State of the State Survey Summer 2017...State of the State Survey Summer 2017 Charles L. Ballard...

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State of the State Survey

Summer 2017

Charles L. Ballard

Professor, Department of Economics

Director, State of the State Survey

Institute for Public Policy and Social Research

ballard@msu.edu

517.353.2961

State of the State Survey

Summer 2017

Michigan Residents Give

Thumbs Up to Economy,

Thumbs Down to Elected Leaders

About SOSS Wave 74

954 Interviews Completed

April 19, 2017 – July 30, 2017

Margin of Error: + 3.17%

Male: 48.4% Female: 51.6%

White: 75.5% Black: 13.4%

President Trump received a rating

of “excellent” or “good” from

28% of Michigan residents.

That’s lower than Clinton or

Obama ever received, but higher

than George W. Bush received in

his last two years in office.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Excellent Good Fair Poor

8.6

19.4 20.6

51.4

Pe

rce

nt

Michigan Residents' Ratings of President Trump's Performance, Summer 2017

35.4

44.3

49.5

56.0

53.0

55.1

40.8

66.9

47.4

42.3

32.4

27.5

20.5

17.3

57.7

36.9

43.1

41.5

44.0

37.6 39.5

43.0

49.6

28.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Pe

rce

nt

Percentage of Michigan Residents Rating U.S. President's Performance as "Excellent" or "Good," 1995-2017

Clinton

Bush

Obama

Trump

We asked about President

Trump’s ban on travel from six

Muslim-majority countries:

Response Percentage

Strongly approve 21.0

Somewhat approve 20.3

Somewhat disapprove 16.6

Strong disapprove 40.4

Percent

Rating Trump

Opinion of the “Excellent” or

Travel Ban: “Good”

Strongly Approve 76.1

Somewhat Approve 38.7

Somewhat Disapprove 35.6

Strongly Disapprove 17.1

Governor Snyder’s approval

ratings improved slightly,

but his favorable ratings

remained below 30%.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Excellent Good Fair Poor

5.2

24.1

37.0

33.7

Pe

rce

nt Michigan Residents' Ratings of

Governor Snyder's Performance, Summer 2017

44.5

31.5

19.3

33.0

36.8 35.5 34.0

29.2

35.6

39.2 37.1 37.9

35.6

41.8

25.3 25.2

29.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Pe

rce

nt

Percentage of Michigan Residents Rating Governor Snyder's Performance as "Excellent" or "Good," 2011-2017

55.0

50.6

46.7

52.5

49.5

43.7 43.6

57.2

48.7

35.3

34.4

25.3

23.0

31.0

20.7

31.8

35.1

32.9

38.1 38.7

25.3 25.2

29.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Pe

rce

nt

Year

Percentage of Michigan Residents Rating Performance of Governors as "Excellent" or "Good," 1995-2016

Engler

Granholm

Snyder

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Excellent Good Fair Poor

8.6

19.4 20.6

51.4

5.2

24.1

37.0 33.7

Pe

rce

nt

Michigan Residents' Ratings of the Performances of President Trump and Governor Snyder,

Summer 2017

Trump

Snyder

Attitudes by

Race and Gender

Views of Michigan Residents

by Race and Sex

State of Michigan

Women Men Whites Blacks

Trump

“Excellent” or “Good”

28.0% 22.8% 33.3% 31.1% 7.7%

Snyder

“Excellent” or “Good”

29.3% 26.2% 32.5% 31.6% 12.2%

Attitudes by Political Party

Views of Michigan

Residents

by Political Party

State of

Michigan Republican Independent Democrat

Trump

“Excellent” or

“Good” 28.0% 69.3% 28.4% 2.7%

Snyder

“Excellent” or

“Good” 29.3% 57.4% 31.8% 9.2%

Regional Attitudes

Views of Residents from Different Regions in Michigan

* Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties

State of Michigan

City of Detroit

Wayne, Oakland, Macomb

Grand Rapids Area*

Trump

“Excellent” or “Good”

28.0% 14.7% 28.0% 29.8%

Snyder

“Excellent” or “Good”

29.3% 14.4% 31.6% 26.7%

Assessments of the current

financial situation continued the

upward trend of the last 8 years.

