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2013-4-22 Golden Agri Morning Note

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  • 8/13/2019 2013-4-22 Golden Agri Morning Note

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    MCI (P) 129/11/2012Ref No: SGMN2013_0076 1 of 16

    Morning NotePhillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

    Singapore

    22 April 2013

    undamental CallWilmar International Ltd - Bird flu concerns likely less than initially feared(Nicholas Ong)Recommendation: Accumulate

    revious close: S$3.34air value: S$3.70

    Impact from Chinas bird flu likely limited Vertically integrated model resilient to low CPO prices Upgrade to Accumulate with new TP of S$3.70

    Golden Agri-Resources Ltd - Cutting 2013E CPO estimate(Nicholas Ong)Recommendation: Neutral

    revious close: S$0.525

    air value: S$0.55

    Lowering FY13E CPO estimate to US$820/MT Time needed for downstream growth Downgrade to Neutral from Accumulate

    ource: Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

    http://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/ResearchCoverage/SG/wilmar20130422.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/ResearchCoverage/SG/wilmar20130422.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/ResearchCoverage/SG/golden20130422.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/ResearchCoverage/SG/golden20130422.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/ResearchCoverage/SG/golden20130422.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/ResearchCoverage/SG/wilmar20130422.pdf
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    Morning Note22 April 2013

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    Morning CommentarySTI: -0.07% to 3294.1 - SET: +1.03% to 1545.5JCI: -0.28% to 4998.5 - KLCI: +0.00% to 1706.3HSCEI: +3.12% to 10587.3 - Hang Seng: +2.33% to 22013.6Nikkei 225: +0.73% to 13316.5 - ASX200: +0.65% to 3314India NIFTY: +1.66% to 5783.1 - S&P500: +0.88% to 1555.3

    MARKET OUTLOOK:y Ng Weiwen, Macro Analyst

    Markets had run ahead of economic fundamentals (soft patch in US and Chinese economy) in recent months and risk assets (such as equities)eem ripe for profit taking!

    We caught a whiff of deflation. Commodities (gold, silver, oil, copper) having tumbled last week. Treasuries have rallied (i.e. US 10yr yield haveeclined) while the dollar has remained stable. All these are incipient signs of deflationary pressures, rather than a flight to safety.

    ncipient signs of a bearish head and shoulders! The S&P 500 has been flirting with its 50 dma support level. If S&P 500 close decisively belowhe 1539 key support level, next major support at the 1525 level. Odds are that any bounce will lead to a lower high and consequently a righthoulder of the bearish head and shoulders.

    arnings will be critical to sustain this equity rally in the US. Note this recent rally thus far- has not been driven by earnings Instead, it haseen more of a multiples expansion rally.

    Reckon that Chinese policymakers are confronted with a major headache on account of strong credit growth but weak GDP growth (withndustrial output and fixed asset investment undershooting) as the recent credit expansion-notwithstanding numerous property curbs- is likely toomplicate the context/environment against which policies are set henceforth. The recent bounce in property prices does not help in alleviatinghe headache (yet) but the jury is still out on the effectiveness of the recent rounds of property curbs given that they are only a couple of weeksld.

    otwithstanding last Fris bout of risk-on sentiment, we are penciling near-term downward bias for the HSI and HSCEI as both indices remainmired in a bearish moving average crossover. HSCEI is likely to re-test its 200dma level (10.5k level). HSI needs to take out 22.5k to go

    igher.

    n Japan, we are seeing attempts of structural micro reforms by the Abe administration and this lead us to be cautiously optimistic about theikkei. Our base case has been that so long as the USDJPY continues to march towards (better if it clears above) the psychological 100 level,

    he Nikkei will continue to rise higher. Reckon USD/JPY is likely to retest the 99.95 level (11th Apr 2013 high) before challenging thesychological 100 level. Key support pegged at 95 psychological level. Implementation of structural micro reforms (economic and fiscal) areecessary ingredients for a structural bull run in Japan to materialise.

    he risk of profit taking (correction) this 2Q13 for Equities has risen (see Global Macro 12th April), given softness in US and Chinese data. Weo still believe a pull-back in equities offers an attractive opportunity to accumulate our OWs in US, CN & HK (on compelling valuations), ID,H, TH (resilient domestic demand) and SG (construction boom, attractive dividend yield). No change to our view its still a year for stocks.

