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A Strategic Plan for Growth 2015 Evercore ISI Conference January 8-9, 2015
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Page 1: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

A Strategic Plan for Growth

2015 Evercore ISI Conference January 8-9, 2015

Page 2: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Safe Harbor Except for the historical statements contained in this release, the matters discussed herein, are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including our 2014 earnings per share guidance and assumptions, are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update them to reflect changes that occur after that date. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including inflation rates, monetary fluctuations and their impact on capital expenditures and the ability of Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, Xcel Energy) to obtain financing on favorable terms; business conditions in the energy industry, including the risk of a slow down in the U.S. economy or delay in growth recovery; trade, fiscal, taxation and environmental policies in areas where Xcel Energy has a financial interest; customer business conditions; actions of credit rating agencies; competitive factors, including the extent and timing of the entry of additional competition in the markets served by Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries; unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; state, federal and foreign legislative and regulatory initiatives that affect cost and investment recovery, have an impact on rates or have an impact on asset operation or ownership or impose environmental compliance conditions; structures that affect the speed and degree to which competition enters the electric and natural gas markets; costs and other effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims; actions by regulatory bodies impacting our nuclear operations, including those affecting costs, operations or the approval of requests pending before the Nuclear Regulatory Commission; financial or regulatory accounting policies imposed by regulatory bodies; availability or cost of capital; employee work force factors; and the other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including Risk Factors in Item 1A and Exhibit 99.01 of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2013 and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, June 30, and September 30, 2014.

Page 3: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Fully Regulated, Diverse Utility

NSP-Wisconsin (NSPW) 5-10% of earnings

NSP-Minnesota (NSPM) 35-45% of earnings

Southwestern Public Service (SPS)

5-15% of earnings

Public Service Co. of Colorado (PSCo) 45-55% of earnings

Operate in 8 States

Combination Utility 90% electric

10% natural gas

Customers 3.5 million electric

1.9 million natural gas 2014 Dividend (Annualized) = $1.20 2014 EPS Guidance = $1.95 - $2.05 2015 EPS Guidance = $2.00 - $2.15

Page 4: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Xcel Energy Investment Merits

Focused strategic plan Offering an attractive total return

— EPS growth of 4% – 6% * — Dividend growth of 4% – 6%

Strong credit metrics — Unsecured credit ratings of “BBB+” to “A” — Secured credit ratings in “A” range

Proven track record of delivering on financial objectives

* Based off a normalized 2013 EPS of $1.90

Page 5: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Improve Utility Performance

● Close ROE gap 50 bps by 2018 ● Derive 75% of revenue from MYPs

Objectives Measurable Results Xcel Energy Strategic Plan

Drive Operational Excellence

● Manage workforce transition ● Limit annual O&M growth to 0-2%

Provide Customer Options & Solutions

● Offer more energy options ● Exceed customer expectations

Invest for the Future

● Base capital plan drives annual rate base growth of 4.7% ● Potential incremental investment in natural gas and transmission

Page 6: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Improve Utility Performance

6

Objective Close ROE

Gap by 50 bps by 2018

NSPM ~75%

SPS ~20%

PSCo & NSPW ~5%

Regulatory Lag Contribution by Jurisdiction

Existing ROE gap is approximately 100 bps

Page 7: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Streamlining Minnesota Regulation Based upon four key objectives

— Pursue more predictable and nimble regulation — Reduce carbon emissions by 40% by 2030 — Pioneer grid modernization — Provide new services and product offerings

Potential mechanisms — Longer and more holistic multi-year rate plans — Use the nuclear depreciation surplus as a mitigation tool — Seek additional riders — Pursue legislation to provide clarification and authorization

Page 8: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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2014 Q4

2015 Q1

2015 Q2

2015 Q3

2015 Q4

Minnesota Regulatory Calendar

MN 2014 – 2015 Rate Case

Monticello Case

MN Legislative Session

MN Regulatory Filing

Resource Plan Filing

Alternative Plan: 2016 – 2018 Rate Case Filing

Page 9: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Legislative Initiatives in Texas

