Aquifers the vital role of groundwater in alleviating …...Aquifers –the vital role of...

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shallow groundwater-fed irrigation for rice, Sahishpur (West Bengal)

Aquifers – the vital role of groundwater

in alleviating poverty

Richard Taylor (richard.taylor@ucl.ac.uk)

Department of Geography, University College London

IAH Commission on Groundwater & Climate Change (www.gwclim.org)

Hampshire Geographical Association, 23 October 2014

sand river, headwater of the Great Ruaha River, Tanzania

Gabura, coastal Sundarbans of Bangladesh

• world’s largest accessible store of freshwater

~ 10.5 million km3

groundwater – a global resource

Shilomanov and Rodda (2003)

groundwater storage in Africa

• 0.5 to 1.0 million km3

• nationally: 10 to 100 times > mean annual river flow!

FREELY AVAILABLE ONLINE!

MacDonald et al. 2012. Environ. Res. Lett. Vol. 7, 024009.

protected spring in Bwaise (Kampala)

• groundwater is a vital store of generally high quality freshwater - supplies 50% of world’s drinking water

Kundzewicz and Döll (2009)

maize plantation irrigated by a groundwater-fed pivot, Katwe (Zambia)

• 42% of the water used globally in irrigationSiebert et al. (2010)

FREELY AVAILABLE ONLINE!

MacDonald et al. 2012. Environ. Res. Lett. Vol. 7, 024009.

groundwater: geology & climate

• groundwater is not universally abundant but strongly

dependent upon prevailing geology and climate

groundwater in the UK

• productive aquifers

occur in SE England

(chalk) & the Midlands /

N. Ireland (sandstone)

• aquifer replenishment

depends upon climate –

recharge in the UK

occurs as a result of low

ET during winter

fossil aquifers

• groundwater in large sedimentary basins of North Africa was

recharged under wetter climates 5 to 25 thousand years agoEdmunds et al. (2003)

rock paintings from several thousand years BC in Ghat District of western Libya, within the Sahara Desert

• microbiological pathogens that plague surface waters

are largely removed through the process of recharge

naturally high groundwater quality

groundwater & poverty

• groundwater plays a

central role in poverty

alleviation

• to halve the proportion

of people without

access to safe water

(part of Millennium

Development Goal 7)

groundwater and poverty alleviation

• to end Poverty and Hunger (Millennium Development

Goal 1) through the expansion of water used for

irrigation and livestock watering

Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa

groundwater depletion

• overuse of groundwater has led to ‘groundwater depletion’ in key agricultural regions:Rodell et al. (2009); Chen et al. (2010); Longuevergne et al. (2010);

Famiglietti et al. (2011); Scanlon et al. (2012)

California Central Valley

North China Plain

High Plains Aquifer

NW India

North Africa

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13/04/1966 01/12/1969 08/03/1974 30/01/1978 21/06/1983 28/09/1988-14

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fon

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AIN BENI MATHAR (NORD-EST) SAISS (CENTRE)

SOUSS (SUD) HAOUZ (CENTRE SUD)

IMPACT DE LA SECHERESSE SUR LES EAUX SOUTERRAINES

2

3

12

TANGER

LARACHE

KENITRA

RABATCASAB LANCA

TAZAFES

MEKNES

OUJDA

FIGUIG

ERR AC HIDIA

OUARZ AZATE

EL JADIDA

SAFI

ESSAOUIRA

AGADIR TAR OUDANT

TIZNIT

GUELMIM

TAN-TAN

TARFAYA

BOUJDOUR

DAKHLA

MER MEDITERRANNEE

IFR ANE

45 6 7

9

15

14

119

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MARR AKECH

2326 24

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LES PRINCIPALES NAPPES

DU ROYAUME

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37

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LAAYOUNE

LAGOUIRA

41 C RETACE E T PALEOCE NE DU SAHARA

1CAUSS MOYENNE ATLASSIQUE4 C HARF EL AKAB

9 BOUAREG10 TRIFFA

11 ANGAD B OU HOUR IA

14 GHAR B

15 COULOIR FES-TAZA

17 FES-MEKNES

18 AIN B ENI MATHAR

21 B ERR ECHID27 BAHIRA28 TADLA

31 SOUSS - C HTOUKA

36 CRETACE D'ERR AC HIDIA

34 GUELMIM

2 O. ASWAD3 O. MARTIL5 O. LAO6 NEKOR7 KER TE8 GAR EB

12 R'MEL

13 DR ADERE SOUEIRE16 MAMORA19 TEMARA22 CHAOUIA23 SAHEL

24 BENI AMIR

25 BENI MOUSSA26 DOUKKALA29 TAFILALET30 HAOUZ32 TIZNIT33 M. VALLE E DE DARAA 35 FOUM EL OUED37 PAL MER AIS DE FIGUIG38 KSOB39 TARFAYA40 NAPPES DE GUERCIF

Nappes superfic ielles complexe aquiferes(nappes super ficielles et pr rofondes)

Nappe profonde à faible taux de renouvelementR.S de 2 à plus de 10 g/lprofondeur a llant de 400 à 1600 m

N

depletion threatens global food security

Present research from 2 case studies:

1. Tanzania: climate change & groundwater recharge

2. Bangladesh: “Ganges Water Machine”

public water well in Kolkata (India)

artesian borehole, Singhida (central Tanzania)

Case Study 1 - Tanzania

• variability to increase with global warming

- more frequent and intense floods, landslides & droughtsAllan and Soden, 2008. Science 321, 1481-1484.