    Risks to monitor in the region (apart from NKoreas usual aggressive rhetorics): (i) possibility of human-to-human transmission of a new strainf H7N9 bird flu strain (ii) Malaysia 13th GE (5th May) polling will likely cause some jitteriness in regional markets.

    All equity indices mentioned in this note are tradeable with Phillip CFDs or ETFs)

    ECTOR/STRATEGY REPORTS:

    Sector Reports:Bank, 1 Apr/REIT, 28 Mar/Commodities, 6 Mar/Transportation, 28 Feb/Telecommunications, 28 Feb/Property, 16 Jan/Gaming, 4 Jan

    Country Strategy:Thai, 5 Apr/Spore, 8 Mar/China & HK, 28 JanGlobal Macro, Asset Strategy:12 Apr, Update/US, 20 Mar/4 Mar, Update/ASEAN, 5 Decource: Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

    http://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/bank20130401.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/bank20130401.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/bank20130401.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/reit20130328.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/reit20130328.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/reit20130328.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/Commodities20130306.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/Commodities20130306.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/Commodities20130306.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/transportation20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/transportation20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/transportation20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/telco20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/telco20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/telco20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/property20130116.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/property20130116.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/property20130116.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/gaming20130104.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/gaming20130104.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/TH/THMonthly20130405.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/TH/THMonthly20130405.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/TH/THMonthly20130405.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/EquityStrategy20130308.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/EquityStrategy20130308.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/EquityStrategy20130308.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130128.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130128.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130128.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130412.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130412.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130412.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/US/strategy20130320.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/US/strategy20130320.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/US/strategy20130320.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130304.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130304.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130304.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20121205.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20121205.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20121205.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20121205.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130304.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/US/strategy20130320.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130412.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/strategy20130128.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/EconomicPulse/SG/EquityStrategy20130308.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/TH/THMonthly20130405.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/gaming20130104.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/property20130116.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/telco20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/transportation20130228.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/Commodities20130306.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/reit20130328.pdfhttp://internetfileserver.phillip.com.sg/POEMS/Stocks/Research/SectorStrategy/SG/bank20130401.pdf
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    Morning Note22 April 2013

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    Macro Datan China, MNI China flash business sentiment index rose to 59.3, from the final reading of 58.2 in Mar. Sub index for new orders rose to 59.0om the 54.8 reading in Mar, and sub index for production rose to 57.8 from 55.2 in Mar. The improving index indicates a continued recovery in

    Chinas economy. (by Roy Chen)

    n Germany, PPI fell by 0.3% m-m in Mar, after the 0.2% m-m drop in Feb, reflecting a slowdown in demand for industrial products. On y-y

    asis, the index gained 0.3%, compared to the 1.2% y-y gain in Feb. (by Roy Chen)ource: Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

    Source: Bloomberg

    STI - Index Members

    2.5%

    1.8%

    1.7% 1.0

    %0.8%

    0.8%

    0.7%

    0.7%

    0.6%

    0.4%

    0.3%

    0.1%

    0.0%

    0.0%

    0.0%

    0.0%

    0.0%

    0.0%

    -0.1%

    -0.2%

    -0.4%

    -0.4%

    -0.5%

    -0.7%

    -0.9%

    -0.9%

    -1.3%

    -1.6%

    -1.7%

    -1.7%

    -8%

    -6%

    -4%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    CapitamallsAsia

    Wilmar

    Capitaland

    JardineC&

    C

    SIA

    UOB

    SGX

    SIAEng.

    JardineStra.

    NobleGroup

    DBS

    JardineMa

    t.

    STEng.

    Singtel

    GLP

    F&N

    CDL

    CapitamallTrust

    Sembcorp

    Mar.

    OCBC

    GoldenAg

    ri-R.

    Starhub

    KeppelCo

    rp.Ltd

    GentingSP

    ComfortDe

    lGro

    Olam

    SPH

    Sembcorp

    Ind.

