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air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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John Mc Glade President and CEO Lehman Brothers 2008 Industrial Select Conference February 11, 2008
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Page 1: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

John Mc GladePresident and CEOLehman Brothers2008 Industrial Select ConferenceFebruary 11, 2008

Page 2: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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ForwardForward--Looking Statements Looking Statements NOTE: This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s reasonable expectations and assumptions as of the date of this presentation regarding important risk factors. Actual performance and financial results may differ materially from projections and estimates expressed in the forward-looking statements because of many factors, including, without limitation, overall economic and business conditions different than those currently anticipated; future financial and operating performance of major customers and industries served by Air Products; the impact of competitive products and pricing; interruption in ordinary sources of supply of raw materials; the ability to recover unanticipated increased energy and raw material costs from customers; costs and outcomes of litigation or regulatory activities; consequences of acts of war or terrorism impacting the United States’ and other markets; the effects of a pandemic or epidemic or a natural disaster; charges related to portfolio management and cost reduction actions; the success of implementing cost reduction programs and achieving anticipated acquisition synergies; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or divestitures; unanticipated contract terminations or customer cancellation or postponement of sales; significant fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currencies from that currently anticipated; the impact of new or changed tax and other legislation and regulations in jurisdictions in which Air Products and its affiliates operate; the impact of new or changed financial accounting standards; and the timing and rate at which tax credits can be utilized. The company disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in the company’s assumptions, beliefs or expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances upon which any such forward-looking statements are based.

Page 3: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Air Products Air Products At a glanceAt a glance

$10B companyDiverse markets and geographiesPositioned for continued long-term value creation

FY07 Geographic Sales

United States(44%)

Asia(17%)

Europe(32%)

Canada/LatinAmerica (5%)

FY07 Segment SalesROW (2%)

MerchantGases(34%)

TonnageGases(31%)

Equipment & Energy

(6%)Healthcare

(7%)Electronics &

Performance Materials(22%)

Page 4: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Supply Modes Supply Modes Durable Business ModelsDurable Business Models

Package Gases & Specialty Materials

25%

Onsite/Pipeline36%

Liquid/Bulk21%

10, 15 and 20-year contractsTake-or-pay

Contractual energy pass-throughFormula escalation

3-5 year contractsRegional business

Cost pass-through/surcharges

Equipment & Services 18%

Page 5: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Transforming Air Products

Morefocused

Lesscyclical

Higherreturn

Higher growth

Page 6: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

66

Transforming Air Products

Lesscyclical

Higherreturn

Higher growth

Global organizationGlobal segmentsCapex discipline

Morefocused

Page 7: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Transforming Air Products

Morefocused

Higherreturn

Higher growth

Sold amines, emulsions and HPPCTonnage a greater % of our portfolioElectronics restructuring

Lesscyclical

Page 8: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Lesscyclical

Transforming Air Products

Morefocused

Higherreturn

Poland, China, India, Western Canada, Middle EastHydrogen for clean fuelsOxygen for environmental and energy sectorsElectronics market leadership

Higher growth

Page 9: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

99

Lesscyclical

Transforming Air Products

Morefocused

Higher growth

Price and margin improvementSAP driving productivity acceleration High margin offerings and applications

Higherreturn

Page 10: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

1010

Lesscyclical

Higherreturn

Higher growth

Morefocused

Morefocused

Lesscyclical

Higherreturn

Higher growth

Transforming Air Products

The APDTransformation

The APDTransformation

Page 11: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Merchant GasesMerchant GasesContinued Strong PerformanceContinued Strong Performance

Sales

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2004 2005 2006 2007

Operating Income & Margin

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2004 2005 2006 200710.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%$MM $MM

Revenue by region ($, FY07)

