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1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement...

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Norm Asbjornson, CEO Scott Asbjornson, Vice President & CFO AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation 1 Q1 2017
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Page 1: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Norm Asbjornson, CEO

Scott Asbjornson, Vice President & CFO

AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation1

Q1 2017

Page 2: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Safe Harbor Statement

Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking statements” and “forward-looking information” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Except for statements of historical fact, certain information contained herein constitutes forward-looking statements which include management’s assessment of future plans and operations and are based on current internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs, which may prove to be incorrect. Forward-looking statements are provided to allow potential investors the opportunity of management’s beliefs and opinions in respect of the future so that they may use such beliefs and opinions as one factor in evaluating an investment. Some of the forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “may”, “plan”, “foresee”, “will”, “should”, “could”, “anticipate,” ”believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “potential,” “continue,” and similar expressions. While the Company’s management believes that these forward-looking statements are reasonable as and when made, these statements are not guarantees of future performance and undue reliance should not be placed on them. The Company’s forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond the Company’s control) and assumptions that could cause actual future results to differ materially from the Company’s historical experience and its present expectations or projections. For additional information regarding known material factors that could cause the Company’s results to differ from its projected results, please see its filings with the SEC, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K. The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement after they are made, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

2

Page 3: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

AAON provides designs of the highest quality and performance that lead the HVAC industry

AAON offers innovative and differentiated products

Provide more than just equipment; provide solutions

Energy efficiency and “green” features currently drive the market – AAON is a leader in both

Markets increasingly demand features offered by AAON, leading to increased market share

Company Position Market Opportunities

AAON

AAON is a premium provider of commercial heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) products.

3

Page 4: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Manufacturing Locations4

Two Facilities:Tulsa, Oklahoma Current

1.37M Sq. Ft. WSHP Manufacturing Line

Initiated Production Oct 2016R&D Laboratory

75,000 Sq. Ft Expected Completion: 2018

Longview, Texas Current

263,000 Sq. Ft.

Rooftop Units, Outdoor Mechanical Rooms, Large Self-Contained Units, Large Split Systems and Geothermal/Water-Source Heat Pumps

Split Systems, Small Chillers, Small Self-Contained Units and Coils

Page 5: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Product Families5

Page 6: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Mass customization Uses flexible computer-aided manufacturing systems to

produce custom outputs Combines the low unit costs of mass production processes

with the flexibility of individual customization

Collaborative effort AAON sales offices work with individual customers to

determine the precise product offering that best serves the customer's needs

Information gathered is used to specify and manufacture a product that suits that specific customer

AAON Business Strategy6

Page 7: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Focus upon underserved market niches Establish manufacturing methodologies to support market niche

products Develop company culture focused upon customer satisfaction

Reduce product delivery channel time and cost Continue with the goal of product and manufacturing technology

leadership

AAON, WITH A FOCUS ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY, THE ENVIRONMENT, AND AIR QUALITY = GROWTH AND PROFIT

HEAVY INVESTMENT IN RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT

($6.3M, $7.5M & $12.0M in 2014, 2015 & 2016, respectively)

AAON Market Strategy7

Page 8: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

AAON Served Market Growth

Rooftops $ 3.5 BChillers $ 1.0 BAir Handling Units $ 2.2 BSplit Systems $ 6.1 BGeothermal/WSHP $ 0.5 B

2016 Served Market - $ 13.1 B

1988 Served Market - $ 50 M

8

*

**

* Chiller market estimate based on industry news articles and reports.

** AHRI data includes both commercial and residential systems. Residential systems likely account for a largeportion of this number

*** Entered the mass produced geothermal/water-source heat pump market in 2016. Units began shipping November 2016.

***

Page 9: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

AAON Sales Mix by Business Segment

Lodging7%

Office17%

Commercial19%

Health Care10%

Educational23%

Religious1%

Manufacturing19% Other

5%

May not add to 100% due to rounding

9

Page 10: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

U.S. Construction - 2008 to 201610

U.S. Census Bureau Value of Construction (Annual) - AAON Sales Segments -http://www.census.gov/construction/c30/c30index.html

Annual Value of Construction (Millions $)

Year

Construction Type 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Lodging 35,806 25,499 11,635 9,129 10,836 13,585 16,124 21,728 27,122