Collaborating with other non-ERCOT utilities

Pursuing legislative changes to reduce regulatory lag

— Ability to implement temporary rates 35 days from filing

— Allow the addition of post test year capital additions

— Allow for the filing of a transmission rider twice a year

— Allow for generation cost recovery rider

Page 10: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Closing the ROE Gap Key Opportunity for EPS Growth

2014 Estimated Rate Base $20.7 billion $20.7 billion $20.7 billion

Equity Ratio 54% 54% 54%

ROE Improvement 25 bps 50 bps 75 bps

Net Income $28 million $56 million $84 million

Ongoing EPS $0.06 $0.11 $0.17

10

Page 11: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Impact of Improved Earned ROE

Consolidated Earned ROE

10.0%

5-year EPS CAGR

4% - 5%

10.5%

11.0%

5% - 6%

6% - 7%

11

Based on Xcel Energy’s consolidated GAAP ROE

Page 12: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Improve Utility Performance Derive 75% of Revenue from Multi-Year Plans

Jurisdiction Status Rate Plan Percent of Rate Base

Minnesota Electric Pending Multi-Year Plan (2014-15) ≈ 35%

Colorado Electric Pending Multi-Year Plan (2015-17) ≈ 31%

North Dakota Electric Approved Multi-Year Plan (2013-16) ≈ 2%

Page 13: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

Driving Operational Excellence Bending the Cost Curve

Sustainable cost control – Standardization of processes – Optimize purchasing power – Technology

Stabilization of nuclear costs Workforce transition Proactive maintenance Employee benefits programs Investing in capital to reduce O&M

Objective Annual O&M Growth 2014: 2% - 3% 2015-2019: 0% - 2%

Drives

13

Page 14: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Transmission Generation Distribution Other

Dollars in millions

14

Base Capital Investment Plan Five-Year Total of $14.5 Billion

$3,375

$2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850

Page 15: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Base Capital Investment Plan Drives Rate Base Growth

15

2015-2019 Base Capital Expenditures

$14.5 Billion

Drives

≈ 4.7% Rate Base

CAGR 2014 - 2019

Transmission 31%

Generation 23%

Distribution 22%

Other 24%

Page 16: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Investing for the Future Potential Natural Gas Investment

Take advantage of organic growth opportunities Leverage existing natural gas footprint Potential incremental investment opportunities

— Natural gas pipelines — Natural gas storage — Rate-basing of natural gas reserves

We will continue to be disciplined and thoughtful as we pursue growth

Page 17: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

Operating Company

Miles of Gas Transmission

Number of Customers

PSCo 2,118 1,330,000

NSPM 96 493,000

NSPW 3 110,000

SPS 20 N/A

Xcel Energy 2,237 1,933,000

Sixth largest natural gas consumer in the country Annual natural gas usage ~450 Bcf Spend $1.5 - $2.0 billion annually

Xcel Energy An Experienced Natural Gas Provider

17

NSPW 4%

SPS 20% PSCO

48%

NSPM 28%

2013 Natural Gas Consumption

Page 18: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Transmission: A Two-Pronged Strategy Operating Company: A low risk base business

— Driven by reliability standards & state/regional energy policies — Incumbent in areas with a substantial need for investment

Will defend using ROFR provisions when available ROFR statutes in MN, ND, and SD

Transco: Optimizing the opportunity in an evolving landscape — Expansion into broader FERC Order 1000 regions — Pursuing growth in an aggressive but disciplined manner — Making smart investments that position us well for the future

Page 19: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

Majority of base plan is driven by reliability targets, state & regional energy policies and asset renewal

Minimal execution risk

19

Transmission Base Capital Investment Plan

Reliability Driven 67%

Regional Expansion 17%

SW Oil Patch 16%

Transmission CapEx of $4.5 billion 2015 – 2019

Page 20: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Advancing Transco Strategy

Create transco subsidiaries Submit proposed projects to SPP Initiate FERC filing process Make state regulatory filings Pursue initial SPP RFPs – 2015 Reply to MISO RFPs – 2015/2016

20

Page 21: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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$0.86

