hony

tax

have

ns.

He

reco

gniz

es th

at a

glo

bal t

ax is

a h

opel

ess

goal

, but

he th

inks

that

it is

pos

sibl

e to

enf

orce

a re

gion

al w

ealth

tax

in a

n ar

ea th

e si

ze o

f Eur

ope

or th

e

Uni

ted

Stat

es.

An

exam

ple

of t

he s

ort

of r

ate

sche

dule

tha

t he

has

in m

ind

is 0

per

cent

on

fortu

nes

belo

w o

ne m

illio

n eu

ros,

1 p

erce

nt o

n fo

rtune

s be

twee

n on

e an

d fiv

e m

illio

n eu

ros,

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

and

2 pe

rcen

t ab

ove

five

mill

ion

euro

s. (

A e

uro

is c

urre

ntly

wor

th a

bout

$1.

37.)

Rem

embe

r

that

thi

s is

an

annu

al t

ax,

not

a on

etim

e le

vy.

He

estim

ates

tha

t su

ch a

tax

app

lied

in th

e

Euro

pean

Uni

on w

ould

gen

erat

e re

venu

e eq

ual

to a

bout

2 p

erce

nt o

f G

DP,

to

be u

sed

or

dist

ribut

ed a

ccor

ding

to s

ome

agre

ed fo

rmul

a. H

e se

ems

to p

refe

r, as

wou

ld I,

a sl

ight

ly m

ore

prog

ress

ive

rate

sch

edul

e. O

f co

urse

the

adm

inis

tratio

n of

suc

h a

tax

wou

ld re

quire

a h

igh

degr

ee o

f tra

nspa

renc

y an

d co

mpl

ete

repo

rting

on

the

part

of f

inan

cial

inst

itutio

ns a

nd o

ther

corp

orat

ions

. The

boo

k di

scus

ses

in s

ome

deta

il ho

w th

is m

ight

wor

k in

the

Euro

pean

con

text

.

As

with

any

tax,

ther

e w

ould

no

doub

t be

a co

ntin

uing

stru

ggle

to c

lose

loop

hole

s an

d pr

even

t

evas

ion,

but

that

is p

ar fo

r the

cou

rse.

Ann

ual

reve

nue

of 2

per

cent

of

GD

P is

nei

ther

triv

ial

nor

enor

mou

s. B

ut re

venu

e is

not

the

cent

ral

purp

ose

of P

iket

ty’s

pro

posa

l. Its

poi

nt is

that

it is

the

diff

eren

ce b

etw

een

the

grow

th

rate

and

the

afte

r-ta

x re

turn

on

capi

tal t

hat f

igur

es in

the

rich-

get-

riche

r dyn

amic

of i

ncre

asin

g

ineq

ualit

y. A

tax

on c

apita

l with

a ra

te st

ruct

ure

like

the

one

sugg

este

d w

ould

dim

inis

h th

e ga

p

betw

een

the

rate

of

retu

rn a

nd th

e gr

owth

rate

by

perh

aps

1.5

perc

ent a

nd w

ould

wea

ken

that

mec

hani

sm p

erce

ptib

ly.

This

pro

posa

l m

akes

tec

hnic

al s

ense

bec

ause

it

is a

nat

ural

ant

idot

e to

the

dyn

amic

s of

ineq

ualit

y th

at h

e ha

s un

cove

red.

Kee

p in

min

d th

at th

e ric

h-ge

t-ric

her p

roce

ss is

a p

rope

rty o

f

the

syst

em a

s it

oper

ates

on

alre

ady

accu

mul

ated

wea

lth. I

t doe

s no

t wor

k th

roug

h in

divi

dual

ince

ntiv

es to

inno

vate

or e

ven

to sa

ve. B

lunt

ing

it w

ould

not

nec

essa

rily

blun

t the

m. O

f cou

rse

a lo

wer

afte

r-ta

x re

turn

on

capi

tal

mig

ht m

ake

the

accu

mul

atio

n of

larg

e fo

rtune

s so

mew

hat

less

attr

activ

e, t

houg

h ev

en t

hat

is n

ot a

t al

l cl

ear.

In a

ny c

ase,

it

wou

ld b

e a

tole

rabl

e

cons

eque

nce.

Pike

tty w

rites

as

if a

tax

on w

ealth

mig

ht s

omet

ime

soon

hav

e po

litic

al v

iabi

lity

in E

urop

e,

whe

re th

ere

is a

lread

y so

me

expe

rienc

e w

ith c

apita

l le

vies

. I

have

no

opin

ion

abou

t tha

t. O

n

this

sid

e of

the

Atla

ntic

, the

re w

ould

see

m to

be

no s

erio

us p

rosp

ect o

f suc

h an

out

com

e. W

e

are

polit

ical

ly u

nabl

e to

pre

serv

e ev

en a

n es

tate

tax

with

real

bite

. If w

e co

uld,

that

wou

ld b

e a

reas

onab

le p

lace

to s

tart,

not

to m

entio

n a

mor

e st

eepl

y pr

ogre

ssiv

e in

com

e ta

x th

at d

id n

ot

favo

r in

com

e fr

om c

apita

l as

the

curr

ent s

yste

m d

oes.

