2015 Los Angeles Auto Show

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AutoForecast Solutions

AutoForecast Solutions LLC Special Report:

Show Review & Highlights

November 2015

2015 Los Angeles Auto Show

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AutoForecast Solutions2

Introductions2015 Los Angeles Auto Show

Daimler

• 2017 Mercedes-Benz SL

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

• 2016 Fiat 124 Spider

Fuji Heavy

• 2015 Subaru Impreza Sedan concept

General Motors

• 2017 Buick LaCrosse

• 2017 Cadillac XT5

Honda

• 2016 Honda Civic Coupe

Hyundai/Kia

• 2017 Hyundai Elantra

Mazda

• 2017 Mazda CX-9

Nissan

• 2017 Infiniti QX30

Toyota

• 2015 Scion C-HR

Volkswagen

• 2017 Lamborghini Huracan

• 2015 Volkswagen Golf GTE Sport




Briefly

Styling updates & Special EditionsBMW

•BMW 7-Seies•North American debut

•BMW X1•North American debut

Daimler

•Mercedes-Benz GLS•Facelift and name change


•Alfa Romeo Giulia•North American Debut

•Fiat 500x Abarth•New Trim Level

•Jeep Grand Cherokee SRT Night•New Trim Level

•Jeep Wrangler Backcountry•New Trim Level

Ford

•Ford Escape•Facelift

•Lincoln MKZ•Facelift

General Motors

•GMC Canyon Denali•New Trim Level

•GMC Sierra Denali Ultimate•New Trim Level

Jaguar Land Rover

•Land Rover Range Rover Evoque Convertible•North American debut

Mitsubishi

•Mitsubishi Outlander Sport•Facelift

•Mitsubishi Mirage•Facelift

Nissan

•Nissan Sentra•Facelift

Volkswsagen

•Audi R8•North American Debut

•Audi RS7•North American Debut

•Audi S8•North American Debut

•Porsche 911 Targa 4/4S•New Trim Level

•Porsche Cayman GT4 Clubsport•New Trim Level

•Volkswagen Beetle Dune•New Trim Level

•Volkswagen Beetle Demin•New Trim Level

•Volkswagen Passat•North American Debut




2015 Los Angeles Auto Show

Almost Ready for Primetime PlayersThe Los Angeles show, like the very ChineseShanghai show and the very German Frankfurtshow, is definitely a product of its locale. The airof Southern California typically permeates thisparticular show probably more than eitherShanghai or Frankfurt take from theirsurroundings. With the LA show, you canusually expect a little “tree hugger” among theproducts shown.

For this year’s show, however, the super cleancars are noticeably absent. No world premieresof fully electric models. Fuel cell vehicles andhybrids are sparse on the floor of the LosAngeles Convention Center. While the eventwasn’t home to the debut of the latest gas-guzzling behemoth, introductions wereobviously influenced by the public’s shift due tolower gas prices.

Los Angeles gives auto makers a venue fortheir wares almost two months before the “big”show in Detroit. The timing and location providetwo things that they can’t get in January. First,there’s the location: Southern California ishome to a notoriously strong car culture whichappreciates flashy and tends to avoid tradition.

Second, because it’s not as international as theDetroit show, auto makers can get a largershare of eyeballs that might not be available inMichigan.

If you want to grow your brand in the UnitedStates, getting the attention of the fashion-forward buyers of Southern California can be afoot in the door. Buick, for example, used theLA show to introduce it’s largest (and mostpopular) sedan to the world. China is thebiggest market for Buick, but they are stillfighting for market share in North America.Hoping to tickle the fancy of locals could be abig boost for the very attractive new LaCrosse.

With thousands more press and almost toomany introductions in Detroit, a new productcan get lost. The “big fish in a little pond”attitude can go a long way, again using theLaCrosse as a prime example. It would havebeen easy to launch the new Buick in thebrand’s hometown show, but would it havegained as much attention?

A slowdown in alternatively-fueled introductionsmay be temporary, but the value of the LA showis definitely not going away.




