Vision 2050

Vision 2050 Generic Presentation

Short Version

March 2010

- DRAFT -

Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 2

Summary

Overview of the Vision 2050 project

Part 1: Business-as-usual outlook to 2050

Part 2: The Vision for 2050

Part 3: The pathway to 2050

Part 4: Business opportunities

Conclusion: Urgent action is needed

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About Vision 2050

• The vision concept and the 2050 timeframe provide a clear and feasible goal for…o Identifying the gap between today and 2050

o Developing a pathway and areas of action

o Clarifying the business perspective

o Quantifying market potential

o Agreeing on action points and next steps

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A collaborative effort involving 29 companies

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A global business dialogue

Washington DC

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The different steps of the Vision 2050 project

Business-as-usual outlook to 2050

Vision 2050

Pathway to 2050

Opportunities

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Growth in populations and consumption

Source: Goldman Sachs, BRICs and Beyond, 2007 Source: The World Bank, Global Economic Prospects, 2007

Source: UN Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, 2008

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Degradation of the environment and societies

Source: UKERC, The Global Oil Depletion Report, 2009Source: OECD, Environmental Outlook to 2030, 2008

Source: OECD, Environmental Outlook to 2030, 2008

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Meeting the dual goals of sustainability: High human development and low ecological impact

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The Vision: Nine billion people living well, within the limits of the planet

Vision 2050

Diversity & inter-dependence

A different economic reality

Multi-partner governance

Dealing with climate change

An evolved workplace &

evolved employers

In markers: Innovating &

deploying solutions

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Human development

Economy

The pathway to 2050 and its nine elements

Vision 2050

Today

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

People’s values

Agriculture Forests Energy & power

Buildings Mobility Materials

Opportunities

Turb

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“Must-haves”

Measures of success

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The pathway to 2050 and its nine elements

Vision 2050

Today

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A sustainable future comes with huge business opportunities

Potential additional sustainability related business opportunities in key sectors in 2050

Sectors Annual value in 2050(US$ trillion at constant 2008 prices)

% of projected world GDP in 2050

Energy 2.0 1.0

Forestry 0.2 0.1

Agriculture and food 1.2 0.6

Water 0.2 0.1

Metals 0.5 0.2

Total: natural resources 4.1 2.0

Health and education 2.1 1.0

Total 6.2 3.0

Source: PwC estimates drawing on data from IEA, OECD and the World Bank

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Ecological estimates

Vision 2050 ecological footprint against business-as-usual – How many Earths do we use?

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Opportunities: Business domains for the next decade

Helping change happen

Improving biocapacity &

managing ecosystems

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Opportunities: Business domains for the next decade

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Improving biocapacity and managing ecosystems

Potential growth of some ecosystem markets (US$ billion)

Ecosystempayments

Bio-productivity

Technology

Distribution

Education

Compliant biodiversity offsets

Government mediated biodiversity PES

Voluntary watershed management payments

Government-mediated watershed PES

0 10,000 20,000 30,000

Current size

Potential size by 2020

Potential size by 2050

Source: Forest Trends and the Ecosystem Marketplace, PES: Market Profiles, 2008 FAW management

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Closing the gap: Reaching the vision

CollaborationBuild complex coalitions, co-

innovation

ConsumptionChange consumption

patterns to more sustainable lifestyles

CostsInternalize cost of carbon, water & other ecosystem

services

Carbon & resourcesHalve CO2

emissions, double agricultural output, 4-

10 fold increase in resource efficiency

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The journey begins now!

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Further information

• More information on:o www.wbcsd.org/web/vision2050.htm

• Contacts:o Per Sandberg,

• sandberg@wbcsd.org • +41 22 8393101

o Kija Kummer, Assistant Manager

• kummer@wbcsd.org• +41 22 83931XX