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06/07/1434 1 4: Competitiveness of the ICT sector Overview of the competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region Ibrahim Akoum Andrea Renda Expert Group Meeting on Investment, Research, Development and Innovation in the ICT Sector Hammamet, Tunisia, 7-8 May 2013 Competitiveness Definition still controversial General: linked to productivity and growth Sectoral: “the ability of a country to keep up with global competition in a given sector” Very difficult to assess it for ICT ICT is an ecosystem Need for a layered approach (Fransmann 2010)
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Page 1: 4: Competitiveness of the ICT sector Overview of the …css.escwa.org.lb/ictd/2118/s4.pdf · 2013. 5. 15. · •Poor infrastructure in many parts of the region •Weak knowledge

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4: Competitiveness of the ICT sector

Overview of the competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

Ibrahim Akoum

Andrea Renda

Expert Group Meeting on Investment, Research, Development and Innovation in the ICT Sector

Hammamet, Tunisia, 7-8 May 2013

Competitiveness

• Definition still controversial

– General: linked to productivity and growth

– Sectoral: “the ability of a country to keep up with global competition in a given sector”

• Very difficult to assess it for ICT

– ICT is an ecosystem

– Need for a layered approach (Fransmann 2010)

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ICT and competitiveness: key factors

1. Infrastructure

– Positive relationship between broadband and economic growth

• Qiang and Rossotto (2009): a 10% increase in broadband penetration yields an additional 1.21% of GDP growth in high income countries, which rises to 1.38% in low and middle income countries.

• Doubling broadband speed increases GDP by 0.3%

– Impact is stronger in sectors with high transaction costs, or high labor intensity, such as tourism and lodging

– “Productivity shock”, but over time more jobs (2.66 gained for every job lost)

– Impact on the productivity of SMEs takes longer due to “accumulation of intangible capital”

0 10 20 30 40

India

South Africa

Egypt

Saudi Arabia

Malaysia

Brazil

Turkey

Argentina

Mexico

China

Russia

Hungary

Italy

Japan

United States

Finland

Hong Kong

Sweden

Canada

Germany

United Kingdom

Belgium

Iceland

France

Norway

Korea

Denmark

Switzerland

Data source: ITU statistics

Fixed Wired Broadband Subscriptions

(per 100 inhabitants)

2011

2005

ICT and competitiveness: key factors

1. Infrastructure

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ICT and competitiveness: key factors

2. Education, skills, digital literacy

– A fundamental ingredient of the “knowledge triangle”

– Good ICT education leads to the creation of the qualified workforce needed in developed and developing countries

– Digital literacy amongst youngsters an essential precondition for creating a population of “Yollies”

– Skill levels of domestic workers constrain a country’s ability to absorb and implement technologies invented abroad

– Note

• A recent report argues that illiteracy plays a role in determining the levels of ICT penetration in the MENA region.

ICT and competitiveness: key factors

3. Institutional quality– A clear political vision of broadband and ICT development, possibly a national

ICT strategy published and shared with stakeholders.

– Regulatory reform aimed at promoting IP protection, as well as technology and knowledge transfer

– Reforms aimed at improving the enforcement of the rule of law, as well as facilitating entrepreneurship.

• Less red tape

• Less corruption

• Less informal economy

– Reforms of financial regulation and company law aimed at strengthening the venture capital and business angel market for start-up businesses.

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Knowledge Economy Index

Dubai 2001 7

ICT and competitiveness: key factors

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ICT and competitiveness: key factors

Focus: key enabling technologies

Source: Veugelers (2012)

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Understanding the ICT ecosystem

A layered environment

1. Networked elements (including switches, routers, servers, PCs, phones, etc)

2. Converged Communication and Content Distribution Networks (Including mobile, fibre, copper, cable, satellite)

3. Platforms, Content and Applications (including Internet content & Application Providers)

4. Final Consumers.

Understanding the ICT ecosystem

Financial

Markets Regulation

Layer 1

Output of innovative goods and services (from all three layers)

A Simplified Model of the New ICT Ecosystem

Cont. & App. Providers

Converged Networks

Final

consumer

StandardisationGlobal trade

Global trade

Layer 3

Layer 2

Networked elements

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Understanding the ICT ecosystemADDING EVEN MORE COMPLEXITY

11

Physical (transport) layer(e.g. coaxial cable, backbones, routers, servers)

Physical (transport) layer(e.g. coaxial cable, backbones, routers, servers)

FixedFixed MobileMobile OtherOther

Logical layer(e.g. TCP/IP, domain names, telephone numbering systems, etc.)

Logical layer(e.g. TCP/IP, domain names, telephone numbering systems, etc.)

Application layer(e.g. web browsing, streaming media, email, VoIP, database servi ces)

Application layer(e.g. web browsing, streaming media, email, VoIP, database servi ces)

Content layer(e.g. web pages, audiovisual content, Voice calls)

Content layer(e.g. web pages, audiovisual content, Voice calls)

Market power and enduring bottlenecks can emerge at alllayers. Legacy market power in the physical network can be challenged by killer apps, logical layer champions and

premium content providers

OS, middleware

DRM

Understanding the ICT ecosystem

88

Physical (transport) layer(e.g. coaxial cable, backbones, routers, servers)

Fixed(xDSL, Cable, Fiber)

System resources(network, server, storage)

Virtualized resources(Virtual network, server, storage)

Cloud platform(Operational and business support services)

Cloud delivered services(SaaS, PaaS, AaaS, IaaS)

Mobile(LTE, WiMax, etc.)

