Post on 17-Feb-2017
transcript
An “Impressionist” Snapshot of Lowell’s 2012 - 2014 Turnout
“Lowell Votes” Public MeetingApril 1, 2015
Slides by Christopher Glenn Hayes, chris.g.hayes@gmail.comNote: All data is approximate, intended to create an order-of-magnitude snapshot of voting behavior in Lowell, MA
Voting Age Population82,856
0102030405060708090
Voting Age Population
(2013)
Registered Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
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sand
sChart Title
Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey.Note: Voting Age Population includes all residents age 18+, including noncitizens and others not eligible to vote.
Registered Voters57,686
70% of V.A.P.0
102030405060708090
Voting Age Population
(2013)
Registered Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
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sand
sChart Title
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2014 Voter List” Excel Table.
Last Presidential32,928
40% of V.A.P.0
102030405060708090
Voting Age Population
(2013)
Registered Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thou
sand
sChart Title
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” 2012 Federal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
0102030405060708090
Voting Age Population
(2013)
Registered Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thou
sand
sChart Title
Last Midterm20,910
25% of V.A.P.
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_4_14” 2014 State General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
0102030405060708090
Voting Age Population
(2013)
Registered Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thou
sand
sChart Title
Last Local11,526
14% of V.A.P.
20% of registered voters, 35% of 2012 turnout
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” 2013 Municipal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
14%
11%
28%
19% 19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Lowell Worcester Lawrence Cambridge Medford
Plan ECouncil - Manager
Plan E*Council - Manager
Plan BStrong Mayor
Plan ECouncil - Manager
SpecialStrong Mayor
2013 Election Turnout as % of V.A.P.
V.A.P. Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey.Turnout Sources: Election Offices of each municipality. “Ballots Cast” in each municipality’s 2013 local election.
* Special Charter Modified Plan E
Registered Voters as % of V.A.P.
10-313%
11-332%
1-353%
1-277%1-1
22%
2-330%
7-219%
2-219%
2-15% 9-3
24%
9-234%9-1
22%5-218%
5-329%
4-317%4-2
17%3-321%
7-315%
7-115%
5-123%6-3
37%
8-115%
8-230%
3-122%
11-235%
11-124%
10-127%
6-234%
6-131%
3-218%
10-214%
8-350%
4-127%
¯
0 1 20.5Miles
Registered5.1% - 15%
15.1% - 19.5%
19.6% - 23.9%
24% - 36.6%
36.7% - 77.2%
Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2014 Voter List” Excel Table, geocoded.V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.
2012 Voters as % of V.A.P.
10-326%
11-351%
1-369%
1-298%1-1
38%
2-345%
7-229%
2-237%
2-118% 9-3
41%
9-251%9-1
40%5-234%
5-346%
4-330%4-2
29%3-331%
7-327%
7-126%
5-137%6-3
61%
8-141%
8-244%
3-135%
11-254%
11-138%
10-143%
6-254%
6-146%
3-230%
10-226%
8-365%
4-140%
¯
0 1 20.5Miles
2012 Vote18% - 27%
28% - 35%
36% - 46%
47% - 69%
70% - 98%
Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” Excel Table, geocoded.V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.Note: 44 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
2013 Voters as % of V.A.P.
10-36%
11-318%
1-337%
1-252%1-1
12%
2-312%
7-29%
2-29%
2-14% 9-3
13%
9-218%9-1
10%5-29%
5-314%
4-38%4-2
10%3-311%
7-39%
7-18%
5-111%6-3
23%
8-113%
8-216%
3-112%
11-216%
11-113%
10-113%
6-219%
6-116%
3-29%
10-28%
8-331%
4-117%
¯
0 1 20.5Miles
2013 Vote4% - 6%
7% - 10%
11% - 14%
15% - 23%
24% - 52%
Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” Excel Table, geocoded.V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.Note: 14 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
2013 Voters as % of 2012 Voters
10-3
11-3
1-3
1-21-12-3
7-2
2-2
2-1
9-3
9-29-15-2
5-3
4-34-23-3
7-3
7-1
5-16-3
8-1
8-2
3-1
11-2
11-110-1
6-2
6-1
3-2
10-2
8-3
4-1
¯
0 1 20.5Miles
2013 Vote21% - 26%
27% - 31%
32% - 33%
34% - 43%
44% - 53%
2013 Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” Excel Table, geocoded.2012 Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” Excel Table, geocoded.Note: 58 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
33%
8%11% 12% 12%
19%
8%
20%
14%9%
16%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%
2013 Turnout by Ward as % of V.A.P.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
V.A.P. Source: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.Turnout Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2013 - Lowell City Elections” 2013 Lowell Municipal Election Results.