1

IF-UTAMA 1

Forecasting

Sesi 11-12

Dosen Pembina :

Danang Junaedi

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Introduction

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Definition

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Types of Forecasting by Time Horizon

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Forecasting Approaches

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Overview of Qualitative Method

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Overview of Quantitative Method

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Time Series

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Time Series Component

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Overview of Trend Component

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Overview of Seasonal Component

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Overview of Cyclical Component

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Overview of Random Component

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Time Series Forecasting

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Stationary Forecasting Model

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Stationary Forecasting Model

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Method for Stationary Time Series

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Method for Stationary Time Series

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Method for Stationary Time Series

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Method for Stationary Time Series

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Method for Stationary Time Series

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Method for Stationary Time Series

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Example

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Exponential Smoothing Method Trlationship with Simple Moving Average

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Performance of Forecasting

Methods

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Performance of Forecasting Methods

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Example

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Example

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Linear Trend Time Series

Methods

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Linear Trend Time Series Methods

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Linear Trend Time Series Methods

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Example

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Example

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Linear Trend Time Series Methods

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Linear Trend Time Series Methods

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Example

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Example

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Trend, Seasonal and Cyclical

Time Series

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General Time Series Models

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Additive and Multiplicative Model

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Forecasting with Trend and Seasonal Components

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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Example

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IF-UTAMA 63

Referensi

1.1. Dr. Dr. MouradMourad YKHLEFYKHLEF,2009,,2009,Decision Decision

Support SystemSupport System--ForecastingForecasting, King , King

SaudSaud UniversityUniversity