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GEOD 1307 1

ARTICLE IN PRESSG Model

Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Geodynamics

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Highlights

Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxxInvestigation of the time variability of diurnal tides and resonant FCN period

Xiaoming Cui∗, Heping Sun, Séverine Rosat, Jianqiao Xu, Jiangcun Zhou, Bernard Ducarme

• Comparison of different methods and data of worldwide SG stations and VLBI.• Variation of FCN period totally depends on �1 tidal wave and −365.26 nutation.• Similar decadal variation exists in FCN period obtained from SG and VLBI data.• Variation in FCN period has possible correlation with the decadal LOD trend.

Please cite this article in press as: Cui, X., et al., Investigation of the time variability of diurnal tides and resonant FCN period. J. Geodyn.(2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2014.05.003

ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Geodynamics

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Investigation of the time variability of diurnal tides and resonant FCNperiod

1

2

Xiaoming Cuia,∗, Heping Suna, Séverine Rosatb, Jianqiao Xua,Q1

Jiangcun Zhoua, Bernard Ducarmec3

4

a State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Earth’s Dynamics, Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics, CAS, Wuhan 430077, China5b Institut de Physique du Globe de Strasbourg (UMR 7516 CNRS, Université de Strasbourg/EOST), 5 rue René Descartes, 67084 Strasbourg Cedex, France6c Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research, Catholic University of Louvain, 3 Chemin du Cyclotron, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium7

8

a r t i c l e i n f o9

10

Article history:11

Received 28 December 201312

Received in revised form 4 April 201413

Accepted 9 May 201414

Available online xxx15

16

Keywords:17

Temporal variation18

Superconducting gravimeter19

Diurnal tides20

VLBI21

FCN period22

a b s t r a c t

The time variability of diurnal tides was investigated by analyzing gravity observations from global super-conducting gravimeter (SG) stations with running time intervals. Through least-square and Bayesianapproaches, FCN resonance parameters were estimated for each data section after obtaining the tidalparameters of mainly diurnal tidal waves. The correlation of the time variation in diurnal tidal waves andFCN period was discussed. For comparison, a similar method was used to analyze VLBI observations tostudy the time variability of nutation terms and FCN period. The variation trend of the FCN period totallydepends on the �1 wave in tidal gravity and on the retrograde annual term in nutation. We observed asimilar variation trend in the FCN periods obtained from different SG stations worldwide and VLBI obser-vations. The relation between diurnal tides and LOD variations is discussed and the possible mechanismsof the decadal variation in FCN periods were discussed.

© 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

23

1. Introduction24

Due to the interaction between the elliptical liquid core and the25

solid mantle of the Earth, a retrograde rotational mode called the26

Free Core Nutation (FCN) occurs in the celestial reference frame,27

appearing as a nearly diurnal free wobble (NDFW) in the terrestrial28

reference frame. The period of FCN strongly depends on the flatten-29

ing of the core–mantle boundary (CMB) and can also be influenced30

by other coupling mechanisms, such as visco-electromagnetic and31

topographic coupling. As the most active thermal boundary layer32

inside the earth, the CMB is typically accompanied by changes in33

physical characteristics and structure which will possibly affect34

those coupling mechanisms and then may cause some variations35

in the FCN period.36

FCN parameters (period and quality factor) can be estimated by37

the resonance enhancement in observations of earth tidal waves38

or nutation terms with frequencies close to its eigenfrequency.39

The most commonly used data are high-precision time-varying40

gravity observed by superconducting gravimeters (SGs) and41

∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +86 13545865081.Q2E-mail address: [email protected] (X. Cui).

nutation observations from VLBI network analysis. The FCN res- 42

onance parameters can also be inverted from strain data (e.g. 43

Amoruso et al., 2012). The usual approach in determining FCN 44

parameters is linearized least-square method (LSQ) (Defraigne 45

et al., 1994; Sun et al., 2004). Florsch and Hinderer (2000) proposed 46

a Bayesian approach that more effectively solves non-linear inverse 47

problems. The temporal variation in FCN period has been inves- 48

tigated through VLBI and SG observations in numerous previous 49

works. Some of these studies (Roosbeek et al., 1999; Hinderer et al., 50

2000; Lambert and Dehant, 2007; Vondrak and Ron, 2009) found 51

no evidence of variation in the FCN period, whereas Xu and Sun 52

(2009) showed a decadal temporal variation in the FCN period by 53

analyzing long SG records at Brussels station. This problem remains 54

a matter of dispute. Conclusions are difficult to draw when only one 55

kind of observation is made because observed variations are small 56

(sometimes within error bars). 57

The accumulation of SG data offers a good opportunity to 58

perform the study by comparing the results from two different 59

techniques. The Global Geodynamics Project (GGP) sponsored and 60

organized by the Solid Earth’s Deep Interior (SEDI) in IUGG in 1997, 61

has accumulated more than 10 years of observations at many global 62

SG stations, and especially, over 20 years of SG observations in 63

Strasbourg station (France). In studying the temporal variation of 64

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2014.05.0030264-3707/© 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

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ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