Other(eReaders, PDAs)

Cloud

platform

Cloud

Delivered

Services

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Competitiveness, per layer

Source: Veugelers (2012)

OECD’s top ICT policy priorities

OECD (2013) 16

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Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

• Key challenges

– Common to other countries• Limited access to finance.

• Failing intellectual property rights.

• ICT ecosystem failures.

– Specific• Lack of government incentive programs.

• Ineffective, non-existent, or restrictive regulatory environments.

• Inadequate ICT infrastructure.

• Finance requirements and mechanisms.

17

Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

18

0 2 4 6

Djibouti

Sudan

Mauritania

Yemen

Syria

Morocco

Egypt

Algeria

Lebanon

Tunisia

MENA

Jordan

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Oman

Bahrain

UAE

Source of Data: World Bank KAM database

Figure X. Knowledge Economy Index (2012 )

0 5 10

Africa

South Asia

MENA

World

Latin America

East Asia & the Pacific

Europe & Central Asia

North America

Source of data: World Bank KAM database

Figure X. Knowledge Economy Index by Region (2012 ) Knowledge economy index 2011, by country and by region

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Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

19

ICT development index 2012, by country and by region

0 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 10 0

Africa

South Asia

World

MENA

East Asia & the Pacific

Latin America

Europe & Central Asia

North America

Source of data: World Bank KAM database

Figure X. ICT Development Index by Region (2012)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Yemen

Djibouti

Mauritania

Sudan

Egypt

Syria

Lebanon

MENA

Algeria

Jordan

Tunisia

Oman

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

UAE

Bahrain

Source of data: World Bank KAM database

Figure X. ICT Development Index (2012)

Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

• Poor infrastructure in many parts of the region

• Weak knowledge triangle

– Low R&D intensity

200 0 0 5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5

Saudi Arabia

Kuwait

Egypt

Jordan

Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America & Cribbean

South Asia

Europe & Central Asia

Tunisia

East Asia & Pacific

European Union

World

OECD members

Source of data: World Bank S&T data base

(% of GDP)

Figure X. R&D Expenditures(2007-09)R&D expenditure on GDP, 2007-2009

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Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

• Poor infrastructure in many parts of the region

• Weak knowledge triangle

– Low R&D intensity

– Lack of researchers

21

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

Arab States - Asia

Africa

Arab States -All

Arab States-Africa

Egypt

Developing countries

World

EU

Developed countries

Data source: UNESCO database.

Figure X. Number of Researchers per million People(2009)

Researcher per million inhabitants, 2009

Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

• Poor infrastructure in many parts of the region

• Weak knowledge triangle

– Low R&D intensity

– Lack of researchers

– Lack of technicians

22

Technicians per min inhabitants, 2008-9

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Iraq

West Bank

Kuwait

Tunisia

Morocco

Turkey

Hong Kong

United Kingdom

Sweden

Denmark

Data source: UNESCO database.

Figure X. Number of Technicians per million People(2008-09)

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Competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

• Poor infrastructure in many parts of the region

• Weak knowledge triangle

• ICT spending growing fast

23

ICT spending by region (base year 2003)

Source: OECD IE Outlook 2012

Existing plans (I)

• Some Arab states actively pursuing ICT developments:

– GCC countries, Jordan, Morocco and Egypt.

– These countries put ICT at the forefront of their agendas, have levels of ICT spending that are comparable to the leading countries in the world, and seem to be reaping benefits from this choice.

– Some (e.g. UAE) initially focused on becoming “outsourcing hubs”, but are now attaching value to SMEs as a main engine of local ICT (and broader economic) growth.

• Other countries seem to way less active in the development of a comprehensive, effective ICT strategy.

24

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Existing plans (II)

• Some examples

– Oman’s digital gov strategy already in 2003, followed by Syria

– Abu Dhabi’s focus on e-government

– Dubai’s outsourcing drive and then Dubai Internet City

– ictQatar

– Egypt: Tech Innovation & Entrepreneurship Strategy 2011-2014

– Jordan: from the REACH initiative (1999–2005) to the National ICT Strategy NIS (2007-2011)

– Saudi Arabia: a complex, evolving regulatory framework

25

Existing plans (III)

• Maroc Numeric 2013: four priorities

– High-speed Internet

– Connecting users and government agencies

– Encouraging the computerization of SMEs

– Developing national digital content

• Jordan’s MoICT top priorities

– Infrastructure

– Reliable supply of human resources

– Cybersecurity

26

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Conclusions

• Institutions, Innovation and Investment are all important for ICT competitiveness

– Regulatory reform and simplification essential, not sufficient

– Make better use of ICT to reach the MDGs

– Infrastructure is becoming the key priority: opportunities for leapfrogging, need to prioritize deployment and investment

– Education is essential to boost absorption and create/export skills in specific areas (e.g. cloud computing): it is very often neglected in national ICT and innovation strategies

– Mature financial markets a strength of (part of) the Arab region

– Mind the layers: competing at the global or regional level is possible mostly at layers 2 and 3 of the ICT ecosystem

27

4: Competitiveness of the ICT sector

Overview of the competitiveness of ICT in the Arab region

Ibrahim Akoum

Andrea Renda

Expert Group Meeting on Investment, Research, Development and Innovation in the ICT Sector

Hammamet, Tunisia, 7-8 May 2013


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