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Achieving Design

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BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. Author, Filename.ppt | 1 Author, Filename.ppt | 1 Achieving Design Balance in the Age of Asymmetry Rick McCrary Director, Int’l. Business Development Boeing Military Aircraft February 14, 2012
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BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company.Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. Author, Filename.ppt | 1Author, Filename.ppt | 1

Achieving Design Balance in the Age of Asymmetry

Rick McCraryDirector, Int’l. Business DevelopmentBoeing Military AircraftFebruary 14, 2012

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 2

Spectrum Life

Agility

Acceleration Turn rate

Processing power

Survivability

Safety

External / internal stores

Range

Supportability

Deployability

Speed

Environmental control systems

Hydraulic system

Handling Maneuverability

Fuel load / placementMaintainability

Cost / capability trade-offsAcquisition costs

Abort / arrestment system

Schedule

Weight Size Wing loading

Approach speedSelf-defense systems

Weapons systems

Flight controls Mission computerStrengthCombat ceiling

Upgrade plan

Requirements control

Stealth PayloadSelf-start

Program management

Crew vehicle interface

Landing gear configuration

Development costs

Mission System Integration / fusion

Wing configuration

Time to FieldSimplicity of design

Sensors

Architecture / Wiring

Affordability

Maturity of systems

Engine configuration Power required

On-board power generation

Electro-magnetic controlsAchieving Achieving Design BalanceDesign Balancein the Age of Asymmetryin the Age of Asymmetry

*

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 3

Design Balance in the Age of Asymmetry

Fielding a revolutionary aircraft on plan is increasingly rare

A balanced, evolutionary approach offers: – Affordability– Currency– Optimal time to service– Long-term relevancy

Capability, not characteristics, is the relevant focus to meet effects based needs across the spectrum of conflict

Asymmetry drives uncertainty – the best counter to uncertainty is flexibility

Finding the correct balance is the challenge

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 4

Design Dynamics

The “half life of technology”– The point at which break-through characteristics that can have a disruptive

effect and provide a dominant capability are effectively countered, emulated, exploited and/or copied; thus devolving to a desirable design characteristic, a necessary but insufficient design element:

– Disruptive, but too few to be dominant – lack of strategic depth – able to be overwhelmed with superior numbers

U.S. Government Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 5

Speed and Maneuverability

F86 & MiG-15 USAF photos

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 6

Maneuverability Versus Speed

F-104 USAF Photo, Mig 21 – Capt. Nasko Koev BuAF

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 7

Speed As A Counter To Maneuverability

Mig 25 – Dimitri A. Mottl, SR-71 USAF Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 8

Asymmetric Speed and Maneuverability

SA2 – Tourbillon, S-300 – USAF Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 9

Speed and Maneuverability

MiG-35 and F-22 Boeing Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 10

Sensors and Weapons

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 11

Sensors and Weapons

Allocer Allocer

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 12

Survivability

Rob Shenk Photo

US Government Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 13

Survivability

http://planesnsuch.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/f117_6.jpg

www.sepahnews.com/shownews Released by Iranian authorities for public use

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 14

Survivability

Ted Carlson

USAF Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 15

Second Order Effects

The peer “technology at any cost” chase bankrupted the Soviet Union - continuing the “big bang” development approach is crippling the US defense budget…and force structure…– U.S. had four ‘stealth’ aircraft programs before the F-35: The F-117; the A-12; the B-2

and the F-22. Taken together, these represented a requirement for 2,378 aircraft…267 entered service

– F-35 quantities declining due to development cost and schedule risk

Augustine’s 16th Law: – Defense budgets grow linearly but the cost of military aircraft grows exponentially.– Corollary: By 2054, the entire U.S. defense budget will purchase one aircraft. It will be

shared by the Air Force and the Navy 3 1/2 days each week, except in leap years, when it will be made available to the Marines for the extra day

Development approach remains out of balance with replacement timelines and non-responsive to asymmetric threat emergence

“Flat World” information access eases exploitation

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 16

Design Dynamics

The “half life of technology”– The point at which break-through characteristics that can have a disruptive

effect and provide a dominant capability are effectively countered, emulated, exploited and/or copied; thus devolving to a desirable design characteristic, a necessary but insufficient design element:

– Disruptive, but too few to be dominant – lack of strategic depth – able to be overwhelmed with superior numbers

Boeing Photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 17

Achieving Balance in Design

Balance considerations– Investment in breakthrough technologies– Technology half life– Practical application of technology– Inertia of the bureaucratic process– User discipline in need vs nice to have– Durability– Adaptability– Affordability

Correct balance of key features: speed, altitude, agility, range, payload, lethality, survivability; when combined to provide the key capabilities of reach, access, and awareness, can provide a tactical advantage – IF the quality/quantity equation is balanced

Balance is a compromise –an enduring feature of the aircraft

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 18

Evolving Proven Platforms by Necessity

Robust airframe design

Analog to digital

Maintainability / quality growth

Long-term improved O & S

Su-27

Su-30MKI

Su-35

Glass cockpit

IRBIS-E passive ESA radar

IRST w/EO

Digital EW system

Vectored thrust

No speed brake

No canards

PAK 50

Parallel development of the next platform

Maxim Maksimov Photo

Boeing Photo

US Government photo

Oleg Belyakov photo

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 19

Evolving Proven Platforms by Design

Conformal fuel tanks

Advanced engines

Spherical missile/ laser warning

Enclosed wpns pod

Next gen cockpit

Internal IRST

Inserting mature technology to meet the threat

F/A-18E/F/GBlock II

Advanced PVI & computing

AESA radar

MIDS

ATFLIR

AIM-9X

IRST

Network enabled

F/AF/A--18E/F18E/FBlock IBlock I

Long range

Increased survivability & lethality

More weapons

Tanker

Pre-planned growth

Parallel development of the next platform

Future Fighter

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 20

Potential U.S. TACAIR HI-LO Mix EvolutionAir Dominance

F-X

F/A-XXF/A-18E/F Block II+

Current Long Term Future

F-15C

F-22

F-15C+

F-22

F/A-18E/F Block II

F-14D

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 21

F-35B/C

F/A-18E/F Block II

+UAS

+UAS+?

Potential U.S. TACAIR HI-LO Mix EvolutionStrike Fighter

F/A-X

F-35A

F-15E +

Current Long Term Future

F-16A-D & A-10

F/A-18A-D & AV-8

F-15E

Copyright © 2012 Boeing. All rights reserved. 2/14/2012, 219042 | 22

“We have run out of money so now we must think”

“The thinking piece. The tactics, techniques and

procedures, the practice, the interaction of our aviators …

and naval shooters afloat will be ever more important.”

Gen. Philip M. Breedlove, USAF, Vice Chief of Staff, “AirSea Battle for the Future”, 20 July 2011

Copyright © 2010 Boeing. All rights reserved. Author, Filename.ppt | 23


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