2 X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx

the FCN period, observations from different SG sites can be com-65

pared to check the reliability of the variation as well as with VLBI66

observations.67

In this paper, based on observations from seven SG stations, we68

use running time intervals to conduct tidal analyses and estimate69

FCN parameters section by section. We then compare the variations70

of the FCN period with those of the amplitude factors of some diur-71

nal tidal waves. Similarly, we analyze VLBI observations and study72

the transfer function values of nutation terms used to determine73

FCN parameters and their relation with the variations of the FCN74

period. We also focus on the differences by using different datasets75

(SG and VLBI) and approaches (LSQ and Bayesian).76

In the following sections, we introduce the data, the FCN77

resonance model, and the determination approaches of FCN param-78

eters. The data analyses and the temporal variations in FCN period79

are then discussed.80

2. Data, FCN model, and parameter determination methods81

2.1. Data introduction82

The SG data used in this paper were obtained at seven stations.83

Five of these stations are located in central Europe, where ocean84

tide effects at diurnal frequencies are small and for which we usu-85

ally obtain high-quality data (e.g. Rosat and Hinderer, 2011) with86

more stable observation environments. The exception is Brussels87

site which was quite noisy but for which the data record is inter-88

estingly long. Among the five stations, Strasbourg station has the89

longest-term observations, from 1987 to 2011, which is the main90

time series we focus on. Other stations are studied for compensa-91

tion. Considering the possible regional effect, two SG stations in92

Canada and Australia are also included for comparison. Basic infor-93

mation on each station and data length are listed in Table 1. The94

VLBI observation used in this study is the IVS combined solution95

“ivs12q3X” (International VLBI Service for Geodesy & Astrometry)96

in the form of celestial pole offsets (dX, dY) referred to IAU200697

precession-nutation model (Wallace and Capitaine, 2006) exclud-98

ing the free core nutation. These data are given in non-equidistant99

intervals of 1 day to 7 days. We choose the same data length from100

1987–07 to 2011–07 as Strasbourg SG observations in our study.101

2.2. FCN resonance model102

In the terrestrial reference frame, the NDFW will lead to an obvi-103

ous resonance enhancement in observations of diurnal tidal waves104

with near frequencies. The FCN parameters are estimated by fit-105

ting the observed complex gravimetric factors (complex ratio of the106

observed tidal amplitude to the tidal amplitude for a solid Earth107

model given a tide-generating potential) to a damped harmonic108

oscillator modeling the resonance. The observed values of gravi-109

metric factors for each tidal wave could be obtained by analyzing110

SG data (see paragraph 3). For a diurnal tidal wave of frequency �,111

complex gravimetric factors can be described as follows (Hinderer112

et al., 1991):113

ıj = ı0 + a

�j − �nd, (1)114

where ı0 is the gravimetric factor independent of the frequency115

and not influenced by the resonance, a is the complex resonance116

strength related to the geometric shape of the Earth and the rhe-117

ological properties of the Earth’s mantle, and �nd is the complex118

eigenfrequency of the NDFW. Denoting �nd = �Rnd

+ i�Ind

, and a =119

aR + iaI , where R and I represent the real and imaginary parts,120

respectively. The quality factor Q and the FCN eigenperiod TFCN are121

expressed as Q = 0.5�Rnd

/�Ind

and TFCN = ˝/(�Rnd

+ ˝), where � is 122

the sidereal frequency of the Earth’s rotation. 123

In the celestial reference frame, the resonance of the liquid core 124

affects the Earth’s nutation as well. The resonance for a nutation 125

term with frequency �, usually represented by a transfer function, 126

can be expressed as follows (Eq. (42) in Mathews et al., 2002): 127

T(�) = eR − �

eR − 1N0

[1 + (1 + �)

