Air & Waste Management Association Lake Michigan Section 2014 Air Quality Management Conference November 12, 2014 Thomas W. Easterly, P.E., BCEE, Commissioner IN Department of Environmental Management 1 IDEMs Mission Protecting Hoosiers and Our Environment While Becoming the Most Customer-Friendly Environmental Agency IDEMs mission is to implement federal and state regulations to protect human health and the environment while allowing the environmentally sound operations of industrial, agricultural, commercial and government activities vital to a prosperous economy. 2 How Does IDEM Protect Hoosiers and Our Environment? Develop regulations and issue permits to restrict discharges to environmentally safe levels. Inspect and monitor permitted facilities to ensure compliance with the permits. 3 How Does IDEM Protect Hoosiers and Our Environment? Use compliance assistance and/or enforcement when people exceed their permit levels or violate regulations. Educate people on their environmental responsibilities. Clean up contaminated sites to eliminate public exposure to toxics and return properties to productive use. 4 Performance Metrics September 2014 ResultTargetsComments Quality of Hoosiers' Environment % of Hoosiers that live in counties that meet air quality standards 89.29%100%80% Muncie Lead; Ozone in LaPorte County; Sulfur Dioxide in parts of Daviess, Marion, Morgan, Pike and Vigo Counties; PM in Clark County % of CSO Communities with approved programs to prevent the release of untreated sewage 98.17%100%90% 98+9 (107) out of (109). Not Gary or Edinburgh % of Hoosiers that receive water from facilities in full compliance with safe drinking water standards 99.12%99%95% Permitting Efficiency Total calendar days accumulated in issuing environmental permits, as determined by state statute* Land23,15028,24131,564 33,225, statutory Air47,99647,18852,739 55,515 statutory Water33,66058,06364,894 68,310 statutory * Places emphasis on back logged permits Compliance Total percentage of compliance observations from regulated customers within acceptable compliance standards* Inspections95.98%97%75% Self reporting98.04%99%95% Continuous monitoring (COM)99.74%99.9%99.0% * Tracks observations and not just inspections 5 6 Performance Metrics June 2005 Quality of Hoosiers' EnvironmentResultTargetComments % of Hoosiers in counties meeting air quality standards 61%100%80% 12 counties & 2,408,571 of 6,195,643 above standard % of CSO Communities with approved programs to prevent the release of untreated sewage 4%100%20%75% by 2007 is goal Permitting Efficiency Total calendar days accumulated in issuing environmental permits, as determined by state statute* Land 100,01366,56586,864 Air 511,000207,000385,000 Water 301,00048,000200,000 * Places emphasis on back logged permits Compliance Total percentage of compliance observations from regulated customers within acceptable compliance standards* Inspections 95.46%97%75% Self reporting 97.11%99%95% Continuous monitoring (COM) 99.19%99.90%98.95% * Tracks observations and not just inspections Organizational Transformation Budgetary agency dollars spent on key outside contracts for core agency functions. Dollars spent on outside services per year $6,179,367$0$3,447,017 7 Permits--Percent of Statutory Days Presidents Climate Directives U.S. EPA was directed to issue proposed carbon pollution restrictions for: New power plants by September 20, 2013, 111(b). Existing power plants by June 1, 2014, and finalize those restrictions by June 1, 2015, 111(d). States will be required to submit state plans under Section 111(d) of the Clean Air Act by June 30, 9 New Source Proposal111(b) In September, 2013, U.S. EPA proposed New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) for Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions for certain Electric Utility Generating Units (EGUs)111(b). - Combined cycle gas turbines will meet the rule. -Coal fired units will not meet the rule without using carbon capture and storage. 10 New Source Proposal111(b) Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): has not yet been demonstrated at commercial scale, and is likely to be prohibitively expensive. Due to the increased energy used for CCS, the net greenhouse gas emissions per unit of useful energy produced from a coal fired plant using this technology and meeting the lower emission limits will likely be no lower than emissions from a modern plant without CCS. 11 Existing Source Proposal111(d) In accordance with the Presidents Climate Directive, on June 2, 2014, (June 1 was a Sunday) U.S. EPA Administrator McCarthy signed a proposed rule to reduce emissions from existing fossil fueled Electrical Generating Units (EGUs) starting in The proposed rule was actually published on June 18, 2014, at 79 FR Comments are due by December 1, 2014. 12 Existing Source Proposal111(d) Each State has an individual carbon intensity goal developed from four Building Blocks 1.Increase the thermal efficiency at coal fired EGUs by 6%. 2.Increase utilization of natural gas combined cycle plants to 70%. 3.Increase zero carbon renewable generation. 4.Increase energy efficiency (load reduction). Choice of rate based or mass based regulations. 13 Existing Source Proposal111(d) The proposed goal for Indiana is to reduce our net emissions from the 2012 level of 1,924 lb CO 2 /MWh to 1,607 lb CO 2 /MWh for the period 2020 to 2029 and 1,531 lb CO 2 /MWh after Goal is based upon: 1.Increase coal EGU efficiency by 6%. 2.Increase NGCC utilization from 53% to 70%. 3.Increase renewable energy generation to 7%. 4.Reduce energy demand by 3.2% by 2020 and 11.11% by 2030 through energy efficiency. 