Post on 01-Dec-2014
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Know First • Be First • Profit First
Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert
www.FutureTrendsGroup.comcraig@futuretrendsgroup.com
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People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
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lised
Ac
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The future is already here...
it’s just not very evenly distributed.
William Gibson
What’s Happening in This Photo from Singapore?
What’s Happening in This Photo from Singapore?
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Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com
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Discuss with a Partner:
What Did You Find Most Surprising in the Video
“Did You Know”?
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“If change is happening on the outside faster than on the inside the end is in sight.”
-Jack Welch
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People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesWork/LifeShift
Glo
ba
lised
Ac
ce
lera
tion
Age Gap
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
Free Agency
End of Retirement
Un-Bell Curve
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
Virtual Business
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
CoITRobots Rise
Coworking
UnbreakableTech
Mobile Madness
http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732
Your mobile phone has
all of NASA in 1969. more computing power than
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How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6B Mobile Subscribers
1B 3G/4G Subscribers
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40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
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iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
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iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Data as of CQ3:10.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
~120MM+
~32MM
~9MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~27MM
Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
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40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
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bers
(MM
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iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
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iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
380M
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20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
scri
bers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
468M
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600
800
1,000
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1,400
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iPad iPhone iPod
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Quarters After Launch
iPad iPhone iPod
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10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Glo
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Quarters After Launch
iPad iPhone iPod
First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad
Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch).
iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped Even Faster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust
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Money
Access
Body
Engines
Metering
Control
Security
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Partner Questions:
What’s your favorite smartphone app and why?
Do you have a mobile strategy at your organisation?
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Let’s explore trends in the wider
education world...
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Discuss:What’s The #1 Trend
Changing School Education Today?
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The Flipped Classroom
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Corporate Learning Trends
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Are You Ignoring a $US18 Billion Opportunity?
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Laura Stack-NSA Past President
“Craig, 50% of all my engagements are
now virtual or hybrid. This trend is heading your way.”
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NSA White Paper
Download it here: bit.ly/nsaawa
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NSA White Paper - Emerging Trends
Globalisation
Shifting Decision Makers
Virtual Delivery
Multimedia Sophistication
Hybrid Meetings
Information Access
Networking and Interaction
Green Meetings
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Virtual Delivery
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Virtual Delivery
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Virtual Delivery
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Hybrid Meetings...events that combines both face-to-face and virtual experience for local and remote attendees.
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19,000 Attendees / 195 Countries
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Gamification
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Offer for ILP Members:
Get Out a Business Card Now for: a LinkedIn Connection,
& Click Below for an Invitation to My Virtual Workshop:
“Make a Mobile App in 60 Minutes”
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And Now Some Awesome Entertainment for Teachers, Trainers,
Learners and Peace Lovers
Click to Next Slide for Music Video