(Q0 +

4∑˛=1

� − s˛

)], (2) 128

where eR is the dynamic ellipticity of the rigid earth; s1, s2, s3, and 129

s4 respectively represent the frequencies of the Chandler Wobble, 130

FCN, Free Inner Core Nutation and Free wobble of the inner core; 131

N0 and Q0 are constants defined in Table 6 of Mathews et al. (2002); 132

and Q˛ are resonance strengths of the respective rotational modes. 133

The main diurnal tidal waves usually employed to estimate FCN 134

parameters include P1, K1, �1, and Ф1, in which �1 is the closest 135

in frequency to the NDFW and thus has the most significant ampli- 136

tude enhancement. For nutation, thousands of nutation terms are 137

involved in the MHB2000 nutation model (Mathews et al., 2002). 138

Only those terms with frequencies close to the FCN frequency and 139

with large amplitudes are important to determine the FCN param- 140

eters, such as the 365.26 day (l’), 182.62 day (2F − 2D + 2�), 121.75 141

day (l’ + 2F − 2D + 2 �), 27.55 day (l), and 13.66 day (2F + 2�) nuta- 142

tion terms, where l, l’, F, D, and ˝ correspond to the Delaunay 143

variables characterizing the nutation terms. 144

As we know, each nutation term with an elliptic orbit can be 145

expressed as the sum of two circular terms which have identical 146

frequencies with opposite signs. Due to the same gravity potential 147

source (mainly degree 2 and order 1 component in the spherical 148

harmonic decomposition of the tide-generating potential), a cor- 149

responding relationship exists between the tidal waves and the 150

nutation terms. Hence, the �1 wave corresponds to the retrograde 151

annual nutation term (−365.26 days), which is the closest to the 152

FCN, and the two terms should be most sensitive to any variation 153

of FCN frequency. If some temporal variations in the FCN period 154

exist, the diurnal tidal waves or nutation terms near the FCN would 155

be sometimes closer and sometimes farer to the resonance, in pace 156

with the variations. As a consequence, the amplification of these 157

waves or nutation terms would vary according to the resonance 158

model (1) or (2). 159

2.3. Review of the linearized least-squares and Bayesian 160

approaches 161

The estimation of FCN parameters consists in solving a non- 162

linear inverse problem. The approach mostly used in previous work 163

is a linearized LSQ method optimized by the Levenberg–Marquardt 164

algorithm (Marquardt, 1963). Eqs. (1) and (2) are used to construct 165

the merit function and to evaluate unknown parameters by an iter- 166

ative process given initial values. For nutation, we directly use Eq. 167

(2) as the calculation model. However, for earth tidal waves, we 168

usually use the observed O1 wave as a reference (e.g., Defraigne 169

et al., 1994; Ducarme et al., 2007) to reduce the effects of any 170

systematic discrepancies (e.g., calibration errors) or local environ- 171

mental disturbances in the fitted resonance parameters of the FCN. 172

The O1 wave has a relatively large amplitude and high signal-to- 173

noise ratio and is minimally influenced by FCN resonance, so it 174

can be observed very accurately. Subtracting the contribution of 175

O1 from both sides of Eq. (1) yields 176

ıj − ıO1 = a

�j − �nd− a

�O1 − �nd(3) 177

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1987-07 to 2011-07
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δ0
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R and I represent
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Q and
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TFCN
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(eqs.(42)
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(
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),
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1, s2, s3, and s4
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0 and Q0
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l’), 182.62 day (2F-2D + 2 Ω), 121.75 day (l’ + 2F-2
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2 Ω)
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l’,
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(–365.26
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Equations
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Equation

Please cite this article in press as: Cui, X., et al., Investigation of the time variability of diurnal tides and resonant FCN period. J. Geodyn.(2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2014.05.003

ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx 3

Table 1Basic information on SG stations and data used in this study.

No. Station Location Country (Latitude, Longitude) Data period y-m-d to y-m-d

1 Brussels Belgium (50.7986 N, 4.3581 E) 1987-01-01 to 2000-09-222 Cantley Canada (45.5850 N, 284.1927 E) 1997-07-01 to 2007-12-313 Canberra Australia (35.3206 S, 149.0077 E) 1997-07-01 to 2007-04-184 Membach Belgium (50.6093 N, 6.0066 E) 1995-08-04 to 2010-05-315 Metsahovi Finland (60.2172 N, 24.3958 E) 1994-08-11 to 2009-11-306 Moxa Germany (50.6447 N, 11.6156 E) 2000-01-01 to 2010-04-307 Strasbourg France (48.6217 N, 7.6838 E) 1987-07-11 to 2011-07-31

The values of the unknown parameters (a and �nd) are optimal178

when the merit function f is minimal. The function f can be written179

as180

f =∑

p(�)

∣∣∣∣[ıj − ıO1]

−[

a

�j − �nd− a

�O1 − �nd

]∣∣∣∣2

, (4)181

where p(�) is the weight function of tidal parameters with frequen-182

cies �.183

The Bayesian method has been shown to be more suitable for the184

inversion of non-linear problems (Tarantola and Valette, 1982a).185

It can make full use of the data information combined with some186

prior information on the data or on the unknown parameters. Based187

on these advantages, the Bayesian approach has been proposed to188

estimate FCN parameters (Florsch and Hinderer, 2000; Rosat et al.,189

2009).190

As the quality factor Q of the FCN expresses signal damping191

caused by any kinds of dissipative processes, the value of Q should192

be positive. For earth tidal waves, a priori information x = log10Q193

is involved to retain the positivity of Q in Eq. (1). The real and194

imaginary parts of the amplitude factors are written as follows:195 ⎧⎪⎪⎪⎨⎪⎪⎪⎩

Re(ıthj

) = ı0 + aR(�j − �Rnd

) − aI((�Rnd

10−x)/2)

(�j − �Rnd

)2 + ((�R

nd10−x)/2)

2

Im(ıthj

) = aI(�j − �Rnd

) + aR((�Rnd

10−x)/2)

(�j − �Rnd

)2 + ((�R

nd10−x)/2)