Europe PG

North America

ROWEquipment

Europe LB

Asia

12% CAGR

• Continue delivering double-digit growth

- Solid growth in Asia

- Expanding in Eastern/Central Europe

- New offerings success

• Ability to achieve 20% operating margins

Page 12: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Electronics & Performance MaterialsElectronics & Performance MaterialsSolid Margin ImprovementSolid Margin Improvement

Sales

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2004 2005 2006 2007

Operating Income & Margin

0

50

100

150

200

250

2004 2005 2006 20070.0%

3.0%

6.0%

9.0%

12.0%

15.0%$MM $MM

11% CAGR

Asia (40%)

North America (40%)

Latin America (2%)Europe

(18%)

Revenue by region ($, FY07) • Excellent profit and return improvement

• Continue delivering double-digit growth

• Achieve 15% operating margins

Page 13: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Tonnage GasesTonnage GasesExciting Growth OpportunitiesExciting Growth Opportunities

Sales

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2004 2005 2006 2007

Operating Income & Margin

050

100150200250300350400450

2004 2005 2006 200710.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%$MM $MM

Investment by Region

North America

Asia

Europe & Middle East

16% CAGR

• Significant profit growth and improvement in capital returns

• Significant large plant bidding opportunities (both H2 & O2) continue

• Continued 10%-15% H2 growth

Page 14: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Plaquemine

Geismar

Lake Pontchartrain

Convent

Cosmar

Taft

Geismar10

NolaNew Orleans

Chalmette

LouisianaBaton Rouge

BPCarson

ShellWilmington

DominguezChannel

Conoco PhillipsWilmington

Conoco Phillips Carson

VAN NESSAVE.

SepulvedaBlvd

Anaheim Street

91

LongBeachArpt.

190th

St.

Carson H2

Wilmington H2

710

405

405

110

1

110

SouthernCalifornia

APD HyCO facilitiesH2 pipelineCO pipelineSyngas pipeline

1414630630

1414

1616

2121

CN RAIL Edmonton,Canada

SherwoodPark

Petro-CanadaImperial Oil

1616

Mont Belvieu

Port Arthur

Bayport

Battleground

Pasadena

City of Houston

Clear Lake

Baytown 2

LaPorte

Texas City

10

45

610

Lake CharlesBeaumont

225

73

6910

Zwijndrecht

To Moerdijk

Europoort

Pernis

Botlek

Rotterdam

40

40

Corunna

Suncor

Shell Refinery

40

ST.CLAIR RIVER

Air Products Canada

SarniaCanada

ValeroWilmington

Texas

Strong Hydrogen Pipeline PositionsStrong Hydrogen Pipeline Positions

SF BayRefineries

TarragonaRefinery

Page 15: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Tonnage GasesTonnage GasesWorldwide Leadership in GasificationWorldwide Leadership in Gasification

A leading O2 supplier to gasification facilities

Design, build, own and operate units for syngas, H2 and CO for pipeline systems:– NG-based POX units– Syngas cleanup/separation

Recent wins:– Duke Energy– Eastman in Texas– Wison II in China – BP clean power in California

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

APD Comp X Comp Y Comp Z

O2 for Gasification/ ATR Customers(TPD)

Page 16: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Italy

$480M

Equity Affiliate Income $114MEquity Affiliate Income $114MFY07 Revenues 100% basis $2BFY07 Revenues 100% basis $2B

16

South Africa$135M

India

$90MThailand

$85M

Mexico

$550M

Page 17: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Sales ($B)………………EPS* ($/share)…….......ORONA* (%) …………..ROCE* (%)……………..SG&A / Sales (%)*……

Balance sheet………….Shareholder value…….

A Healthy Report CardA Healthy Report CardFour consecutive yearsFour consecutive years

9.4%$2.52

14.3%

“A” ratingDividend increase & share repurchase

$6.9 $7.7 $8.8

* Comparisons are non-GAAP. See appendix slide for GAAP reconciliation.