Office 68,563 51,908 37,850 36,011 37,800 37,620 46,056 55,188 68,935

Commercial 86,212 54,737 40,100 42,816 47,335 50,992 62,708 66,924 74,242

Health Care 46,902 44,845 39,344 40,204 42,544 41,484 38,410 40,734 41,415

Educational 104,890 103,202 88,405 84,985 84,672 77,996 79,700 83,517 88,690

Religious 7,225 6,192 5,288 4,239 3,846 3,678 3,248 3,667 3,735

Manufacturing 54,105 57,895 41,178 40,559 47,741 47,945 57,761 78,178 74,829

Total 403,703 344,278 263,800 257,943 274,774 273,300 304,007 349,936 378,968

AAON Sales (Millions $) 279.7 245.3 244.6 266.2 303.1 321.1 356.3 356.3 384.0

Page 11: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

U.S. Construction - 2008 to 201611

U.S. Census Bureau Value of Construction (Annual) - AAON Sales Segments -http://www.census.gov/construction/c30/c30index.html

Percent Change of 2008 Spending

Year

Construction Type 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Lodging 100% 71% 32% 25% 30% 38% 45% 61% 76%

Office 100% 76% 55% 53% 55% 55% 67% 80% 101%

Commercial 100% 63% 47% 50% 55% 59% 73% 78% 86%

Health Care 100% 96% 84% 86% 91% 88% 82% 87% 88%

Educational 100% 98% 84% 81% 81% 74% 76% 80% 85%

Religious 100% 86% 73% 59% 53% 51% 45% 51% 52%

Manufacturing 100% 107% 76% 75% 88% 89% 107% 144% 138%

Total 100% 85% 65% 64% 68% 68% 75% 87% 94%

AAON 100% 88% 87% 95% 108% 115% 127% 127% 137%

Differential 3% 22% 31% 40% 47% 52% 41% 43%

Page 12: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

U.S. Construction - Q1 2008 to 2017

12

U.S. Census Bureau Value of Construction -AAON Sales Segments - http://www.census.gov/construction/c30/c30index.html

Value of Construction (Millions $)

3 Months

Construction Type 3M 2008 3M 2015 3M 2016 3M 2017

Lodging 33,448 18,018 23,500 28,326

Office 70,961 52,368 61,986 74,473

Commercial 90,228 64,793 72,422 82,040

Health Care 44,105 38,904 40,134 41,031

Educational 100,544 78,798 88,582 92,592

Religious 7,079 3,165 3,293 3,440

Manufacturing 50,274 77,634 78,948 69,390

Total 396,639 333,680 368,865 391,292

AAON Sales (Millions $) 65.5 76.8 85.4 86.1

Page 13: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

U.S. Construction - Q1 2008 to 2017

13

U.S. Census Bureau Value of Construction -AAON Sales Segments - http://www.census.gov/construction/c30/c30index.html

Percent Change of 2008 Spending

3 Months

Construction Type 3M 2008 3M 2015 3M 2016 3M 2017

Lodging 100% 54% 70% 85%

Office 100% 74% 87% 105%

Commercial 100% 72% 80% 91%

Health Care 100% 88% 91% 93%

Educational 100% 78% 88% 92%

Religious 100% 45% 47% 49%

Manufacturing 100% 154% 157% 138%

Total 100% 84% 93% 99%

AAON 100% 117% 130% 131%

Differential 34% 37% 33%

Page 14: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

U.S. Construction - 6+ year14

Office, Commercial, Health Care, Educational, Manufacturing, Lodging, & Religious Non-residential Segments

$266.2

$303.1

$321.1

$356.3 $358.6

$384.0

220

240

260

280

300

320

340

360

380

400

$220,000

$240,000

$260,000

$280,000

$300,000

$320,000

$340,000

$360,000

$380,000

$400,000

AAO

N N

et S

ales

(mill

ions

)

Tota

l Con

stru

ctio

n (m

illio

ns)

U.S. Census Bureau Value of Construction

Page 15: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Architecture Billings Index15

ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending.

Any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings.

ABI through April 2017

Page 16: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Financial Information

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3M 2017

Dollars $6.7 M $8.2 M $29.3 M $37.1 M $19.3 M $6.9 M

Shares Bought 757,632 533,489 1,488,229 1,576,090 736,171 198,928

Shares Outstanding 55,164,936 55,067,031 54,041,829 53,012,363 52,651,448 52,622,539

Shares BoughtShares Outstanding

1.37% 0.97% 2.75% 2.97% 1.40% .38%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3M 2017

$14,147 $9,041 $16,127 $20,967 $26,604 $6,071

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3M 2017

$8,840 $7,428 $9,656 $11,857 $12,676 $0

*Reflects 3-for-2 stock splits in July 2014 and July 2013.