2

(5)196

For detailed information on the construction of the Bayesian197

calculation scheme, we refer to Tarantola and Valette (1982a,b)198

and Florsch and Hinderer (2000). The unknown parameters are199

described by the probability distribution P (Rosat et al., 2009)200

P(

x, �Rnd, aR, aI

)201

= k exp

⎧⎨⎩−1

2

∑j

⎡⎣(

Re(ıthj

) − ıRj

�ıRj

)2

+(

Im(ıthj

) − ıIj

�ıIj

)2⎤⎦⎫⎬⎭ , (6)202

where k is a normalization factor in order that the integral of this203

equation is unity; �ıRj

and �ıIj

are the standard deviations of the204

real and imaginary parts, respectively, of the gravimetric factors.205

For the nutations, the Bayesian calculation model can be simi-206

larly constructed by representing the “nutational” factors with the207

transfer function values as in Rosat and Lambert (2009).208

3. Temporal variations of the FCN period in SG data209

Before fitting the FCN parameters with SG observations, we need210

to obtain the tidal parameters (amplitude factor and phase lag) of211

earth tidal waves. All SG data were preprocessed to eliminate any212

disturbance, such as steps, spikes and earthquakes, to ensure the213

accuracy of tidal analysis. The tidal parameters were then estimated214

by analyzing 1-h sampled SG data with the ETERNA (Wenzel, 1996)215

software. The tidal potential used in the analysis is Hartmann and216

Wenzel (1995). First, we consider the Strasbourg SG data which are217

a combination of records from two instruments: the SG TT070-T005218

recording from 1987 to 1996 and the SG C026 recording from 1996 219

to 2011. In order to check for any temporal variations in the FCN 220

period, we analyze the data section by section using a running time 221

interval with a shifting of 1 year. The length of each data segment 222

should respect the frequency resolution required for separation of 223

the diurnal waves (Q1, O1, P1, K1, �1, and �1). In our study, 6- 224

year and 3-year intervals are used and the retrieved delta-factors 225

are plotted with respect to the center of the interval. A 6-year time 226

interval is used only for Strasbourg station because of its sufficiently 227

long series and for subsequent convenient comparison with the 228

VLBI results later. For the VLBI data, a 6-year interval should be 229

used to ensure the separation of the FCN and the retrograde annual 230

nutation terms which are very close in frequency. In surface gravity 231

observations, the FCN cannot be directly observed and separated 232

from the close-by tidal waves because the expected amplitude is 233

very small in the terrestrial reference frame. Therefore, our study 234

mainly focuses on its resonance effect in diurnal tidal waves, and 235

the FCN period is estimated from the resonance. Nevertheless, we 236

first need to check whether there is an effect of the wave group 237

separation when the FCN frequency (about 1.00507cpd – cycle per 238

day) is included or not in the frequency band of the waves (K1 and 239

�1) adjacent to FCN. 240

When performing tidal analysis with ETERNA software for each 241

6-year data section of Strasbourg, we changed the frequency limits 242

for the K1 group in two cases: K1 (1.001824 cpd to 1.004107 cpd) 243

without FCN and K1 + FCN (1.001824 cpd to 1.005327 cpd), includ- 244

ing FCN. Similar way is used for �1 (1.005328 cpd to 1.007594 cpd) 245

and �1 + FCN (1.004108 cpd to 1.007594 cpd). For K1, including or 246

excluding FCN has a negligible influence (10−8) to the amplitude 247

factor. Considering that K1 is farther from FCN relatively, we also 248

test the K1x + waves. The influence is in the order of 10−5 which is 249

one or two orders of magnitude smaller than the standard deviation 250

of K1x + ’s amplitude factor. For �1, the difference for the amplitude 251

factor including or excluding FCN is in the order of 10−3 which is in 252

the same order as the �1 standard deviation (cf. Fig. 1). Given that 253

�1 corresponds to the 6-month modulation of S1, we also checked 254

1992 1996 2000 2004 2008-2

-1

0

1

2

3

x 10-3

Time(year)

Δδ(Ψ

1)

CanberraCantleyStrasbourg

Fig. 1. Differences in �1 amplitude factors when the �1 group contains or not theFCN for 3 SG stations. The gravimetric factors were obtained on 6-year segmentsshifted by 1 year.

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y−m−d to y−m−d
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1987−01−01 to 2000−09−22
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1997−07−01 to 2007−12−31
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1997−07−01 to 2007−04−18
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1995−08−04 to 2010−05−31
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1994−08−11 to 2009−11−30
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2000−01−01 to 2010−04−30
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1987−07−11 to 2011−07−31
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σ.
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Q should
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x = log10Q is
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Q in Equation
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Δ
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Δ
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Δ
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Δ
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&Ψ1)
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-8
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-5
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-3
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Figure
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Ψ1group

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ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

4 X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx

1.26

1.265

1.27

1.275

1.28

1.285

Time (year)1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.09

1.095

1.1

1.105

1.11

1.115δ(Ψ1)δ(Ψ1)/δ(O1)

1.1348

1.1349

1.135

1990 1995 2000 2005 20100.9833

0.9834

0.9835δ(K1)δ(K1)/δ(O1)

1.162

1.1625

1.163

1990 1995 2000 2005 20101.007

1.0075

1.008δ(M2)δ(M2)/δ(O1)

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.1539

1.1540

1.1541

Time (year)

Time (year)

Time (year)

δ(O1)

Fig. 2. Time-variations of amplitude factors for K1, �1, M2 and relative ratios to O1 at Strasbourg station estimated with ETERNA 3.4 software on 6-year segments shifted by1 year (the vertical short line on the top right corner of each graph is the mean standard deviation for each wave; For first 3 figures, left vertical axis represents the amplitudefactors for each wave, and right vertical axis represents their relative ratios to O1). The ocean loading effect has been corrected using FES2004 model.