    HKLand

    ThaiBeverage

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    Morning Note22 April 2013

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    Company Results

    S/N Company Name Q/HY/FYCurrency,

    Units

    Revenue Net Profit

    Current PreviousChange

    (%)Current Previous

    Change(%)

    1MICRO-MECHANICS

    (HOLDINGS) LTD

    3Q S$ 9,212,963 9,353,529 -1.5 1,431,152 872,377 64.1

    2HWA HONGCORPORATIONLIMITED

    1Q S$'000 9,003 5,650 59.3 1,843 1,555 18.5

    Source: SGX Masnet

    Company HighlightsTriyards Holdings Limitedannounced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, SAV Land Pty Ltd, has entered into a conditional contract of saledated 18 April 2013 with Henderson Supply Base Pty Ltd , pursuant to which the Seller has agreed to sell and SAV Land has agreedto purchase a property in Australia known as Lot 5 Clarence Beach Road, Henderson Western Australia 6166. (Closing price: S$ 0.760, -0.654%)

    Sembcorp Industriesannounced that it will be developing a new energy-from-waste facility in Teesside, the UK, which will be the Groupsfirst energy-from-waste facility outside Singapore. The new energy-from-waste facility will be capable of producing up to 49 megawatts ofgross power or 190 tonnes per hour of steam, using municipal and commercial waste. The facility will be located at Wilton International, a770-hectare industrial site which Sembcorp owns, operates and manages in Teesside. (Closing price: S$ 4.900, -1.606%)

    AsiaMedic Limited, a premier healthcare provider in Asia, announced it has signed an teleradiology service agreement with Nyein Hospitaland City Hospital, both located in Mandalay, Myanmar. Teleradiology involves the transmission of radiological patient images, such as X-rays, CTs, and MRIs, from one location to another for the purposes of sharing studies with other radiologists and physicians. AsiaMedic willprovide the hardware, software and technical support to facilitate a connectivity platform between the Group and the hospitals, as well as theprofessional interpretation of radiological images submitted by their radiographers. Started in 2005, City Hospital operates 130 beds withplans to expand to 300 beds, while Nyein Hospital, established in 1999, operates 180 beds. AsiaMedic will work closely with both hospitalsas they invest in building up their diagnostic capabilities and subsequent new facilities. For the current phase, the cost of setting up theconnectivity platform will be borne by the client. (Closing price: S$ 0.096, -)Source: SGX Masnet, The Business Times

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    Morning Note22 April 2013

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    82.75 +0.05% 283.19 +0.10%

    98.95 +0.05% 1.705 +0.02%

    1,403.85 +0.15% 14,547.51 +0.07%

    537.41 +1.43% Straits Times Index 3,294.05 -0.07%

    22,013.57 +2.33% 13,316.48 0.73%

    Source: Bloomberg

    Gold (US$/Oz) DJI

    MSCI Asia x-Japan

    Hang Seng Index Nikkei 225 Index

    Dollar Index ThomReuters/JefferiesCRB

    Crude oil, Brent (US$/bbl) US Treasury 10yr Yield

    1.20

    1.401.60

    1.80

    2.00

    2.20

    2.40

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    2,500

    2,700

    2,900

    3,100

    3,300

    3,500

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    12,000

    13,000

    14,000

    15,000

    16,000

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    18,000

    19,000

    20,000

    21,000

    22,000

    23,000

    24,000

    Apr-1

    2

    May-

    12

    Jun-12

    Jul-1

    2

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-1

    2

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    7,500

    8,500

    9,500

    10,500

    11,500

    12,500

    13,500

    14,500

    Apr-12

    May

    -12

    Jun

    -12

    Jul-

    12

    Aug

    -12

    Sep

    -12

    Oct-12

    Nov

    -12

    Dec

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Feb

    -13

    Mar

    -13

    1,000

    1,300

    1,600

    1,900

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    78

    80

    82

    84

    86

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    260

    280

    300

    320

    340

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

    420440460480500520540560580

    Apr-12

    May-12

    Jun-12

    Jul-12

    Aug-12

    Sep-12

    Oct-12

    Nov-12

    Dec-12

    Jan-13

    Feb-13

    Mar-13

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    Company AnalystDate of Last

    ReportRating

    Target Price

    (S$)

    Current

    Price (S$)

    Difference to

    Target Price (%)

    GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD Nicholas Ong 22-Apr-13 Neutral 0.55 0.525 4.8%

    WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LTD Nicholas Ong 22-Apr-13 Accumulate 3.70 3.34 10.8%