2005

2013

$0.89 $0.92 $0.95 $0.98 $1.01 $1.04 $1.08 $1.12

Annual Dividend Increase

Proven Track Record of Delivering Value Consistent Dividend Growth

2014

$1.20

Dividend growth CAGR 2005-2013 = 3.4% Dividend increase for 2014 = 7.1%

Dividend Annual Growth Objective = 4-6% 21

Page 22: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

22 * Reconciliation to GAAP EPS included in appendix

Proven Track Record of Delivering Value Consistent EPS Growth

2014E

2005

Ongoing earnings per share *

$1.15

$1.95 $1.95-$2.05

2014 & 2015 Ongoing Earnings Guidance Ranges

2015E

22

Ongoing EPS CAGR 2005-2013 = 6.8% EPS Annual Growth Objective = 4-6%

$2.00-$2.15

Page 23: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Proven Track Record Delivering on Financial Objectives

2005 Achieved

2006 Achieved 2007 Exceeded

2008 Achieved

2009 Achieved

2010 Achieved

2011 Achieved

2012 Achieved

2013 Achieved

2014 On Track

EPS Guidance

Page 24: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Appendix

24

Page 25: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Reconciliation – Ongoing EPS to GAAP EPS 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Ongoing EPS $1.15 $1.30 $1.43 $1.45 $1.50 $1.62 $1.72 $1.82 $1.95

PSRI-COLI $0.05 $0.05 $(0.08) $0.01 $(0.01) $(0.01) - - -

Prescription Drug Tax Benefit - - - - - - - $0.03 - SPS FERC Order - - - - - - - - $(0.04) Cont. Ops $1.20 $1.35 $1.35 $1.46 $1.49 $1.61 $1.72 $1.85 $1.91 Discont. Ops $0.03 $0.01 - - $(0.01) $0.01 - - - GAAP EPS $1.23 $1.36 $1.35 $1.46 $1.48 $1.62 $1.72 $1.85 $1.91

Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings provide a meaningful comparison of earnings results and is representative of Xcel Energy’s fundamental core earnings power. Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, and when communicating its earnings outlook to

analysts and investors.

25

Page 26: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Dividend Flexibility

Annual dividend growth target range of 4% – 6% — No dividend payout range target — Dividend growth may periodically exceed EPS growth

Dividend considerations — Providing a competitive dividend yield — Capital investment growth opportunities — Balance sheet and credit ratings — Projected cash generation and requirements

Dividend decisions are the responsibility of the Board of Directors

In February 2014, Xcel Energy’s Board of Directors increased the dividend 8 cents per share on an annual basis, or 7.1%

Page 27: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Strong Credit Ratings and Liquidity

45% equity ratio as of September 30, 2014 $2.75 billion credit line, maturity of October 2019

Moody’s * S&P Fitch Xcel Unsecured A3 BBB+ BBB+ NSPM Secured Aa3 A A+ NSPW Secured Aa3 A A+ PSCo Secured A1 A A+ SPS Secured A2 A A-

* Moody’s upgraded the credit ratings of Xcel Energy and its subsidiaries one notch in January 2014

Page 28: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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$14,480

$11,500

$0

$2,995$2,605$375

Modest Financing Needs Financing Plan 2015-2019

Cap Ex

CFO * New Debt

DRIP & Benefits

Equity **

Funding capital expenditures

Refinanced Debt

$ millions

* Cash from operations is net of dividend and pension funding ** No external equity required during 5 year plan

Financing plans are subject to change

Page 29: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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$0

$400

$800

$1,200

$1,600

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Hold Co NSPM NSPWPSCo SPS

Manageable Debt Maturities Dollars in millions

29

Page 30: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Projected Rate Base Growth Dollars in billions

$26.1$25.2$24.5$23.5

$22.5$20.7

$19.2$17.6$16.9

$15.2

$10.8$11.7

$14.4$13.3$12.5

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

CAGR 2005 – 2013 = 7.5%

CAGR 2014 – 2019 = 4.7%

Estimate 30

Page 31: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Dollars in Billions

31

Transmission Rate Base Growth

$3.0 $3.8

$5.7

$6.9 $7.5

$4.6 $5.2

$6.2

CAGR 2014 – 2019 = 10%

Estimate

Page 32: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Capital Expenditures by Major Project