the variation in the amplitude factor for S1, and the differences for255

�1 and S1 are anticorrelated. This indicates that the differences we256

obtained are real ones and not perturbations on the tidal records257

because S1 and �1 are respectively associated with the prograde258

and retrograde annual terms of nutation.259

Considering that this influence is at the level of the precision we260

have on �1, we take the minimum frequency 1.005328 cpd for the261

�1 group to exclude the FCN in the tidal analysis. Such a difference262

shall reflect the noise effect. However, we perform a similar test263

with the SG data at the Canberra and Cantley stations, as shown in264

Fig. 1. The difference for �(�1) including or excluding the FCN at the265

two stations is consistent with the results obtained for Strasbourg.266

It is very interesting that the results for the 3 stations located on dif-267

ferent continents have a very similar behavior particularly between268

1998 and 2007. A reasonable explanation may be that this result is269

the combined effect of tiny waves, FCN, or other tidal signals that are270

not modeled. This effect should be investigated in a further study.271

After testing the influence of the group separation in ETERNA272

tidal analyses, we can process the Strasbourg data with 6-year273

segments shifted by 1 year. The correlation between the FCN274

parameters has been investigated in some previous work (e.g.,275

Florsch and Hinderer, 2000; Rosat et al., 2009). A strong correla-276

tion exists between the FCN period and the gravimetric amplitude277

factor of �1. In Fig. 2, we plot the time variations of the delta-factors278

for K1 and �1. The two waves are located at opposite sides of the279

FCN frequency and should be most sensitive to any variation of the280

FCN period than other waves. The �i for M2 and O1 are also plotted.281

Since the oceanic tides have the same driving mechanism and282

similar spectral pattern as body tides, it is not possible to separate283

their effects by harmonic analysis. Therefore the oceanic influence284

has to be evaluated using an ocean tides model of the different tidal285

constituents (Melchior et al., 1980). The tidal loading vector, which286

takes into account the direct attraction of the water masses, the287

flexion of the ground and the associated change of potential, is eval-288

uated by performing a convolution integral between the ocean tide289

models and the load Green’s function (Farrell, 1972). According to290

the principle of vector superposition, the loading effects of oceanic291

tides can be removed from the obtained gravimetric factors. In this292

paper, the amplitude factors are corrected for the ocean tide effect293

on the basis of the Fes04 model (Lyard et al., 2006) and following 294

the computation scheme as in Ducarme et al. (2007). 295

As mentioned above, the Strasbourg time series was obtained 296

from two different instruments. Therefore, a calibration problem 297

may affect our study. Indeed, the tidal factors from the T005 have 298

been multiplied by a factor of 1.001529 to correct for an observed 299

scale factor error. In order to avoid any contamination from errors 300

in the scale factor and to be free from any possible changes in the 301

sensitivity of the gravimeter, we also plot in Fig. 2 the ıi factors for 302

K1, �1, and M2 normalized by the O1 amplitude factor �(O1). 303

�(K1) and �(O1) are very stable, with a variation less than 0.02%. 304

The variation of �(�1) is larger and about 2%. We can note that the 305

overall variation shape for K1 and �1 is comparatively consistent, 306

especially after normalization to �(O1). �(M2) is also very stable 307

with a variation of about 0. 05%. This stability shows that the mul- 308

tiplication by 1.001529 for the old T005 series was necessary to 309

reach such accuracy on the gravimetric factors. 310

After the tidal parameters have been corrected from the ocean 311

loading, the FCN period can be determined by the methods intro- 312

duced in the previous section. We used 5 tidal waves to perform 313

the inversion: O1, P1, K1, �1, and Ф1. The usual weights applied in 314

LSQ or Bayesian methods are the inverse of the standard deviations 315

of the tidal amplitude factors resulting from the ETERNA tidal anal- 316

yses. In our LSQ inversion, the results show a very large standard 317

deviation of about 10 d to 30 d for the FCN period. This deviation 318

is disadvantageous for our study on its variation trend. We then 319

apply other weights used in Liu et al. (2007) which will significantly 320

reduce the standard deviation of the period. These new weights are 321

inversely proportional to the standard deviations of the amplitude 322

factors and to an additional factor representing the frequency dif- 323

ference between the wave frequencies and the FCN frequency. The 324

two weighting schemes lead to a difference in the FCN period of 325

a few days, but it has no influence on its time variations. Based 326

on the weights of Liu et al. (2007), the standard deviation for the 327

FCN period decreases to a few days. In the Bayesian inversion, we 328

employ the usual weighting scheme. 329

The results of the Bayesian and LSQ approaches are depicted in 330

Fig. 3. The comparison of the amplitude factors for all diurnal waves 331

shows a strong correlation between the FCN period variations and 332

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ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx 5

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

410

420

430

440

Perio

d (S

D)

BayesianLSQ

1.09

1.1

1.11

Time (year)

δ(Ψ1)/δ(O1) Polynomial fitting

Fig. 3. Time variations of FCN resonant period obtained with Bayesian (stars) andLSQ (dots) approaches compared with time-variations of the relative ratio betweenamplitude factors of �1 and O1 at Strasbourg station (squares). The tidal analyseswere performed on 6-year windows shifted by 1 year and the ocean loading effectswere removed using FES2004 model. Please note that the right-hand vertical axishas been reversed.

the �(�1) time fluctuations. In Fig. 3, we have also plotted the val- 333

ues of �(�1)/�(O1). For the sake of comparison, we have reversed 334

the vertical axis for the relative amplitude factors in Fig. 3. The 335

obtained apparent time-variations of the FCN period differ by a few 336

days between both methods, but the variation trend is similar. We 337

clearly see that the variation trend of the FCN period and of �(�1) 338

are correlated, which is not surprising since the FCN parameters 339

are strongly dependent on �(�1). Using different weights in the 340

LSQ method does not change the variation trend of the FCN period. 341

By superposing a polynomial fitting curve, we observe a decade 342

fluctuation in �(�1)/�(O1) and in the FCN period. It is worth to note 343

that it is not precise to fitting a period signal with polynomial curve 344

due to the edge effects, polynomial degrees, etc. But our aim here is 345

to make the variation trend clear and to study the similar variation 346

trend between SG and VLBI results. For further verification, we use 347

intervals of 3 years instead of 6 years for the tidal analyses of the 348

Strasbourg SG data. The resulting �1 amplitude factors are plot- 349

ted in Fig. 4. The standard deviation of �(K1) for the old SG T005 350

series (1987–1996) is in the order of 10−4, whereas for the C026 351

observations (1996–2011), it is in the order of 10−5. For �1, the 352

order of standard deviation for the two instruments is respectively 353

10−2 and 10−3. The more recent instrument has obviously a higher 354

observation quality as already mentioned in Rosat and Hinderer 355

(2011). A comparison of the results between 3- and 6-year intervals 356

shows some differences in the individual values, but the variation 357

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Strasbourg

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Moxa

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Membach

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Metsahovi

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Brussels

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Canberra

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.24

1.28

1.32

Time (year)

δ (Ψ

1)

Cantley

Fig. 4. Time fluctuations of �1 amplitude factor at Strasbourg, Moxa, Membach, Metsahovi, Brussels, Canberra, and Cantley SG stations obtained from ETERNA tidal analysesof 3-year running intervals shifted by 1 year. The ocean loading effect was removed using FES2004 model. Please note that the vertical axis has been reversed.