    COURTS ASIA LTD Ken Ang 25-Mar-13 Buy 1.14 0.98 16.9%

    GENTING SINGAPORE PLC Ken Ang 22-Feb-13 Neutral 1.41 1.40 1.1%

    COMBINE WILL INTERNATIONAL H Chan Wai Chee 20-Dec-12 Buy 0.93 0.65 44.2%

    CORDLIFE GROUP LTD Derrick Heng 8-Apr-13 Buy 0.84 0.67 26.3%

    DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD Ken Ang 7-Feb-13 Accumulate 15.80 15.69 0.7%

    OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP Ken Ang 18-Feb-13 Reduce 8.84 10.80 -18.1%

    UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD Ken Ang 28-Feb-13 Accumulate 20.95 20.88 0.3%

    SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD Ken Ang 17-Apr-13 Accumulate 8.00 7.72 3.6%

    CAPITALAND LTD Bryan Go 22-Feb-13 Accumulate 4.05 3.51 15.4%

    CAPITAMALLS ASIA LTD Bryan Go 8-Feb-13 Neutral 2.11 1.98 6.6%

    HO BEE INVESTMENT LTD Bryan Go 1-Mar-13 Buy 2.29 2.12 8.0%

    KEPPEL LAND LTD Bryan Go 19-Apr-13 Neutral 4.24 4.14 2.4%

    OVERSEAS UNION ENTERPRISE Bryan Go 1-Apr-13 Accumulate 3.24 3.05 6.2%

    GLOBAL LOGISTIC PROPERTIES L Roy Chen 7-Feb-13 Neutral 2.77 2.76 0.4%

    GLOBAL PREMIUM HOTELS LTD Chan Wai Chee 9-Nov-12 Buy 0.305 0.26 19.6%

    STAMFORD LAND CORP LTD Chan Wai Chee 20-Dec-12 Buy 0.76 0.59 29.9%

    SINGHAIYI GROUP LTD Chan Wai Chee 16-Oct-12 Buy 0.016 0.035 -54.3%

    CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS Change of Analyst 2.09

    PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE Change of Analyst 2.65

    SABANA SHARIAH COMP IND REIT Change of Analyst 1.37

    SATS LTD Derrick Heng 31-Jan-13 Accumulate 3.33 3.10 7.4%

    SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD Derrick Heng 6-Feb-13 Buy 6.10 5.04 21.0%

    SINGAPORE TECH ENGINEERING Derrick Heng 18-Feb-13 Accumulate 4.50 4.38 2.7%

    KEPPEL CORP LTD Nicholas Ong 19-Apr-13 Accumulate 12.34 11.19 10.3%

    SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD Change of Analyst 4.90

    SEMBCORP MARINE LTD Nicholas Ong 26-Mar-13 Neutral 4.69 4.25 10.4%

    HU AN CABLE HOLDINGS LTD Chan Wai Chee 21-Dec-12 Buy 0.164 0.13 25.2%

    SUNPOWER GROUP LTD Chan Wai Chee 20-Dec-12 Buy 0.250 0.18 42.9%

    PAN-UNITED CORP LTD Joshua Tan 1-Mar-13 Buy 1.210 0.97 25.4%

    BOUSTEAD SINGAPORE LTD Joshua Tan 25-Feb-13 Buy 1.800 1.40 29.0%

    SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD Derrick Heng 13-Feb-13 Accumulate 13.00 10.91 19.2%TIGER AIRWAYS HOLDINGS LTD Derrick Heng 6-Mar-13 Sell 0.65 0.64 1.6%

    NEPTUNE ORIENT LINES LTD Derrick Heng 25-Feb-13 Neutral 1.32 1.13 16.8%

    SMRT CORP LTD Derrick Heng 1-Apr-13 Sell 1.20 1.52 -20.8%

    COMFORTDELGRO CORP LTD Derrick Heng 13-Feb-13 Neutral 1.83 1.93 -4.9%

    HENGYANG PETROCHEMICAL LOGIS Chan Wai Chee 21-Dec-12 Buy 0.27 0.235 14.9%

    SINGAPORE TELECOM LTD Ken Ang 15-Feb-13 Neutral 3.31 3.69 -10.3%

    STARHUB LTD Ken Ang 8-Feb-13 Reduce 3.61 4.53 -20.3%

    M1 LTD Ken Ang 17-Apr-13 Neutral 2.58 3.11 -17.0%

    # adjust for pref shares conversion to ord shares. Project valuation remains constant. Conversion $ and interest added to valuation.

