Post on 25-Feb-2016
description
transcript
Peter Cochrane
COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s
www.ca-global.org
New Life and… ... Intelligence
We now live in a world of the infinitely complex…
… how do you solve problems & make decisions?
Total Data Worldwide (in Terabytes
)
21m
15m
57m
33m
Technology InnovationsTotal Data Worldwide (in Terabytes
)
21m
15m
57m
33m
Total Data Worldwide (in Terabytes
)
21m
15m
57m
33m
Technology Innovations
There is a lot of data out there… …can you store it all, and find it when needed?
the fountof all
knowledge
becomingspecialised
highly specialised
all knowledgethrough
technology
1800 1900 TODAY 2000 +
No one knows anything anymore...
Our progress to date!
We are such linear thinkers…We don’t cope well with multiple dimensionsWe confuse data and informationWe store the useless and misplace the useful We need knowledge but create a fog of confusion Networked machines (AI + AL) might just save us!
Human evolution
We have come to the end(ish) of the road… …and we aint going to get any smarter!
The solution:A symbiotic relationship with our machines?A new intelligence and/or life form?
Just watch this little girl’s face…QuickTime™ and a
YUV420 codec decompressorare needed to see this picture.
Audience participation time
No people involved this time!
Artifacts & Tools EngineeringTechnologyScienceSystemsElectronicsITMaterialsBioTechNanoTech
???????
AL + AISpace Travel
FluidsBulk
Materials
Crystals
Bottom Up - Top Down
Life
BiologicalForms
Molecules
Atoms
Particles
Big Bang
Visible lightToday’s transistor
s
Human hair
Bacteria
Viruses
0.1 nm
1.0 nm
10 nm
0.10 m
1 m
10 m
100 m0.1 mm
Diameter of a DNA helix Silicon lattice
constant Diameter of a carbon atom
X-rays
1 angstrom
Shockley, Bardeen,and Brattain - 1947
The first IC-1959
ICs-1980
End of the road?~2015
Intel 2006
Is there an end in sight??
Atomic manipulation has been a reality for some time…
The scientific method is the most powerfultool of understanding we have developed so far…
..but it never does, and will never do this!
It doesn’t have to be this way…
QuickTime™ and aVideo decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
…a symbiosis is possible… I think!
2006 Internet ~ 1 Human Brain2012 Internet ~ 1,000 Human Brains2018 Internet ~ 1,000,000 Human Brains2024 Internet ~ 1,000,000,000 Human Brains2034 Internet ~ 1,000,000,000,000, Human Brains
But exponential growth takes over…
So is it game over around 2030??
Our view of technology…My Grandfather: Man will never flyMy Father: Man will never walk on the moonMy Generation: Computers will never:
- win at chess- be creative- smarter than us- become intelligent- become self aware- live, etc
My View: These are all worthless & irrelevant statements mainly born of fear and ignorance
These words worry me…- Life- Intelligence- Complexity- Scalability- Value
We have no description, definition, quantification, measure, or understanding of these everyday word - ergo it is impossible to have a meaningful intercourse on or about any of them!
BUT that does not stop us investigating or researching any one or all of them to our overall advantage and advance.
Life today!
Processing Carbon = Silicon
Memory Carbon = Silicon
Comms Carbon < Silicon
Sensors Carbon >> Silicon
Data
Information
Knowledge
Wisdom
Things need connectivity before they can become “smart”
Data
Information
Knowledge
Wisdom
SensesSensors
Processing
Intelligence
Experience
Processing
Intelligence?
Experience??
Communicationwith others
Gradually our machinesare sensing more than us!
Life has been at it for 2Bn years…whilst we have less than 100 years on the electronic clock…but
technology evolution is much faster!
What can we do with AI & AL now?
What can we do with AI & AL now?
QuickTime™ and aSorenson Video decompressorare needed to see this picture.
A future challenge and nightmare?
But not without: - cognition- context- awareness
My personal nightmare!
QuickTime™ and aYUV420 codec decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
A world of opportunity & risk….
Thank you,
cochrane.org.ukca-global.org
COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s