Major Project Summary 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2015 – 2019 Total

CapX 2020 $270 $130 $5 $5 - - $140

CACJA $240 $90 $10 - - - $100

Nuclear Fuel $130 $90 $120 $120 $65 $150 $545

SPP Infrastructure (Generation) $5 $35 $110 $120 $30 - $295

SPP Infrastructure (Transmission) $30 $105 $140 $100 $115 $110 $570

Gas Pipeline Replacements - $135 $135 $100 $140 $155 $665

NSPM Wind Projects $35 $575 $5 - - - $580

La Crosse-Madison (Transmission) $5 $5 $65 $75 $40 $5 $190

Tolk Water Pipeline $5 $30 $80 $65 - - $175

TUCO-Amoco-Hobbs (Transmission) - $5 $5 $5 $55 $110 $180

Other Major Transmission $500 $335 $255 $310 $285 $270 $1,455

Other Capital Expenditures $1,780 $1,840 $1,850 $1,925 $1,920 $2,050 $9,585

Total Capital Expenditures $3,000 $3,375 $2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850 $14,480

Dollars in millions

32

Page 33: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Capital Expenditures by Function

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2015 - 2019 Total

Electric Generation $715 $1,190 $630 $620 $415 $450 $3,305

Electric Transmission $985 $875 $780 $905 $975 $1,000 $4,535

Electric Distribution $560 $605 $630 $640 $650 $680 $3,205

Natural Gas $380 $370 $370 $305 $355 $380 $1,780

Nuclear Fuel $130 $90 $120 $120 $65 $150 $545

Other $230 $245 $250 $235 $190 $190 $1,110

Total $3,000 $3,375 $2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850 $14,480

Dollars in millions

Page 34: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Capital Expenditures by Company

Dollars in millions

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2015 – 2019 Total

NSPM $1,130 $1,625 $990 $975 $845 $950 $5,385

PSCO $1,055 $950 $820 $815 $885 $1,010 $4,480

SPS $535 $570 $710 $735 $595 $565 $3,175

NSPW $280 $230 $260 $300 $325 $325 $1,440

Total $3,000 $3,375 $2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850 $14,480

34

Page 35: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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NSP-M Capital Expenditures by Function Dollars in millions

NSPM 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total Electric Generation $860 $245 $270 $220 $210 $1,805

Electric Transmission $285 $205 $195 $170 $190 $1,045

Electric Distribution $210 $220 $220 $225 $230 $1,105

Natural Gas $80 $90 $65 $95 $100 $430

Nuclear Fuel $90 $120 $120 $65 $150 $545

Other $100 $110 $105 $70 $70 $455

Total $1,625 $990 $975 $845 $950 $5,385

Page 36: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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PSCo Capital Expenditures by Function

PSCo 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total Electric Generation $195 $125 $85 $95 $170 $670

Electric Transmission $155 $100 $170 $215 $230 $870

Electric Distribution $245 $250 $265 $270 $280 $1,310

Natural Gas $265 $260 $220 $240 $260 $1,245

Other $90 $85 $75 $65 $70 $385

Total $950 $820 $815 $885 $1,010 $4,480

Dollars in millions

Page 37: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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SPS Capital Expenditures by Function

SPS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total Electric Generation $125 $245 $250 $85 $50 $755

Electric Transmission $315 $330 $360 $390 $380 $1,775

Electric Distribution $95 $100 $95 $95 $105 $490

Other $35 $35 $30 $25 $30 $155

Total $570 $710 $735 $595 $565 $3,175

Dollars in millions

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NSP-W Capital Expenditures by Function

NSPW 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total Electric Generation $10 $15 $15 $15 $20 $75

Electric Transmission $120 $145 $180 $200 $200 $845

Electric Distribution $55 $60 $60 $60 $65 $300

Natural Gas $25 $20 $20 $20 $20 $105

Other $20 $20 $25 $30 $20 $115

Total $230 $260 $300 $325 $325 $1,440

Dollars in millions

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Proximity to U.S. Energy Plays