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Figure
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-4
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-5
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-2 and 10-3
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Figure

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ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

6 X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx

trend is very consistent which indicates that the fluctuations of the358

amplitude factors observed at Strasbourg station are reliable.359

To verify the reliability of the observed fluctuation, we analyze360

the data from the other 6 stations presented in Table 1. The resulting361

time fluctuations of �(�1) obtained with 3-year running intervals362

are also depicted in Fig. 4. We have also reversed the vertical axis363

for the sake of comparison with Fig. 3. In agreement with the above364

discussion, the time variations of �(�1) reflect similar changes in365

the resulting FCN period. The observations at other stations are366

not as long as those at Strasbourg station, so we can only do the367

comparison in a shorter common period. The data in Brussels can368

be compared with the first part of the Strasbourg data from 1987 to369

2000. The results we obtained for Brussels are in agreement with370

the time fluctuations observed by Xu and Sun (2009) with smaller371

error bars as we have used longer time windows. The variation372

amplitude of �(�1) is very large, but the decreasing and increasing373

period is similar compared to Strasbourg station.374

The determination of tidal waves could be influenced by the375

position, the observation environment of stations, the instrument376

state and so on, which possibly lead to a different behavior for same377

tidal wave in different stations. Some variability may occur due to378

ocean tides effects, particularly at Brussels and Membach that are379

closer to the sea than other European sites considered here. The380

data from Moxa, Membach, and Metsahovi SG stations cover the381

period from 2001 to 2009 and can be compared with the second382

part of Strasbourg records. Between 2002 and 2008, a roughly sim-383

ilar fluctuation exists among the results at Strasbourg, Moxa and384

Membach. Some values in Membach deviate from the main trend,385

so that the similarity is not that obvious. The situation in Metsahovi386

station resembles the one at Brussels site in which the amplitude387

variation is large but the fluctuation period matches the results388

obtained at Strasbourg. The last two plots are the results obtained389

at Canberra and Cantley stations, which are located on different390

continents. The available data length of these two stations was rel-391

atively short; therefore, the fluctuation is only partly displayed. The392

variation at Cantley station is quite different. This site is known to393

be well-influenced by oceanic effects. For instance the oceanic noise394

is larger in winter (see e.g. Rosat and Hinderer, 2011). As our ocean395

loading correction does not include any time variability, we can-396

not discard the hypothesis that the apparent time variation of the397

delta-factors is influenced by the oceans. For Canberra station, there398

is also a roughly similar variation as that in Strasbourg station. All399

the tests show some fluctuations in the �1 amplitude factors and400

also in the FCN period to a certain extent.401

In the next part we will consider independent and global esti-402

mates of the FCN period using VLBI nutation observations.403

4. Temporal variations of the FCN period in VLBI data404

The estimate of the FCN resonance parameters using VLBI obser-405

vation is known to be more precise (see for instance Rosat and406

Lambert, 2009). Besides, the nutation solution is obtained globally407

and hence minimizes the local effects that perturb VLBI antenna,408

such as the ones that affect the SG sites (local hydrology, oceanic409

noise . . .).410

As with the SG observations, we use 6-year running intervals to411

estimate the transfer function values for the nutation terms section412

by section. We use a method similar to Vondrak et al. (2005). The413

bias, trend, and two long-period terms (with arguments � and 2�)414

are first removed from the data sections by using the values fitted415

from the whole data length. We then use the least-square method416

to fit the selected dominant nutation terms. For the determination417

of the FCN parameters with VLBI data based on LSQ and Bayesian418

approaches, we use only the five main nutation terms mentioned in419

Section 2.2. Other terms have negligible effect on the results as they420

1990 1995 2000 2005 20100

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Time (year)

ampl

itude

(mas

) Fitted FCN amplitudeFCNNUT

Fig. 5. FCN amplitudes (dots) fitted on 6-year segments shifted by a year of VLBIobservations with a 460 day period and empirical FCN amplitudes with a 430.21day period (stars) calculated with the ‘FCNNUT’ routine (IERS Conventions, 2010).