Daimler

2017 Mercedes-Benz SL• More than just a facelift, this “mid-cycle enhancement” includes styling and mechanical upgrades and will hit the showrooms in early 2016

• The new front-end includes the “diamond radiator” grille, a pair of “powerdomes” running up the hood, and larger air openings in the air dam

• The SL450’s V6 gains 34hp for a total of 362hp while the 449hp V8

SL550 and 621hp V12 AMG SL63 keep their power levels

• All engines gain the 9-speed 9G-TRONIC automatic transmission

• Safety is enhanced with Active Brake Assist, Distronic Plus, and PRE-

SAFE systems to avoid accidents





2016 Fiat 124 Spider• Sharing its platform with the new Mazda MX5, the Fiat 124 Spider is built alongside its Japanese cousin but does not share any body panels

• Two trim levels include the “Classica” with its dual exhaust, 16-inch alloy wheels, and 3-inch touch screen while the “Lusso” adds heated leather seats and 7-inch touch screen

• With its launch slated for summer of 2016, not all secrets have been

revealed but power will come from Fiat’s 160hp 1.4L turbocharged four-

cylinder joined to a 6-speed manual or automatic transmission




Fuji Heavy Industries

2015 Subaru Impreza Sedan concept• Previewing the next update to the popular compact model, the Impreza Sedan concept introduces the “Dynamic X Solid” design language

• Built on the brand’s new modular platform, the production version will be produced in the US for the first time

• Like the hatchback previously shown at the Tokyo show, very little

information was provided for the Impreza Sedan concept, but the

production version can be expected to feature a version of the current

generation flat four with a CVT and manual transaxles as well as standard

all-wheel drive




General Motors

2017 Buick LaCrosse• The third generation Buick LaCrosse receives more coupe-like styling

• Production begins in early 2016 and will continue in two countries: Hamtramck in the US and JinQiao in China

• Using the new nine-speed transaxle, the LaCrosse will have a choice of

two engines: 2.0L turbocharged four-cylinder (China) and the 3.6L DOHC

V6 (North America)




General Motors

2017 Cadillac XT5• Technically introduced at the Dubai Auto Show a few weeks prior to LA

• A five-passenger/two-row crossover replaces the popular SRX and sports a new platform

• Production shifts from Mexico to Spring Hill, Tennessee

• Follows the CT6 in Cadillac’s new assult on the luxury car market and new naming system

• Most markets will get the 3.6L DOHC V6 producing 310hp joined to a

new 8-speed automatic transaxle and harnessing an optional twin-clutch

all-wheel drive system; Chinese buyers will be able to get theirs with a

2.0L turbo four

• New features include a video system replacing the inside rear view mirror

which removes all obstacles from the driver’s view




Honda

2016 Honda Civic Coupe• Honda hinted at the radically-new (for Honda) Civic at the New York Auto Show in April, and the production version keeps many of the concept’s styling

• Production of the coupe will follow the new-for-2016 sedan by a few months

• Power comes from a 158hp 2.0L four-cylinder or a new turbocharged

175hp 1.5L four-cylinder engine with a 6-speed manual or CVT




Hyundai/Kia

2017 Hyundai Elantra• Ranking behind the Civic and Corolla in compact sales in the US, Hyundai has planned to up its small car game

• New features include blind spot detection and automatic emergency braking in order to make the Elantra an even more competitive alternative

• Improved ride and handing also come with the new updates

• Standard engine is the 2.0L Atkinson-cycle four-cylinder putting out

147hp and mated to a manual or automatic transaxle




Mazda

2017 Mazda CX-9• Continuing with Mazda’s “Kodo” (“Soul of Motion”) design theme, the new CX-9 gets all new styling

• Positioned above the popular CX-3 and CX-5 five-seaters, the three-row CX-9 keeps its seven-passenger capability

• New interior touches include “breathtaking…Auburn-colored Nappa leather, Japanese rosewood and aluminum” trim• The CX-9 is the first Mazda to use the “SkyActiv-G” 2.5L turbocharged

four-cylinder engine which produces 250hp and 310 ft-lbs or torque joined

to a six-speed automatic

• All-wheel drive continues to be available




Nissan

2017 Infiniti QX30• Infiniti’s entry into the compact crossover segment has been hinted many times with various concepts, but here is the actual production model