    Commodities & Supply Chain Managers

    Consumer Goods

    Banking & Finance

    Property (Developers )

    Property (REITS)

    Industrials (Capital Goods)

    Industrials (Transportation)

    Technology & Communications

    Phillip Securities Research - Singapore Stocks Coverage

    Source: Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

    #

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    Morning Note22 April 2013

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    FTSE ST Breakdown (3M % Change)

    STI 2.3%

    5.9%

    -8.3%

    2.1%

    -8.5%1.2%

    2.6%

    -3.9%

    8.2%

    2.6%

    -1.0%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    ST China

    ST Real Estate

    ST Re Invest Trust

    ST Oil & Gas

    ST Basic Materials

    ST Industrials

    ST Consumer Goods

    ST Consumer Service

    ST Telecommunicate

    ST Utilites

    ST Financials

    ST Technology-3.2%

    ST Healthcare

    Source: Bloomberg

    Last % Chg

    0.730 15.9

    0.156 10.6

    0.011 10.00.120 9.1

    0.025 8.7

    Last % Chg

    0.103 -13.4

    0.068 -5.6

    0.205 -4.7

    1.420 -4.1

    0.250 -3.8

    TOP GLOBAL LTD

    SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LTD

    HOR KEW CORP LTD

    ARMARDA GROUP LTD

    YAMADA GREEN RESOURCES LTD

    Source: Bloomberg

    IHH HEALTHCARE BHD

    ABTERRA LTD

    HARTAWAN HOLDINGS LTD

    Top Gainers (%)FTSE ST Market Cap. Breakdow n (3M % Change)

    Turnover ('mn shares)

    Top Losers (%)

    MEDI-FLEX LTD

    UNCHANGED

    INNOPAC HOLDINGS LTD

    Source: Bloomberg Source: SGX

    2,708

    1,479273

    151

    526

    Turnover (S$'mn)UP

    DOWN

    5.9%

    5.8% 4.5%

    ST All Share

    ST Fledgling

    ST Small Cap

    ST Mid Cap

    STI

    2.3%

    3.1%

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    Source: Bloomberg

    World Index

    JCI -0.28% 4,998.46

    HSI 2.33% 22,013.57

    KLCI 0.00% 1,706.28

    NIKKEI 0.73% 13,316.48

    KOSPI 0.35% 1,906.75

    SET 1.03% 1,545.46

    SHCOMP 2.14% 2,244.64

    SENSEX 1.52% 19,016.46

    ASX 0.15% 4,931.91

    FTSE 100 0.69% 6,286.59

    DOW 0.07% 14,547.51

    S&P 500 0.88% 1,555.25

    NASDAQ 1.25% 3,206.06 COLOMBO -0.16% 5,882.25

    STI -0.07% 3,294.05

    ETF % Change Change Last

    CIMB FTSE ASEAN 40 +0.35 +0.04 11.48DB X-TRACKERS CSI300 UCITS +2.59 +0.20 7.92

    DB X-TRACKERS FTSE VIETNAM +0.34 +0.08 23.61

    DB X-TRACKERS MSCI INDONESIA +1.04 +0.18 17.42

    DB X-TRACKERS MSCI TAIWAN +0.98 +0.18 18.55

    DB X-TRACKERS MSCI WORLD TRN -0.28 -0.01 3.61

    DB X-TRACKERS S&P 500 INV DA +0.69 +0.22 31.94

    DB X-TRACKERS CNX NIFTY UCIT +2.09 +2.23 109.16

    ISHARES MSCI INDIA INDEX ETF +1.29 +0.08 6.29

    LYXOR ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE +2.22 +0.30 13.80

    LYXOR ETF HANG SENG INDEX 10 +1.47 +0.04 2.76

    LYXOR ETF MSCI AC ASIA EX JP -1.46 -0.07 4.72

    LYXOR ETF MSCI INDIA +1.47 +0.20 13.85LYXOR ETF MSCI TAIWAN +2.91 +0.03 0.99

    NIKKO AM SINGAPORE STI ETF +0.60 +0.02 3.36

    SPDR GOLD TRUST +1.97 +2.64 136.96

    SPDR STRAITS TIMES INDEX ETF -0.30 -0.01 3.32

    UNITED SSE 50 CHINA ETF +2.38 +0.04 1.72

    ETF Performance

    Source: Bloomberg

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    EX Date Company Type Net Amount Currency Frequency Record Date Payout Date

