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Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Ken Schroeder, Chief Executive Officer
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
AgendaAgenda
KLA-Tencor overviewKLA-Tencor overview
China’s IC industry today: China’s IC industry today: Advantages and challengesAdvantages and challenges
Looking to the Future:Looking to the Future:3 strategies for IC manufacturing success3 strategies for IC manufacturing success
Gaining a competitive edge: Gaining a competitive edge: The unique role of process controlThe unique role of process control
SummarySummary
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Corporate HighlightsCorporate Highlights
#1 #1 semiconductor process semiconductor process control company in the control company in the world world
≈ ≈ 4800 employees 4800 employees worldwide, in 22 countriesworldwide, in 22 countries
Global technology & market Global technology & market leader in process control leader in process control since 1976since 1976
44thth largest semiconductor largest semiconductor capital equipment company capital equipment company in the worldin the world
CY 2002 Revenue: $1.4B
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
United StatesUnited States HistoricalSales Average – 30%
EuropeEurope HistoricalSales Average – 15%
JapanJapan HistoricalSales Average – 20%
Asia PacificAsia Pacific HistoricalSales Average – 35%
Helping Global Chipmakers Speed Helping Global Chipmakers Speed Time to Market and Profit Time to Market and Profit
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
KLA-Tencor in ChinaKLA-Tencor in China
Established presence in China since 1997Established presence in China since 1997 Offices in Shanghai and TianjinOffices in Shanghai and Tianjin Expanding operations in Zhangjiang High Tech ParkExpanding operations in Zhangjiang High Tech Park
80% process control market share in China80% process control market share in China Working with all major Chinese fabsWorking with all major Chinese fabs
Advanced training program for local staffAdvanced training program for local staff Recruited from China’s top universitiesRecruited from China’s top universities
Global Support Center serves entire Asia-Pacific Global Support Center serves entire Asia-Pacific region (excluding Japan)region (excluding Japan)
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
AgendaAgenda
Introduction to KLA-TencorIntroduction to KLA-Tencor
China’s IC industry today: China’s IC industry today: Advantages and challengesAdvantages and challenges
Looking to the Future:Looking to the Future:3 strategies for IC manufacturing success3 strategies for IC manufacturing success
Gaining a competitive edge: Gaining a competitive edge: The unique role of process controlThe unique role of process control
SummarySummary
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
“It took Japan three decades to become a powerhouse in technology, and it took Taiwan about one decade…China is expected to achieve similar strides in three to five years.”
Electronic News, “The Waking Giant”
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
China’s Formidable FoundationChina’s Formidable Foundation
Huge and rapidly expanding Huge and rapidly expanding economyeconomy
Large and fast-growing Large and fast-growing domestic marketdomestic market 1.3 billion consumers1.3 billion consumers
Strong demand for electronicsStrong demand for electronics #1 in mobile phone market with #1 in mobile phone market with
only 14% penetrationonly 14% penetration
#2 in market for PCs#2 in market for PCs
#2 in internet use#2 in internet use
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Demand Drivers Behind Demand Drivers Behind China’s Growing IC IndustryChina’s Growing IC Industry Huge potential for domestic IC productionHuge potential for domestic IC production
China consumes 8% of worldwide chip productionChina consumes 8% of worldwide chip production
Of that, >80% is importedOf that, >80% is imported
Gap between domestic consumption and local Gap between domestic consumption and local supply major impetus for China’s IC industrysupply major impetus for China’s IC industry
Domestic Chip Purchases and Production in China
2001 2005
Chip purchase $16B $25B
Demand filled by internal fabs 15% 30%Source: Semiconductor Industry Association
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
China’s IC Manufacturing China’s IC Manufacturing AdvantagesAdvantages Huge domestic marketHuge domestic market
Low-cost manufacturing and labor baseLow-cost manufacturing and labor base
Abundant supply of international and domestic talentAbundant supply of international and domestic talent
Rapid inflow of international capitalRapid inflow of international capital
Fast-growing entrepreneurial baseFast-growing entrepreneurial base
Strong government incentivesStrong government incentives
Accelerated transfer of technology expertiseAccelerated transfer of technology expertise
All segments of semi industry – upstream and All segments of semi industry – upstream and downstream – committed to China marketdownstream – committed to China market
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
China’s IC Manufacturing China’s IC Manufacturing ChallengesChallenges Transitioning from trailing-edge to leading-edge Transitioning from trailing-edge to leading-edge
technologytechnology
Perfecting the foundry business modelPerfecting the foundry business model
Preventing trade barriersPreventing trade barriers
Addressing the shortage of skilled chip designersAddressing the shortage of skilled chip designers
Competing head-to-head with top-tier foundriesCompeting head-to-head with top-tier foundries
Speeding time to market on future device generationsSpeeding time to market on future device generations
Developing a winning strategyDeveloping a winning strategy
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
AgendaAgenda
Introduction to KLA-TencorIntroduction to KLA-Tencor
China’s IC industry today: China’s IC industry today: Advantages and challengesAdvantages and challenges
Looking to the Future:Looking to the Future:3 strategies for IC manufacturing success3 strategies for IC manufacturing success
Gaining a competitive edge: Gaining a competitive edge: The unique role of process controlThe unique role of process control
SummarySummary
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Why is Strategy Important to a Why is Strategy Important to a New Semiconductor Company?New Semiconductor Company?Why is Strategy Important to a Why is Strategy Important to a New Semiconductor Company?New Semiconductor Company?
