+ All Categories
Transcript
Page 1: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Valuation:Crossroads or cul de sac?

Charles Cowap

RICS Wales Rural Conference Llandrindod Wells

December 2014

Page 2: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Valuation is becoming ….

• Broader

• More Complex

• More Challenging

• Riskier

Page 3: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Down in the woods today …

Page 4: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Inheritance tax

Page 5: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Is Woodland:

1. A Business Asset?

2. Agricultural Property?

3. None of the above?

Page 6: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Woodland as a Business Asset

• Business Property Relief– Not investment business

(Balfour)

• How to demonstrate Business Nature?

Page 7: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Woodland as agricultural property

• Agricultural Property Relief– Nature of ‘agricultural

property’– ‘with’ and ‘ancillary’

• ‘Agricultural Value’

Page 8: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

None of the Above

• Woodlands Relief– Prairie Value – the custom

and practice

– What the IHTA 1984 (s125) says

Page 9: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

An example10 acre woodland, broadleaf, vacant possession, location accessible, upmarket and popular

Various scenarios

Page 10: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Values

• Freehold market value £70,000

• Agricultural value £40,000

• Prairie value £15,000

• Value of trees and underwood £20,000

Page 11: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

BPR

• Claim at 100% of MV

• Nil IHT

Page 12: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

APR• Claim at 100% of Agricultural Value

(£40,000)

• BPR on balance (£30,000)

• Nil IHT

• BPR not available? IHT on £30,000, ie £12,000

Page 13: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Woodlands Relief (1)

• Value to Prairie Value

• IHT due on £15,000 @ 40% = £6,000

• Further IHT on subsequent sale of timber (if ever)

Page 14: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Woodlands Relief (2)Literal interpretation

• Market Value – Timber and underwood value

• £70,000 - £20,000 = £50,000

• IHT on £50,000 @ 40% = £20,000

Page 15: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

No claim for relief

• Market Value at 40% IHT

• £28,000

Page 16: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

One woodFive different IHT scenarios

• No relief: £28,000

• Literal Woodland Relief: £20,000

• Prairie Value Woodland Relief: £6,000

• APR but no BPR: £12,000

• Full BPR and/or APR: Nil

Page 17: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

The striking impact of Amenity Value

Prairie Value

Timber and Underwood

The rest: Amenity Value? Where does this go?

Page 18: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

The moral of this story

MAKE IT AND KEEP IT

COMMERCIAL AND be able to

prove it!

Page 19: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Other valuation challenges

Page 20: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

• Market Value

• Fair Value

• Worth

Page 21: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

The estimated amount for which an asset or liability should exchange on the valuation date between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s length transaction, after proper marketing and where the parties had each acted knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion.

The price that would be received to sell an asset, or paid to transfer a liability, in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. (IFRS 13)

The estimated price for the transfer of an asset or liability between identified knowledgeable and willing parties that reflects the respective interests of those parties. (IVS 2013). The value of an asset to the owner or

a prospective owner for individual investment or operational objectives.

Fair Value

Investment Value

Worth

Market Value

Bequest Value

Existence Value

Page 22: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Renewable Investment Example

10 ha site for 7 wind turbines on 28 year lease, 3 years expired

Turbines: 7 x 2.3 MW x 27% capacity. Output (Elec + ROC) = £83/MWh

Basic Rent: £7,000 + RPI for 14 years; £12,000 + RPI thereafter

Turnover Rent: 5% of gross income for 14 years; 9% thereafter

Lease is taken from a larger site , rough grazing, of 100 ha in total

Let to a large well established generator

Page 23: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?
Page 24: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?
Page 25: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?
Page 26: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?
Page 27: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

DCF Methods

► In practice widely undertaken for larger developments

► Market Value??

► Appraisal of worth to investor

► Would the market make same assumptions?

Page 28: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

DCF: Discounting Future Cash Flows

Total NPV +

WorthwhileTotal NPV

–Not

worthwhile

Page 29: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

DCF Appraisal

► Remaining 25 years► Both rents adjusted for 3.5%

inflation pa► Opening Valuation from

Investment valuation► PV of £1 at 15% gives NPV

of -£172,000► IRR is 14% including

Inflation, ie 10.5% net of inflation

Page 30: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

In view of the DCF Valuation we have just looked at, does the previous investment valuation of £1.6 million

for the freehold interest look:

Question

1) Too high

2) About right

3) Too low

Page 31: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

BACK TO BASICS

• Purpose of Valuation• Scope of investigations to be undertaken• Assumptions and Special Assumptions

• Preliminary Information

• Capacity and assumed duration• After uses, continuation, redevelopment• Reporting Requirements

Page 32: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Reporting

► Rationale for chosen method(s)► Detailed consideration of instructions, assumptions, sources and reliability,

extent of independent verification► Sensitivity► Commentary on Risk?

Page 33: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Risk

► Operator/Covenant Risk► Market Risk► Technology Risk

Shropshire Star and Daily Mail

Page 34: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Some Common Issues

► Operator Risk

► Complex lease or agreement terms

► Performance data

► Development Proposals for new Sites

► Hope Value

Page 35: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

‘Hope’ Value

????

Time

Page 36: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Some Common Issues

► Reporting Requirements

► Detailed instructions

► Market evidence

Page 37: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Cases

Page 38: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Ham v Ham [2013] EWCA Civ 1301• Farming partnership

– Young John leaves family partnership– Mum and dad elect to buy out share

• Calculation of ‘net value’?– John had introduced no capital– Land shown at book value– Book value or market value?

• Market value– Need for clarity in partnership agreements

Page 39: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Freemont (Denbigh) Ltd v Knight Frank LLP [2014] EWHC 3347 (Ch)

• A former asylum• A valuation for secured lending• Was Knight Frank liable when P relied on it to

judge an offer on the property?• NO

– Exclusively for secured lending purposes

Page 40: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Valuation is becoming ….

• Broader

• More Complex

• More Challenging

• Riskier

Page 41: Valuation: Cross-roads or Cul de Sac?

Contact DetailsTranslating new knowledge for rural professional

practice

[email protected] 07947 706505Twitter: @charlescowapBlog: http://charlescowap.wordpress.com/Slideshare: http://www.slideshare.net/cdcowap


Top Related