    4/22/2013 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD 3rd Interim 0.0400 SGD Quarter 4/24/2013 5/2/2013

    4/24/2013 KEPPEL CORP LTD Final 0.2700 SGD Semi-Anl 4/26/2013 5/8/2013

    4/25/2013 SEMBCORP MARINE LTD Special Cash 0.0200 SGD Semi-Anl 4/29/2013 5/13/2013

    4/26/2013 SINGAPORE TECH ENGINEERING Special Cash 0.0980 SGD Semi-Anl 4/30/2013 5/17/2013

    4/29/2013 THAI BEVERAGE PCL Final 0.2520 THB Semi-Anl 5/2/2013 5/22/2013

    4/29/2013 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP Final 0.1700 SGD Semi-Anl 5/2/2013 5/17/2013

    4/29/2013 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD Regular Cash 0.1500 SGD Annual 5/2/2013 5/14/2013

    4/29/2013 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LTD Final 0.0300 SGD Semi-Anl 5/2/2013 5/14/2013

    4/29/2013 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD Special Cash 0.0500 SGD Annual 5/2/2013 5/20/2013

    4/29/2013 GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD Final 0.0059 SGD Semi-Anl 5/2/2013 5/14/2013

    5/2/2013 CAPITAMALLS ASIA LTD Regular Cash 0.0163 SGD Semi-Anl 5/6/2013 5/20/2013

    5/3/2013 COMFORTDELGRO CORP LTD Final 0.0350 SGD Semi-Anl 5/7/2013 5/15/2013

    Corporate Action : Dividend

    Source: Bloomberg

    EX Date Company Type Subscription Price Currency Term Record Date

    4/24/2013 RICKMERS MARITIME Rights Issue 0.2400 SGD 1 per 1 4/26/2013

    Source: Bloomberg

    Corporate Action: Rights

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    Name Expected Report Date

