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2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015
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Page 1: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

2015 Goldman Sachs

Industrial Conference

Robert Sanchez

Chairman & CEO

November 3, 2015

Page 2: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Safe Harbor and Non-GAAP Financial Measures

2

Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements: Certain statements and information included in this presentation are "forward-looking statements" under the Federal

Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including our expectations regarding earnings performance, revenue growth in our business segments, fleet growth,

performance in our product lines, expansion of on-demand maintenance, demand and pricing trends in commercial rental and used vehicle sales, return on capital

spread and anticipated resumption of our share repurchase program. Accordingly, these forward-looking statements should be evaluated with consideration given to

the many risks and uncertainties inherent in our business that could cause actual results and events to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements.

Important factors that could cause such differences include, among others, lower than expected lease sales, decreases in commercial rental demand or poor

acceptance of rental pricing, our ability to return out of service vehicles to the fleet in the fourth quarter, availability of rental vehicles to meet demand and availability of

labor to maintain our fleet at normalized levels, fluctuations in market demand for used vehicles impacting current pricing and our anticipated proportion of retail versus

wholesale sales, lack of customer demand for on-demand maintenance, higher than expected maintenance costs from new engine technology or due to lower than

expected benefits from maintenance initiatives and a newer fleet, setbacks in the economic recovery, decreases in freight demand or volumes, poor operational

execution particularly with start-ups and new product launches, our ability to obtain adequate profit margins for our services, our inability to maintain current pricing

levels due to soft economic conditions, slower than expected economic recovery in the U.K., business interruptions or expenditures due to severe weather or natural

occurrences, competition from other service providers and new entrants, customer retention levels, loss of key customers, driver and technician shortages resulting in

higher procurement costs and turnover rates, unexpected bad debt reserves or write-offs, changes in customers’ business environments that will limit their ability to

commit to long-term vehicle leases, a decrease in credit ratings, increased debt costs, adequacy of accounting estimates, reserves and accruals particularly with

respect to pension, taxes, depreciation, insurance and revenue, sudden or unusual changes in fuel prices, unanticipated currency exchange rate fluctuations, our

ability to manage our cost structure, and the risks described in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The risks included here are not exhaustive.

New risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for management to predict all such risk factors or to assess the impact of such risks on our business.

Accordingly, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or

otherwise.

Unless otherwise noted, forecast information throughout this presentation was issued October 22, 2015 and has not subsequently been confirmed or revised.

Note Regarding Non-GAAP Financial Measures: This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC rules, including operating

revenue, operating revenue growth excluding foreign exchange, comparable earnings and earnings per share, comparable earnings per share forecast, comparable

earnings before income tax, comparable tax rate, adjusted return on capital (and return on capital spread), total cash generated, free cash flow, total obligations, and

the ratios based on these financial measures. Refer to Appendix – Non-GAAP Financial Measures for more information about the non-GAAP financial measures

contained in this presentation. Additional information as required by Regulation G regarding non-GAAP financial measures can be found in our most recent Form 10-K,

Form 10-Q and our Form 8-K filed as of the date of this presentation with the SEC, which are available at http://investors.ryder.com.

Beginning in 2015, in addition to excluding Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) fuel services revenue and subcontracted transportation from the calculation of operating

revenue, we also exclude Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS) fuel costs billed to our customers.

Revision of Prior Period Financial Statements: All financial information for the years 2012 through 2015 in this presentation for affected periods has been revised to

reflect a change in accounting treatment of certain sale-leaseback transactions. Free cash flow has been revised for the years 2010 through 2015. All other financial

information for years prior to 2012 have not been revised. For a discussion on the change in treatment, refer to Note A “General,” in the Notes to the Consolidated

Condensed Financial Statements to the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2015.

Page 3: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

216,500

RYDER IS A FORTUNE 500 COMPANY WITH

FULL YEAR 2014

30,600

VEHICLES

EMPLOYEES

3

6.6 Billion ANNUAL

REVENUE (1)

$

FLEET

MANAGEMENT (FMS)

SUPPLY

CHAIN (SCS)

(1) These amounts result from continuing operations.

(2) Net Earnings from Continuing Operations are $220 million.

$

297 Million COMPARABLE

EARNINGS (1) (2)

9.9 Billion ASSETS

$

35 Million SQUARE FEET OF

WAREHOUSE

SPACE

DEDICATED

TRANSPORTATION (DTS)

Leading provider of outsourced transportation & logistics

Page 4: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

4

Commercial Rental (24% FMS revenue)

Contract

Maintenance (5% FMS revenue)

Sample Clients:

Note: Revenue percents based on segment operating revenue (excludes fuel).

