1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION NWS Climate Services Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and Services...

OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

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NWS Climate Services

Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and Services Meeting

Fiona HorsfallOCWWS/Climate Services Division

October 24, 2003


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NWS CLIMATE SERVICESOutline

• Definition

• Vision

• CSD

• Role of Regional and Field Offices


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• Real-time monitoring• Forecasting products and services• Models and technology, model output• Observations• Customer education, assistance, and outreach• Developing partnerships

NWS CLIMATE SERVICESDefinition

The timely production and delivery of useful climate data, information, and knowledge to

decision makersA Climate Services Vision: First Steps Toward the Future, 2001, NRC


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• Real-time monitoring of climate variability (including drought conditions) coast to coast down to the county level

• New forecast products– Linking weather and climate on intraseasonal time

scales– Downscaled to local levels– Reflecting new insight into warm season precipitation,

drought, and the Southwest monsoon– Extending beyond a year to a decade or more

NWS CLIMATE SERVICESVision


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• User-friendly provider to the private sector of NWS climate models, climate forecast model output, climate guidance products, and know-how

• Capacity to ensure the accuracy and continuity of the U.S. historical record

• Fully-mobilized regional and field offices for– Customer outreach– Downscaling climate forecasts– Product and information dissemination– Integration and quality control of surface observations

NWS CLIMATE SERVICESVision


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NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Mission

To provide vision, direction, and

resources to ensure NWS climate

services are easily accessible, well

understood, optimally used, and

reflect customer needs


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• Provide direct staff and monetary assistance

• Produce guidelines and directives

• Ensure availability of training

• Coordinate requirements

• Facilitate partnerships

NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Roles


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Bob LivezeyDivision Chief

Fiona HorsfallStrategic PlanningAnd Programming

Judy KoepsellNWS Regional/Field Services Coordinator

Bob LefflerLiaison for

Climate RecordRon Berger

Operations and Product Oversight

Diana PerfectInternationalCoordinator

Mike BrewerFederal/State Services

Coordinator

FTE’s

Barb MayesCustomer Liaison/

Budget Officer

Bob ReevesTechnical Consultant

Marina TimofeyevaVisiting Scientist

MelvynGelman

NWS Liaison to COSP

Jiayu ZhouClimate Focal

Point, OST

Supporting

Contract

NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Personnel


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• CSD Chief and CPC Director sit on NCO Board

• Matrix link to other LOs directly and through NOAA Climate Office (NCO)

• Develops and champions NWS climate budget initiatives

NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Key External Activities


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NOAA Climate Office

Interagency ClimateOffice Climate Board

NCEP

NMFS

EMC

NOSOARNESDISNWS

Focal Points

CPC CSDWFOs/RFCs

RegionalManager

RCCs CWISE

OCWWS Regions

NGDCNCDCNODC

OGP, CDC, GFDL,

Sea Grant

RISAs, IRI,ExtensionM

atri

x L

ink

CSC, OCRM,CWISE

FY 2001

FY 2003

NWS CLIMATE SERVICES

NWS Climate Services TeamPPI


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NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Key Internal Activities

• Special projects– Statistical downscaling of CPC outlooks for

Western (WR), Alaska (AR), and Eastern (ER) Regions

– Definition of new homogeneous Climate Divisions for the United States (CDC/CIRES)

– Development of an organizational model for regional climate services (CDC/CIRES)


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NWS CLIMATE SERVICESThe Five Pillars

Climate Services of

the National Weather Service

Guidelines & Tools

Observations & Data

Climate Monitorin

g & Prediction Products

Education & Outreach

Partnerships


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NWS CLIMATE SERVICESRole of Regional & Field Offices

Goal 1: Organize and equip the regional and local offices with guidelines and tools to enhance climate services

Assume ownership of program, self organize (dedicated Program Manager at RHQ, designated focal points at field offices), and commence planning and training in FY03.


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Goal 2: Provide reliable, timely, accurate, and secure observations and metatdata for the climate record

Ensure standards, rigorous metadata reporting, timely exchange of QC information with partners.

Jack Kelly: Our legacy will be our data


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Goal 3: Enhance and extend CPC’s product suite to increase the use and effectiveness of regional and local climate information

Involvement in CPC team activities; local studies, conditional probabilities, and statistical downscaling; feedback for product requirements; product development; testbed participation.


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Goal 4: Conduct outreach to regional and local decisionmakers and users of climate services products


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Goal 5: Establish strong partnerships with the climate community to facilitate collaborations in the delivery of regional and local climate services


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• NOAA Climate Transition Program (NCTP)– Developed in collaboration with OAR/OGP

– Develops a deliberate bridge for research to applications • Proposal process

• Climate-sensitive research

• Transition to applications

• Provides funding

• Open to all

• For expanding regional/local climate services

NOAA Climate Transition Program Research to Applications


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Decision-makers

PrototypeDevelopment

Transfer toOperations

ProblemIdentification

Education/Outreach

Research Operations

Extension

NOAA Climate Transition Program Unit Model


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• Criteria for Proposal

• Clearly defined roles

•Research

•Operations

•Decisionmaker

•Extension

• Defined participant contributions



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• Criteria for Proposal cont’d

• Formal agreement between participants

• Statement of duration and timeline

• Benefit analysis (socio-economic and other quantative analyses, ecosystem benefits, etc.)

• Address post audit (validation, verification, refinement, maintenance)

• Expected outcome clearly defined



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• Managed by NOAA Climate Office• Program manager• Cross line office Advisory Panel; NCO Director is approving

official• Priorities set by Climate Board in response to

recommendations from regions

• Letter of Intent in response to Request for Proposal

• Submission of Proposal• Review

• Scaled recommendations of merit reviewers• Funding allocations• Recommendations of Advisory Panel• Benefits to regional/local climate-sensitive decisionmaking

processes

NOAA Climate Transition Program Proposal Process


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• NCTP provides a NOAA backbone for

Cores for Regional Collaboration• Collaborate on projects for transition of

regional products (including NCTP projects)

• Build on existing partnerships (eg, in the west, RISA’s, CPC, CDC, WRCC) and develop new ones (WRHQ)

• Channel regional climate information into useful regional and local products

• Data and information sharing• Quality control

NOAA Climate Transition Program What’s next?


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Climate Cores

CORE

SCs

RCC

NOAA

Federal research

Oversight/managementNWS

NESDIS

NOS

NMFS

OAR RISAs

Non-profit

Private Sector

Extension

Academia

State entities

Federal operations

PPI

CountyOffices


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Share regional/local scienceReview consistencies

across regions

Identify policy issues Establish collaborations

Identify operational issues Set planning guidelines

Facilitate transition of research to operations

Communicate funding opportunities

Maintain dialogue forregional issues

Make recommendations for

regional/local priorities

Climate Cores


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• A 3-step process– Gather information, needs

• Regional conferences• Domain defined by issues, not politics

– Develop a capacity for working

• Research• Funding• Transfer• Operations• Extension

– Delivery and improvement

Climate Cores


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Synergistic Core Development

Time

New RISA Development

CoreMeetin

gs

FYO6

Fre

qu

ency


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Summary

• Climate Services – in the national spotlight

• NWS – perfectly poised to deliver climate services

• Implementing climate services

• Developing partnerships

• NOAA – leadership role in climate services• NCTP provides a mechanism for transfer of

research to operations with funding attached• Climate Cores – enabling collaborations with

regional and local climate communities


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Thank You

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