    First Ship Lease Trust April 22, 2013

    Mapletree Commercial Trust April 22, 2013Rickmers Maritime April 22, 2013

    Sysma Holdings Ltd April 22, 2013

    First Real Estate Investment Trust April 23, 2013

    Mapletree Industrial Trust April 23, 2013

    Singapore Reinsurance Corp Ltd April 23, 2013

    BH Global Marine Ltd April 24, 2013

    Cache Logistics Trust April 24, 2013

    Cheung Woh Technologies Ltd April 24, 2013

    China Environment Ltd April 24, 2013

    QAF Ltd April 24, 2013

    Sino-Excel Energy Ltd April 24, 2013

    STATS ChipPAC Ltd April 24, 2013

    Action Asia Ltd April 25, 2013

    Baker Technology Ltd April 25, 2013CapitaMalls Asia Ltd April 25, 2013

    Great Eastern Holdings Ltd April 25, 2013

    Jardine Cycle & Carriage Ltd April 25, 2013

    PCA Technology Ltd April 25, 2013

    Samudera Shipping Line Ltd April 25, 2013

    Sheng Siong Group Ltd April 25, 2013

    Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust April 25, 2013

    Technics Oil & Gas Ltd April 25, 2013

    Transit-Mixed Concrete Ltd April 25, 2013

    Advanced Integrated Manufacturing Corp Ltd April 26, 2013

    Amaru Inc April 26, 2013

    Ascendas India Trust April 26, 2013

    Ascott Residence Trust April 26, 2013

    CapitaLand Ltd April 26, 2013CDL Hospitality Trusts April 26, 2013

    China Aviation Oil Singapore Corp Ltd April 26, 2013

    China Merchants Holdings Pacific Ltd April 26, 2013

    Duty Free International Ltd April 26, 2013

    Eucon Holding Ltd April 26, 2013

    Far East Orchard Ltd April 26, 2013

    HL Global Enterprises Ltd April 26, 2013

    Hong Leong Finance Ltd April 26, 2013

    Hwa Hong Corp Ltd April 26, 2013

    Jackspeed Corp Ltd April 26, 2013

    Jiutian Chemical Group Ltd April 26, 2013

    Mun Siong Engineering Ltd April 26, 2013

    Nico Steel Holdings Ltd April 26, 2013

    Serial System Ltd April 26, 2013Shanghai Asia Holdings Ltd April 26, 2013

    Singapore Land Ltd April 26, 2013

    Singapore Post Ltd April 26, 2013

    SP Corp Ltd April 26, 2013

    Starhill Global REIT April 26, 2013

    Texchem-Pack Holdings Singapore Ltd April 26, 2013

    Top Global Ltd April 26, 2013

    United Industrial Corp Ltd April 26, 2013

    Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd April 26, 2013

    Alternative Energy Ltd April 29, 2013

    Ascendas Hospitality Trust April 29, 2013

    Source: Bloomberg

    Earning Announcement Singapore

    Calendar

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    Date Statistic For Survey Prior Date Statistic For Survey Prior

    4/22/2013 Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index Mar -- 0.44 4/23/2013 CPI (MOM) - NSA Mar -- 1.00%

    4/22/2013 Existing Home Sales Mar 5.00M 4.98M 4/23/2013 CPI (YoY) Mar -- 4.90%

    4/22/2013 Existing Home Sales MoM Mar 0.40% 0.80% 4/24/2013 Automobile COE Open Bid Cat A 24-Apr -- 610294/23/2013 Markit US PMI Preliminary Apr 54.5 -- 4/24/2013 Automobile COE Open Bid Cat B 24-Apr -- 67010

    4/23/2013 House Price Index MoM Feb 0.70% 0.60% 4/24/2013 Automobile COE Open Bid Cat E 24-Apr -- 66989

    4/23/2013 Richmond Fed Manufact. Index Apr -- 3 4/26/2013 Industrial Production MoM SA Mar -- -0.70%

    4/23/2013 New Home Sales Mar 419K 411K 4/26/2013 Industrial Production YoY Mar -- -16.60%

    4/23/2013 New Home Sales MoM Mar 1.90% -4.60% 4/29/2013 Unemployment Rate (sa) 1Q P -- 1.80%

    4/24/2013 MBA Mortgage Applications 19-Apr -- 4.80% 4/30/2013 M1 Money Supply (YoY) Mar -- 14.00%

    4/24/2013 Durable Goods Orders Mar -2.90% 5.70% 4/30/2013 M2 Money Supply (YoY) Mar -- 9.70%

    4/24/2013 Durables Ex Transportation Mar 0.70% -0.50% 4/30/2013 Credit Card Bad Debts Mar -- 19.3M

    4/24/2013 Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Mar 0.30% -2.70% 4/30/2013 Credit Card Billings Mar -- 2953.2M

    4/24/2013 Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Mar -- 1.90% 4/30/2013 Bank Loans & Advances (YoY) Mar -- 19.60%

    4/25/2013 Initial Jobless Claims 20-Apr 351K 352K 5/2/2013 Electronics Sector Index Apr -- 51.9

    4/25/2013 Continuing Claims 13-Apr -- 3068K 5/2/2013 Purchasing Managers Index Apr -- 50.6

    Source: BloombergSource: Bloomberg

    US Singapore

    Economic Announcement

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    Important Information

    This publication is prepared by Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd., 250 North Bridge Road, #06-00, Raffles CityTower, Singapore 179101 (Registration Number: 198803136N), which is regulated by the Monetary Authority ofSingapore (Phillip Securities Research). By receiving or reading this publication, you agree to be bound by the terms

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    Contact Information (Singapore Research Team)

    Chan Wai Chee Joshua Tan Derrick HengCEO, Research Head of Research Deputy Head of Research

    Special Opportunities Global Macro, Asset StrategySG Equity Strategist &

    Transport+65 6531 1231 +65 6531 1249 +65 6531 1221

    [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

    Magdalene Choong, CFA Go Choon Koay, Bryan Travis SeahInvestment Analyst Investment Analyst Investment AnalystRegional Gaming Property REITs+65 6531 1791 +65 6531 1792 +65 6531 1229

    [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

    Ken Ang Ng Weiwen Roy ChenInvestment Analyst Macro Analyst Macro Analyst

    Financials, Telecoms Global Macro, Asset Strategy Global Macro, Asset Strategy

    +65 6531 1793 +65 6531 1735 +65 6531 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

    Nicholas Ong Research AssistantInvestment Analyst General Enquiries

    Commodities, Offshore & Marine +65 6531 1240 (Phone)+65 6531 5440 [email protected]

