Chap 07

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Prentice Hall © 2002 International Business 3e

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INTERNATIONALBUSINESS

Chapter 7Foreign Exchange and

International Financial Markets

A MANAGERIAL PERSPECTIVE

Prentice Hall © 2002 International Business 3e

Griffin and Pustay Third Edition

Prentice Hall © 2002 International Business 3e

2

Chapter Objectives

• Describe how demand and supply determine the price of foreign exchange.

• Discuss the role of international banks in the foreign-exchange market.

• Assess the different ways firms can use the spot and forward markets to settle international transactions.

• Summarize the role of arbitrage in the foreign-exchange market.

• Discuss the important aspects of the international capital market.

After studying this chapter you should be able to:

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Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange is a commodity that consists of currencies issued by countries other than one’s own.

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Direct Exchange Rate

A direct exchange rate (or direct quote) is the price of the foreign currency in terms of the home currency.

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Indirect Exchange Rate

An indirect exchange rate (or indirect quote) is the price of the home currency in terms of the foreign currency.

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The Structure of the Foreign-Exchange Market

• Because the dollar is used to facilitate most currency exchange, it is known as the primary transaction currency for the foreign-exchange market.

• The foreign-exchange departments of large international banks play a dominant role in the foreign-exchange market. These banks stand ready to buy or sell the major traded currencies.

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The Structure of the Foreign-Exchange Market (cont.)

• International banks also play a key role in the retail market for foreign exchange, dealing with individual customers who want to buy or sell foreign currencies in large or small amounts.

• The clients of the foreign-exchange departments of banks fall into several categories:– Commercial customers– Speculators– Arbitrageurs

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The Structure of the Foreign-Exchange Market (conc.)

• Domestic laws may constrain the ability to trade a currency in the foreign-exchange market. Currencies that are freely tradable are called convertible currencies. Also called hard currencies, these include the various EU currencies, the Canadian dollar, the Japanese yen, and the U.S. dollar. Currencies that are not freely tradable because of domestic laws or the unwillingness of foreigners to hold them are called inconvertible currencies, or soft currencies.

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Spot and Forward Markets

• The spot market consists of foreign-exchange transactions that are to be consummated immediately (usually within two days of the trade date).

• The forward market consists of foreign-exchange transactions that are to occur some time in the future. Prices are often published for foreign exchange that will be delivered 30 days, 90 days, and 180 days in the future.

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Currency Future

Publicly traded on many exchanges worldwide, a currency future is a contract that resembles a forward contract. However, unlike the forward contract, the currency future is for a standard amount on a standard delivery date.

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Currency Option

The currency option allows, but does not require, a firm to buy or sell a specified amount of foreign currency at a specified price at any time up to a specified date. A call option grants the right to buy the foreign currency in question; a put option grants the right to sell the foreign currency.

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Arbitrage and the Currency Market

• Arbitrage is the riskless purchase of a product in one market for immediate resale in a second market in order to profit from a price discrepancy.

• There are two types of arbitrage activities that affect the foreign-exchange market:– Arbitrage of goods– Arbitrage of money

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Arbitrage of Goods—Purchasing Power Parity

• The arbitrage of goods across national boundaries is represented by the theory of purchasing power parity (PPP). This theory states that the prices of tradable goods, when expressed in a common currency, will tend to equalize across countries as a result of exchange-rate changes.

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Arbitrage of Money

• The impact of arbitrage of goods on the foreign-exchange market is dwarfed by that of the short-term arbitrage of money.

• Whenever the foreign-exchange market is not in equilibrium, professional traders can profit through arbitraging money.

• Two-point arbitrage, also called geographic arbitrage, involves profiting from price differences in two geographically distinct markets.

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Covered-Interest Arbitrage

Covered-interest arbitrage is arbitrage that occurs when the difference between two countries’ interest rates is not equal to the forward discount/premium on their currencies. In practice, it is the most important form of arbitrage in the foreign exchange market.

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International Fisher Effect

• Yale economist Irving Fisher demonstrated that a country’s nominal interest rate reflects the real interest rate plus expected inflation in that country. National differences in expected inflation rates thus yield differences in nominal interest rates among countries, a phenomenon known as the international Fisher effect.

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The International Capital Market

• Not only are international banks important in the functioning of the foreign-exchange market and arbitrage transactions, but they also play a critical role in financing the operations of international businesses, acting as both commercial bankers and investment bankers.

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Major International Banks

• A correspondent relationship is an agent relationship whereby one bank acts as a correspondent, or agent, for another bank in the first bank’s home country and vice versa.

• As the larger banks have internationalized their operations, they have increasingly provided their own overseas operations, rather than utilizing correspondent banks, in order to improve their ability to compete internationally.

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Major International Banks (cont.)

• An overseas banking operation can be established in several ways. If it is separately incorporated from the parent, it is called a subsidiary bank; if it is not separately incorporated, it is called a branch bank. Sometimes an international bank may choose to create an affiliated bank, an overseas operation in which it takes part ownership in conjunction with a local or foreign partner.

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The Eurocurrency Market

• Another important facet of the international financial system is the Eurocurrency market. Originally called the Eurodollar market, the Eurocurrency market originated in the early 1950s when the communist-controlled governments of Central and Eastern Europe needed dollars to finance their international trade but feared the U.S. government would confiscate or block their holdings of dollars in U.S. banks for political reasons.

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The Eurocurrency Market (cont.)

• Today a Eurocurrency is defined as a currency on deposit outside its country of issue. Some $6 trillion worth of Eurocurrencies are on deposit in banks worldwide; roughly two thirds of these deposits are in the form of Eurodollars.

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The Eurocurrency Market (conc.)

• The Euroloan market is extremely competitive, and lenders operate on razor-thin margins. Euroloans are often quoted on the basis of the London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR), the interest rate that London banks charge each other for short-term Eurocurrency loans.

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Foreign Bonds

Foreign bonds are bonds issued by a resident of country A but sold to residents of country B and denominated in the currency of country B.

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Eurobonds

A Eurobond is a bond issued in the currency of one country but sold to residents of other countries.

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Global Bonds

A global bond is a large, liquid financial asset that can be traded anywhere at any time.

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Country Funds

A country fund is a mutual fund that specializes in investing in a given country’s firms.

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Chapter Review

• A currency’s price in the foreign-exchange market is determined by the interaction of the demand for and supply of the currency.

• Major international banks in financial centers such as London, Frankfurt, Tokyo, and New York City play a critical role in the functioning of the foreign-exchange market.

• An important feature of the foreign-exchange market is its time dimension.

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Chapter Review (cont.)

• Arbitrage activities affect the demand for and supply of foreign exchange.

• The international capital market is growing in sophistication as a result of technological advances in telecommunications and computers.