Post on 09-May-2015
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The Arab Spring Unstable situation
Sunni vs. Shia in the Middle East
Decline in US policy & influence in the region
Iranian policy and influenceThe conflict with Turkey
Israeli strategy and the challenges Israel
faces today
The Middle East
• M
“Sitting on the edge of a Volcano”
Recent events in Syria: Which route will be taken ? Will Assad
survive ?
Iran and Hezbollah efforts to assist the current regime
The influence of the recent events on Hezbollah and Hamas
Absence of Leadership
The International Community
Israel’s policy and interest-An Opportunity ?
Lebanon
Iran and Hezbollah obtained majority in the
parliament and rule the country
The arming process continues
Hezbollah is facing two challenges: The legal demand following Hariri’s
murder. Assad’s declining situation
The silence along the border: Israel’s deterrence
Egypt
Military Regime: unstable situation
Mubarak’s Egypt: moderate actor in the region
The rise of the Muslim Brotherhood
Good relationships between Hamas and the current leadership which allowed the
Shalit Deal
Israel’s concerns: The peace agreement
No government control in the Sinai Peninsula
an open gate for terror Egypt returns to the front
The Palestinian Arena
How the September Declaration and The November Vote influence the
field
The challenges and opportunities for Israel
Will current circumstances impact the process?
The Palestinian agenda was pushed aside due to the Arab Spring
The Future: Israel will continue tosuffer missile attacks from Gaza
The Shalit Deal How will Shalit deal effect Israel in its
struggle against terror - mainly Hezbollah and Hamas.
Does Israel need to change its strategy associated with kidnapped soldiers ?
The Israeli dilemma: Commitment to soldiers
VS.
Risks taken for future terror attacks and the heavy price in human lives.
How does Shalit deal effect the global struggle against terror; Al Qaeda, Iran
and other terror organizations.
Unstable situation in the near future
Decrease in US presence
Increasing Iranian influence
Concerns: Relationships with Egypt & Turkey
The Bottom Line