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Linking Security and Development in Fragile

States:

Recent Lessons from Afghanistan

J Alexander Thier

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J Alexander Thier Authorized-Use-Only

Three quotes“I don't think our troops ought to be used for what's called nation-building.”

Governor George W. Bush, Presidential Debate, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, October 11, 2000.

“We will stay until the mission is done. … Peace will be achieved by helping Afghanistan develop its own stable government. …[We] are working in the best traditions of George Marshall. Marshall knew that our military victory in World War II had to be followed by a moral victory that resulted in better lives for individual human beings.”

President George W. Bush, Virginia Military Institute, April 17, 2002.

“The United States Congress has stepped in to find nearly $300m in humanitarian and reconstruction funds for Afghanistan after the Bush administration failed to request any money in the latest budget.”

BBC World Service, 13 February, 2003.

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Comparison of Aid Levels

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Comparative Peace-Keeping Commitments since 1993

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Combined OEF Costs and Aid ($ in Millions)

02000400060008000

100001200014000160001800020000

1990-2000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Foreign AidOEF

Data Source: Congressional Research Service

J Alexander Thier Authorized-Use-Only

US Aid to Afghanistan($ in Millions)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1990-2000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Foreign Aid

Data Source: Congressional Research Service

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Troop Levels in Afghanistan

05000

100001500020000250003000035000400004500050000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Total TroopsUS, Non-ISAFUS, ISAFNon-US, ISAF

Data Source: Congressional Research Service, media reports

J Alexander Thier Authorized-Use-Only

US Aid to Afghanistan: Security, Counter-Narcotics, Health & Education

($ in Millions)

0200400600800

1000120014001600

18002000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Security

Counter-Narcotics

Health & Education(USAID)

Data Source: Congressional Research Service, USAID

J Alexander Thier Authorized-Use-Only

J Alexander Thier Authorized-Use-Only

The Sequencing Problem