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4Q13 Fixed Income Presentation - Banco de … Jimena Salas... · BANCO DE CRÉDITO DEL PERÚ - BCP...

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March 2014 4Q13 Fixed Income Presentation
Transcript

March 2014

4Q13 Fixed Income Presentation

PERU’S ECONOMY AND BANKING

SYSTEM

2

Highlights

Strong Economic Metrics Low Country Risk Perception

Improved Credit Ratings

BBB BBB+

BBB+ BBB

AA-

Source: BCRP, S&P.

FC-LT Rating Outlook Date

Moody's Baa2 Positive Aug 16th, 2012

S&P BBB+ Stable Aug 19th, 2013

Fitch BBB+ Stable Oct 23th, 2013

3 Source: BCRP, SBS, Bloomberg.

Moody’s changed its outlook on Peru to positive on August 16th, 2012.

On August 19th, 2013 S&P upgraded Peru’s foreign currency long-term credit rating to BBB+ and changed its outlook to stable.

Fitch upgraded Peru’s foreign currency long-term rating to BBB+ on October 23th, 2013.

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14

Exchange Rates

154 159

189211

159

382

Chile Peru Mexico Brazil Colombia Latam

EMBI (LTM Average)

3.73

(0.13)

1.522.48

3.48

1.49 1.14

3.93

6.65

0.25 2.08

4.74

2.65 2.86

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Annual Inflation (%)

80

120

160

200

240

280

Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14

EMBI Spread (pbs)

Economic and Social Indicators

3-Year Average Public Debt/GDP (%)

3-Year Average Fiscal Balance/GDP (%)

Poverty as a % of Total Population

3-Year Average Real GDP Growth (%)

Improving Poverty Indicators

Controlled Fiscal Balance GDP Growth

Decreasing Indebtedness

4 Source: Focus Economics as of February 28, 2014 and INEI as of December 31, 2012.

54.8

25.8

15.1

51.2

34.1

21.4

Peru (2001) Peru (2012) Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

7.3

5.7

4.3 4.1 3.7

5.4

4.1

2.8

4.4

2.2

5.9

4.6 4.0

4.8

3.0

Peru Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

'10-'12 '13-'15E '16-'18E

1.2 0.6

(2.6) (2.5) (2.5)

0.2

(0.7)

(3.0)

(1.8)

(3.5)

0.2

(0.2)

(2.2)

(1.1)

(3.2)

Peru Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

'10-'12 '13-'15E '16-'18E

21

11

35 33 38

19

12

36

32 35

16 14

41

31

36

Peru Chile Mexico Colombia Brazil

'10-'12 '13-'15E '16-'18E

1.6

2.0

2.3 2.2

2010 2011 2012 2013

20.0

23.8

27.6 28.1

22.224.7 25.5

31.3

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Loans Foreign Currency Deposits Foreign Currency

66.8

80.3

92.4

115.1

86.9

95.9

117.1

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Loans Local Currency Deposits Local Currency

Peruvian Financial System I

Net Income (USD Bn)

Local Currency Net Loans & Deposits (S/. Bn) Net Loans & Deposits (USD Bn)

Foreign Currency Net Loans & Deposits (USD Bn)

5 Source: SBS as of December 31, 2013.

131.4

43.7

53.6

63.869.3

53.1

60.3

71.4

78.4

45.7% 44.4% 43.2% 40.5%

41.7% 41.0%35.7% 40.0%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Loans Deposits

Net Dollarization Deposits Dollarization

Peruvian Financial System II

Regulatory Capital/RWAs Loans & Deposits Penetration (As a % of GDP)

Past due loans/Total loans & Coverage Ratio Profitability

6 Source: BCRP and SBS as of December 31, 2013.

(1) Substandard Loans = Past Due Loans + Refinanced and restructured loans

Note: Banking System data as of December 31, 2012.

68%

44%

28% 26%

16%

59%

30% 27% 27%20%

Chile Brazil Colombia Peru Mexico

Loans/GDP Deposits/GDP

1.9% 1.9% 2.2%2.6%

1.2% 1.1%1.1%

1.0%

219% 225%204%

177%

137% 144% 137%128%

-200%

-150%

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Refinanced Loans Financial System PDL Financial System

PDL Coverage Ratio Substandard Loans Coverage Ratio (1)

14.0%13.7%

13.9% 13.8%

2010 2011 2012 2013

24.6% 25.2%

21.8%19.7%

2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.0%

2010 2011 2012 2013

ROAE ROAA

BANCO DE CRÉDITO DEL PERÚ - BCP

7

Credicorp Ltd.

