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1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28...

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Page 1: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear
Page 2: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

1st attempt by Kuwait to launch a Nuclear Power Program was in  the 1970’s in coordination with and support of the IAEA and UK Atomic energy authority.

A Nuclear Energy Committee  (NEC) was established by the Cabinet chaired by the Minister of Electricity & Water (MEW), Director General of KISR, Ministry Of Health (MOH), MEW Secretariat etc…

Rational – high oil prices Progress – issued an RFP and recommended  preparation for 50 MWedemonstration of power/ water reactor.

Cancellation – TMI, Iran Iraq war, Collapse of the oil price etc..

•History of Kuwait’s interest in Nuclear  power

Page 3: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

High rate of electricity and water consumption (~ 6‐7% per year over past 10 

yrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030.

Rapid growth of oil/gas consumption for electricity & water production (0.35 

mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11‐15% out of total production) to reach 

20% by 2025‐2030. Saved balance to Export

Inevitable rise of oil export prices (currently $90/bbl) Nuclear economic @ 45 

$/bbl & 8 $/MBTU

Present lack of free gas to fuel power stations in Kuwait and reliance on 

limited associated gas (approx. 1 BCF/day going to 2 BCF/day.)

Page 4: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

The cap on Kuwait’s oil production which is determined by OPEC (~2.5 –

3.0 mb/d).

Lower green house gases in Kuwait (over 40 million tons CO2 in 2010 to 

rise to 70 by 2030). 

◦ Meeting the fuel requirements of rising demand solely through domestic crude/products 

is a poor choice environmentally and will slowly reduce the volume of revenue 

generating oil exports.

Expect improvement of NPP technology, safety, prices, and lifetime (from 

40‐60 years).

Building indigenous industries, technical services and creation of business 

opportunities.

Page 5: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Related  Academic Programs at Kuwait University (KU) and other universities and institutions.

On‐going and planned  nuclear application activities in Kuwait coordinated by KISR. Non ‐ Power Nuclear Applications.On – going activities and planned.

Existing regulatory functions related to the use of ionizing radiation and protection. Regulatory Body: MOH

‐ By Decree law 131 of 1977

KNNEC established in 2009

Page 6: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

General Secretary

Nuclear Reactors

Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Administrative and Financial

Affairs

Nuclear Studies

Public Relations & Media Legal Consultant

Human Resources Development

International Cooperation

Technical Bureau

Implementation Committee

Page 7: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

KNNEC was established by decree 43 of 2009 on 

March 10, 2009 (headed by PM) to: 

Explore & prepare for the  introduction of 

safe & secure peaceful Nuclear power 

program

Page 8: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Conduct technical studies to serve the national program

Build local manpower capacity in nuclear

Develop policies for the peaceful nuclear program.

Collaborate with countries/owners of safe nuclear  tech. 

Cooperate with competent organizations to have access to 

information, studies ..

Cooperate fully with IAEA and follow its guidelines, 

Follow up latest developments and techniques in the field 

of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.

Page 9: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

KNNEC has been working closely with the IAEA to benefit from the 

guidance and technical expertise of the agency as well as to maintain 

the transparency required for Kuwait’s potential nuclear program for 

peaceful purposes.

A number of international cooperation agreements have been signed 

with organizations or governments representing both nations with 

established nuclear programs and countries with programs under 

developments.

Page 10: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Kuwait’s Signed International Nuclear Agreements Nuclear Cooperation Agreement (NCA) with France (Jan 2010) Memorandum of Cooperation (MOC) with Jordan (March 2010) Memorandum of Cooperation (MOC) with Department of Energy, USA (June 2010)

Memorandum of Cooperation (MOC) with Japan (September 2010) Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Russia (September 2010)

International Nuclear Agreements(under discussion) Memorandum of Cooperation (MOC) with UAE  Nuclear Cooperation Agreement (NCA) with Russia Memorandum of Understanding(MOU) with Korea Memorandum of Understanding(MOU) with UK

Page 11: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Under preparation are  the following studies & activities: Long Term Energy (Power) Planning  ( with IAEA) (completed)

Preliminary Economic Feasibility of Civil Nuclear Power Plants in Kuwait  (IAEA & International consulting firms) (completed)

Site Identification and Selection Study (International consulting firms) (completed)

Preparation of  Legal Framework and Draft of Comprehensive Nuclear Law (with IAEA/LO and local team from the Division of Legal Advisory and Legislation of Kuwait’s Council of Ministers also Known as ALFATWA and TASHREE.) (Ongoing)

Manpower Development (Currently , ~20 scholarships for Nuclear Engineering) 1st step (Ongoing)

Cont……

KNNEC’s Plan of Work Underway  “Phase One” 

Page 12: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Under preparation are  the following studies & activities (cont..) :

Public Information (IAEA Public Awareness Seminar 1st step , Jan 2011 

International Cooperation (Bilateral MOU and NCA with France, USA, Russia, Japan, Jordan, UAE, etc...)