Mileham et al., 2009. Hydrol. Sci. J. 54, 727-738.

variability in African rainfall and river flow

• most variable river discharge in the worldMcMahon et al., 2007. J. Hydrol. 54, 727-738.

surface runoff, Kampala (Uganda) headwater of River Limpopo, NE Botswana

1975

Total rainfall: 394mm

Yield = 1360 kg/ha

1981

Total rainfall 389mm

Yield = 901 kg/ha

more variable precipitation leads to more variable soil moisture

reducing crop yields

Challinor et al. 2006. “Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change”, pp. 187-194.

impact on food security

groundnut crop in Andhra Pradesh (India)

matoke and tea plantations, Bushenyi

• intensification of rainfall in a warmer world therefore

threatens food security since >95% of all food grown

in sub-Saharan Africa is currently rainfall-fed

Stephen Katonga ‘dipping’ monitoring well in the Makutapora Wellfield (TZ)

evidence from semi-arid Tanzania?

How might the ‘intensification’ of rainfall affect

groundwater recharge?

The Makutapora Record

• longest,

observed

record of

groundwater

levels in the

tropics

Taylor et al. (2013) Nature Climate Change 3, 374-378.

recharge and hydrological extremes

• recharge results disproportionately from extreme seasonal rainfalls

• major recharge

events associated

with ENSO

Taylor et al. (2013) Nature Climate Change 3, 374-378.

• slight increases in mean

monthly rainfall projected

AR4 (23 GCMs)

AR5 (21 GCMs)

Evidence from GCMs: central Tanzania

Taylor et al. (2013) Nature Climate Change 3, 374-378.

• greater increases in

extreme (90th percentile)

monthly rainfall projected

– robust signal in both

AR4 and AR5 datasets

groundwater-fed pivots, Katwe (Zambia)

• increased use of groundwater for irrigation

to supplement more variable soil moisture

may prove a (hydro)logical adaptation

• impact of more

intensive rainfall on

groundwater quality?

Dr. Robinah Kulabako monitoring “Bwaise Spring”, Kampala

Taylor et al. (2009); Flynn et al. (2012)

rainfall intensity and groundwater quality

• heavy rainfall events coincide with pathogenic contamination of groundwater & disease outbreaks

Case Study 2: Bangladesh

• world’s largest delta representing the confluence of Rivers Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna

• world’s most densely populated region (>1000 people / km2)

• dramatic rise in groundwater-fed irrigation to produce

high-yielding, boro rice during the dry season

groundwater-fed irrigation of Boro rice (Bangladesh)

Shamsudduha et al. (2011) Hydrogeol. J.

primarily using shallow groundwater

irrigation in Asian Mega-Deltas

observed impact of rising groundwater use

• increased seasonality

- declining trend in wet

season groundwater

levels

- no trend in wet

season groundwater

levels

• reduced seasonality

and declining trend

Shamsudduha et al. (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

infiltration-excess overland flow (Horton)

• capacity of soil surface to accept received rainfall

partitions precipitation: infiltrates or runs overland

saturation overland flow (Hewlett)

• water-table rise saturates ground surface preventing

aquifer recharge (‘rejected recharge’)

• abstraction increases available groundwater storage

– reduces ‘rejected recharge’ (Hewlett OF)

Shamsudduha et al. (2011) Hydrogeol. J.

groundwater use & storage

• observations validate “Ganges Water Machine”

recharge rise induced by groundwater use

Shamsudduha et al. (2011)

Shamsudduha et al. (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

• declining trends (1985-

2005) in groundwater

levels detected in areas

of impermeable surface

geology – favours

Horton OF

also groundwater depletion…

• declining groundwater

levels render some

pumping technologies

(HTW, STW)

inoperable

issue of equity…

Summary

• groundwater is widely distributed store of high quality

freshwater

• recharge may be enhanced by the intensification of

precipitation in a warming world and groundwater abstraction –

these influences are strongly controlled by surface geology

• groundwater plays a central role in alleviating poverty:

provision of ‘safe water’, food security, and livelihoods

• lack of data and investment greatly undermine our

understanding and management of this invaluable resource

Thanks for listening!

Email: richard.taylor@ucl.ac.uk

Web: www.geog.ucl.ac.uk/~rtaylor