TREE DIAGRAMS & BAYES THEOREMFarrokh Alemi Ph.D.

Sequence

Tree Diagrams

Tree DiagramsEventPresen

t

Absent

Tree Diagrams

Tree Diagrams

Tree Diagrams

Tree Diagrams

Tree Diagrams

Smallpox Inoculation

Smallpox Inoculation

Smallpox Inoculation

Smallpox Inoculation

Tree Diagrams

Smallpox Inoculation

Deduction from data

Bayes Theorem

P( Cause| Effect) from P(Effect | Cause)

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Bayes Theorem

Tree Diagrams or Bayes Theorem Allow Us to Predict an Event from Its Consequences

Take Home Lesson

Do One