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2013 may 7 energy matters

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Energy Matters presentation on integrated sustainable energy networks
  • 1.Power and Prosperity to the PeopleGood Jobs, Resilient Communities and Healthy EnvironmentsKristopher Stevens Executive DirectorMay 7, 2013www.ontario-sea.orgOver $27 billioninvested in Ontario

2. 2 OSEA is a respected advocate, facilitator and businesscatalyst bringing the public, commercial and communitysustainable energy sector and their supporters together toaddress emerging trends and the development of healthy,prosperous and ecologically sustainable communitiesacross Ontario. Who we represent: Members include individuals, manufacturers, installers, developers, municipali6es, First Na6ons, farmers, co-opera6ves and other community organiza6ons suppor6ve of, and engaged in, the full por>olio of sustainable energy in Ontario Vision: Every Ontarian conserves energy and generates sustainable energy either as a household or as part of a local community-owned business, contribu6ng to the rapid transi6on to 100% sustainable energy. Mission: To be recognized as one of Ontarios most respected sustainable energy advocates and facilitators by providing credible, accurate and 6mely informa6on and an unparalleled network of community and commercial sector supporters and par6cipants. Who is the Ontario Sustainable Energy Association 3. Our track record 2004: FIT campaign and report for Ontario governmentresulting in RESOP 2007: Launched Community Power Fund 2008: Co-hosted 7th World Wind Energy Conference inKingston and launched campaign for Green Energy Act 2009-2011: Hosted 3 annual Community Power Conferences 2011: Defended Green Energy and Economy Act with theWattsNEXT? Campaign and TV commercials 2012: Secured partnership with Reed Exhibitions to host theAll Energy Canada Conference3 4. A little over four years ago we started the GEAcampaign at WWEC 2008 in Kingston4World Wind Energy Conference, 2008 St. Lawrence College, Kingston 5. We need your help!www.ontario-sea.org 5 6. Utilities are already experts at dealingwith variabilityhttp://go.ontario-sea.org/GlobalFutures2012 Utility experts pointed out thatmanaging variability is nothingnew: utilities have contendedwith variability since the dawn ofcentralized power networks,although mostly in terms ofdemand variability rather thensupply variability.6 7. Whats possible?Paul Gipe, 2012 http://www.wind-works.org7 8. Energiewende & the Prosumer8http://go.ontario-sea.org/TheEnergyRevolution http://go.ontario-sea.org/CentralizedvsDecentralized2020Free access to all future webinars and archives forgovernment staffhttp://go.ontario-sea.org/past-webinars 9. Germany Energy Transition, 2012 www.energytransition.de9 10. FITs neutralize RFPs failure to meaningfullyengage and benefit communities10 11. Washington, DC . Mexico City . San Salvador . Rio de Janeiro . San?ago de Chile . Lagos . Cape Town Nairobi . Addis Ababa . Berlin . Brussels . Warsaw . Prague . Sarajevo . Belgrade . Zagreb . Istanbul Kiev . Moscow . Tbilisi . Kabul . Lahore . New Dheli . Chiang Mai . Phnom Penh . Beijing Germany Energy Transition, 2012 www.energytransition.de11 12. 12 13. 13Ontario Power Generation, 2013 www.opg.comSir Adam Beck (a Conservative)created a 100% sustainable publicenergy system that generatedsurplus power to drive Ontarioseconomy13 14. OntariosLong-TermEnergyPlanFIGURE 5: BUILDING A CLEANER ELECTRICITY SYSTEMCoal FreeThe Ontario government is committed to improving the health of Ontarians andD CAPACITYis a matter of choices andome designed for baseloadequirements is superior toterm plan the government hasial and cost implications toble, modern and reliable., it modernizes Ontariosmizes hydroelectric powerervation goals.al as a generation source andom less than one per centt. To ensure reliability, theOntarios evolving electricity pieOntario Ministry of Energy, 2011 http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/ 14 15. The FIT 2.0 recommendations put greatemphasis on community1. Continue commitment to clean energy2. Streamline processes and create jobs3. Encourage greater communityand aboriginal participation4. Improve municipal engagement5. Reduce price to reect lower costs6. Expand Ontarios clean energyeconomyOntarios Feed-in Tariff Program Two Year Review Report http://tinyurl.com/c6b5d8jKristopher Stevens, June 2012 MChigeent First Nation, Ontario, Canada15 16. FIT Contracts and Large FIT Applicationsas of January 31, 2013Ontario Power Authority, January 21, 2013 http://go.ontario-sea.org/FITQupdateJanuary312013 16 17. MicroFIT project summaryNumber ofApplications(MicroFIT1.0)Sum ofApplications-kw(MicroFIT 1.0)Number ofApplications(MicroFIT 2.0)Sum ofApplications-kw(MicroFIT 2.0)TotalApplications47,127 430,352 kw 10,590 98,309 kwRejected 23,015 211,553 kw 5,359 49,606 kwConditionaloffer3,679 35,879 kw 3,488 32,748 kwConnected 56 432 kw 80 680 kwContractExecuted14,706 128,688 kw 575 4,863 kwOntario Power Authority, February 18, 2013 http://go.ontario-sea.org/microfitfeb2013 