Assurance of  Provisions for Nuclear Fuel & Backend(Support to INFB , IFNEC (GNEP)) etc,…

Preparation of Roadmap for Kuwait’s program (2nd Phase)

Compile  interest of  int’l nuclear utilities for possible JV

KNNEC’s Plan of Work Underway  “Phase One” 

Page 13: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

To explore the viability of including nuclearenergy within the energy mix to meet thefuture electricity and water demand: Levelised Cost of Electricity (LCOE) Economic ValuationTo identify areas/sites that are suitable forthe construction and operation of acommercial nuclear power plant (NPP)Identified using IAEA criteria (exclusionary;avoidance; suitability) as basisStudy paves way for site ranking,characterization and eventual selection.

Site Identification

Economic Feasibility: Study of Electricity Generation & Water 

Desalination

Page 14: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Supply of nuclear fuel.

Nuclear waste storage and management.

Decision on appropriate NPP technology.

Selection of NPP operator.

Development of national work force for NPP.

Education and training programs.

Safety and Security of nuclear installations.

Page 15: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3

MILESTONE 1Ready to make a knowledgeable

commitment to a nuclear programme

MILESTONE 2Ready to invite bids for the

first NPP

MILESTONE 3Ready to commission and

operate the first NPP

Infr

astr

uctu

re d

evel

opm

ent p

rogr

am m

e

Nuclear power option included within the

national energy strategy

Considerations before a decision to launch a nuclear power programme is taken

Preparatory work for the construction of a NPP after a policy decision has been

made

Activities to implement after first NPP

Maintenance and continuous infrastructure

improvement

Long Term Energy Planning

Assurance of Provisions for Nuclear Fuel

International Cooperation

Manpower Development

Public Information

Preparation of Legal Framework & Draft of Comprehensive Nuclear Law

Preliminary Economic Feasibility of Civil Nuclear Power Plants

1stN

PP

Proj

ect

Feasibility Study CommissioningBidding

Process

Pre-project Project decision making Construction Operation/decommissioning

Phase 2 activities are being detailed in a

RoadmapSite Identification & Selection

Study

Road Map to Phase 2 Tasks

Page 16: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Anticipating a likely positive Government decision to commit to the development and introduction of nuclear power :

Roadmap being prepared with assistance from Int’l Consultants to addressall major infrastructure issues is been prepared to guide phase 2 work.

The Roadmap is based on the IAEA's Milestone document, adopted toKuwait environment.

The Roadmap will spell out in sufficient details the TOR and specify theexpected outcome and required deliverables for each study/activity inphase‐ 2.

Assessment of National Nuclear Infrastructure and Addressing gaps (withinput from IAEA) throughout.

Page 17: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

19 Issues listed in IAEA Milestone document with special emphasis on: National position/policy and international relations and communication plan

Nuclear safety and security considerations

Program and Project Management and organization

Business model

Funding and Financing

Legislative Framework and Nuclear Law

Safeguards

Spent Fuel  & Waste Management strategy

Regulatory Framework (organization & Laws)

Infrastructure & Manpower development

Public Information & National consensus

Page 18: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Roadmap Phase 1

Develop Roadmap

Packages

Bid & Award some

Roadmap Packages

Roadmap Phase2

Implement Roadmap Packages

18

End of Phase 1 Milestone 2

Self Assessment & IAEA IR

Page 19: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

http://www.knnec.gov.kw/

Page 20: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear
Page 21: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Fuel Type Barrel oil equivalent  per day

Imported Gas 15,000

Crude 40,000

Local Gas 85,000

Crude Refined Products 200,000

Total 340,000

(MEW  Statistical Year Book, 2009; and I‐Tese, 2010)

Page 22: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Nuclear Gas no CO2

F.Oil no CO2

Gas with CO2

F.Oil with CO2

LCOE $

/MWh

0% Discount Rate

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Nuclear Gas no CO2

F.Oil no CO2

Gas with CO2

F.Oil with CO2

5% Discount Rate

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Nuclear Gas no CO2

F.Oil no CO2

Gas with CO2

F.Oil with CO2

10% Discount Rate

Page 23: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Evaluation of a wide range of scenarios 

demonstrates large, positive 

netback savings in most cases.

Extreme cases (several 

parameters at values adverse to nuclear) are, at 

worst, break‐even.

Summary of Net‐back Values under 19 Scenarios

Page 24: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

24

Page 25: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Kuwait Coastline and Siting Areas

Page 26: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

26

Planned Port City

Application of IAEA, US 

NRC, and Electric Power 

Research Institute(EPRI) 

guidance, 

Identified five Candidate 

Areas.

17 potentially acceptable 

sites identified. 

Need  2  preferred and 3 

alternates, ranked highest,

Page 27: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

Stud

y

0

50

100

150

200

250

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

LCOE $

/MWh

Discount rate

Fuel Oil RHSPP with CO2 tax 

Fuel Oil RHSPP no CO2 tax 

Gas CCGT with CO2 tax 

Gas CCGT no CO2 tax 

Nuclear 

Page 28: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

28

Page 29: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

29

Limits for Nuclear Power in Kuwait

1) If Gas prices at =< 7 $ per million BTU

2) If 0il at < $46 per barrel

3) If 0vernight Cost > $8,000 per MW

4) If Electric Load remains at 12,000 MW

5) Discount rate =>12% per year

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Page 31: 1 was - International Atomic Energy Agency | Atoms for ... · PDF fileyrs): from 11 GW to 28 GW by 2030. Rapid ... mb/d out of ~ 2.8 mb/d in 2010 or ~11 ... (MOC) with UAE Nuclear

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