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Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-program laboratory managed and operated by Sandia Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lockheed Martin Corporation, for
the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. SAND2016-4376 C
High-Frequency Data for Distribution Grid PV Impact Studies: Importance and Availability
Matthew Lave 2016 PV Grid Integration Workshop
May 10th, 2016 SAND2016-4376 C
BACKGROUND: WHAT IS THE ISSUE?
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Overview PV power is variable due to:
Passing cloud shadows Movement of sun through sky Other effects (shading, temperature,
inverter behavior, soiling, etc.)
Load is variable too.
Devices turned on/off Daily/seasonal demand
PV power variability adds to net load variability. Distribution systems were not designed for this much variability.
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Voltage Regulation Distribution grids are designed to handle load variability: Load Tap Changers (LTCs) and Voltage Regulators (VREGS)
Regulate the voltage by changing the tap of a transformer while maintaining current flow
Changes taps to keep the output voltage at the VREG set point within a certain bandwidth
Time delay (generally 30 to 60 seconds) from the voltage going out of band until the control action
Tap changes create wear and tear on the device
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HOW DO LOAD AND PV VARIABILITY COMPARE?
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Load vs. PV Variability At a single house: load variability > PV variability
Load devices (e.g., heater) switched on instantaneously (<1 sec) Clouds shadows pass over seconds to minutes.
When aggregated, load variability << PV variability Both smoothed due aggregation
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Load vs. PV Ramp Rates Load uncorrelated so heavily smoothed due to aggregation. PV smoothed, but less so: weather and hence PV output more
correlated than load.
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High-Frequency Load
Usually only measured/available from utility.
Typically measured at 15-minute intervals. Relatively little difference
(<10%) between high- and low-frequency load for aggregates.
High-frequency load could be important for inhomogeneous loads.
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High-Frequency PV PV power output maybe available from utilities, PV monitoring
companies, inverter manufacturers, etc. Difficult to obtain, typically needs an NDA PV location is often approximate to protect customer privacy.
Irradiance data available from: Ground pyranometers
Spatially sparse, especially for high-frequency measurements.
Up to 1-second resolution, often 1-minute.
Satellite-derived irradiance Available for US and some other
locations: nsrdb.nrel.gov 15-minute resolution
1-min 5-min 15-min
erro
r in
sim
ulat
ed ta
ps v
s. s
ub-m
inut
e da
ta [%
]
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
ABQ NM: PSEL
ABQ NM: Mesa
Boise ID
Lanai HI
Las Vegas NV
Livermore CA
Mayaguez PR
Oahu HI
Sacramento CA
San Diego CA
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DO I NEED LOCAL SOLAR VARIABILITY, OR CAN I USE ANY
HIGH-FREQUENCY SOLAR VARIABILITY SAMPLE?
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Importance of Local Solar Variability
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Accurately representing the local solar variability is essential! Up to 300% difference in tap change operations when using
different solar variability samples.
WHAT IF THERE ARE NO HIGH-FREQUENCY MEASUREMENTS AT
MY LOCATION?
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Solar Variability Datalogger (SVD)
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SVD measurements from
Albuquerque, NM
To make it easier to measure solar variability, we have developed an integrated solar variability datalogger.
Designed for low-cost. PV cell to measure irradiance On-board data storage: 30s resolution
timeseries Wi-Fi or cell modem data transmission Battery powered: expected battery life of
~1-year
High-Frequency PV Models Since measured high-frequency (sub-minute) data is scarce,
there are models to fill in data-poor locations NREL HRIA
Downscale 15-minute satellite irradiance to 1-minute (then 4-seconds) using cloud classification and nearby pixels.
Output: synthetic high-frequency irradiance with statistics that match high-frequency variability.
Sandia Solar Variability Zones: https://pvpmc.sandia.gov/applications/pv-variability-datasets/ Determine appropriate proxy data from a database of ground
measurements. Output: Measured high-frequency irradiance with high-frequency
variability statistics similar to the location of interest.
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Solar Variability Zones
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variability zone
very
low low
modera
te (lo
w)
modera
te (hi
gh) hig
h
very
high
wee
kly
tap
chan
ges
(ann
ual s
imul
atio
n)
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
210
240
270
300
330
ABQ, NM: PSEL
ABQ, NM: Mesa
Boise, ID
Lanai, HI
Las Vegas, NV
Livermore, CA
Mayaguez, PR
Oahu, HI
Sacramento, CA
San Diego, CA
https://pvpmc.sandia.gov/applications/pv-variability-datasets/ Solar variability zones determined from satellite data Zones can be used to pick representative proxy data for locations without
measurements Locations within same zone have similar impact to distribution grids (e.g., # of taps)
I HAVE HIGH-FREQUENCY SOLAR VARIABILITY, AM I READY TO SIMULATE
THE GRID IMPACT OF PV?
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PV Variability Smoothing
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Irradiance point sensor variability ≠ PV power variability PV output is smoothed due to spatial diversity of PV modules. Smoothing depends on cloud speed, distance between PV
modules, and timescale considered.
plant size [MW]
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
99th
per
cent
ile R
R
[% o
f cap
acity
/ 30
-sec
]
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
point sensor
Southern Colorado 26-Apr-2012
time [HH]
06 12 18
POA
irrad
ianc
e
0200400600800
100012001400
number of houses50 100 200 300 400 477
99th
per
cent
ile R
R
[% o
f cap
acity
/ 30
-sec
]
05
101520253035404550556065
200kW 400kW 800kW 1.2MW 1.6MW 1.91MW
point sensor
Ota City Jun 08 2007
time [HH]6 12 18
GH
I [W
m-2
]
0
500
1000
distributed rooftop PV central PV plant 08:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00
point sensorPV powerplant
To Create Simulated PV Power
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To simulate PV power for distribution grid studies (e.g., for future high-pen scenarios or for locations without high-frequency PV measurements):
1. Obtain high-frequency solar irradiance timeseries. • Measure with pyranometer or solar variability datalogger (SVD) • Model using proxy data (solar variability zones) or downscaling (HRIA)
2. Use a model such as the Wavelet variability model (WVM) to account for spatial smoothing
3. Translate the measured irradiance (often, GHI) to the plane of the PV. 4. Use an irradiance to power model, such as the Sandia Array Performance
Model (SAPM) with the Sandia Inverter Model (SIM) to convert plane-of-array irradiance to AC PV power.
Answer Key
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What is the issue? PV and load variability can cause impacts to distribution grid operations
such as increase voltage regulator tap change operations.
How do Load and PV Variability compare? PV variability generally larger than load variability for aggregates. High-frequency data typically more important for PV than load.
Do I need local solar variability, or can I use any high-frequency solar variability sample? Need locally representative: some locations much more variable.
What if there are no high-frequency measurements at my location? Install a SVD or use a model such as HRIA/solar variability zones.
I have high-frequency solar variability, am I ready to simulate the grid impact of PV? No! Must account for spatial smoothing as well.
Thank You! Please fill out the PV Grid Integration Survey:
http://1.usa.gov/1ZnD6Q1 Thanks to Matthew Reno, Robert Broderick, and Joshua Stein for
their contributions to this work. Contact: [email protected]
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