FY04 FY05 FY06

$2.92 $3.49

10.0%

13.6% 12.3%

11.4%

FY07

$10.0

$4.37

12.5%

11.8%9.9% 10.5% 11.6% 12.7%

Page 18: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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($Millions, Continuing Operations)Fav/(Unfav) vs.

Q1 FY08 Q1 FY07 Q4 FY07*

* Comparison is non-GAAP, see appendix for reconciliation

Solid underlying growth (excl. Equipment & Energy)Driving margins & ROC higher

Sales $2,474 9% 1%SG&A as a % of Sales 12.0% 10bp 10bpOperating Income $372 17% 5%Operating Margin % 15.0% 100bp 40bpNet Income $257 16% 2%Diluted EPS $1.16 17% 4%ROCE 12.3% 70bp -ORONA 12.5% 80bp 10bp

Consolidated Q1 FinancialsConsolidated Q1 FinancialsDelivering Leverage Delivering Leverage

Page 19: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Outlook for Industrial GasesOutlook for Industrial GasesContinued StrengthContinued Strength

Global outlook for gases tracking on forecast

Future demand drivers are strong– High energy costs efficiencies– High capital costs debottlenecking– Environmental pressures new applications

Well positioned globally with market leadership– Hydrogen for clean fuels– Oxygen for gasification– Electronics

Page 20: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Air Products Value PropositionAir Products Value PropositionProfitable GrowthProfitable Growth

Stability– Long term contracts– Consistent and predictable

cash flows – Strong balance sheet

Growth– Growing project backlog– High bidding activity– Energy opportunities

Improving returns– Margin improvement– Productivity– Increasing dividends– Share buyback

Page 21: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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2008 and Beyond2008 and BeyondSustainable DoubleSustainable Double--Digit GrowthDigit Growthat Superior Returnsat Superior Returns

Targeting sustainable double-digit EPS growth– 15% to 19% EPS growth in FY 08

● Targeting 300bp margin improvement over 3 years– Cost reduction and SG&A improvement– Accelerated productivity– 100 basis points in FY 08

Targeting a ROCE 3% to 5 % above our cost of capital

More Focused, Less Cyclical,More Focused, Less Cyclical,Higher Growth, Higher ReturnsHigher Growth, Higher Returns

Page 22: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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tell me morewww.airproducts.com

Thank you

Page 23: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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ORONA = Operating Return on Net AssetsOperating Income

Average (Net Assets – Equity Affiliate Investment)

ROCE = Return on Capital Employed(Oper Inc BT + Equity Affiliate Inc BT)x(1- ETR)

Average (Debt + Equity + Minority Interest)

ROCE … more inclusive– Equity Affiliate Income– After Tax

Return On Capital MeasuresReturn On Capital MeasuresTransitioning to ROCETransitioning to ROCE

Page 24: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Non GAAP ReconciliationNon GAAP ReconciliationEPS and SG&A as a % of SalesEPS and SG&A as a % of Sales

Diluted EPS FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07Income from cont. ops. - GAAP as Reported $2.65 $3.05 $3.28 $4.67 Proforma stock option expense ($0.13) ($0.13) Global Cost Reduction Plan $0.21 $0.04 Pension Settlement charge $0.03 Gain on contract termination ($0.11) Donation/sale of cost investment ($0.09) Tax adjustments ($0.17)Non GAAP EPS $2.52 $2.92 $3.49 $4.37

($mm) FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07

Sales $6,932 $7,673 $8,753 $10,038

SG&A $951 $1,008 $1,075 $1,181Proforma Stock Option SG&A $39.4 $38.5 Non GAAP SG&A $990 $1,047 $1,075 $1,181

SG&A as % of Sales 14.3% 13.6% 12.3% 11.8%

Page 25: air products & chemicals 2008 Feb11 Lehman

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Appendix Appendix –– GAAP reconciliationsGAAP reconciliationsContact Sue Delong, Air Products Investor Relations department, for more detail and reconciliations– 610 481 5775– [email protected]


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