Full Service Lease (63% FMS revenue)

Contract-Related

Maintenance (6% FMS revenue)

Fleet Support

Services (2% FMS revenue)

Maintenance and leasing expertise maximizes fleet uptime

Full Service Lease 63%

Contract Maintenance

5%

Commercial Rental 24%

Contract-Related Maintenance

6%

Fleet Support Services

2%

(as % of FMS revenue)

FLEET

MANAGEMENT (FMS)

Page 5: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Turnkey transportation solution delivering customer value

5

Supported by IT and Engineering Solutions

Dedicated

Transportation

(97% of DTS Revenue)

Transportation

Management

(3% of DTS Revenue)

DEDICATED

TRANSPORTATION (DTS)

Full Service

Lease Vehicles Professional

Drivers

Routing, Scheduling,

Supervision & Administrative

Support

+ + =

Dedicated

Transportation

Solution

DEDICATED

TRANSPORTATION (DTS)

Sample Clients:

Page 6: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Industry expertise drives optimized logistics solutions

6

Professional Services (6% SCS revenue)

Transportation Management (10% SCS revenue)

Dedicated (36% SCS revenue)

Distribution Management (48% SCS revenue)

SUPPLY

CHAIN (SCS)

Dedicated

Transportation (36%) Distribution

Management (48%)

Transportation

Transportation (10%)

Professional

Services (6%)

(as % of SCS revenue)

Supported by IT and Engineering Solutions

Sample Clients:

Page 7: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Large markets with significant growth potential

7

With ~ 10% of transportation and

logistics business currently

outsourced, significant growth

opportunities exist for Ryder.

Note: Vehicle market shown is class 3-8

Sources: Truck Rental and Leasing Association, R.L. Polk, Monitor Group, A.T. Kearney, MacKay & Company

~10%

90%

Outsourced

Private

Market Segment Market Size

Total commercial fleet market – U.S., Canada 8.1 million vehicles

Lease and rental market (outsourced) – U.S., Canada, U.K. 0.9 million vehicles

Maintenance only services – U.S. $35 billion

Dedicated market (outsourced) – U.S. $15 billion

Supply chain logistics market (outsourced) – North America $175 billion

Estimated market sizes are as follows:

Page 8: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Increased Vehicle Cost & Complexity Increased Government Regulation

Companies have the opportunity to leverage

Ryder’s maintenance, driver and supply chain

expertise in order to comply with safety regulations

Dynamic Supply Chains

Industry expertise and demonstrated execution

enable Ryder to provide value to customers with

sophisticated supply chain needs

Driver & Technician Shortage

NOW

HIRING

NOW

HIRING

NOW

HIRING

NOW

HIRING

NOW

HIRING

NOW

HIRING

Engine technology changes mandated by EPA

favor vehicle financing and maintenance

outsourcing

Well established procedures to recruit, train and

develop drivers and technicians

CSA 2010

FOOD SAFETY

REGULATIONS

2017 2021 2027

2007 2010

Secular trends support outsourcing

8

!

EPA

Secular Trends

that Support

Outsourcing

Decision

Page 9: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Improved Sales Capabilities Marketing Initiatives

Increased Collaboration New Products

Internal initiatives driving increased outsourcing

9

G R O W T H I N

S AL E S F O R C E

I N S I D E S AL E S

O R G AN I Z AT I O N

G R O W D I G I TAL

L E AD G E N E R AT I O N

N AT U R AL G AS

S H O R T T E R M

L E AS E S

RY D E R

T R AN S Y N C ™

CNG

T O TAL C O S T O F

O W N E R S H I P M O D E L

N AT I O N AL AD

C AM PAI G N

O N D E M AN D

M AI N T E N AN C E

U P S E L L T O

D E D I C AT E D L E V E R AG E

C U S T O M E R

B AS E

T R AN S P O R TAT I O N

M AN AG E M E N T +

D E D I C AT E D

B U I L D T H O U G H T

L E AD E R S H I P F O R

B R AN D

Page 10: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Highlights of 2015 Progress

10

4,000 vehicles Lease Fleet Growth (ex-UK trailers)

ROC Spread (3)

On-Demand

Maintenance IT work and expansion Launched in August

FMS Operating

Revenue Growth Rate

12% - 15% Comparable EPS

Growth Rate

2015 Forecast (1)

130 - 140 bps 140 bps as of 3Q

150 bps FY Forecast

Where We Are (2)

5,200 YTD 6 - 6.5k FY Forecast

8% 5% YTD

7% ex-FX

11% - 13% FY Forecast

(1) Initial full-year forecast issued on February 3, 2015

(2) Forecast information issued October 22, 2015 and has not subsequently been confirmed or revised

(3) Rolling 12 months

Page 11: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Focused on profitable growth and capital efficiency

(150)

(100)

(50)

-

50

100

150

200

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F

Comp EPS ROC Spread

11

Comparable EPS ROC Spread (bps)

Record Comparable EPS and ROC Spread are forecast for FY2015

Page 12: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

Questions & Answers

Robert Sanchez

Chairman & CEO

Page 13: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

Contact Information

Bob Brunn

VP – Corporate Strategy & Investor Relations

305-500-4210

[email protected]

Calene Candela

Group Director – Investor Relations

305-500-4764

[email protected]

Page 14: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

► This presentation includes “non-GAAP financial measures” as defined by SEC rules. As required by SEC rules, we

provide a reconciliation of each non-GAAP financial measure to the most comparable GAAP. Non-GAAP financial

measures should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for or superior to, other measures of financial

performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.