Create competitive Create competitive advantage before the advantage before the contest beginscontest begins
Identify growth Identify growth opportunitiesopportunities
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
3 3 Strategies for IC Strategies for IC Manufacturing SuccessManufacturing Success
PerformanceLeadership
CostLeadership
CustomerIntimate
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
3 3 Strategies for IC Strategies for IC Manufacturing SuccessManufacturing Success Performance-Leader Performance-Leader
ExamplesExamples MicroprocessorsMicroprocessors
IntelIntel
Leading-edge Leading-edge semiconductor processessemiconductor processes
IBMIBM
Digital Signal ProcessingDigital Signal Processing Texas InstrumentsTexas Instruments
PerformanceLeadership
Architecture and IP are key in this strategy
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
3 3 Strategies for IC Strategies for IC Manufacturing SuccessManufacturing Success Cost-Leader ExamplesCost-Leader Examples
MemoryMemory SamsungSamsung
MicronMicron
InfineonInfineon
FoundryFoundry TSMCTSMC
UMCUMC
CostLeadership
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
3 3 Strategies for IC Strategies for IC Manufacturing SuccessManufacturing Success Customer-Intimate ExamplesCustomer-Intimate Examples
FablessFabless AlteraAltera
nVidianVidia
XilinxXilinx
STMicroelectronicsSTMicroelectronics Telecom with Nokia/EricssonTelecom with Nokia/Ericsson
SonySony Parent company for Parent company for
PlayStationPlayStation
CustomerIntimate
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Case Study: Japan IC IndustryCase Study: Japan IC Industry
Tried to overtake Intel in MicroprocessorsTried to overtake Intel in Microprocessors
Lost leadership in Memory to KoreaLost leadership in Memory to Korea
Leadership in Microprocessors*
10000
20000
25000
0
Leadership in Memory*
4000
2000
6000
8000
0 Hynix
Samsu
ng
Micr
on
Mits
ubish
i
Sharp
Toshib
a
Inte
l
Hitach
iM
itsub
ishi
NEC
Toshib
a
5000
15000
$ $
2002 revenue. Source: Gartner, Inc.
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
What Will be China’s IC What Will be China’s IC Manufacturing Strategy?Manufacturing Strategy? Most likely strategiesMost likely strategies
Customer IntimateCustomer Intimate Fabless companies working with Fabless companies working with
Chinese consumer companiesChinese consumer companies
Cost LeadershipCost Leadership Can Chinese foundries become a Can Chinese foundries become a
low-cost leader?low-cost leader?Cost
Leadership
CustomerIntimate
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
AgendaAgenda
Introduction to KLA-TencorIntroduction to KLA-Tencor
China’s IC industry today: China’s IC industry today: Advantages and challengesAdvantages and challenges
Looking to the Future:Looking to the Future:3 strategies for IC manufacturing success3 strategies for IC manufacturing success
Gaining a competitive edge: Gaining a competitive edge: The unique role of process controlThe unique role of process control
SummarySummary
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
“China’s market is huge, but regarding profits in this business, there are plenty of uncertainties.”