But

the

built

-in te

nden

cy fo

r the

top

to

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

outp

ace

ever

yone

els

e w

ill n

ot y

ield

to m

inor

pat

ches

. Wou

ldn’

t it b

e in

tere

stin

g if

the

Uni

ted

Stat

es w

ere

to b

ecom

e th

e la

nd o

f th

e fr

ee,

the

hom

e of

the

bra

ve,

and

the

last

refu

ge o

f

incr

easi

ng in

equa

lity

at th

e to

p (a

nd p

erha

ps a

lso

at th

e bo

ttom

)? W

ould

that

wor

k fo

r you

?

Robe

rt M

. Sol

ow is

Inst

itute

Pro

fess

or o

f Eco

nom

ics

emer

itus

at M

IT. H

e w

on th

e N

obel

Pri

ze

in E

cono

mic

s in

198

7.

shar

e th

is a

rtic

le o

n fa

cebo

ok o

r tw

itter

post

ed in

: pol

itics

,eco

nom

ics,

inco

me

ineq

ualit

y,ta

xatio

n,m

arx

prin

t thi

s ar

ticle

You

May

Lik

eby

Tab

oola

Spo

nsor

ed C

onte

nt

Hai

r C

olor

for

Wom

en

Wh

y Y

ou S

hou

ld C

olor

You

r G

ray

at H

ome

Per

fect

ly T

imed

Pic

ture

s

Th

e M

ost

Ou

trag

eou

s,P

erfe

ctly

Tim

edP

ictu

res

Yo…

Qu

iBid

s

SP

EC

IAL

RE

PO

RT

:M

ust

-Hav

e P

rod

uct

sB

ein

g S

old

Wit

h S

t…

Con

tin

uu

m

DD

OS

in 2

014

: T

he

New

Dis

trib

ute

d D

enia

lof

Ser

vice

A…

Tru

e H

ealt

h

You

Wil

l Be

SH

OC

KE

Dto

Hea

r th

e T

ruth

Ab

out

L…

Tri

pC

ura

tor

Bes

t R

esor

ts:

Top

10

Car

ibbe

an V

alu

es

'Cap

ital i

n th

e Tw

enty

-Firs

t Cen

tury

' by

Thom

as P

iket

ty, r

evie

wed

| N

ew R

epub

lic

http

://w

ww

.new

repu

blic

.com

/arti

cle/

1174

29/c

apita

l-tw

enty

-firs

t-cen

tury

-thom

as-p

iket

ty-r

evie

wed

[4/2

7/20

14 5

:53:

41 A

M]

Apr

il 20

, 201

4 - 1

2:00

AM

Why

Do

Our

Off

ices

Mak

e U

s So

Mis

erab

le?

Apr

il 22

, 201

4 8:

00 P

M

Putin

Is U

sing

WW

II fo

r Pr

opag

anda

Bec

ause

It's

the

Bes

t Mem

ory

Tha

tR

ussi

a H

as

pro

acti

v+

Don

’t L

et Y

ours

elf

Get

Th

ese

Maj

or T

ypes

of

Acn

eW

en b

y C

haz

Dea

n

Hai

r C

are

Issu

es:

Bef

ore

& A

fter

Ph

otos

by T

aboo

laP

rom

oted

Con

tent

Fro

m T

he

Web

Fro

m T

he

New

Rep

ub

lic

How

To

Tra

in Y

our

Pu

pp

y to

Sit

(uliv

e)

See

Th

is/S

kip

Th

at: F

rom

Th

eO

ther

Wom

…(P

EO

PLE

.com

)

Th

e M

ost

Hil

ario

us,

Am

azin

g,…

(Am

azin

gly

Tim

ed P

hoto

s)

12 F

un

Fac

ts A

bou

t "S

aved

By

Th

e B

ell"

(Sug

gest

)

Ch

alle

nge

s O

n A

Cro

ss C

oun

try

Bik

e T

rip

(Mer

rell)

Is R

uss

ia S

uff

erin

g F

rom

Pos

t-T

rau

mat

ic S

tres

s D

iso

…H

ow T

wo

Inof

fen

sive

Wor

ds

Bec

ame

the

Mos

t In

flam

ma…

Rep

ubl

ican

s H

ave

a G

ood

Map

.T

hat

Doe

sn't

Mea

n O

…T

hom

as J

effe

rson

Was

a M

usl

imM

ich

ael P

ined

a’s

Fou

l Bal

l

360

com

men

ts


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