► Specifically, the following non-GAAP financial measures are included in this presentation:

Non-GAAP Financial Measure Comparable GAAP Measure

Reconciliation & Additional Information

Presented on Slide(s) Titled

Adjusted Return on Capital Net Earnings / Total Capital Appendix - Adjusted Return on Capital

Reconciliation

Comparable EPS from Continuing Operations /

Comparable EPS Forecast

EPS from Continuing Operations / EPS Forecast Appendix - EPS from Continuing Operations

Reconciliation

FMS Operating Revenue FMS Total Revenue Appendix: FMS Total Revenue and Operating

Revenue Reconciliation

Appendix: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

14

Page 15: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Appendix: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

15

($ Millions)

(1) Earnings calculated based on a 12-month rolling period.

(2) Interest expense includes interest for on and off-balance sheet vehicle obligations.

(3) Income taxes were calculated by excluding taxes related to comparable earnings items and interest expense.

(4) The average is calculated based on the average GAAP balances.

(5) Represents comparable earnings items for those periods.

Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 3Q14 3Q15

Net Earnings (1)

118$ 170$ 210$ 238$ 218$ 272$ 240$

Restructuring and Other Charges, Net and Other Items 6 6 17 - 115 3 116

Income Taxes 61 108 91 126 118 147 130

Adjusted Earnings Before Income Taxes 185 284 318 363 451 423 486

Adjusted Interest Expense(2)

133 135 144 141 145 143 152

Adjusted Income Taxes (3)

(124) (157) (167) (177) (214) (198) (229)

Adjusted Net Earnings 194$ 262$ 295$ 327$ 383$ 367$ 409$

Average Total Debt(4)

2,512$ 3,079$ 3,778$ 4,015$ 4,653$ 4,516$ 4,989$

Average Off-Balance Sheet Debt(4)

114 78 2 1 2 2 2

Average Total Shareholders' Equity(4)

1,402 1,428 1,406 1,594 1,926 1,895 1,878

Average Adjustments to Shareholders' Equity (5)

2 4 (3) (2) 8 (1) 18

Adjusted Average Total Capital 4,030$ 4,588$ 5,182$ 5,608$ 6,589$ 6,411$ 6,887$

Adjusted Return on Capital 4.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 5.9%

Page 16: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Appendix: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

16

($ Earnings Per Share)

Note: Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding.

EPS from Continuing Operations Reconciliation

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F

GAAP EPS $ 2.37 3.31 3.90 4.63 4.14 6.03

Non-operating pension costs 0.31 0.22 0.37 0.28 0.10 0.20

Pension settlement charges - - - 0.03 1.30 (0.01)

Restructuring charges/(recoveries), net - 0.05 0.11 (0.01) 0.03

Superstorm Sandy vehicle-related losses/(recoveries) - - 0.10 (0.01) -

Professional fees - - - - - 0.04

Foreign currency translation benefit - - - (0.04) -

Tax (benefits)/law changes (0.21) 0.10 (0.08) - (0.03) (0.03)

Acquisition-related transaction costs 0.08 0.03 - 0.04

(Gain) on sale of property (0.02) - - - - -

Comparable EPS $ 2.53 3.71 4.40 4.88 5.58 6.23

Page 17: 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference€¦ · 2015 Goldman Sachs Industrial Conference Robert Sanchez Chairman & CEO November 3, 2015

© 2015 Ryder System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

17

Revenue 3Q15 YTD 3Q14 YTD % B/(W)

Full Service Lease 1,782.1$ 1,694.1$ 5%

Contract Maintenance 143.6 136.9 5%

Contractual Revenue 1,925.7 1,831.0 5%

Commercial Rental 694.7 646.1 8%

Contract-related Maintenance 169.6 169.4 -

Other 56.7 53.2 7%

Operating Revenue 2,846.7 2,699.7 5%

Fuel Services Revenue 547.4 803.5 (32)%

Total Revenue 3,394.1$ 3,503.2$ (3)%

3Q15 YTD

3Q15 YTD YOY Growth

YOY Growth Fx Impact (1)

ex-FX

FMS Operating Revenue 5% (2)% 7%

FMS Total Revenue and Operating Revenue Reconciliation ($ Millions)

Appendix: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

(1) Foreign exchange impact was calculated by dividing the results for the current and prior year periods by the exchange rates in effect on September 30, 2014, which

was the last day of the prior year period, rather than the actual exchange rates in effect as of September 30, 2015.


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