Future of Learning Technology 2015 - 7 Predictions

transcript

7 PredictionsFuture of Learning Technology - 2015

FUNDAMENTALDYNAMICS

Pace of change of the digital infrastructure

Digital Power=

Moore’s Law

ContentStorageCommunicationComputing

Fiber Law Disk Law Community Law

Doubles ever 18 months

Where ‘n’ is the # of people

Reference Article

Pace of change of the digital infrastructure

Digital Power=

Moore’s Law

ContentStorageCommunicationComputing

Fiber Law Disk Law Community Law

Where ‘n’ is the # of people

Reference Article

Community Law gives an astronomical number as more & more people join the community

COMPUTINGPOWER

Reference Article

Computing Power that we will be able to buy for $1000 in the years to come :

By around 2025, $1000 should let us buy equivalent of one human brain

Reference Article

By around 2050, $1000 should let us buy an equivalent of all human brains

Reference Article

FROM LAST

5YEARS

5TRENDS

Acceptance of LMS systems(rightly or wrongly) to be the central piece in

Workplace Learning strategy

Establishment of Flash as the de-facto development platform for custom eLearning creation allowing use of streaming audio/ video over the web

Evolution of authoring tools like Articulate to become better & easier to work with reducing the cost of development

Increase in capacity of mobile phones and networks to make them

potent devices for learning

Emergence of social media (and revived focus on social and informal learning)

THE NEXT5YEARS

7TRENDS TO WATCH OUT FOR OVER

Image Courtesy: http://www.flickr.com/photos/27048731@N03/4460542769/

Mobiles will become the platform of choice for workplace learning delivery

Just-in-time information (videos, documents, or mini courses) for learners accessible through corporate information systems

Collaboration with colleagues

Learner generated content using mobiles devices

Performance Support will increase manifold

Lot of training will take the shape of performance support

Learners will start accessing learning content just when they need it through their mobile phones

Augmented Reality would also play an important role in sophisticated advanced performance support systems

Tablets as support devices3

Ideal as field staff’s support device for trouble shooting problems by referring to product manuals and operational procedures

Tablets as support devices3

LMS will evolve to support (not manage) Formal + Informal + Social + Non-Formal learning components

This will bring about a big shift in the way we see assessments

The ability to measure informal learning may be done through the system itself

Constant tracking of some metrics will help learning designers monitor the ‘learning/performance

health’ of the system and its users

Games (and simulations) will become integral part of workplace learning

The culture of gaming is becoming pervasive and the cost of game development is decreasing, thereby increasing the acceptance of games for workplace learning

As the focus of learning departments change to being facilitators rather than providers of training, engaging solutions like games will become crucial

Birth of new Authoring Tools6

There will be new authoring tools which allow designers to make application scenarios easily and quickly

Tools like thinking worlds are great for quickly creating 3D based decision simulations (or even

simple 3D games)

Emergence of Personal Learning Agents7

Intelligent personal learning software agents will emerge as learning content mediators with the emergence of Semantic Web

Emergence of Personal Learning Agents7

These agents, that run on a personal computing device and constantly monitor content streams on the internet to provide

up-to-date information, will make a good performance support and learning assistance system

Emergence of Personal Learning Agents