+ All Categories
Home > Documents > A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis -...

A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis -...

Date post: 25-Oct-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 1 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
40
A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University of Idaho John Pomeroy - University of Saskatchewan Robert Lawler - U.S. Forest Service Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of Edinburgh
Transcript
Page 1: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

A Sensitivity Study of Radiant

Energy During Snowmelt in

Small Canopy Gaps:

The quest for the radiative minima and more...

Timothy E. Link - University of Idaho

John Pomeroy - University of Saskatchewan

Robert Lawler - U.S. Forest Service

Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd.

Danny Marks – USDA ARS

Richard Essery - University of Edinburgh

Page 2: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Outline

• Motivation & background

• Radiation in forest gaps

• Measurements

• Modeling

• Scaling up...

• Future directions and challenges

Page 3: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Motivation • Snow is a major water source

• 50% - 90% in western U. S. watersheds

• Declining in many areas

• Improve melt prediction in complex

terrain

• Can forest management

conserve snow?

• Gap thinning

• Homogeneous thinning

Page 4: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Shortwave Dominated Longwave Dominated

Snow in Forests

Page 5: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Canopy Effects Summary

•↓ SWE

•↓ Shortwave Radiation

• ↑ Longwave Radiation

• ↓ Wind Speed

...and hence:

Loss of forest canopy

should:

1. Increase snow !!

2. Accelerate melt !!!

In forests, relative

to open areas...

Not always so!!!

Page 6: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Canopy

Gaps... a.k.a “cold holes”

(Berry & Rothwell, 1992)

are “open”, and so...

- Accumulate more snow

but...

- Are dark and cold

Wolf Creek Experimental Basin, Yukon Territory

High Noon in November

Page 7: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Some history...

Church. 1933. Geog. Rev.

Page 8: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

More history...

Golding & Swanson. 1978. Can. J. For. Res.

Page 9: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

More history...

Golding & Swanson. 1986. Wat. Resour. Res.

Page 10: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

More history...

Berry & Rothwell. 1992. Can. J. For. Res.

Page 11: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

and so the question

is... How does radiation

vary as function of

position, gap size,

season, and latitude ?

Optimal density and

pattern to minimize

radiation to snow?

Page 12: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Methods

• Radiation measurements

• Physically-based models

• Sensitivity experiments

Page 13: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Radiation

Measurements

measuring sunshine in a campground in

winter...

Page 14: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Simple Model Performance Shortwave Radiation

Text

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

Page 15: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Model Performance: Longwave Radiation

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

Page 16: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

GAP POSITION, SIZE, AND

SEASON

Simulated Radiation Regimes

Page 17: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Gap Radiation

Regimes

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

February 1

~47° N latitude

Page 18: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Gap Radiation

Regimes February 1, ~47° N latitude

Pro

port

ion

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

Page 19: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Gap Radiation

Regimes May 1, ~47° N latitude

Pro

port

ion

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

Page 20: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Snow Depth Trends ~47° N latitude

Page 21: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

GAP SIZE, SEASON, AND

LATITUDE

Simulated Radiation Regimes: Another View…

Page 22: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Gap Radiative

Regimes Instantaneous, Gap Center

Page 23: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Data Analysis Daily Incoming Radiation

Page 24: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Data Analysis Daily Incoming Radiation

Page 25: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Data Analysis Daily Incoming Radiation

longwave-dominated

shortwave-dominated

Page 26: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Data Analysis Daily Incoming Radiation

Page 27: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Link et al., in prep.

Page 28: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Link et al., in prep.

Page 29: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Gaps on Slopes

North and South

Ellis et al., WRR, in press

Page 30: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Gaps on Slopes

East and West

Ellis et al., WRR, in press

Page 31: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Conclusions (so far!)

Radiative minima occur in gaps

• Optimal size: 1-2 H at ~45° latitude

•Snow can be retained on the landscape

• Melt can be desynchronized on slopes

•Canopy gap microclimates are distinct

Implications:

• Water resource

prediction &

enhancement

• Climate change

adaptation

• Monitoring site

assessment

• Fire hazard risk

reduction

• Avalanche initiation

• Vegetation

Page 32: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

The Marmot Creek Legacy

Marmot Creek Research Basin

Alberta, Canada

Cedar River Watershed

Washington, USA

Cedar River Watershed

Washington, USA

Page 33: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Future Directions: Discrete Tree Model

Images courtesy

of Dr. Richard

Essery

Page 34: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Future Directions

- How does radiation vary as function

of canopy density, pattern, slope, and

...

- Optimal density and pattern to

minimize radiation to snow?

Page 35: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

The Quest for More…

~4H gap

~1H gap

• Seasonal effects ?

• Productive melt conditions

• Comprehensive snow energetics ?

• Climatological variability ?

• Spatial

• Temporal (Intra and inter-annual)

• Depositional effects ?

• Sublimation vs. meltwater drip

• Deportment of infiltrated water?

Page 36: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Thank

You !

Questions ?

Page 37: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of
Page 38: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Approach: Modeling

Seyednasrollah et al., In review. JGR -

Atmospheres.

Page 39: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

Example Results:Discrete Tree

Model

Essery et al., 2007. J. Hydromet.

Page 40: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small … · 2020. 5. 7. · Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of

In Summary... • Forests can have higher radiation than

open

• High latitudes, mid-winter, north slopes

• Gaps can have lowest radiation amounts

• During melt !!

• Distinct at high latitudes

• North slopes are like

high latitudes


Recommended