are much less affected by the resonance. The observed FCN mode 421

with a 460 day retrograde period is also fitted simultaneously. This 422

mode corresponds to the forced oscillation by the atmospheric and 423

oceanic layers. In Fig. 5 we have plotted the fitted FCN amplitudes 424

from VLBI observations and the corresponding values calculated 425

with an FCN model routine “FCNNUT” of the International Earth 426

Rotation Service (IERS Conventions, 2010). The fitted FCN ampli- 427

tudes are roughly consistent with the values calculated with the 428

FCN empirical model (this model used a −430.21 day period for the 429

FCN). We then use the LSQ and Bayesian methods to estimate the 430

FCN resonance period. The results are depicted in Fig. 6(a). A very 431

good agreement exists between the periods obtained with the two 432

methods with only a slight difference. The error bars obtained with 433

the Bayesian method are larger. Unlike the results obtained from 434

SG observations, the variations of the FCN period obtained with the 435

VLBI data are within 1 day between 1990 and 1995 but within half 436

a day later on. Lambert and Dehant (2007) have compared several 437

VLBI solutions and obtained also a resonant period stable within 438

half a day. Besides, they have shown that the analysis strategy has 439

also an impact of about half a day on the estimated FCN resonant 440

period. 441

We also compare the variation between the FCN resonant period 442

and the observed transfer function values for the retrograde annual 443

nutation. The results show a strong inverse correlation between the 444

FCN period and the retrograde annual nutation term. The real part 445

values of the transfer function for this term are listed in Fig. 6(b) 446

with the direct-axis reversed. We clearly observe also an about 10 447

year fluctuation in the two figures. 448

The nutation observation is also perturbed by global mass redis- 449

tribution through angular momentum exchanges. Indeed it is worth 450

to note that atmospheric and oceanic contributions play an impor- 451

tant part in the observed celestial pole offsets and for the retrieval 452

of nutation amplitudes. To remove this part, our above results 453

include a correction for the S1 thermal atmospheric tide and other 454

Sun-synchronous effects given in Mathews et al. (2002) for the pro- 455

grade annual nutation. As the computed effects on the retrograde 456

annual nutation varied wildly when using different atmospheric 457

angular momentum data, Mathews et al. (2002) chose to apply 458

this correction only to the prograde annual term with amplitude 459

about 100 �as. For a better correction of the ocean and atmospheric 460

contributions, here we also numerically integrate the Brzezinski 461

broad-band Liouville equations (Brzezinski, 1994; Brzezinski et al., 462

2002) to obtain the integrated celestial pole offsets by using atmo- 463

spheric angular momentum functions (AAMF) and oceanic angular 464

momentum functions (OAMF) data. The detailed numerical pro- 465

cess is same as in Vondrak and Ron (2009, 2010) and will not be 466

repetitive described here. The AAMF and OAMF we used here were 467

computed from: (1) NCEP/NCAR re-analysis 1987–2011 (Salstein, 468

2005); (2) ERA + OMCT 1989–2010 (Dobslaw et al., 2010). We only 469

use the AAMF data in (1) because the OAMF offered by ECCO model 470

(Stammer et al., 2002; Gross et al., 2005) have not that long period. 471

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2 Ω)
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Figure
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Figure
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–430.21
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Mathews et al.(2002) for
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Mathews et al (2002) chose
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1987-2011
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1989-2010

Please cite this article in press as: Cui, X., et al., Investigation of the time variability of diurnal tides and resonant FCN period. J. Geodyn.(2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2014.05.003

ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx 7

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010428

429

430

431

432

Time (Year)

(a)

(b)

(c)

Perio

d (S

D)

LSQ-Sun-synchrBayesian-Sun-synchr

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.32

1.325

1.33

1.335

Time(year)

-365.26

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010428

429

430

431

432

Time (year)

Perio

d (S

D)

LSQ-NCEPLSQ-ERA+OMCT

Fig. 6. Time variations of (a) FCN resonant period inverted from VLBI nutation dataafter applying the Sun-synchronous correction of Mathews et al. (2002); (b) ampli-tude of the transfer function values for retrograde annual nutation estimated fromVLBI residuals; (c) FCN resonant period inverted from VLBI nutation data after cor-rection of the AAMF and OAMF contributions from either NCEP or ERA + OMCT data.The LSQ inversion was performed on 6-year segments shifted by a year.

Removing the integrated celestial pole offsets, we derived the FCN472

resonance period with the LSQ method again and the results are473

depicted in Fig. 6(c). Compared to Fig. 6(a), the results obtained after474

correcting for the NCEP/NCAR AAMF are systematically larger, but475

the variation trend is similar. This is even more obvious in Fig. 11 of476

Vondrak and Ron (2010) in which they used NCEP + ECCO data. The477

fluctuation of the FCN period after correction of the ERA + OMCT478

angular momentum functions varies more violently, as seen also in479

Vondrak and Ron (2010). We can also see a 10 year variation trend480

but different than in Fig. 6(a).481

5. Discussion482

We have investigated the time variation of the diurnal tides and483

FCN resonance period from SG and VLBI data. A similar decadal484

fluctuation in FCN period has been found in the longest SG datasets485

from Strasbourg station and VLBI data. Compared with the other486

6 SG stations, some of them show a roughly similar variation for487

�(�1), which make the observed fluctuation reliable in certain488

-1

0

1

2

3

Δ LO

D (m

s)

ΔLODResidual Polynomial fitting

1.09

1.1

1.11

0.9834

0.9836

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

1.0074

1.0078

Time (year)

δ(Ψ1)/δ(O1)

δ(K1)/δ(O1)

δ(M2)/δ(O1)

Fig. 7. Variations of LOD, residuals after removing the 22-year and inter-annualterms, and relative amplitude factors of K1, �1, and M2 obtained from 6-year seg-ments shifted by a year of Strasbourg SG data (the vertical axis is not reversed inthis figure).

extent. However, the results for �(�1) at some sites are quite differ- 489

ent no matter in amplitude or variation behavior. Thus we cannot 490

jump to any final conclusion concerning this fluctuation. Some time 491

variability in the oceanic effects should be checked. 492

The estimation of FCN period depends on the determination 493

accuracy of related diurnal tides. Stacking global SG data (Rosat 494

et al., 2009) could give more reliable FCN parameter in agreement 495

with VLBI results. However to study the long time behavior, we are 496

currently limited by the poor number of available long SG records. 497

Besides, the present results have showed that using either a LSQ or 498

a Bayesian method does not influence the obtained values for the 499

FCN period. 500

To further verify our study, an improvement in the modeling of 501

ocean tide loading is necessary (Ducarme et al., 2007; Rosat and 502

Lambert, 2009), but this mainly depends on the development of 503

more accurate ocean tidal modeling. 504

Considering that the �1 wave and the retrograde annual nuta- 505

tion are the closest to FCN frequency, respectively in the diurnal 506

tidal band and the annual nutation band, the strong inverse cor- 507

relation between these two terms and the FCN resonant period is 508

reasonable. 509

Such fluctuations in the tidal amplitude factors were already 510

mentioned by Lecolazet (1983), who indicated some correlations 511

between the variations of some tidal amplitude factors (P1, K1, �1, 512

Ф1, and M2) and the length of day (LOD) variations. In our study, 513

such correlation does not appear. Only K1 and �1 amplitude factors 514

have relatively similar variations. To check for a possible correla- 515

tion with LOD, we plot the variations of LOD data offered by IERS 516

EOP observations in Fig. 7 (finals2000A.all). The relative amplitude 517

factors of �1, K1, and M2 are also plotted in Fig. 7. We can see 518

that there is no clear correlation between the tidal waves and LOD 519

fluctuations. 520

As we know, the decadal variations in LOD (e.g., Buffett, 1996; 521

Holme, 1998; Buffet et al., 2009) are mainly explained by the core 522

mantle coupling. According to the spectral analysis of the LOD data, 523

the main power of the spectrum is at the decade scale, in which the 524

main peak is a component of period about 22 years. Besides, there 525

are also some seasonal and interannual signal components. In order 526

to check whether such a consistent fluctuation in LOD exists, other 527

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Figure
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(
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Figure
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reasonable
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fluctuations.