    [email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/peterlee/research/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Documents%20and%20Settings/roychencz/Application%20Data/Microsoft/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK89/TH%20Rpt/Stocks/Word/2012/[email protected]://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/peterlee/research/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Documents%20and%20Settings/roychencz/Application%20Data/Microsoft/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK89/TH%20Rpt/Stocks/Word/2012/[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Contact Information (Regional Member Companies)

    SINGAPOREPhillip Securities Pte Ltd

    Raffles City Tower250, North Bridge Road #06-00

    Singapore 179101Tel : (65) 6533 6001

    Website:www.poems.com.sg

    MALAYSIAPhillip Capital Management Sdn Bhd

    B-3-6 Block B Level 3 Megan Avenue II,No. 12, Jalan Yap Kwan Seng, 50450

    Kuala LumpurTel (603) 21628841Fax (603) 21665099

    Website:www.poems.com.my

    HONG KONGPhillip Securities (HK) Ltd

    Exchange Participant of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong11/F United Centre 95 Queensway

    Hong KongTel (852) 22776600Fax (852) 28685307

    Websites:www.phillip.com.hk

    JAPANPhillip Securities Japan, Ltd.

    4-2 Nihonbashi Kabuto-cho Chuo-ku,Tokyo 103-0026

    Tel: (81-3) 3666-2101Fax: (81-3) 3666-6090

    Website:www.phillip.co.jp

    INDONESIAPT Phillip Securities Indonesia

    ANZ Tower Level 23B,Jl Jend Sudirman Kav 33AJakarta 10220Indonesia

    Tel (62-21) 57900800Fax (62-21) 57900809

    Website:www.phillip.co.id

    CHINAPhillip Financial Advisory (Shanghai) Co. Ltd

    No 550 Yan An East Road,Ocean Tower Unit 2318,

    Postal code 200001Tel (86-21) 51699200Fax (86-21) 63512940

    Website:www.phillip.com.cn

    THAILANDPhillip Securities (Thailand) Public Co. Ltd15th Floor, Vorawat Building,

    849 Silom Road, Silom, Bangrak,Bangkok 10500 Thailand

    Tel (66-2) 6351700 / 22680999Fax (66-2) 22680921

    Websitewww.phillip.co.th

    FRANCEKing & Shaxson Capital Limited3rd Floor, 35 Rue de la Bienfaisance 75008

    Paris FranceTel (33-1) 45633100Fax (33-1) 45636017

    Website:www.kingandshaxson.com

    UNITED KINGDOMKing & Shaxson Capital Limited

    6th Floor, Candlewick House,120 Cannon Street,

    London, EC4N 6ASTel (44-20) 7426 5950Fax (44-20) 7626 1757

    Website:www.kingandshaxson.com

    UNITED STATESPhillip Futures Inc

    141 W Jackson Blvd Ste 3050The Chicago Board of Trade Building

    Chicago, IL 60604 USATel +1.312.356.9000Fax +1.312.356.9005

    AUSTRALIAOcta Phillip Securities LtdLevel 12, 15 William Street,

    Melbourne, Victoria 3000, AustraliaTel (03) 9629 8288Fax (03) 9629 8882

    Website:www.octaphillip.com

    http://www.poems.com.sg/http://www.poems.com.sg/http://www.poems.com.sg/http://www.poems.com.my/http://www.poems.com.my/http://www.poems.com.my/http://www.phillip.com.hk/http://www.phillip.com.hk/http://www.phillip.com.hk/http://www.phillip.co.id/http://www.phillip.co.id/http://www.phillip.co.id/http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Administrator/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK102/SG%20Rpt/Stocks/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK83/www.phillip.com.cnhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Administrator/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK102/SG%20Rpt/Stocks/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK83/www.phillip.com.cnhttp://www.phillip.co.th/http://www.phillip.co.th/http://www.phillip.co.th/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.octaphillip.com/http://www.octaphillip.com/http://www.octaphillip.com/http://www.octaphillip.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.kingandshaxson.com/http://www.phillip.co.th/http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Administrator/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK102/SG%20Rpt/Stocks/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK83/www.phillip.com.cnhttp://www.phillip.co.id/http://www.phillip.com.hk/http://www.poems.com.my/http://www.poems.com.sg/

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