39

Increasing oil & gas exploration

— D-J Basin (Colorado) — Bakken/Williston (Dakotas)

— Permian Basin (NM/Texas) Current assets are well positioned

— Multiple gas supply basins — Associated gas from Bakken is

looking for demand areas

Page 40: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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WYCO Development Company

Joint venture (50/50) owned with Kinder Morgan — Operates and develops natural gas pipelines, storage

and compression WYCO assets

— High Plains Pipeline 164 miles of 30” pipe

— Front Range Pipeline 53 miles of 24” pipe

— Douglas Compression — Totem Storage

Page 41: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Potential Transmission Opportunities

MISO North – Next MVP/EPA 111(d) Portfolio

MISO South Congestion

WECC/WestConnect – First Regional Portfolio

SPP North-South Integration

ERCOT CREZ/Renewable Expansion

MISO/SPP Seam

Oil & Gas Expansion

Oil & Gas Expansion

MISO North-South Integration

Interregional Ties

Page 42: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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SPP Planning Process Timeline

Draft Regional

Plan Released

Initial Detailed Project

Proposals Due

SPP Board Approval and Initial

RFPs Issued

May/June 2014

2014 Q4

2015 Q1

Mid 2015

Initial RFP Responses

Due and Next Round of DPPs Due

2015 2H

RFP Winners

Announced

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SPP Scoring Methodology

Engineering Design – 200 pts Project Management – 200 pts Operating Ability – 250 pts Cost Analysis – 225 pts Creditworthiness – 125 pts Project proposal bonus – 100 pts

Accomplished development team Skillful project execution Seasoned operator Proven low cost leader Industry leading Balance Sheet Submitted ~15% of proposed SPP projects

Criteria Xcel Energy Brings

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Proven Low Cost Leader – 345 kV Lines

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Xcel Energy Average

$1.72

SPP Average

$1.76

ERCOT Average

$1.80

MISO Average

$2.22

WECC Average

$2.11

* Adjusted to 2013 dollars using the Handy Whitman Construction Cost Index

Average Cost per Mile, Adjusted *

13 25 55 12 35 # of projects

Overall Average = $2.1 million/mile

Dollars in millions per mile

Source: Analysis uses data from FERC, State Commissions, Regional Transmission Organizations, EEI publications and other publicly available data sources

Page 45: A Strategic Plan for Growth - investors.xcelenergy.cominvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/4025308/ISI.pdf · A Strategic Plan for Growth . 2015 Evercore ISI Conference

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Regulatory vs. Authorized ROE - 2013 OPCO Jurisdiction

Rate Base $Millions

Authorized ROE

W/A Earned ROE Regulatory Plan

NSPM

MN Electric $6,719 9.83% 8.22% 2014-15 MYP Filed MN Gas 436 10.09 9.76 ND Electric 389 9.75 9.54 2013-2016 MYP ND Gas 43 10.75 11.39 SD Electric 409 Black box 7.28

PSCo CO Electric 5,922 10.00 11.32* 2012-2014 MYP CO Gas 1,483 9.72 9.01 2013 Rate Case

SPS TX Electric 1,256 Black box 10.11** 2014 Rate Case NM Electric 456 Black box 6.58** 2014 Rate Case

NSPW

WI Electric 777 10.40 10.23 2013 Rate Case WI Gas 85 10.40 9.81 2013 Rate Case MI Electric 17 10.30 7.57 2014 Rate Case MI Gas 3 11.25 (11.58) Wholesale 1,225 N/A N/A

45

* Before customer refund based on earnings test. PSCo earned 10.27%, after customer refund. ** Actual ROE, not weather-normalized

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46

Pending Regulatory Cases

Monticello EPU/LCM prudence review - expected decision 2015 Q1 46

Rate Case Requested Increase

Requested ROE Expected Decision

Minnesota Electric $248 million

Over Two Years 10.25% 2015 Q1

Colorado Electric $107 million 10.25% 2015 Q2

South Dakota Electric $16 million 10.25% 2015 Q1

Texas Electric 2015 $65 million 10.25% 2015 Q2

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Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case NSP-Minnesota filed a two-year, electric rate case seeking a

revised $248 million over two years The filing is based on a requested ROE of 10.25%, a 52.5% equity

ratio, a 2014 average rate base of $6.67 billion and an additional average rate base of $0.412 billion in 2015.

