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transcript
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CANADIAN ANNUAL DERIVATIVESCONFERENCE 2011
Québec City – November 29, 2011
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Contents
• The Canadian Financial Environment
• Key 2011 highlights at MX
• Key MX Initiatives for 2012
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The Canadian Environment
Canada’s financial brand is now stronger than at any time in
recent history.
4Chart: Canada_Presentation_25Aug11.xlsxTable: ditto
SPX EEM TSX
Annualized Volatility 26% 43% 32%
Total Return in US$ -9.24% +22.59% +30.85%
31 Dec 2006 to 17 Aug 2011
Correlation of Monthly Returns SPX to EEM SPX to TSX TSX to EEM
0.85 0.86 0.91
Since the global financial crisis in 2008 and 2009
Source: archerETF Portfolio ManagementO Canada Presentation
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Canada is a developed market... ...with its fortunes tied to emerging market demand for its commodities
Stable, conservative government Major oil producer, in Alberta and east coast offshore
Prudent financial market regulations and controlled bank sector
Major timber, wheat and potash producerMajor gold and precious metals producer
High per capita income and relatively low income disparity
Good but low-profile relations with emerging markets
Universal public health care reduces employers’ costs Large immigrant groups
A developed emerging economy
Source: archerETF Portfolio ManagementO Canada Presentation
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Metric Latest Canada United StatesGDP/Capita 38,900 42,700
Govt Revenue % of GDP 38% 31%
Govt Expenditure % of GDP 44% 41%
Govt Budget Deficit % of GDP -5% -11%
Gross Govt Debt % of GDP 84% 92%
Net Govt Debt % of GDP 32% 65%
Savings % of GDP 19% 12%Unemployment % 8% 10%
Income Inequality GINI 0.32 (Like France) 0.45 (Like Uganda)
Comparing finances
Source: archerETF Portfolio ManagementO Canada Presentation
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BAX Contract, 9 months
BAX: Price & Volatility
97.8
98.0
98.2
98.4
98.6
98.8
99.0
99.2
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
No
v-1
0
Jan-
11 11-
beF
11-rp
A May
-11 11-l
uJ
11-g
uA
11-pe
S
Pri
ce
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
Vo
lati
lity
Price
30 Day Volatility
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CGB Contract
CGB: Price & Volatility
118
120
122
124
126
128
130
132
134
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
No
v-10
Jan
-11
Feb
-11
Ap
r-11
May
-11
Jul-
11
Au
g-1
1
Sep
-11
Pri
ce
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Vo
lati
lity
Price30 Day Volatility
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SXF Contract
SXF: Price & Volatility
635
655
675
695
715
735
755
775
795
815
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
No
v-10
Jan
-11
Feb
-11
Ap
r-11
May
-11
Jul-
11
Au
g-1
1
Sep
-11
Ind
ex L
evel
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
Vo
lati
lity
Price 30 Day Volatility
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Key 2011 Highlights at MX
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Key facts and figures
• Total volume UP 46.1% [1]
• Interest rate derivatives UP 51.5% [1]
• Equity and ETFs options UP 49.9% [1]
• Open interest UP 32.8% [2]
[1] January to September 2011 compared to the same period in 2010[2] On September 30th , 2011 compared to the same date in 2010
– BAX
• Daily volume record on August 4, 2011
• Open interest record on August 4, 2011
– Equity Options
• Daily volume record on November 15, 2011
• Monthly volume record in January 2011
• Open interest record on January 21, 2011
A year of records!
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BAX – Quarterly ADV Trend
Average Daily volume
43,250
52,90359,713
55,14551,336
78,324
104,761
87,106
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11
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CGB – Quarterly ADV Trend
Average Daily volume
22,882 22,672
29,489
24,18326,105
29,096
33,503 33,067
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11
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SXF – Quarterly ADV Trend
Average Daily volume
16,05415,005
19,463
16,334
14,05015,655
16,487
19,240
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11
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Average Daily volume
73,152 68,70679,566
70,833
94,143
109,04598,753
120,793
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11
Equity & ETF Options - Quarterly ADV Trend
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New Products
New Products Product Details Launch DateS&P/TSX 60 Index Mini Futures
A quarter of the S&P/TSX 60 Index Standard Futures
May 2011
Overnight Index Swap Futures
A short term interest rate contract referenced to the Bank of Canada fixed announcement dates
Planned for January 2012
Share Futures Futures on individual Canadian stocks
Planned for January 2012
New Equity Options Classes
51 new listings From January 25, 2011 to November 8, 2011
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MX Approved Participants
Canada51 part icipant s
U.S.A.32 part icipant s
U.K.8 part icipant s
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New Participants
• Jump Trading International Ltd
• Citadel Securities LLC
• Spire Europe Ltd
• Marex North America LLC
• Hudson River Trading Europe Ltd
• DV Capital LLC
• Virtu Financial BD LLC
• FCStone LLC
• Dundee Securities Ltd
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Recent Functionalities and Market Changes
• Post-Trade Anonymity (April 25, 2011)
• Risk Management Tools: Drop Copy, Global Cancel and While Connected Functionalities (September 26, 2011)
• User-Defined Strategies on Futures and Options on Futures (published on October 5, 2011)
• Committed Orders Functionality (in production on November 26, 2011)
• Opening of the Options Market at 9:30 am (Q1 2012)
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Key MX Initiatives for 2012
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Key MX Initiatives for 2012
1) Broadening our product line and improving liquidity in ourcore fixed income and equity offering
• Initiatives supporting CGZ, CGF, OBX, and SXO, SXF, SXM• Adjusting to the evolving regulatory landscape of the OTC market
2) Aggressively pursuing international clients
• New office presence in US; extended trading hours and evolving rules for foreign access and clearing
3) Investing with our distribution partners to develop the Canadianretail derivatives market
• Online educational content, co-marketing initiatives, new retail-oriented products
4) Enhancing our technology platform
• New pre-trade risk management tools; expanding capacity and throughput; flex options functionality
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Maple – The Right Path Forward
A quick update
•TMX Group’s support agreement announced on October 30, 2011 to accelerate our growth, drive our innovation and improve our competitiveness on the world stage
•Maple’s investors share and support the vision of the Montréal Exchange’s continued international expansion directed from Montréal in trading and clearing derivatives
•Regulatory approval process underway including public hearings with targeted closing date of Q1 2012
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Have a great CADC 2011 conference!
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