Post on 02-Mar-2018
transcript
7/26/2019 CIA Director John Brennan Opening Statement
1/5
U N C L A S S I F I E D
Statement
by Central Intelligence Agency Director
J o h n O .
B r e n n a n
befo re
th e
Senate Select
Committee
on Intelligence
1 6
J u n e
2 16
Chairman Burr, ViceChairman Feinstein, and Members of the Committee: Thank you
for inviting me to
speak
to you today in an open hearing about the Central Intelligence
Agency, an agency
an d
a workforce that I
am
enormously proud to be part of. I am
privileged every
da y
to lead
the
women an d me n of CIA, as they work around the clock
and around the world, often in difficult
an d
even dangerous locations, to help keep our
country
strong and
free
and ou r fellow
citizens
safe
and
secure.
Our hearing today
takes
place against
th e
backdrop of a heinous
ac t
of wanton violence
that wa s perpetrated against innocents in Orlando, Florida last weekend. We join th e
families
an d
friends in mourning t he l os s of their loved
ones
who were killed in
the
attack,
an d
we
extend our best wishes
for a full
an d
speedy recovery of all those
injured. This
ac t
of violence
w as a n a ss au lt
on the values of openness
an d
tolerance
tha t
d e f i n e us
a s
a N a t i o n .
In light of the events in Orlando, Iwould like to
take
this opportunity to offer th e
Committee
ou r assessment of the
terrorist
th re a t o ur Nation and ou r citizens
face
especially from
th e
Islamic
State
of Iraq
a nd t he
Levant,
or
ISIL.
On th e battlefields of Syria and Iraq, th e U.S-led coalition has
made
important
progress
against
ISIL. The group appears to be a long wa y from realizing the vision that Abu
Bakr al-Baghdadi laid out when he declared th e caliphate two y ea rs a go in Mosul.
Several notable indicators ar e trending in
the
right direction. ISIL has lost large
stretches of territory in
both Syria
and Iraq. Its
finance
and media operations have
been
squeezed.
And it
has struggled
to
replenish
its ranks of fighters, in part because fewer
foreign fighters are traveling to Syria. Moreover, some reports
suggest
that a growing
number
of ISIL
members
are
becoming
disillusioned with
th e
group
a nd ar e
eager
to
follow in th e footsteps of members
wh o have
already defected.
The anti-ISIL Coalition is taking steps to exploit these vulnerabilities. In addition to
efforts
underway
to liberate cities like Fallujah
and
Manbij,
th e
Coalition is also
removing
ISIL leaders from
th e
battlefield, thereby
reducing
the group s
capabilities
and
its will-to-
fight. Last month, for example a US airstrike killed an influential ISIL leader in Al Anbar.
7/26/2019 CIA Director John Brennan Opening Statement
2/5
ISIL
however, is a formidable, resilient,
and
largely cohesive enemy, and we anticipate
that the group
will
adjust its strategy an d tactics in an effort to regain momentum.
In th e coming months we
ca n
expect ISIL to
probe
th e front lines of its adversaries for
weaknesses to harass th e forces that ar e holding th e cities it previously controlled, an d
to conduct terror
attacks against
its
enemies
in Iraq and Syria.
To compensate for territorial losses ISIL
will
probably rely more on guerrilla tactics,
including high-profile attacks outside territory it holds. A steady stream of attacks in
Baghdad a nd Damas cu s demonstrates the group s ability to penetrate deep inside
enemy
strongholds.
Beyond its
losses
on th e battlefield, ISIL s
finances
ar e taking a hit
as
well. Coalition
efforts
h av e r ed uc ed t he
group s
ability to
generate
revenue
a nd h av e
forced it to
cu t
cos t s
a n d t o r e a l l o c a t e f u n d s .
Yet ISIL is
adapting
to th e Coalition s efforts,
an d
it continues to generate at
least tens
of millions of dollars in revenue
pe r
month, primarily from taxation an d from crude oil
sa le s
Unfortunately,
despite
all ou r
progress
against ISIL on th e battlefield an d in
th e
financial
realm, ou r efforts
have no t
r ed uc ed the g ro up s
terrorism
capability
an d
global reach.
The r es our ces needed
for terrorism
are very
modest
a nd th e group
would
have
to
suffer
even heavier losses
of territory,
manpower
and
money
for its terrorist
capacity
to
decline
significantly.
Moreover,
th e
group s foreign branches an d global networks ca n help preserve its
capacity
for terrorism regardless of events in Iraq an d Syria. In fact, a s
th e
pressure
mounts on ISIL we judge that itwill intensify its global terror campaign to maintain its
dominance
of
th e
global terrorism
agenda.
S in ce a t least 2014, ISIL has
been
working to build an apparatus to direct and inspire
attacks against its foreign enemies resulting in
hundreds
of casualties. T he m os t
prominent
e xa mp le s a re t he attacks in Paris
and
Brussels which we a s s e s s were
directed by ISIL s leadership.
We judge that ISIL is training an d attempting to
deploy
operatives for further attacks.
ISIL has a large cadre of Western fighters wh o could potentially serve as operatives for
attacks in t he W es t. And th e group is probably exploring a variety of means for
7/26/2019 CIA Director John Brennan Opening Statement
3/5
infiltrating operatives into the West, including refugee flows, smuggling routes, and
legitimate methods of travel.