MPUC approved interim rates of $127 million effective Jan. 2014 Commission deliberation – March 26, 2015

47

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Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case

(Millions of Dollars) 2014 2015

Amount % increase Amount %

increase

Initial pre-moderation deficiency 273.8 81.4

Excess depreciation reserve (81.1) 52.9

DOE settlement proceeds __ (35.8)

Initial rate request 192.7 98.5

Adjustments to request (50.5) 7.5

Revised rate request 142.2 5.1% 106.0 3.8%

Interim rate adjustments (65.3) 65.3

Prairie Island EPU 4.8 (4.8)

Revenue impact 81.7 166.5

Excess depreciation reserve 81.1 (45.7)

Sales forecast (18.2) -

Property tax forecast (4.2) -

DOE settlement proceeds __ 25.7

Estimated impact on operating income $140.4 $146.5

48 NSPM’s total revenue for 2014 is capped at the interim rate level of $127 million (subject to refund) and pre-tax operating income is capped at $208 million. This table demonstrates the impact of reducing NSP-Minnesota’s rebuttal request.

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49 49

Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case

* The ALJ recommended that the MPUC accept the DOC and NSPM agreement to true up the sales forecast to W/N actual sales and to a limited true-up mechanism for property taxes.

(millions of dollars) 2014

ALJ DOC Surrebuttal

NSP-M Rebuttal

NSP-Minnesota’s original request $192.7 $192.7 $192.7 Monticello EPU (31.3) (33.9) (12.2) Sales forecast* (15.8) (43.2) (15.8) ROE (DOC = 9.64%, ALJ = 9.77%) (28.4) (36.2) - Health care, pension and other benefits (1.9) (11.4) (1.9) Property taxes* (9.0) (9.0) (9.0) Prairie Island EPU (5.1) (5.1) (5.1) Other, net (5.2) (8.0) (6.5) Recommended 2014 rate increase (unadjusted) $96.0 $45.9 $142.2 Sales forecast - estimated true-up adjustment (18.2) 9.2 (18.2) Property tax - estimated true-up adjustment (4.2) (4.2) (4.2) Total Recommended rate increase (adjusted) $ 73.6 $ 50.9 $119.8

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Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case

* In July 2014, the Minnesota Department of Commerce (DOC) recommended a cost disallowance of approximately $71.5 million on a Minnesota jurisdictional basis which equates to a total NSP System disallowance of approximately $94 million. This would reduce NSP-Minnesota’s revenue requirement by approximately $10.2 million in 2015. ** Adjustment relates to timing differences and/or methodology of accelerating amortization of the excess depreciation reserve over three years.

(millions of dollars) 2015

ALJ DOC Surrebuttal

NSP-M Rebuttal

NSP-Minnesota’s original request $98.5 $98.5 $98.5 Monticello EPU * 29.1 18.9 11.7 Excess depreciation reserve adjustment ** - (22.7) - Depreciation - (17.5) - Property taxes (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) Production tax credits to be included in base rates (11.1) (11.1) (11.1) DOE settlement proceeds 10.1 10.1 10.1 Other, net (0.9) (6.4) 0.1 Recommended 2015 step increase $122.4 $66.5 $106.0

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Monticello EPU/LCM Prudence Filing Original estimate was $320 million and final cost was $665 million

Monticello uprate & life extension was a sound investment — Rebuilt plant provides customer value for the next 20 years — Essential for carbon reduction commitment — Our experience is in line with industry performance

In July 2014, the DOC recommended a disallowance of $72 million for Minnesota - the equivalent of $94 million for all jurisdictions

In August 2014, the OAG recommended a disallowance of $321 million Procedural schedule:

— ALJ recommendation expected in January 2015 — Commission deliberation – March 6, 2015

