ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
Activities of ICP M&M2009 - 2010
and
Results of the 26th Task Force meeting
Anne Christine Le GallIneris
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
M&M activities in 2009/2010(WGE Work plan)
24th Task Force meeting in Stockholm, 14/15 May 2009
(a) Progress report on indicators linking air pollution and multiple effects, in ex-post integrated assessment
(b) Report on the call for data for the dynamic modelling of vegetation change;
(c) Report on the revision of methods and data to derive empirical critical loads, and workshop in collaboration between the CCE, Germany and Switzerland;
(d) 26th meeting of the Programme Task Force and 20th workshop of the Coordination Centre for Effects, 19-23 April 2010, Paris.
See documents /3, /10, /14, TF minutes, CCE presentations at See documents /3, /10, /14, TF minutes, CCE presentations at this meeting and CCE Status Report this meeting and CCE Status Report
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
25th Task Force meeting Back-to-back with CCE WS: 19-21 April 2010, Paris 18 participants from 6 countries (Cz, F, D, NL, UK,
USA), WEG, ICPV.
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
26th Task Force meeting... ... Discussed the following points General
Long term strategy Gothenburg Protocol revision (Input to the revised protocol and annex 1)
Cooperation with other groups under and outside the Convention ICP M&M collaboration with USA Strengthen collaboration with Habitat Directive community Update of the ICP M&M mapping manual on ozone flux calculations and critical levels
Heavy metals Effects of HM emissions relevant to HM protocol revision
Four scenarios analysed in collaboration with TNO and MSC E Conclusions presented at the 47th WGSR
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
26th Task Force meeting... Also discussed the following points Modeling and biodiversity
Ex-post analysis Preliminary results of call for data 2009
11 countries responded Development of VSD+ linked with vegetation modules Run on 56 sites Training workshop
Proposal for a new call for data in 2010/2011 Increase resolution of CLd in line with new resolution of
EMEP Apply new empirical CLd at national level Collaborate with Habitat Directive leads Continue woron VSD+ and Vegegation modelling
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
Next: Workplan for 2010/2011 (1/2) Report on the revision of the critical loads database
(following call for data) to: Include updated empirical critical loads, as revised by
the national focal centres (NFCs), in the CCE database and use in the ex-post assessment;
Request and aggregate data from the NFCs in the new EMEP grid systems for deposition models;
Complement results for NFCs on site-specific dynamic modelling of vegetation changes, including updated version of the extended very simple dynamic model (VSD+) and increased number of sites;
Ensure harmonization of data compatibility, processes and synergies between the NFCs and experts working with the EU Habitat Directive;
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
Workplan for 2010/2011 (2/2) Development and implementation of modelling and mapping
methodologies in ex post integrated assessment modelling in support to Gothenburg protocol revision
Using the update of empirical critical loads and levels and dose-response functions in scenario assessments of regional changes of plant species diversity;
The twenty-seventh meeting of the Programme Task Force and the twenty-first CCE workshop, to be held from 18 to 22 April 2011 in Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
www.icpmapping.org
www.mnp.nl/cce
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
N exceedance is still widespread
2000 20302020
Draft BL scen.spring 2010 All ecosystems
N CLd exceedances (all ecosystems)
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
Impacts of nitrogen on terrestrial ecosystems
Significant changes of plants species Exceedances of empirical critical loads Target loads, damage delay time, recovery delay time N CLd exceedances on Natura 2000 sites
Likelihood of expected impacts
ICP M&M @ Working Group on Effects 29, Geneva, 22 – 24 Sep 2010
Biodiversity changes are drivenBy air pollution including N inputs By climate changeBy land use change
Biodiversity, N and others
For discussion: Environmental target setting in support of Gothenborg protocol should: not aim at restoration to initial conditions aim at sustainable structures and functions of ecosystems