17 18. Small FIT 2.0Community and Aboriginal set-aside2/3+ are community/Aboriginal4000+ applications = ~ 825MWAboriginal set-aside1000+ applications = ~200 MWCommunity set-aside458 applications = ~85 MWCommunity & Aboriginal PriorityAt least another 2-300 MW18Ontario Power Authority, January 28, 2013 - http://go.ontario-sea.org/Jan282013smallFITsummary 19. Small FIT employment potential0.05,000.010,000.015,000.020,000.025,000.0200 MW 400 MW 600 MWTotal employmentTotal employmentDerived from OSEAsEconomic ImpactAssessment Tool inpartnership with theConference Board ofCanada and ClearSkyAdvisorsOSEA, March 23, 2013 www.ontario-sea.org 19 20. impact of the small FIT under 2.0$0$1,000,000,000$2,000,000,000$3,000,000,000$4,000,000,000$5,000,000,000$6,000,000,000$7,000,000,000$8,000,000,000Total investment Total impact on GDP Wages and Salaries Taxes600 MW400 MW200 MWOSEA, March 23, 2013 www.ontario-sea.org 20 21. Short Term (now to 2014) Medium Term (2015 2018) Long Term (2019 & beyond)Phase out remaining coal-red generation(approx. 3,500 MW)Up to 7,500 MW of non-hydro renewablegeneration installed capacityInstalled wind generation capacity approx.1,500 MW todaySurplus Baseload Generation occurring morefrequentlyEmbedded generation increasingConservation and Demand ManagementtargetsRate increases (approx. 45% by 2014) Coal phase out complete Up to 10,700 MW of planned non-hydro renewable generation capacityExisting Bruce and Darlington nuclearunits out of service for upgrades; nocapacity gap assuming operation ofPickering units extendedWithout extension of Pickering units,capacity gap starts in 2016Capacity gap will start sooner than2016 if the 10,700 MW target for non-hydro renewables not being met (e.g.,attrition)Capacity gap up to 2,400 MW untilnuclear units return to service in 202325000270002900031000330002012 2013 2014MWCapacity Available at PeakDemand + Reserve Reqt2015 2016 2017 2018WithoutPickeringExt.2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Source: OPS IPSP Planning and Consultation Overview , May 2011Scenario 1: Generationoversupply continues to 2019(nuclear availability and littleFIT attrition)Scenario 2: Generationcapacity needed by 2016 orsooner (nuclear unavailabilityand major FIT attrition)Jason Chee-Aloy, 2012 http://www.poweradvisoryllc.comThe deficit cliffwho is served by delays?21 22. Comparing Ontarios optionsClean Air Alliance, 2011 http://www.cleanairalliance.org/files/costcompare.pdf 22 23. Getting it right, not quiteMarion Fraser, Getting it Right, Not Quite - http://go.ontario-sea.org/NotQuiteGovernanceGreen economy Conservation Renewable energy Clean distributed energy & CHP ?Community energy Aboriginal energy Procurement and connection priority Grid and market evolution Protect the environment Protect vulnerable consumers 23 24. Remember we need to put greater emphasison community as orginaly proposed1. Continue commitment to clean energy2. Streamline processes and create jobs3. Encourage greater communityand aboriginal participation4. Improve municipal engagement5. Reduce price to reect lower costs6. Expand Ontarios clean energyeconomyOntarios Feed-in Tariff Program Two Year Review Report http://tinyurl.com/c6b5d8jKristopher Stevens, June 2012 MChigeent First Nation, Ontario, Canada24 25. A change in scale, distribution, resiliency,ownership and benefitPreben Maegaard, 2010 Nordik Folkecenter, Denmark 25 26. Copenhagen Thermal Map, 2013 www.dbdh.dkCopenhagens thermal grid26 27. 27Danish Heat Supply Act 1979 (Update 2005)- Plants larger than 1MW must be CHP- Heat must be priced to actual cost on anon-prot basis- Electric heating in new buildings isbanned- Obligation to connect to the thermal gridhttp://go.ontario-sea.org/DenmarkThermalPolicyhttp://go.ontario-sea.org/CanadianThermalGridsKristopher Stevens, 2009 Copenhagen, Denmark 28. Soren Hermansen, 2013 Samso Island, Denmark - www.energiakademiet.dk 28Samso Island was a pioneer 20+ years ago 29. Juhndes 750 people are already 100% + 85%http://go.ontario-sea.org/JUHNDE100PERCENT Kristopher Stevens, 2012 Juhnde, Germany29 30. MChigeeng First Nation is one of our pioneersMChigeeng First Nation built small solar projects first and thentwo 2MW Enercon windmills!The Mother Earth Renewable Energy project will generate$300,000 annually for 14 years and then $1.2 million for 6 yearsKristopher Stevens, MChigeeng First Nation, 2012 http://go.ontario-sea.org/MChigeengWind 30 31. To reduce social friction & navigate complexchallenges you need to know your valuesKristopher Stevens, 2007 - http://go.ontario-sea.org/socialfriction 31 32. Value for moneyHealthyMore jobsReliableResilienceLocal benefit and controlPro-sumerDistributedIntegratedSustainable/RenewableOur culture is our most powerful technology& this is a story about usImage by Preben Maegaard, 2010 Nordik Folkecenter, Denmark 32Community Power videohttp://go.ontario-sea.org/CommunityPowerVideo 33. Once we know our values we can figure out whatservices we really need and who/how will we payAlargador, 2013 - www.alargador.org 33 34. This is

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