14 Existing Source Proposal111(d) U.S. EPA estimates on a national level that: Coal production will decrease 25 to 27%, and the price of coal will decrease by 16 to 18% by Natural gas production will increase by 12 to 14% with a price increase of 9 to 12% by Renewable generation capacity will increase by 12 GW, NGCC capacity will increase by 20 to 22 GW. Coal generation capacity will decrease by GW, and oil generation capacity by 16 GW. 15 Existing Source Proposal111(d) Annual incremental compliance costs of $5.5 to $7.5 billion in 2020 and $7.3 to $8.8 billion in Job increases of 25,900 to 28,000 in the electricity, coal and natural gas sectors by Job increases of 78,000 for demand-side energy efficiency by IDEM is currently evaluating both the feasibility and estimated cost of meeting U.S. EPAs goals. Indiana Carbon Dioxide Emission Rates (pounds of CO 2 per Megawatt Hour) 2012 BaselineU.S. EPA 2030 Goal Indiana 2030 Estimate 1,9241,5311,615 to 1,683 Alternative Goal 1,683 16 Impacts on Indiana This regulation will increase the costs of energy in the United Statesboth natural gas and electricity prices expected to rise by 10%--the impact on Hoosiers may be greater due to our current reliance on coal. The number of Hoosiers who lose utility services for non-payment is likely to increase. 17 Impacts on Indiana This increased cost of energy will likely reduce the international competitiveness of Hoosier businesses resulting in a shift of emissions from Indiana to other countries. The worldwide greenhouse gas emissions may actually increase when manufacturing moves from Indiana (and the rest of the United States) to other countries. 18 Climate Impacts111(d) Proposal This rule will have virtually no impact on modeled global climate change. It is projected to reduce: Global CO 2 concentrations by 1.5 ppm by This represents 0.3% of the expected projected average global average CO 2 concentrations in Sea level increases by 0.01 inch. 19 Climate Impacts111(d) Proposal The proposed rule is also projected to reduce: Global average temperatures by o F (0.009 o C) based upon U.S. EPAs climate models. This projected temperature reduction is based upon the projected 1.5 ppm reduction in global CO 2 concentrations. Since 1998, global average CO 2 concentrations have increased by 33 ppm or 9%, but global average temperatures have not increased. 20 21 State Goals as % Reduction from Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Percentage Change in CO 2 Emissions from Utilities (2005 2012) Decreasing >15% Decreasing 0 15% Increasing No Data Location of the State Capitals State Boundaries 23 Reliability Concerns 24 Road Blocks to Compliance Time frames Insufficient time to develop State rule. Insufficient time for meaningful stakeholder process. Insufficient time for legislative action to take place (Blocks 2-4). Regulatory authority IDEM lacks authority to regulate energy distribution. IDEM lacks authority to regulate energy efficiency beyond fence line. IDEM lacks authority to set renewable energy standards. IDEM lacks ability to enforce, document, and measure energy efficiency measures. 25 Road Blocks to Compliance Infrastructure Transmission lines not in place for current wind farm capacity. Insufficient transmission lines for new wind farms scheduled to be built. Questions as to sufficient pipeline capacity for increased natural gas use. Generation capacity Concerns about generation capacity should there be fuel supply interruptions with increased reliance on natural gas fuels. Questions concerning sufficient capacity for peak demand days. Closures may make Indiana a net importer of electricity. 26 Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal The proposed regulation is not consistent with our goal of affordable reliable energy. Governor Pence has issued numerous statements opposing U.S. EPAs proposal. June 2, 2014 July 3, 2014 July 10, Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal Governor Pence has joined with Governors from other States in submitting written comments to the President opposing U.S. EPAs proposal: June 16, 2014 September 9, Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal IDEM Commissioner Easterly has testified asking that U.S. EPAs proposal be withdrawn: July 30, 2014U.S. EPA Public Hearing September 9, 2014House Committee on Energy and Commerce, Subcommittee on Energy and Power hearing. 29 Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal Indiana joined with 11 other States on August 1, 2014, to petition the D.C. Circuit concerning U.S. EPAs inability to regulate a source under 111(d) of the Clean Air Act when that source is already regulated under Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal On August 25, Indiana joined other States in a request that U.S. EPA withdraw the proposed regulations under 111(d) and 111(b) because the U.S. EPAs failure to include in the dockets key materials that the agency relied upon as support is a violation of Section 307(d) of the Clean Air Act. 31 Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal Indiana is pursuing other options in case the legal and policy challenges do not succeed. IDEM is preparing possible options for a State plan to meet the proposed regulations. IDEM and the IURC are working with other MISO states as the Midcontinent States Energy and Environmental Regulators (MSEER) to evaluate possible regional plans. 32 2 Midcontinent States Environmental and Energy Regulators 33 Indianas Response to the 111(d) Proposal Indiana will submit written comments on all aspects of the proposed rulemaking. These comments will represent all agencies including: IDEM, IURC, OUCC, IDNR as well as input received from stakeholders. 34 Questions? Tom Easterly Commissioner Indiana Department of Environmental Management (317)