8

The chart shows the main subsidiaries of Credicorp after the establishment of the regional investment banking platform under Credicorp Investments.

IFRS Figures as of December 31, 2013.

Life

Insurance

Health

Insurance

Assets: US$ 35.2 billion

NII: US$ 1,683 million

Employees: 22,657

FuM: US$ 11.6 billion

Collections: US$ 241 million

Employees: 708

Assets: US$ 2.7 billion

Net Earned Premiums:

US$ 613.5 million

Employees: 3,154

Assets: US$ 41 billion

Net Income attributable to Credicorp: US$ 567.1 million

Employees: 27,638

Credicorp Capital

Securities

Credicorp Capital

Peru

BCP’s Competitive Position (1)

# 1 in Deposits

# 1 in Loans Leading Financial Institution in Peru

# 1 in Net Income

9 Source: SBS as of December 31, 2013.

(1) Market share is calculated from Peruvian Financial System. BCP includes Financiera Edyficar, Scotiabank includes Crediscotia and Interbank includes Financiera Uno.

Rank Market Share (%)

Wholesale Loans 1 35%

SME Loans 1 26%

Microfinance Loans 1 20%

Consumer Loans 1 21%

Mortgage Loans 1 32%

Total Loans 1 30%

Demand Deposits 1 28%

Savings Deposits 1 34%

Time Deposits 1 27%

CTS Deposits 1 43%

Total Deposits 1 28%

Shareholders Equity 1 26%

Regulatory Capital 1 34%

29%

21%

15%

10%

BCP BBVA Scotiabank Interbank

30%

20%

14%

10%

BCP BBVA Scotiabank Interbank

28%

17%

14%

9%

BCP BBVA Scotiabank Interbank

14.7

18.1

22.2

29.3

22.7 23.6

31.5 32.0

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Loans Local Currency Deposits Local Currency

8.79.7

11.3 11.0

9.0 8.8

10.5 11.7

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Loans Foreign Currency Deposits Foreign Currency

Source: BCP and SBS as of December 31, 2013.

BCP´s Distribution Network & Transaction Breakout

Local Currency Net Loans & Deposits (S/. Bn) Total Net Loans & Deposits (USD Bn)

Foreign Currency Net Loans & Deposits (USD Bn)

BCP Highlights

10

3,5134,674

5,712 5,820

1,159

1,485

1,844 2,091

330

345

367389

5,002

6,504

7,923 8,30080%

86%87% 89%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Agents ATM's Branches Electronic Transactions

13.916.4

20.0 21.5

17.1 17.5

22.8 23.2

62%59%

57%

51%53%50%

46% 51%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Loans Deposits

Dollarization Net Loans Dollarization Deposits

17%

14%56%

10%3%

Mortgage Consumer Wholesale

SME Microfinance

25%

22%

8%

10%

7%

6%

22%Other

Communication, Storage andTransportation

Mining

Realty Business and LeasingServices

Electricity, Gas and Water

Commerce

Manufacturing

Loans by economic sector

Investments Assets (USD 35.0Bn)

Loans by Business Unit

Asset Structure

11 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2013.

51%

15%

5%

13%

6%

10%

Peruvian Central Bankcertificated notes

Peruvian Bonds

Foreign government bonds

Corporate and leasingbonds

Listed equity securities

Other

21.5 ; 61%

7.7 ; 22%

4.4 ; 13%

1.4 ; 4% Net loans

Cash and Due from Banks

Investments

Other assets

59% 58% 55% 56%

41% 42% 45% 44%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Wholesale Retail

PDL by Currency (%)

PDL by Days Overdue (%) PDL & Coverage Ratios (%)

PDL by Product (%)

Asset Quality

12 Source: SBS, BCP as of December 31, 2013.

(1) As per Basel II definition.

(2) Substandard Loans = Past Due Loans + Refinanced and restructured loans

2.23%2.42%

2.97%

3.51%

0.81% 0.71% 0.70%

1.06%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Nuevos Soles Foreign currency

1.43% 1.50% 1.75%2.32%

0.51% 0.56%0.67%

0.60%

217% 219%203%

167%

164% 165%147% 132%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Refinanced Loans/Total Loans PDL/Total loans

PDL Coverage ratio Substandard Loans Coverage Ratio(2)

0.47%0.53% 0.70% 0.97%

0.96% 0.97%1.06%

1.35%

0.98% 0.97%1.08%

1.40%

2010 2011 2012 2013Overdue 120 days or more/Total Loans

Overdue 16-119 days/Total Loans

Overdue 90 days/Total Loans(1)