• Nissan’s Sunderland, UK plant becomes the first European plant making Infiniti models as the brand attempts to tackle Europe

• Standing just 1,530mm (60.2 inches) high the compact crossover is

ready to take on the emerging luxury small crossover market

• Under the hood resides a gasoline or diesel four-cylinder engine mated to

a seven-speed dual clutch transaxle, with manual control, harnessing

Infiniti’s intelligent all-wheel drive system

• A safety package including Intelligent Cruise Control, Around View

Monitor, and Intelligent Parking Assist




Toyota

2015 Scion C-HR• Scion’s crossover concept could point to a new direction for the brand while international versions will carry the Toyota brand name

• A production version is expected to appear at next year’s Geneva Auto Show

• Name refers to “Compact” size and “High-Ride” height

• Five-door hatchback body hits at the core of the crossover market

• Aside from the platform (Toyota’s New Global Architecture), the size of

the wheels (21-inches), and the target market for the production version

(“yuccies”: “young urban creatives”), precious little information was release

about the concept




Volkswagen

2017 Lamborghini Huracan LP580-2• Joining the standard all-wheel drive supercar, the new model loses 73 pounds and power to the front wheels

• With the reduction in equipment and weight, the LP580-2 is the entry-level model in the Lamborghini lineup, priced about US$39,000 less than its all-wheel drive counterpart

• Like the AWD version, the LP580-2 is powered by a 5.2L DOHC V10

engine producing 572hp (29hp fewer than the senior model) and 398 ft-lbs

of torque (15 ft-lbs less) and joined to a seven-speed dual-clutch transaxle

• The loss in power and traction slows the car by 0.2 second sprinting to 60

mph, now taking an achingly slow 3.4 seconds from a standstill




Volkswagen

2015 Volkswagen Golf GTE Sport• Volkswagen introduces another Golf-based concept with a sporty and efficient coupe

• Lower and longer, the Golf GTE Sport looks as if it could point to the next-generation Volkswagen Scirocco sporty coupe

• The sleek body is composed of carbon fiber to reduce weight

• Under the hood lies a 1.6L turbocharged gasoline four-cylinder engine

combined with two electric motors, one each front and rear, joining to

produce 395 horsepower and 494 ft-lbs of torque

• Volkswagen claims zero-to-sixty times of about four seconds and a top

speed of 280 km/h (174 mph) while returning 118 mpg on the European

tests




Global LV Production(2009 – 2021)

0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,0002

00

9

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

Middle-East/Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eastern Europe

Western Europe

South America

North America

Region 2014 (Mil) 2021 (Mil) 2021 VS. 2014 Growth 2021 vs. 2009 CAGR 2021 vs. 2014 CAGR

NA 17.00 19.20 12.9% 6.9% 1.7%

SA 3.82 4.02 5.2% 0.7% 0.7%

WE 14.87 16.79 12.9% 2.1% 1.7%

EE 6.81 8.13 19.2% 4.3% 2.5%

AP 44.81 56.20 25.4% 5.7% 3.3%

ME/A 1.91 2.95 54.6% 4.4% 6.4%

TOTAL 89.24 107.28 20.2% 4.8% 2.7%

2021 = 107 Million




Global Segment Growth Analysis(2014 – 2021)

0 3 6 9 12

CAR

Pickup

CUV

SUV

Van

Segment Volume Growth(2014 to 2021)

Millions

2014

2021

Global Market by Segment

Car

Pickup

CUV

SUV

Van

2021 vs. 2014 = 18.0 Million Units Volume Growth

Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – October 2015




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Powertrain

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Drivetrain

Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package type;

Voltage; Valves per Cyl, Transmission Type, manufacturer/plant

source … and much more … attached to each vehicle




WardsAutoForecast Solution Highlights

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Engine, Transmission,

Electric Motor, Drivetrain

Production Data

Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast thru 2022.

Monthly/Annual Detail: Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package type; Voltage; Valves per Cyl,

manufacturer/plant source, .. and much more … attached to each vehicle

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