Please cite this article in press as: Cui, X., et al., Investigation of the time variability of diurnal tides and resonant FCN period. J. Geodyn.(2014), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2014.05.003

ARTICLE IN PRESSG ModelGEOD 1307 1–9

8 X. Cui et al. / Journal of Geodynamics xxx (2014) xxx–xxx

signal components should be eliminated. First, we use a Butter-528

worth low-pass filter to remove the large components with periods529

of less than 1 year. We then use a LSQ method (Guo and Han, 2009)530

to fit the 22-year term and other interannual signals. After these531

terms are deducted from LOD data, the residuals are plotted in532

Fig. 7 (continuous red line). The 10-year oscillation is clearly visible.533

The fluctuation we have found in the FCN period is also about 10534

years. Compared with the FCN results of previous figures, there is535

about a 2 year phase difference between the variations of LOD and536

FCN period. It is important to point out that more detailed work is537

needed to process the LOD data and separate the decade scale sig-538

nal, as well as to explain the phase difference. However, the decade539

variations in LOD and its relation with core mantle couplings may540

be helpful to explain some fluctuations in the FCN period. Vondrak541

and Ron (2010) have also concluded indeed that the observed vari-542

ations could be real and due to some processes at the CMB, as the543

current AAMF and OAMF modeling cannot explain the observed544

variations of the FCN period.545

As mentioned in Section 1, the period of the FCN strongly546

depends on the structure and physical properties at CMB (e.g., Koot547

et al., 2010). Indeed, the frequency of the FCN depends on cou-548

pling mechanisms at the core boundaries (Greff-Lefftz and Legros,549

1999; Mathews et al., 2002). In a celestial reference frame, it can be550

written (normalization by �):551

�FCN = −1 −(

1 + Af

Am

)(ef − ˇ + KCMB + KICB

As

Af+ ˇf 0

2552

+Bp + Cp

2Af ˝2+ i

Dp − AP

2Af ˝2

)(7)553

where ef is the dynamic ellipticity of the outer core; As, Af, and Am554

are respectively the mean principal moments of inertia of the solid555

inner core, the fluid outer core, and the mantle. KCMB and KICB are556

the complex coupling strength parameters representing the influ-557

ence of the electromagnetic torques at CMB and ICB, respectively;558

Ap, Bp, Cp, and Dp are the coefficients of the torque due to the driven559

geostrophic pressure acting on the topography at CMB (Greff-Lefftz560

and Legros, 1999); f 02 is the ratio of the geostrophic pressure at the561

CMB over the hydrostatic rotational pressure and ˇ is a compliance562

that characterizes the deformability of the CMB under the centrifu-563

gal force. ˇ = q0hf1/2, where hf

1 is the Love number expressing the564

deformation of the CMB under an inertial pressure (Dehant et al.,565

1993). Besides, a misalignment (tilt) of the inner core with respect566

to the mantle could also influence the direction of the Earth’s567

rotation on decade timescale (Dumberry and Bloxham, 2002) and568

slightly perturb the FCN frequency through gravitational and pres-569

sure torque. Such an expression shows that the eigenfrequency of570

the FCN could vary when the torques vary. Impact of time-varying571

torques on the FCN period has not been computed yet and would572

require the knowledge of the varying pressure and electromagnetic573

torques at the CMB.574

6. Conclusion575

According to our study, the variations in time of the FCN reso-576

nance period are within 1 day from VLBI data and within several577

days from SG records.578

Considering the error bars, the variations of the FCN period are579

however not obvious.580

We have shown a similar variation trend in the results obtained581

from different worldwide SG data. There exists also a similar trend582

in the FCN period obtained from VLBI observations as previously583

observed by Vondrak and Ron (2010). The test of using two kinds584

of independent observation (surface gravity on the one hand and585

VLBI nutation on the other hand) to verity the time variability of586

the FCN period seems coherent. However longer records at more 587

SG sites would be necessary to confirm such fluctuations. For SG 588

data, improvement of ocean tidal loading correction should be con- 589

sidered in a future study. For celestial pole offsets, further studies 590

are required to reach agreement between the different models of 591

atmospheric and oceanic angular momentum functions. The vari- 592

ation trend of the FCN period totally depends on the retrograde 593

annual term in nutation and on the �1 wave in tidal gravity. It 594

is indeed the same phenomenon in different reference frames, and 595

the decadal fluctuation seems to exist in both datasets. However the 596

processes responsible for such variation are not clearly identified 597

yet. A time-variability in the ocean loading and angular momen- 598

tum is one candidate as well as some varying torques at the CMB. A 599

possible correlation with the decadal LOD trend due to some core- 600

mantle coupling mechanism may exist, but no clear evidence or 601

demonstration has been proposed yet. Further theoretical compu- 602

tations are needed to demonstrate a possible time fluctuation in 603

the FCN period of geophysical origin. 604

Acknowledgments 605

This work was supported by the Major State Basic Research Q3606

Development Program of China (2014CB845902), National Natural 607

Science Foundation of China (41321063, 41274085 and 41304058). 608

We are very thankful to the Global Geodynamics Project and the 609

International VLBI Service for Geodesy and Astrometry for pro- 610

viding SG and VLBI data. We would like to thank two anonymous 611

reviewers for their comments to improve the manuscript. 612

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