0.54% 0.56% 0.79%1.30%

6.02% 5.68%

6.14%

8.70%

3.28%

2.28% 1.89%2.69%2.67% 2.60% 3.08% 3.52%

1.40% 1.31% 1.12% 1.39%

4.01% 4.03% 3.92% 3.91%

2010 2011 2012 2013Wholesale SME Microfinance

Consumer Mortgage Edyficar

Liabilities & Funding Structure

Others $1bn Equity $2bn

Total Deposits (USD 23.2 Bn) Liabilities (USD 32.1 Bn)

Deposits by Business Unit Loans-to-deposits

13 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2013.

(1) Includes BCB, Edyficar and other business units

23.2; 72%4.3; 13%

4.1; 13%

0.5; 2%Deposits

Due to Banks

Bonds Issued

Other Liabilities

7.4; 32%

6.4; 28%

2.4; 10%

6.9; 30%Demand Deposits

Savings Deposits

CTS Deposits

Time Deposits

68%

81%74%

95%

102%

116% 115%

97%

86%

99%

93%96%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Nuevos Soles Foreign Currency Total

49% 42% 44% 44%

43% 50% 51% 51%

8% 8% 5% 5%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Wholesale Retail Others (1)

Funding Structure & Maturity Profile

Equity $2bn

Average Rates Core Deposits(%)(1)

Maturity Profile (MM USD) (2)

Source: BCP as of December 31, 2013.

(1) % Core Deposits (Savings , demand and CTS deposits) /Total deposits.

(2) Figures from BCP unconsolidated as of December 31,2013. 14

60%

70%

66%

71%71%

80%

74%

69%66%

75%

70%70%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Nuevos Soles Foreign Currency Total

0.94% 1.22%1.37% 1.30%

5.02% 4.94% 4.93% 4.79%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Total Deposits Due to banks and issued bonds

1,687

532

1,154

344183

439

941

591

911733

24 16 16198

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2026+

Long Term Foreign Currency Short Term Foreign Currency Long Term Local Currency

1,5591,907

2,405 2,574

405

765

1,0971,274

1,964

2,671

3,502

3,848

2010 2011 2012 2013

Capital Management

Tier I Tier II and III

Tier II + Tier III/Regulatory Capital (%)

BIS Ratio (%)(1) Regulatory Capital (USD MM)

15 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2013.

(1) Regulatory Capital / Risk Weighted Assets.

(2) Common Equity Tier 1 = Capital + Reserves – 100% of applicable deductions (investment in subsidiaries, goodwill, intangibles assets and deferred taxes) + retained earnings + unrealized gains.

Common Equity Tier 1(2)/RWA (%)

20.6

28.6 31.3 33.1

2010 2011 2012 2013

8.78.0

7.4 7.5

2010 2011 2012 2013

12.814.5 14.7 14.5

2010 2011 2012 2013

114 66 86 29

6323

41

-26

87

142149

184

462 536

637628

2010 2011 2012 2013

Fees and Commissions FX Transactions Gains from Sales of Securities Others

(875)

(975)

(1,217) (1,242)

2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Income (USD MM)

Non Financial Income (USD MM) Provisions / Gross Financial Margin (USD MM)

Operating Expenses (USD MM)

P&L Highlights

16 Source: BCP as of December 31, 2013.

521

431

535591 590

2010 2011 2012 2013

726 766

912 816

1,3671,739

2,204 2,355

(425)(530)

(666) (727)

9431,208

1,538 1,629

22.7% 21.7%

28.3% 27.2%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Financial Income Financial Expenses

Gross financial margin (USD MM)

56.7

49.7

51.2

49.0

2010 2011 2012 2013

1.9 2.01.8

1.7

2010 2011 2012 2013

Avg.

22.9

Avg.

52.2

Avg.

1.8

Efficiency (%)(3)

ROAA (%)(1) ROAE (%)(1)

Net Interest Margin (%)(2)

Key Financial Indicators

17 Source: SBS and ASBANC as of December 31, 2013.

(1) BCP shareholder’s equity and total asset averages computed as the average of month-end balances.

(2) Net interest income reported to SBS, as a percentage of average interest-earning assets. Average earning interest assets computed on a monthly basis.

(3) Efficiency calculated as administrative expenses plus depreciation, amortization and taxes divided by the aggregate of gross financial margin, banking services commissions and net gain on foreign exchange transactions.