51

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South Dakota 2015 Electric Rate Case

Seeking a 2015 electric rate increase of $15.6 million, or 8.0% — Requested ROE of 10.25% — Equity ratio of 53.86% — 2013 historic test year with known and measurable

adjustments for 2014 and 2015 — Transfers $9.0 million from rider to base rates

Interim rates went into effect in January 2015 Rates expected to go into effect in the first quarter of 2015

52

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Colorado 2015 Electric Rate Case Seeking a total 2015 rate increase of $107 million, or 3.8% The filing is based on a 2015 test year, an ROE of 10.25%, an equity

ratio of 56% and an electric rate base of $6.39 billion Request reflects the initiation of a CACJA rider:

— Will recover approximately $99 million in 2015 — Will recover incremental revenue of $34 million in 2016 — Rider revenue will decline by about $4 million in 2017

Establishes a multi-year regulatory plan, providing certainty for PSCo and its customers

Procedural schedule: — Hearings – January 26 – February 4, 2015 — Interim rates effective – February 13, 2015 — Commission decision – 2015 Q2

53

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Colorado 2015 Electric Rate Case (Millions of Dollars) Staff OCC PSCo

Rebuttal

PSCo’s filed rate request 136.0 136.0 136.0

Transfer from transmission rider to base rates 19.9 19.9 19.9

PSCo’s filed revenue requirement deficiency 155.9 155.9 155.9

Lower ROE (Staff recommendation of 9.11% and OCC recommendation of 9.10%) (69.1) (66.5) (6.2)

Capital structure (Staff equity ratio of 51.24% and OOC equity ratio of 52.7%) (20.9) (23.7) -

Rate base adjustments (largely the removal of prepaid pension asset) (20.8) 2.3 -

Adjustment to a historic test year (82.5) (82.5) -

Adjustment to use 13-month average rate base (26.1) (22.0) -

Rate base adjustments for known and measurable plant through September 2014 21.9 - -

Operation and maintenance expense adjustments (7.2) (16.6) -

Depreciation - (3.8) -

Property taxes - (12.1) (5.3)

Remove CACJA from base rates (62.4) - (98.7)

Updated sales forecast (15.2)

Other, net 0.1 0.1 (2.1)

Total base rate recommendation 2015 (111.1) (68.9) 28.4

CACJA rider mechanism 54.2 - 98.7

(Decrease) increase – excluding transfers (56.9) (68.9) 127.1

Transfer from transmission rider to base rates (19.9) (19.9) (19.9)

Total (decrease) increase (76.8) (88.8) 107.2 54

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Texas 2015 Electric Rate Case Requested a 2015 electric rate increase of $64.75 million (6.7%)

— Based on a June 2014 historic test year with known and measurable adjustments

— ROE of 10.25% — Electric rate base of $1.56 billion — Equity ratio of 53.97%

Includes $442 million post-test year investment A PUCT decision is anticipated in mid 2015

— Intervenor Testimony April 1, 2015 — Staff’s Testimony April 8, 2015 — SPS Rebuttal Testimony April 24, 2015 — Hearings begin May 11, 2015

55

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23%

12% 56%

1%5%3%

23%

11%

15%46%

1%4%

Proactive Environmental Leadership Fuel Mix Based on Energy

2005 2020 2013

18%

12%

43%22%

2%3%

Coal Natural Gas Nuclear Wind Hydro Other

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60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Proactive Environmental Leadership Emission Reductions

CO2 Emissions Million tons

~30% Reduction 2005-2020

2020 0

1,000

2,000

3,000

2005 2007 2009 2011 2012

Mercury Emissions (lbs/MWh)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Sulfur Dioxide Emissions (lbs/MWh)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Nitrogen Oxide Emissions (lbs/MWh)

2005 2006 2008 2010

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YTD Weather-Adjusted Retail Electric Sales Through 2014 Q3

Better Than Expected YTD Sales Growth

0.7%1.3%

3.3%

2.3%

1.4%

XcelEnergy

NSPM PSCo NSPW SPS

2014 guidance assumes W/A electric sale growth of about 1%

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