Meteorologisk Institutt met.no OPNet, Oslo, May 2011 Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?!......

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Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?!... and if so, do we have the right tools ?

Lars-Anders Breivik

OPNet Oslo, May 2011

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Heading

Oil drift simulations using two different resolutions

Red 4 km modelBlue 1.5 km model

32 hour after accidentAt noon on Aug 1

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Oslofjord (300m) and Skag (1.5km). 18 Feb at 00:00

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Regional models and model areas

Topaz:MyOcean Arctic Monitoringand Forecasting

ROMS 4 km: regional use

ROMS Norkyst 800:Coastal applications

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

OSI SAF, Satellite derived SST (7 days accumulated) and ROMS 4 temperature

Shall be capable of utilizing available observations,in particular satellite data

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

NOAA19, channel 1,2,3. May 5, 2011

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

met.no Sea Ice service analysis, may 5, 2011

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Satellite derived SST in the 9. May 2011

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

High resolution model:Norkyst 800

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Eddy shedding in the model. Daily mean surface currents for May 3 - 8, 2010, in the ocean west of Lofoten

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

NWP, regional models, HIRLAM 8 and UM 1 km

Rely on high quality atmospheric forcing, Best possible NWP weather forecasts

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Future direction: Coupling of ocean forecast / wave forecast and weather forecast models to optimize the description of the fluxes in the boundary layer.

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Experience with couplingatmosphere - wave

Average differences in fluxes of sensible heat3 months of HIRLAM - WAM coupled / no coupled

Cold air outbreak->Rougher wind sea ->Increased heat flux

Sætra and Køltzow (IPY results)

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

1-year storm surge simulations

• Control run with stress calculated from Large and Pond

• Experiment using stresses from wave model

• Verification against sea level observations

From Sætra, Albretsen and Janssen 2007 (JPO)

Experience with couplingwave - ocean

Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011

Information- and data- access for users

Make information:snapshots and dataeasy available through modern web interface