The percentage saying “excellent”

or “good” rose to its highest

level since 2002.

13.5

48.8

28.8

6.4

2.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Excellent Good Just Fair Not So Good Poor

Perc

en

t Michigan Residents' Assessments of Their Current Financial Situation,

Summer 2017

55.1

60.9

60.2

61.4

64.1 63.9 62.9

62.2

54.0

56.4

54.9

49.3 50.8

43.4 44.0

47.3 47.3

52.1 52.8

51.9

58.9

56.9 58.2

62.3

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

Pe

rce

nt

Year

Percent of Michigan Residents Who Rate Their Current Financial Situation As "Excellent" or "Good," 1994-2017

When asked whether they

are better off than one year

ago, Michigan residents

gave ratings that were

slightly better than in the

previous round.

47.8

31.5

20.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Better Off About the Same Worse Off

Pe

rce

nt

Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Are Better Off Than One Year Ago, Summer 2017

52.6

50.2

53.2 55.8

61.6

48.4

40.2

35.4

31.7

27.4

19.8

14.4

23.0 26.2

36.3

38.1

49.7

43.8

44.9

47.8

18.5

17.7

18.1

14.3

15.2

24.2

31.8

44.5 44.6

59.6

62.6

50.6

45.1

35.6

34.6

31.3

23.0 25.9

21.9

20.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pe

rce

nt

Year

Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Are Better Off or Worse Off Than One Year Ago, 1995-2017

Better Off

Worse Off

Michigan residents’ assessment of

whether they will be better off

one year from now declined

somewhat from the previous

survey.

56.7

21.9 21.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Better Off About the Same Worse Off

Perc

en

t

Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Will Be Better Off One Year From Now, Summer 2017

57.2 58.6

65.9

66.6

70.5

60.0

66.2

59.8 60.1

50.5

51.4

45.1 46.4

48.6

54.0

48.4

56.9

54.2

56.9

64.0

58.7

60.7

56.7

13.1

12.3 11.9 9.5

10.7

19.9

14.7

19.1

20.1

26.1

29.2

35.5 34.7 33.1

28.5

30.4

23.2

25.8

21.9 16.9 19.0

16.7

21.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Pe

rce

nt

Year

Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Will Be Better Off One Year From Now, 1995-2017

Better Off

Worse Off

For all three of these

measures of consumer

confidence, the ratings

are much better than in

2006-2011, but still lower

than in 1999.

Reports of current financial situation, for

different groups of Michigan residents:

“Excellent” “Not So Good”

or “Good” or “Poor”

State of Michigan 62.3% 8.9%

Men 63.9 7.9

Women 60.7 9.9

White 65.4 8.6

Black 39.1 13.0

Reports of current financial situation, for

different groups of Michigan residents: “Excellent” “Not So Good”

or “Good” or “Poor”

State of Michigan 62.3% 8.9%

Republican 78.9 2.7

Independent 61.7 8.1

Democrat 55.7 13.0

Income Above $100K 85.4 1.6

Income $50K - $100K 72.4 4.4

Income $20K - $50K 43.4 14.0

Income Below $20K 23.7 28.9

Reports of current financial situation, for

different groups of Michigan residents: “Excellent” “Not So Good”

or “Good” or “Poor”

State of Michigan 62.3% 8.9%

Aged 65 and Over 69.7 6.2

Aged 30-64 59.8 11.4

Aged 18-29 63.9 3.1

City of Detroit 59.4 12.7

Wayne, Oakland, Macomb 63.6 17.7

Grand Rapids Area 67.1 5.7

How to Learn More about SOSS:

http://ippsr.msu.edu/SOSS/

Charles Ballard: ballard@msu.edu

517.353.2961

Matt Grossmann: grossm63@msu.edu

517.884.8640

Cynthia Kyle: kylec@msu.edu

517.353.1731

Graham Pierce: glpierce@msu.edu

517.884.0364

THANK YOU!