24.125.2

22.4 22.0

2010 2011 2012 2013

8.01%

10.06%9.64%

8.88%

2.83%

1.53% 1.76%

2.50%

4.94% 4.98% 5.19% 5.35%

2010 2011 2012 2013

Nuevos Soles Foreign Currency Weighted-average

APPENDIX

18

Selected Financial Information

19 * Includes net income from discontinued operations (Correval).

Income Statement Summary

  2010 2011 2012 2013

YoY

Growth

Financial income 1,367 1,739 2,204 2,355 6.87%

Financial expense (425) (530) (666) (727) 9.07%

Gross financial margin 943 1,208 1,538 1,629 5.92%

Provision for loan losses (212) (263) (436) (444) 1.80%

Gross financial margin after provision for loan

losses 731 946 1,102 1,185 7.55%

Gain (loss) for exchange difference 9 (14) 6 64 1056.94%

Net financial margin 740 932 1,107 1,249 12.82%

 

Fees and commissions from banking services 462 536 637 628 -1.33%

Net gains (loss) from sales of securities 63 23 41 (26) NA

Net gains on foreign exchange transactions 87 142 149 184 23.91%

Other income 114 66 86 29 -66.09%

Operating expenses (875) (975) (1,217) (1,242) 2.10%

Income before workers’ profit sharing and

income tax 591 723 803 823 2.49%

Income tax (159) (189) (216) (233) 7.70%

Net income from continuing operations 431 535 587 590 0.57%

Net income from discontinuing operations (*) - - 4 0

Net income 431 535 591 590 -0.06%

US$ in millions

Selected Financial Information

20

Balance Sheet Summary

  2010 2011 2012 2013

YoY

Growth

Cash and due from banks, and interbank funds 8,492 5,484 7,792 7,674 (1.5%)

Investments at fair value through profit or loss and

available-for-sale investments, net 1,615 3,549 4,784 4,429 (7.4%)

Gross loans 14,335 16,934 20,747 22,312 7.5%

Reserve for loan losses (421) (527) (706) (814) 15.4%

Other assets 1,225 1,281 2,833 1,442 (49.1%)

Total assets 25,246 26,721 35,450 35,042 (1.1%)

   

Deposits and obligations 17,061 17,544 22,815 23,165 1.5%

Due to banks, correspondents and other entities,

and interbank funds 3,642 3,207 4,371 4,305 (1.5%)

Bonds and subordinated notes issued 1,959 3,122 3,657 4,089 11.8%

Other liabilities 612 507 1,858 544 (70.7%)

Total liabilities 23,274 24,380 32,701 32,104 (1.8%)

   

Return on average shareholders’ equity 24.1% 25.2% 22.4% 22.0%

Return on average total assets 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7%

Equity-to-asset ratio 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.1%

Past due loans as a percentage of total gross

loans 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3%

US$ in millions

21

BCP’s ratings

International Credit Rating Agencies Local Credit Rating Agencies

BCP AAI Equilibrium

Date of last review Sep-13 Sep-13

Date of last report Sep-13 Sep-13

Institution A+ A+

Long Term Debt

Corporate Bonds AAA AAA

Mortgage Bonds AAA AAA

Leasing Bonds AAA AAA

Long Term Deposits AAA AAA

Short Term Debt

Short Term Deposits CP-1+ EQL 1+

CDs CP-1+ EQL 1+

Capital Debt

Subordinated Tier II AA+ AA+

BCP Emisiones Latam Feller Rate Fitch

Last review Ago-13 Abr-12

Outlook Stable Stable

Solvency AA- AA(Cl)

BCP Fitch S&P Moody´s

Date of last review Abr-12 Ago-13 Feb-13

Outlook Stable Stable Stable

Issuer rating BBB+ BBB+ Baa2

Bank strength C-

Foreign Currency

Long term BBB+ BBB+ Baa2

Short term F2 A-2 P-2

Local Currency

Long term BBB+ BBB+ Baa2

Short term F2 A-2 P-2

Outstanding debt (144A/Regs)

Subordinated BCP 2021 BBB BBB Baa3

Subordinated BCP 2022 BBB BBB Baa3

Subordinated BCP 2026 BBB BBB Baa3

Subordinated BCP 2027 BBB BBB Baa3

Junior Subordinated 2069 BB- BBB-

Senior BCP 2016 (US$ 365MM) BBB+ BBB+ Baa2

Senior BCP 2020 (US$ 800MM) BBB+ BBB+ Baa2

Senior BCP 2023 (US$ 716MM) BBB+ BBB+ Baa2


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