2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance? • Will SoCal meet 2020, 2035 GHG transp tgts?

• Raise gas tax by $5/gal 28% less driving?

• Save $ on car insurance when you drive less?– But pay more for 20,000 miles per year– Cuts driving ~3.5%

• Eliminate free workplace parking?– Pay $2 to drive alone and park at work– Receive $4 for transit, carpool, bike, telecommute– Cuts commute 23%

• Large iMobility component.

ULTra PRT iMobility – Steve RaneyPersonal Rapid Transit - video

• “Best airport transfer devices ever”

• “Awesome sci-fi system”• “quicker, easier and

greener.”• “Geek transportation par

excellence!”• “Soooo cool!!

 Addicting!!”

3 PRT companies, 4 customers

• Amritsar, North India tourist site

• Heathrow & Amritsar – private sector funded.

2getthere – MasdarEco-city, Abu Dhabi

Vectus – Suncheon, S Korea

Guideway

Under the road, on the berm

Comprehensive, Integrated iMobilityDoor to Door

Delivery services, Personal activities, Business services

first mile Train, HSR

first mile Bus

•Web/wireless coordination•Supportive policy context•Scale!

Short carpool pick up

first mileLong carpool

•Improved match-making•Shared pkng, AndroidPooling

PRT system LAST MILE mid-day trips

Centralized Cars:share, rent, ride home

Walk

Bike, scooter

AndroidPooling

PRT last mile market research• Predicts large change in commute away from

drive alone

• Ability to re-develop lonely parking spaces real-estate “upside”

• Value of time at lunch is 2X hourly salary– Use PRT to go to lunch? Starbucks? .

SoCal PRT applications• Anaheim – Metrolink/HSR to Disney

• LAX – rental cars & hotels

• Irvine Spectrum – last mile from Metrolink

• Long Beach circulator

• Warner Center Circulator.

Anaheim Rapid ConnectionPRT beats ~$700M, 3.5 mi, 5-station APM

• APM – automated people mover.

Anaheim: PRT vs. APM• PRT vs. APM: 4X faster, 6X stations, ¼ cost

– PRT serves residents, APM is for tourists only

• Status: studies underway.

Thank You.

ULTra London Heathrow Term. 5• BAA: privatized, owns LHR + 4 airports

– US retail contracts: Baltimore, Logan, Pittsburg – Grupo Ferrovial acquired for $20B

• 2 year Transport study: – low emissions, space efficient– high level of service, value– Bus & APM lost– “PRT: only practical soln: 60% travel time savings, 40%

operating cost savings”– Small starter system, then expand

• Held PRT competition: ULTra won => negotiation• BAA took equity interest in ULTra PRT.

ULTra LHR Terminal 5N

Parking to T52.4 mi of track21 vehicles500,000 pax/year expectedT5: 10th largest “airport” in Europe

2 Business T5 Parking Stations(2 berths) T5 (6 berths)

$7M - $13M Cost per mile• Cost function = f• {

– System size (larger is cheaper because of fixed costs)– Station Density (more stations/mile => higher cost) – Peak hour trip demand (more demand => more vehicles)– Guideway:

• Elevated• At-grade• Tunnel• Culvert• Cantilever• Bi-directional• Seismic requirements• “Curviness”

– Stations: “fancy” costs more– Vehicle customizations.– Desired average passenger wait time (shorter wait => more vehicles)

• }.

PRT capacity

Capacity per PRT "loop"Headway (seconds)

4 3 2 1vph (20% MT) 720 960 1440 28804 ppv 2880 3840 5760 11520

Capacity per station berthload/unload 30 sectrips/hr 120pax/hr 480

Safety / Safety Certification• Automated transit (APMs): 100X safer than driving

& at-grade transit • US / ASCE APM Standards

– Airport APMs: same safety standard– BAA & ULTra PRT on the ASCE committee

• 361 ULTra hazard cases– Earthquake, truck crashes into column, falling debris,

fire, bad people, extreme weather, vehicle fails on guideway, slipping on stairs, etc..