Further
as w e h av e seen
in Orlando S an Bernardino
and elsewhere
ISIL is
attempting to inspire attacks by sympathizers who
have
no direct links to the group.
Last month, for example, a
senior
ISILfigure publicly urged
the group s
followers to
conduct attacks in their home countries if they were unable to travel to Syria an d Iraq.
At th e same time, ISIL is gradually cultivating its global network of branches into a
more
interconnected organization. The branch in Libya is probably the most developed
an d
th e
most dangerous.
We
assess that it is trying to increase its influence inAfrica
an d
to
plot attacks in th e region an d in Europe.
Meanwhile, ISIL s Sinai branch
has
established itself
as
th e most active an d capable
terrorist group in Egypt.
Th e
branch
focuses
its attacks on Egyptian military
an d
government targets
bu t
it
has
also
targeted foreigners and
tourists, as
we saw
with
the
downing of a Russian passenger jet
last
October.
Other branches, while also a concern, have struggled to gain traction. Th e Yemen
branch
for instance, h as b ee n riven with factionalism. And th e
Afghanistan-Pakistan
branch has struggled to maintain its cohesion in part because of competition with th e
Taliban
Finally, on
th e
propaganda front,
th e
Coalition is working to
counter
ISIL s
expansive
propaganda
machine. ISIL
paints
a carefully
crafted image
to
th e
outside
world, lauding
its own military efforts, portraying its
so-called
caliphate as a thriving state and
alleging that th e group is expanding globally
even
as it faces setbacks locally.
ISIL
releases
a multitude of
media
products on a variety of platformsincluding social
media
mobile applications, radio, and h ar dc op y m ed iu ms . T o disseminate its official
online
propaganda
th e group primarily
uses
Twitter, Telegram and Tumblr, an d it relies
on a global network of
sympathizers
to further
spread
its
messages.
In
sum
ISIL remains a formidable adversary but th e United States and ou r global
partners have succeeded in putting th e group on th e defensive forcing it to d ev o te m o re
time and
energy to try to hold territory and to protect its vital infrastructure. And though
this
will be a long and difficult fight, there is broad agreement in th e international
community
on
th e
seriousness of
th e threat and
on th e
need
to meet it collectively
an d
decisively.
7/26/2019 CIA Director John Brennan Opening Statement
4/5
* * * *
As you well know, CIA is not just a counterterrorism
agency. W e are
a comprehensive
intelligence service with a global charter,
and
we ar e called
upon
to address
the
full
range of2 century threats.
And as I often tell young officers at CIA, I h av e n ev er seen a time when
our
country
faced
such
a wide variety of threats to our national security. Run your fingers along
almost
an y
portion of
t he ma p
from
th e
Asia Pacific to North Africa
an d
you will quickly
find a flashpoint with global implications. China is modernizing its military
an d
extending
its reach in the South China Sea. North Korea is
expanding
its nuclear weapons
program.
Russia
is
threatening
its
neighbors an d
aggressively
reasserting
itself on the
global
stage.
And then
there
is
th e
cyber
domain where s t at e s a nd sub-national actors
are threatening financial systems transportation networks, an d organizations of every
stripe, inside
government
and
out.
In
t he f ac e
of these many daunting challenges
ou r
Nation depends on CIA and
ou r
Intelligence Community partners to help k ee p o ur country strong an d secure. Indeed, in
today s volatile and complex world, policymakers
depend
on
CIA more than ever for
intelligence, insight, and options.
If we ar e to
m ee t t he
national security challenges that confront us, we mus t const antl y
a da pt a nd innovate. And that is why we announced a comprehensive effort
last
year
to
modernize our Agency for th e future.
Since
launching ou r Modernization
Program just over
fifteen
months
ago we
have
taken important steps to
ensure
tha t o ur A ge nc y fully adapts to t he chal lenges of our
t i m e .
We still have
work
to doand in some respects we always will. That s because
modernization is
about
m or e t ha n lines a nd b ox es
on
ou r
organizational chart.
It is
also
a mindseta
commitment
to
innovate constantly so
we
can keep
up with a
changing
w o rld .
A
k ey p ar t
of this
mindset
is ou r
commitment
to
making ou r
workforce as diverse
a s th e
world
we
cover.
Just last week th e
Office of
the
Director of National Intelligence
issued
a report showing t hat t he Intelligence Community is significantly l es s diver se t han th e
rest of th e
federal
workforce. It is a
report
that forces
those
of
us
in
th e
Intelligence
Community to confront some hard truths about
wh o we
are
and
how
we
ar e performing
o u r m i s s i o n .
7/26/2019 CIA Director John Brennan Opening Statement
5/5
As this committee knows,
CI
recently unveiled a landmark effort to make sure that our
workforce reflectsIn our attitudes, backgrounds, ethnicities, and perspectivesthe
Nation we work
so
hard to defend. This Is both a moral and a mission imperative. I
truly believe that the business case for diversity Is stronger for CI than It is for any
organization In th e US
government.
Diversity not only gives us the cultural understanding we need to operate In any corner
of the globe.
It also helps us avoid group think ensuring we bring to bear a range of
perspectives on the complex challenges that ar e inherent to Intelligence work.
And now, Iwould be happy to
address
your questions.