16

DIVIDENDS(in thousands)

EBITDAX(in thousands)

STOCK BUYBACKS*(in thousands)

CAPITAL EXPENDITURES(in thousands)

CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS

(in thousands)

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3M 2017

$51,167 $53,592 $53,518 $55,355 $63,923 $10,166

• Semi-Annual Cash Dividend increased to $0.13/share, starting with the December 23, 2016 payment date

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3M 2017

$58,976 $70,148 $81,701 $85,810 $97,091 $19,751

Page 17: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

17

Ratio Analysis

Profitability 2012 2013 2014 2015 20163M

2017Return on Average Equity 21.1% 24.8% 26.1% 25.9% 27.7% 4.9%Return on Average Assets 15.1% 18.8% 20.2% 19.9% 21.8% 3.9%Pre-Tax Income on Sales 14.6% 17.5% 19.2% 19.9% 20.8% 16.9%Net Income on Sales 9.1% 11.7% 12.4% 12.8% 13.9% 11.9%

Debt ManagementTotal Liabilities to Equity 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3

LiquidityQuick Ratio1 1.6 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.4 2.1Current Ratio 2.2 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.6 3.6

Market ValueYear-End Price Earnings Ratio2 19 31 28 27 33 -

1 (Cash, cash investments + receivables)/current liabilities2 Reflects 3-for-2 stock splits in July 2014 and July 2013

Page 18: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Company Backlog

March 31, 2017 backlog of $68.9 M

March 31, 2016 backlog of $60.3 M

44.0 43.6 45.3 48.8 57.1

49.1

-

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

December2011

December2012

December2013

December2014

December2015

December2016

Order Backlog (millions)

18

Page 19: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Sales Performance

14.027.5

37.6 44.2 45.7 53.4

266.2303.1 321.1

356.3 358.6 384.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0.0010.0020.0030.0040.0050.0060.0070.0080.0090.00100.00

0.0050.00

100.00150.00200.00250.00300.00350.00400.00450.00

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Net Income (millions) Sales (millions)

19

Net

Sal

es (m

illio

ns)

Net

Inco

me

(mill

ions

)

Year

Q1 2016 Sales (millions) = $85.4Q1 2016 Net Income (millions) = $11.6

Q1 2017 Sales (millions) = $86.1Q1 2017 Net Income (millions) = $10.2

Page 20: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Sales Dollars Per Capita

311.72314.11

316.43

318.91 321.42324.12

266.22

303.11

321.14

356.32 358.63

383.98

$0.854

$0.965$1.015

$1.117 $1.116$1.185

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

340

360

380

400

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

U.S. Population (millions) Sales (millions) Sales $ per Capita

20

Popu

latio

n an

d Sa

les

(mill

ions

)

$ pe

r C

apita

Year

2003 Sales (millions) = $148.852003 = $0.51 per Capita

2016 Population Increase 1% 2016 Sales Increase 7%2016 $0.070 per Capita Increase

2015 Population Increase 1% 2015 Sales Increase 1% 2015 -$0.015 per Capita Increase

Page 21: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Financial Performance

1.00

0.19

3.31 3.54

3.85 3.98

53,450

53,190

53,000

60,000

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 3M 2017EPS Fully Diluted (Adjusted for splits)(Left scale)Stock Price/10 (Adjusted for dividends and splits) (Left scale)Stockholders' Equity Per Share (Adjusted for splits) Fully Diluted (Left scale)Weighted Average Shares Outstanding (thousands) Fully Diluted (Adjusted for splits)(Right scale)

21

Outstanding Shares Stock Price per Share/10

Earnings per share

Page 22: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Financial Performance - 28 Year22

As of December 31, 2016

Page 23: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Stock Performance – 25+ year23

Chart available from www.google.com/finance- Stock Splits and Dividends shown

AAON, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAON)

Stock Price 1991 = ~ 0.10Stock Price March 31, 2017 = 35.35

Page 24: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Stock Performance – 25+ year24

Chart available from www.google.com/financeComparison with - NASDAQ- .INX = S&P 500

AAON, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAON)

Stock Price 1991 = ~ 0.10Stock Price March 31, 2017 = 35.35

Page 25: 1 AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation...AAON, Inc. Investor Presentation Q1 2017 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements and information set forth in this presentation contains “forward-looking

Defining Quality. Building Comfort.

AAON


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