Richard Chang, CEO, SMIC
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Time-to-Market is Essential for Time-to-Market is Essential for Business SuccessBusiness SuccessTime-to-Market is Essential for Time-to-Market is Essential for Business SuccessBusiness Success
Tele-phone
TV PC CellPhone
Play-Station 2
Yea
rsY
ears
00
55
1010
1515
2020
2525
3030
3535
4040
37
23
94
<1.5
Semiconductor Innovations
Time to Reach First 10 Million Customers
Accelerating China’s IC Industry FutureTime
Ramp Rates are IncreasingRamp Rates are Increasing
Manufacturing Ramp Rates
Month from Ramp Start
WS
PW
0 5 10 15
90 nm(300 mm)
130 nm180 nm 0.25 m
0.5 m
0.8 m
B. Sohn, Intel F11X Mgr., Invited Speaker ASMC 2002, www.semi.org/web/wevals.nsf/pcde4ASMC02/1
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Technology Barriers Technology Barriers Getting HigherGetting Higher
Tighter specs New materials
More process steps
New processes
New process toolsNew architectures
TransistorTransistor
GateDielectric
GateDielectric
35 nm GateLength
35 nm GateLength
400
200
600
800
00.35 0.18 0.07
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Leading Edge Technologies Have Leading Edge Technologies Have Small Market WindowsSmall Market Windows
Being 3 months late Being 3 months late to market can wipe to market can wipe out all profitsout all profits
Advanced Advanced manufacturing manufacturing strategies are needed strategies are needed to accelerate up the to accelerate up the yield curveyield curve
RampDevelopment
Time
Yie
ld
Production
Accelerated Yield Learning
Accelerated yield learningspeeds time-to-market
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
ImplementFix
ImplementFix
Characterize&
Analyze
Characterize&
Analyze
Detect &
Measure
Detect &
Measure
Process Control Accelerates Process Control Accelerates Fab ProfitabilityFab Profitability
Monitor & control Monitor & control the quality of the the quality of the IC process and IC process and productsproducts
Maximize Fab ROIMaximize Fab ROI Better performing + Better performing +
more reliable chips more reliable chips = Higher ASPs= Higher ASPs
Quality of process Quality of process = Increased yields= Increased yields & faster ramps & faster ramps
Faster time to Faster time to market boosts fab market boosts fab profitsprofits
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
How KT Accelerates How KT Accelerates Fab ProfitabilityFab Profitability
Reticle inspection: Finding the errors before they print Wafer inspection:
Finding the process defects that kill yields
Metrology: Finding the errors that decrease
device performanceAnalysis software:
The glue that ties it all together
Buried void
35 nm GateLength
35 nm GateLength
CD Errors
Analyze Report ActSimulate
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
The Value: Increased Fab The Value: Increased Fab Competitiveness & Higher Fab ROICompetitiveness & Higher Fab ROI
Assumptions:Assumptions: Device type: LogicDevice type: Logic
Wafer Size: 300mm Wafer Size: 300mm
Wafers Starts per monthWafers Starts per month Development:Development:
500500
Ramp:Ramp:2,0002,000
Production:Production:20,00020,000
Die per wafer: ~275Die per wafer: ~275
Starting Die ASP:Starting Die ASP: $30$30
Price decline per/Q: 7%Price decline per/Q: 7%
Months
Die
Yie
ld
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36
Development: $150M3 months fasterto 20% yield
Ramp: $200M20%-50% yield 2 months faster
Production: $120M50%-80% yield 9 months faster10% higher overall yield
Model Source: UC Berkeley, KT
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Accelerating Fab Profitability: Accelerating Fab Profitability: 3 Examples3 Examples
Customer Benefits Cust Savings
$17MReticle Defectivity Reticle Inspection: Isolated repeater defect 7
weeks faster than traditional methods
$27MWafer Defectivity Wafer Inspection: Detected major yield killing
defect 5 weeks faster than traditional methods
$13M
UCL
LCL
Target
Problem
Gate Leakage
Con
trol
Par
amet
er
Metrology Solution: Problem identified 3 weeks
faster than traditional methods
KT Solution
Quantox XP
TeraStar
eS20XP
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Total Defect Inspection Tool Per Fab
Ave
rag
e D
efec
t L
earn
Rat
e
(Pe
r M
on
th)*
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
0 5 10 15 20 25
Copper Defect Learning & ROI Copper Defect Learning & ROI vs. Number of Toolsvs. Number of ToolsCopper Defect Learning & ROI Copper Defect Learning & ROI vs. Number of Toolsvs. Number of Tools
*Avg of 12 monthsSource: KLA-Tencor
$20M
$30M
$40M
$50M
$60M
$70M
$80M
$90M
Company DCompany D
Company ACompany A
Company BCompany B
Company CCompany C
Company ECompany E
Company FCompany F
Incr
em
enta
l R
evenue P
er
Year
Basis: 200mm wafer, 1.50cm2 Die, $30 ASP/die
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
Accelerated Yield Learning:Accelerated Yield Learning:Savings ComparisonSavings Comparison
Dev'l $Gain
Ramp $Gain
Prod $Gain
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60
Months
Cu
m R
ev
en
ue
Ga
in
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60
Months
Lagging technology, 200mm fab Leading technology, 300mm fab
10 times the savings, revenue gains
Dev'l $Gain
Ramp $Gain
Prod $Gain
Cu
m R
ev
en
ue
Ga
in
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
AgendaAgenda
Introduction to KLA-TencorIntroduction to KLA-Tencor
China’s IC industry today: China’s IC industry today: Advantages and challengesAdvantages and challenges
Looking to the Future:Looking to the Future:3 strategies for IC manufacturing success3 strategies for IC manufacturing success
Gaining a competitive edge: Gaining a competitive edge: The unique role of process controlThe unique role of process control
SummarySummary
Accelerating China’s IC Industry Future
SummarySummary
China positioned to be a major player in IC China positioned to be a major player in IC industryindustry Infrastructure advantages enable fabless and low-cost Infrastructure advantages enable fabless and low-cost
leadership strategiesleadership strategies
Major growth and revenue opportunities are at the Major growth and revenue opportunities are at the leading edgeleading edge
Accelerated yield learning key to successAccelerated yield learning key to success Process control best practices accelerate development, Process control best practices accelerate development,
technology transfer and ramp; maximize yieldstechnology transfer and ramp; maximize yields